2024 Curitiba mayoral election

2024 Curitiba municipal election

←  2020 6 October 2024 (2024-10-06)(first round) 27 October 2024 (2024-10-27)(second round) 2028 →
Mayoral election
Opinion polls
Turnout	72.26% (first round) 69.63% (second round)
Candidate Eduardo Pimentel Cristina Graeml Party PSD PMB Running mate Paulo Martins Jairo Ferreira Filho Popular vote 531,029 390,254 Percentage 57.64% 42.36%
Mayor before election Rafael Greca PSD Elected mayor Eduardo Pimentel PSD
Parliamentary election
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/– Municipal Chamber PSD Beto Moraes 11.16 6 +2 PL Eder Borges 8.75 4 +4 UNIÃO Alexandre Leprevost 8.64 4 +4 PP Oscalino do Povo 7.88 3 +1 Republicanos Pastor Marciano Alves 7.03 3 +1 PODE Bruno Pessuti 6.20 3 +1 NOVO Amália Tortato 5.92 3 +1 MDB Noemia Rocha 5.19 2 +1 PDT Marcos Vieira 4.13 2 −1 Agir 2.81 1 +1 PRD Ezequias Barros 2.70 1 +1 Solidarity Dalton Borba 2.48 0 −2 PV Maria Letícia 0.54 0 −1 This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.

The 2024 Curitiba mayoral election took place on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, a vice mayor, and 38 councillors. The incumbent mayor, Rafael Greca (PSD) isn't eligible for a new term, since he was elected in 2016 and reelected in 2020.

If the most voted candidate on the first round doesn't achieve more than 50% of the votes, a second round will happen on 27 October 2024. The mayor's term will begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028. ^[1]

Context

2020 election

The last mayoral election in Curitiba, held in 2020, resulted in the victory of incumbent Rafael Greca, from the Democrats (DEM), in the first round. Greca obtained 499,821 votes or 59.74% of the valid votes. In the second place, the state deputy Goura Nataraj, from the Democratic Labor Party (PDT) only obtained 110,977 or around 13.26% of the valid votes and the other candidates did not reach double digits in vote percentages. ^[2]

Greca's victory in the first round is linked to the enormous popularity he had and still has in the city. In December 2023, the mayor's management was approved by around 73% of Curitiba's inhabitants. ^[3] As he is in his second consecutive term, Greca cannot run for re-election, due to limitations imposed by the Federal Constitution. There is speculation that the current Vice Mayor of Curitiba, Eduardo Pimentel, will be his successor. ^[4]

Electorate

In February 2024, Curitiba had around 1,419,395 people eligible to vote, ^[5] an increase of 5% in the electorate compared to the last election and around 80% of the city's population eligible to vote (1,773,718), according to the 2022 Brazilian Demographic Census. ^[6] The city is divided into ten electoral zones (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 145th, 174th, 175th, 176th, 177th and 178th). ^[7] Voters have until 8 May 2024 to make their first copy of the electoral title or regularize it with the biometric registration. ^[8]

Electoral calendar

Electoral calendar announced by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) on 3 January 2024 ^[9]

7 March – 5 April	Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms.
6 April	Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party.
15 May	Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet.
20 July – 5 August	On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice.
16 August	Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines.
30 August –3 October	Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television.
6 October	Date of mayoral elections.
27 October	Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes.

Candidates

Confirmed candidates

Party		Mayoral candidate		Running mate				Coalition
	Progressistas (PP 11)		Maria Victoria Barros State Deputy of Paraná (2015–present)		Progressistas (PP)		Walter Petruzziello Lawyer [10] Candidate for Second Alternate of the senatorial candidate Alex Canziani (PTB) in the 2018 Paraná senatorial election. [11]	Curitiba Better for Everyone [12] Progressistas (PP) [10] Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) [13]
	United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU 16)		Samuel Mattos Mailman and mathematician Candidate for Vice Mayor in the 2020 Curitiba mayoral election [14] [15]		United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)		Leonardo Martinez Rideshare driver [16]	—
	Workers' Cause Party (PCO 29)		Felipe Bombardelli Engineer of Development at Siemens AG [17] [18]		Workers' Cause Party (PCO)		Paulo Costycha Mailman [19]	—
	National Mobilization (MOBILIZA 33)		Roberto Requião Senator for Paraná (1995–2003; 2011–2019) Governor of Paraná (1991–1994; 2003–2010) Mayor of Curitiba (1986–1989) State Deputy of Paraná (1983–1986) [20]		National Mobilization (MOBILIZA)		Marcelo Henrique Pinto Parliamentary Advisor in the Chamber of Deputies of Brazil (2018–2022) [21] Company administrator	—
	Brazilian Woman's Party [a] (PMB 35)		Cristina Graeml(under legal review) [a] Journalist at Gazeta do Povo (2020–2024) [23] [22] [24]		Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB)		Jairo Ferreira Filho(under legal review) [a] Lawyer [24]	—
	Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB 40)		Luciano Ducci Federal Deputy from Paraná (2015–present) Mayor of Curitiba (2010–2013) Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2005–2010) State Deputy of Paraná (2003–2004)		Democratic Labour Party (PDT)		Goura Nataraj State Deputy of Paraná (2019–present) Councillor of Curitiba (2017–2019)	A More Social and Human Curitiba [12] Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) [25] [26] Democratic Labour Party (PDT) [27] Brazil of Hope (PT, PCdoB, PV) [28] [29]
	Brazil Union (UNIÃO 44)		Ney Leprevost State Deputy of Paraná (2007–2018; 2023–present) Federal Deputy from Paraná (2019–2023) Councillor of Curitiba (1997–2006)		Brazil Union (UNIÃO)		Rosangela Moro Federal Deputy from São Paulo (2023–present)	Curitiba Can Achieve More [12] Brazil Union (UNIÃO) [30] Christian Democracy (DC) [31] Act (AGIR) [32]
	Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL 50)		Andrea Caldas University professor at the Federal University of Paraná (UFPR)		Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)		Letícia Faria Nurse	PSOL REDE Federation (PSOL, REDE) [33] [34] [35]
	Social Democratic Party (PSD 55)		Eduardo Pimentel Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2017–present)		Liberal Party (PL)		Paulo Martins Federal Deputy from Paraná (2019–2023)	Curitiba Love and Innovation [12] Social Democratic Party (PSD) [25] [36] Liberal Party (PL) [37] Podemos (PODE) [38] Republicanos [39] New Party (NOVO) [40] Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) [12] Avante [41]
	Solidarity (Solidariedade 77)		Luizão Goulart Federal Deputy from Paraná (2019–2023) Mayor of Pinhais (2009–2017) Councillor of Pinhais (1997–2005) President of the Municipal Chamber of Pinhais (2001–2002) [42] [43]		Solidarity (Solidariedade)		Tiago Chico Technological Director of the Curitiba Development and Innovation Agency (2017–2018) Civil engineer [44] [45] [12]	—

Declined to run

• Bruno Meirinho (PSOL) – Candidate for mayor of Curitiba in the 2008 elections and in the 2012 elections. Lawyer. ^[46] The Socialism and Liberty Party, in a board meeting, decided on 13 April 2024 to officially support the potential candidacy of Andrea Caldas, thus removing the possibility of Meirinho becoming the party's nominee in the election. ^[47]

• Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023) and retired federal prosecutor. ^[48] The former Lava Jato prosecutor announced the withdrawal of his potential candidacy on 3 May 2024. He states that he will dedicate himself to campaigns and the training of his own party's politicians throughout Brazil. ^[49]
• Carol Dartora (PT) – Councillor of Curitiba (2021–2023) and member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023–present). ^[25]
• Zeca Dirceu (PT) – Mayor of Cruzeiro do Oeste (2005–2010), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2011–present) and businessman. ^[50]
• Felipe Mongruel (PT) – Lawyer. ^[51]
• Paulo Martins (PL) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2016; 2019–2023) and journalist. ^[25] The Liberal Party nominated Martins as the running mate of Pimentel on 25 May 2024. ^[37]
• Ricardo Arruda (PL) – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2013) and member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2015–present). ^[52]
• David Antunes (Cidadania) – Coordinator of Casa LGBT CWB ^[53] and candidate for state deputy in the 2022 Paraná state elections. ^[54]
• Goura Nataraj (PDT) – Councillor of Curitiba (2017–2019), member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (2019–present), candidate in the 2020 Curitiba mayoral election and philosopher. ^[25]
• Beto Richa (PSDB) – Member of the Legislative Assembly of Paraná (1995–2001), Vice Mayor of Curitiba (2001–2005), Mayor of Curitiba (2005–2010), Governor of Paraná (2011–2018), member of the Chamber of Deputies from Paraná (2023–present) and engineer. ^[55]

The Workers' Party, through its National Executive, formally announced its support for the potential candidacy of former mayor Luciano Ducci on 27 May 2024. Due to this decision, it is unlikely that any of the party's potential candidates would be able to launch a candidacy. However, these former candidates can still have an appeal to the Workers' Party National Directorate, which has already signaled that it intends to support other candidacies from other parties that are supporting the government in the National Congress, such as the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) itself. ^[56] Dartora and Mongruel decided to not appeal the decision of the National Executive, putting an end once and for all to the aspirations of having their own mayoral candidacies. Only Dirceu decided to appeal to the National Directorate. The appeal does not yet have a date to be analyzed. ^[57] Along with the Workers' Party itself, the other parties that belong to the Brazil of Hope alliance, such as the Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) and the Green Party (PV), will also support Ducci's candidacy. ^[58] Goura Nataraj was confirmed as Luciano Ducci's running mate on 24 July 2024, after his name was approved by the National Executive of the Democratic Labour Party. ^[27]

David Antunes withdrew his candidacy for mayor on 25 July 2024 in order to build a strong ticket, with strong candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba in the October elections. At the same meeting, the party declared its support for Eduardo Pimentel's candidacy. On 5 August 2024, Beto Richa withdrew his candidacy. The reasons that led him to make this decision were: a lack of party political broadcast time to present his proposals and a disagreement between some groups of Cidadania with a possible support for his candidacy. Cidadania is a party that has a national alliance (Always Forward – PSDB/Cidadania) with the Brazilian Social Democracy Party. Richa defends the neutrality of his party in the election. ^[59]

• 
  Lawyer
  Bruno Meirinho (PSOL)
  from Curitiba
• 
  Federal Deputy
  Deltan Dallagnol (NOVO)
  from Pato Branco
• 
  Federal Deputy
  Carol Dartora (PT)
  from Curitiba
• 
  Federal Deputy
  Zeca Dirceu (PT)
  from Umuarama
• 
  State Deputy
  Ricardo Arruda (PL)
  from São Paulo
• 
  Coordinator of Casa LGBT CWB
  David Antunes (Cidadania)
  from Piraquara
• 
  Federal Deputy
  Beto Richa (PSDB)
  from Londrina

Candidacy under legal review

On 26 January 2024, the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) announced the journalist Cristina Graeml as a potential mayoral candidate for the Curitiba City Hall. ^{[22] [60]} She left Gazeta do Povo, where she worked as a columnist from January 2020 to April 2024, to run for the position. ^[23] However, there was uncertainty regarding the party convention that would officially confirm her candidacy in August due to a legal dispute involving the National President of PMB, Suêd Haidar, and the local party executives in Paraná. On 3 August, Haidar decided to dissolve the local PMB executives and removed Geonísio Marinho from his position as the municipal president of PMB Curitiba to prevent the convention that would officially confirm Graeml’s candidacy. ^{[61] [62]} Despite this, the convention was confirmed by the state president of the PMB Paraná Executive Committee, Fabiano dos Santos, and took place as scheduled on the evening of 5 August. Cristina Graeml’s candidacy was officially confirmed, and the slate of candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba by the PMB was also formalized at the same event. ^[24]

The legal dispute is ongoing, and on the last day of the convention, the local executives of PMB in Paraná and Curitiba filed a writ of mandamus with the Regional Electoral Court of Paraná (TRE-PR) to contest the legal effects of the National Executive’s intervention. On 7 August 2024, the electoral judge Cláudia Cristina Cristofani ruled that the state electoral court did not have jurisdiction over the case. She argued that, since it involved a decision by the National Executive of the Brazilian Woman's Party, the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) was the appropriate body to decide the matter and determine the status of Cristina Graeml’s candidacy. The case has not yet been scheduled for a hearing by the Superior Electoral Court. ^{[61] [63]}

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation		Members		+/–
		Elected [64]	April 2024 [b] [66]
	PSD	4	8 [c]	4
	MDB	1	4 [d]	3
	PP	2	4 [e]	2
	PODE	2	4 [f]	2
	PT	3	3
	PL	0	2 [g]	2
	PRD	didn't exist	2 [h]	2
	NOVO	2	2
	Republicanos	2	2 [i]
	UNIÃO	didn't exist	1 [j]	1
	PRTB	0	1 [k]	1
	REDE	0	1 [l]	1
	Cidadania	1	1
	PV	1	1
	Solidarity	2	1 [m]	1
	PDT	3	1 [n]	2
	PSB	1	0 [o]	1
	DC	1	0 [p]	1
	PMB	1	0 [q]	1
	PROS	1	extinct party [r]	1
	PTB	1	extinct party [s]	1
	PSC	1	extinct party [t]	1
	Patriota	1	extinct party [u]	1
	PSL	3	extinct party [v]	3
	DEM	5	extinct party [w]	5
Total		38

Debates

Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in UTC−03:00).

Due to the crisis that unfolded within the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) following the dissolution of the local executives by the National Directorate and the suspension of Cristina Graeml's candidacy, she was not invited to the first Band debate. The conglomerate announced the decision of not inviting Graeml to the debate on the evening of 8 August. ^[71] She criticized Band Paraná for considering the decision to 'uninvite' her from the debate as undemocratic, especially after she had arrived at the broadcaster at the scheduled time and was forced to return home, ^[72] stated that she had prepared for the debate and, while the event was being broadcast on television, she hosted a live stream on social media to answer the questions directed at the other candidates. ^[73]

2024 Curitiba mayoral election debates

No.	Date, time, and location	Hosts	Moderators	Participants [x]
Key:  P  Present  A  Absent  I  Invited  Out  Out of the election				PSD	PSB	UNIÃO	PSB	PP	Solidariedade	PSOL	PMB	PSTU
				Pimentel	Ducci	Leprevost	Requião	Barros	Goulart	Caldas	Graeml	Mattos
1	8 August 2024, 22:15 Pilarzinho, Curitiba [76]	Bandeirantes	Alessandra Consoli [77]	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	O	P

Opinion polls

Polling aggregator

The CNN Index, developed by CNN Brazil and Ipespe Analítica, does not present sampling numbers or specific collection periods because it does not conduct its own polls. Instead, it aggregates and adjusts data from various polls conducted by different institutes, using statistical techniques and machine learning. The index provides an overview of voting intentions in 100 cities, including capitals, and is constantly updated based on the latest available data. Additionally, the CNN Index typically highlights only the top five candidates, potentially leaving out other relevant candidates.

5–7 August 2024		Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. [78] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can stay on the ballot in the upcoming election. [24] [61] [63]
3–4 August 2024		Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. [10] [79] [36] Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). [18]
27 July–2 August 2024		Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. [35] Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. [80] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. [30]
24–25 July 2024		Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. [27] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. [81] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. [15]
Poll aggregator	Last update	Pimentel PSD	Ducci PSB	Leprevost UNIÃO	Richa PSDB	Requião MOBILIZA	Lead
IPESPE/CNN	8 July 2024	22%	15%	13%	10%	10%	7%
30 May 2024		Deltan Dallagnol's name is removed from the IPESPE/CNN aggregator due to his withdrawal from the race.
Poll aggregator	Last update	Pimentel PSD	Dallagnol NOVO [y]	Ducci PSB	Leprevost UNIÃO	Richa PSDB	Lead
IPESPE/CNN	30 May 2024	17%	16%	13%	11%	9%	1%
27 May 2024		The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [56] It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. [82]
Poll aggregator	Last update	Pimentel PSD	Dallagnol NOVO [z]	Ducci PSB	Leprevost UNIÃO	Richa PSDB	Lead
IPESPE/CNN	14 May 2024	20%	16%	13%	12%	9%	4%
3 May 2024		Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [49]
Poll aggregator	Last update	Pimentel PSD	Dallagnol NOVO	Ducci PSB	Richa PSDB	Leprevost UNIÃO	Lead
IPESPE/CNN	25 April 2024	17%	16%	11%	10%	9%	1%
	22 April 2024	15%	12%	14%	12%	12%	1%
	27 March 2024	16%	13%	14%	12%	11%	2%
	21 March 2024	16%	11%	15%	14%	12%	1%
	18 March 2024	15%	10%	13%	13%	12%	2%
1 January 2024		The election year begins. All election polls from this date onward must be registered with the Superior Electoral Court. [83]
Poll aggregator	Last update	Ducci PSB	Moro [aa] UNIÃO	Pimentel PSD	Martins PL	Carol PT	Lead
IPESPE/CNN	13 December 2023	18%	16%	13%	9%	3%	2%

First round

Polls are designed to assess what the election outcome would be if it were held on the day the respondents' data were collected. They do not aim to predict the final election result based on the confidence percentage.

2024

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample Size	Pimentel PSD	Leprevost UNIÃO	Ducci PSB	Requião MOBILIZA	Victoria PP	Luizão Solidariedade	Graeml PMB	Caldas PSOL	Bombardelli PCO	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
IRG/Band	22–26 August	1000	28%	14.6%	16%	10%	2.7%	3%	6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.1%	18.7%	12%
Quaest/G1	24–26 August	900	19%	14%	18%	18%	4%	4%	5%	2%	0%	1%	15%	1%
Radar/Tribuna	19–21 August	816	25.1%	15.7%	13.8%	12.6%	5.4%	5%	3.7%	1.2%	0.5%	0.5%	16.5%	9.4%
5–7 August			Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. [78] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election. [24] [61] [63]
3–4 August			Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. [10] [79] [36] Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). [18]
27 July–2 August			Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. [35] Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. [80] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. [30]
24–25 July			Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. [27] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. [81] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. [15]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Pimentel PSD	Ducci PSB	Leprevost UNIÃO	Requião MOBILIZA	Martins PL	Richa PSDB	Luizão Solidariedade	Graeml PMB	Goura PDT	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Paraná Pesquisas [84]	29 June–3 July	800	24.1%	14.9%	13.6%	12.4%	—	10.1%	1.8%	3%	—	5.7% [ab]	14.6%	9.2%
			24.8%	15.4%	14.5%	12.9%	—	10.6%	1.9%	3.4%	—	1.5% [ac]	15.2%	9.4%
			27.3%	17.8%	—	13.3%	—	12%	1.9%	3.3%	—	7.2% [ad]	17.5%	9.5%
27 May			The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [56] It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. [82]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Pimentel PSD	Ducci PSB	Leprevost UNIÃO	Requião MOBILIZA	Martins PL	Richa PSDB	Luizão Solidariedade	Carol PT	Goura PDT	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Paraná Pesquisas	8–13 May	800	22.9%	13.1%	12.8%	11%	6.5%	8.1%	1.4%	—	5.4%	3.6% [ae]	15.4%	9.8%
			26.4%	14.5%	14.5%	11.6%	—	8.4%	1.6%	—	5.8%	—	17.3%	11.9%
			28.5%	19.9%	19.3%	—	—	10.6%	2.1%	—	—	—	19.7%	8.6%
			34.4%	24.1%	—	—	—	13.9%	2.6%	—	—	—	25%	10.3%
			30.4%	22.9%	22.8%	—	—	—	2.5%	—	—	—	21.5%	7.5%
Futura/100% Cidades [85]	7–8 May	800	15.2%	9.9%	11.2%	9.3%	4.5%	9.4%	1.9%	3.8%	4.3%	10.6% [af]	20%	4%
			17.6%	13.1%	13.4%	—	4.8%	8%	1.6%	—	6.4%	13.7% [ag]	21.2%	4.2%
			17.4%	13.8%	12.4%	10.4%	6.3%	7.7%	—	5.8%	—	5.9% [ah]	20.2%	3.6%
3 May			Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [49]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Pimentel PSD	Ducci PSB	Dallagnol NOVO	Leprevost UNIÃO	Martins PL	Richa PSDB	Luizão Solidariedade	Carol PT	Goura PDT	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
AtlasIntel	18–23 April	860	17.9%	3.8%	18.2%	7.7%	18%	8.7%	3.1%	7.9%	4.4%	8.4% [ai]	1,9%	0.2%
			18.4%	4.1%	21.5%	8.3%	—	12.7%	3.8%	—	9%	19% [aj]	3,3%	3.1%
			20.2%	7.9%	—	10.7%	18.1%	10.8%	3.5%	—	—	13% [ak]	15.9%	2.1%
Instituto Opinião [86]	17–19 April	1,200	13.1%	14.1%	10.8%	12.5%	3.7%	11.7%	2%	3.1%	4.6%	6.4% [al]	18.2%	1%
			19.9%	21.1%	—	19.2%	—	—	—	—	—	13.9% [am]	26%	1.2%
			22.6%	23.5%	—	—	—	14.7%	—	—	—	12.6% [an]	26.7%	0.9%
Ágili Pesquisas	21–25 March	800	17.84%	11.93%	18.72%	—	—	10.43%	4.15%	5.78%	3.77%	—	27.39%	0.88%
			16.56%	13.05%	17.94%	10.16%	—	9.91%	5.14%	—	—	—	27.23%	1.38%
			18.44%	13.05%	—	12.55%	9.03%	10.54%	5.4%	—	—	—	30.99%	5.39%
			16.04%	9.4%	14.16%	10.4%	5.51%	9.4%	2.38%	4.01%	3.88%	—	24.81%	1.88%
Paraná Pesquisas [87]	15–20 March		17.4%	15.9%	11%	13.1%	4.9%	14.5%	1.9%	—	5.6%	2.8% [ao]	13%	1.5%
			21.1%	20.3%	—	—	8%	16.4%	2.1%	—	6.1%	6.9% [ap]	19.2%	0.8%
			25.5%	23.8%	—	22.8%	—	—	3.1%	—	—	0.9% [aq]	24%	1.7%
Radar Inteligência [88]	11–13 March	816	15.8%	12.3%	11.5%	10.9%	4.7%	13.1%	3.2%	2.6%	2.5%	3.3% [ar]	20.1%	2.7%
			24%	17%	—	19.2%	—	—	—	3.9%	3.3%	—	32.6%	4.8%
			21.5%	17.4%	12%	16.4%	4.4%	—	—	—	—	—	28.3%	4.1%
			28.3%	23%	—	—	—	—	—	4.4%	3.4%	—	40.9%	5.3%

2023

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Dallagnol NOVO	Leprevost UNIÃO	Ducci PSB	Pimentel PSD	Richa PSDB	Luizão Solidariedade	Martins PL	Carol PT	Goura PDT	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Instituto Veritá	13–16 December	900	—	17%	16%	10%	12%	4%	6%	4%	5%	6% [as]	20%	1%
Ágora Pesquisa [89]	11–19 December	1,245	5%	14%	15%	10%	11%	5%	2%	2%	3%	12% [at]	22%	1%
			—	15%	16%	12%	—	6%	5%	3%	3%	1% [au]	37%	1%
			—	17%	20%	15%	8%	7%	—	—	—	—	35%	3%
Paraná Pesquisas [90]	10–12 December	845	—	16%	16.2%	12.5%	13.5%	2.7%	8.4%	2.8%	5.1%	10.3% [av]	12.4%	0.2%
			—	19.6%	22.1%	15.9%	—	3.4%	10.8%	—	7.3%	6.9% [aw]	14%	2.5%
			—	21.2%	25.2%	16.7%	—	—	11.1%	—	—	8.4% [ax]	17.4%	4%
			—	23.1%	27.1%	19.9%	—	—	—	—	—	9% [ay]	20.9%	4%
Instituto Veritá [91]	5–7 December	1,002	24.2%	4.6%	1.2%	5.7%	7.6%	1.5%	5.7%	8.7%	3.3%	—	37.5%	15.5%
			26.1%	—	—	9.8%	—	—	7.5%	12.4%	4.2%	—	40%	13.7%
1 November			Luizão Goulart (Solidariedade) announces he will run for mayor in the 2024 Curitiba general election. [42]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Dallagnol NOVO	Leprevost UNIÃO	Ducci PSB	Pimentel PSD	Richa PSDB	Maria PP	Martins PL	Carol PT	Goura PDT	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Paraná Pesquisas [92]	26–29 October	805	—	—	25.6%	14.7%	—	6.6%	11.4%	6.6%	—	15.3% [az]	19.8%	10.9%
			15.5%	14.7%	14.5%	10.8%	13.7%	4.1%	7.5%	5.5%	—	—	13.8%	0.8%
			15.8%	16.3%	19.8%	12.4%	—	5.6%	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	15.9%	3.5%
			—	19%	22.4%	14%	—	6.1%	12.3%	6.7%	—	—	19.5%	3.4%
			—	19.8%	28.1%	17.5%	—	—	—	9.4%	—	—	25.2%	8.3%
IRG Pesquisa [93]	4–8 July	1,200	22%	14.2%	12.6%	11.3%	9.1%	—	6.4%	6%	5.4%	—	12.9%	7.8%
			—	18.2%	15.5%	14.3%	10%	—	13%	6%	6.2%	—	16.9%	2.7%
Instituto Veritá	July [ba]	n/a [bb]	—	5.5%	5.2%	10.8%	4.9%	—	12.3%	2.7%	4.2%	1.4% [bc]	52%	1.5%

Second round

These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.

Luciano Ducci and Eduardo Pimentel

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Ducci PSB	Pimentel PSD	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Futura/100% Cidades [85]	7–8 May 2024	800	31.6%	39.7%	28.7%	8.1%
Instituto Opinião [94]	17–19 April 2024	1,200	40.7%	32.8%	26.5%	7.9%
Radar Inteligência	11–13 March 2024	816	28.8%	30.6%	40,6%	1.8%
Instituto Veritá	13–16 December 2023	900	41%	30%	29%	11%
Paraná Pesquisas [90]	10–12 December 2023	845	44%	31.7%	24.2%	12.3%

Luciano Ducci and Ney Leprevost

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Ducci PSB	Leprevost UNIÃO	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Futura/100% Cidades [85]	7–8 May 2024	800	34.4%	32.8%	32.8%	1.6%
Instituto Opinião [94]	17–19 April 2024	1,200	39.3%	33.4%	27.3%	5.9%
Instituto Veritá	13–16 December 2023	900	35%	38%	27%	3%
Paraná Pesquisas [90]	10–12 December 2023	845	40.4%	35.1%	24.5%	5.3%

Luciano Ducci and Roberto Requião

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Ducci PSB	Requião MOBILIZA	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Futura/100% Cidades [85]	7–8 May 2024	800	40.6%	25.4%	34%	15.2%

Ney Leprevost and Eduardo Pimentel

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Leprevost UNIÃO	Pimentel PSD	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Futura/100% Cidades [85]	7–8 May 2024	800	34.8%	35.1%	30.1%	0.3%
Instituto Opinião [94]	17–19 April 2024	1,200	39.4%	31.7%	29%	7.7%
Radar Inteligência	11–13 March 2024	816	29.4%	31.6%	39%	2.2%
Instituto Veritá	13–16 December 2023	900	43%	29%	28%	14%
Paraná Pesquisas [90]	10–12 December 2023	845	41.8%	32.4%	25.8%	9.4%

Ney Leprevost and Roberto Requião

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Leprevost UNIÃO	Requião MOBILIZA	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Futura/100% Cidades [85]	7–8 May 2024	800	43.4%	27.6%	28.9%	15.8%

Eduardo Pimentel and Roberto Requião

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Pimentel PSD	Requião MOBILIZA	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Futura/100% Cidades [85]	7–8 May 2024	800	45.7%	28.6%	25.7%	17.1%

Hypothetical scenario with Deltan Dallagnol

Eduardo Pimentel and Deltan Dallagnol (withdrawn)

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Pimentel PSD	D. Dallagnol NOVO	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Radar Inteligência	11–13 March 2024	816	35.1%	20.5%	44.4%	14.6%

Rejection of candidates

In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios.

5–7 August 2024			Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. [78] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election. [24] [61] [63]
3–4 August 2024			Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. [10] [79] [36] Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). [18]
27 July–2 August 2024			Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. [35] Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. [80] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. [30]
24–25 June 2024			Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. [27] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. [81] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. [15]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Richa PSDB	Requião MOBILIZA	Goura PDT	Ducci PSB	Luizão Solidariedade	Caldas PSOL	Leprevost UNIÃO	Pimentel PSD	Martins PL	Graeml PMB	Could vote in anyone	Others	Abst. Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas [84]	29 June–3 July 2024	800	49%	37.6%	—	17.4%	11.1%	8%	13.8%	12.6%	—	7.2%	4%	18.5% [bd]	8.9%
27 May 2024			The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [56] It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. [82]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Richa PSDB	Requião MOBILIZA	Goura PDT	Ducci PSB	Luizão Solidariedade	Carol PT	Leprevost UNIÃO	Pimentel PSD	Martins PL	Graeml PMB	Could vote in anyone	Others	Abst. Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas	8–13 May 2024	800	56.3%	41.3%	12.1%	16%	10.3%	—	12%	10.8%	10.8%	9.9%	3.1%	37.2% [be]	7.8%
3 May 2024			Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [49]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Richa PSDB	Maria PP	Goura PDT	Ducci PSB	Luizão Solidariedade	Carol PT	Leprevost UNIÃO	Pimentel PSD	Martins PL	Dallagnol NOVO	Could vote in anyone	Others	Abst. Undec.
Instituto Opinião [95]	17–19 April 2024	1,200	51.6%	11%	13%	10.7%	4.8%	7.8%	7.8%	8.7%	8.5%	10.9%	3.4%	18.4% [bf]	9.3%
Ágili Pesquisas	21–25 March 2024	800	43.11%	—	2.51%	6.27%	1.38%	7.39%	3.38%	4.26%	1.75%	6.14%	—	—	—
Paraná Pesquisas [96]	15–20 March 2024		47.4%	—	12%	15.9%	6.9%	—	11.5%	8.1%	8.9%	12.5%	5.3%	26.9% [bg]	13.3%
Instituto Veritá	13–16 December 2023	900	55%	20%	16%	13%	13%	13%	11%	9%	9%	—	—	13% [bh]	—
Ágora Pesquisa [89]	11–19 December 2023	1,245	31%	6%	6%	9%	1%	3%	6%	4%	<1% [bi]	4%	—	≈8% [bj]	20%
Paraná Pesquisas [90]	10–12 December 2023	845	50.8%	8.9%	12%	11.7%	7.2%	6.5%	9.3%	8.5%	7.8%	—	9.8%	14.5% [bk]	20.7%

Result

Mayor

Candidate		Running mate	Party	First round		Second round
				Votes	%	Votes	%
	Eduardo Pimentel	Paulo Martins (PL)	Social Democratic Party	313,347	33.51	531,029	57.64
	Cristian Graeml	Jairo Ferreira Filho	Brazilian Woman's Party	291,523	31.17	390,254	42.36
	Luciano Ducci	Goura Nataraj (PDT)	Brazilian Socialist Party	181,770	19.44
	Ney Leprevost	Rosangela Moro	Brazil Union	60,675	6.49
	Luiz Goulart	Tiago Chico	Solidariedade	41,271	4.41
	Maria Victoria	Walter Petruzziello	Progressistas	20,497	2.19
	Roberto Requião	Marcelo Paula Pinto	National Mobilization	17,155	1.83
	Andrea Caldas	Leticia Faria	Socialism and Liberty Party	8,021	0.86
	Samuel de Mattos	Leonardo Martinez	United Socialist Workers' Party	569	0.06
	Felipe Bombardelli	Paulo Costycha	Workers' Cause Party	341	0.04
Total				935,169	100.00	921,283	100.00
Valid votes				935,169	90.90	921,283	92.93
Invalid votes				47,728	4.64	41,082	4.14
Blank votes				45,913	4.46	28,979	2.92
Total votes				1,028,810	100.00	991,344	100.00
Registered voters/turnout				1,424,026	72.25	1,424,026	69.62
	PSD hold

Municipal Chamber

Party or alliance				Votes	%	Seats	+/–
	Social Democratic Party			100,293	11.18	6	2
	Liberal Party			78,623	8.76	4	4
	Brazil Union			77,702	8.66	4	New
	Brazil of Hope		Workers' Party	72,931	8.13	3
			Green Party	7,956	0.89	0	1
			Communist Party of Brazil	4,883	0.54	0
	Progressistas			70,817	7.89	3	1
	Republicans			63,183	7.04	3	1
	Podemos			55,738	6.21	3	1
	New Party			53,200	5.93	3	1
	Brazilian Democratic Movement			46,621	5.20	2	1
	Brazilian Woman's Party			43,052	4.80	1
	Democratic Labour Party			37,169	4.14	2	2
	Brazilian Socialist Party			30,867	3.44	1
	Agir			25,268	2.82	1	1
	Democratic Renewal Party			24,263	2.70	1	New
	Solidariedade			22,290	2.48	0	2
	Brazilian Labour Renewal Party			15,838	1.77	0
	PSOL REDE Federation		Sustainability Network	14,872	1.66	0
			Socialism and Liberty Party	14,559	1.62	1	1
	Christian Democracy			10,497	1.17	0	1
	PSDB Cidadania Federation		Cidadania	10,281	1.15	0	1
			Brazilian Social Democracy Party	8,379	0.93	0
	National Mobilization			7,877	0.88	0
Total				897,159	100.00	38	–
Valid votes				897,159	87.20
Invalid votes				52,363	5.09
Blank votes				79,288	7.71
Total votes				1,028,810	100.00
Registered voters/turnout				1,424,026	72.25

Notes

1. The party asked to change its name to “Por Mais Brasil” (For More Brazil), but the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) hasn't allowed the name change yet. ^[22]
2. Between March and April 2024, councilors were able to change parties during the so-called "party window" without losing their respective terms. ^[65]
3. Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia and Zezinho Sabará, all previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the four councillors who joined the Social Democratic Party (PSD) during the "party window".
4. Tito Zeglin, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) and João da 5 Irmãos (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) during the party window.
5. Mauro Bobato, previously affiliated with Podemos (PODE) joined Progressistas (PP) during the party window, and in the same period, Eder Borges left the party.
6. Leonidas Dias, previously affiliated with Solidariedade and Sargento Tânia Guerreiro, previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) joined Podemos during the party window, and in the same period, Mauro Bobato left the party.
7. Eder Borges, previously affiliated with Progressistas (PP) and Rodrigo Reis (previously affiliated with the Brazil Union (UNIÃO) are the two councillors who joined PL during the party window.
8. Ezequias Barros, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB), joined the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) during the party window.
9. Hernani, previously affiliated with the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) and Pastor Marciano Alves (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the Republicans during the party window, and in the same period, Osias Moraes left the party.
10. All the eight councillors affiliated with UNIÃO (Mauro Ignácio, Sabino Picolo, Serginho do Posto, Toninho da Farmácia, Zezinho Sabará, Rodrigo Reis, Sargento Tânia Guerreiro and João da 5 Irmãos) left the party in April 2024, during the so-called "party window". As a result, the UNIÃO bench was emptied until Alexandre Leprevost (previously affiliated with Solidariedade) joined the party.
11. Osias Moraes (previously affiliated with the Republicans) joined the Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) during the party window.
12. Salles do Fazendinha, previously affiliated with the Christian Democracy (DC), joined Sustainability Network (REDE) during the party window.
13. Dalton Borba, previously affiliated with the Democratic Labour Party (PDT) joined Solidariedade during the party window; and in the same period, the councillors Leonidas Dias, Alexandre Leprevost and Pastor Marciano Alves left the party.
14. Councillors Dalton Borba and Tito Zeglin left the party during the party window.
15. Hernani left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
16. Salles do Fazendinha left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
17. Ezequias Barros left the party during the party window, leaving the party without representation in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba.
18. The Republican Party of the Social Order (PROS) merged into Solidariedade in February 2023. ^[67]
19. Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023. ^[68]
20. The Social Christian Party (PSC) merged into Podemos in June 2023. ^[69]
21. Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged into the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023. ^[68]
22. Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022. ^[70]
23. Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022. ^[70]
24. Debates broadcast on television or radio were legally required to invite all candidates whose parties or coalitions had at least five members in the National Congress based on the most recent election. ^[74] The candidates listed in this table satisfied this condition. ^[75]
25. Deltan Dallagnol withdrew from his candidacy for mayor at the beginning of May 2024. During that month, some polling institutes still listed him as a candidate, which justified his presence in the IPESPE/CNN polling aggregator. Dallagnol’s name appeared on the aggregator until the end of May. After that period, his name was removed, reflecting subsequent polls that no longer included him in the electoral scenario.
26. Deltan Dallagnol withdrew from his candidacy for mayor at the beginning of May 2024. During that month, some polling institutes still listed him as a candidate, which justified his presence in the IPESPE/CNN polling aggregator. Dallagnol’s name appeared on the aggregator until the end of May. After that period, his name was removed, reflecting subsequent polls that no longer included him in the electoral scenario.
27. Rosangela Moro
28. Maria Victoria (PP) with 4.4%; Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.9% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4%
29. Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 1% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.5%
30. Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.8%; Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 1% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4%
31. Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 2.3%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 0.8%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 0.4% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.1%
32. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 3.5%; Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 3.1%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 2.7% and Maria Victoria (PP) with 1.3%
33. Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 4.4%; Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 4.2%; Maria Victoria (PP) with 3.6%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 1.4% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 0.1%
34. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
35. Cristina Graeml (PMB)
36. Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 10.3%; Ricardo Arruda (PL) with 5.2%; Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 3.4% and Maria Victoria (PP) with 0.1%
37. Cristina Graeml (PMB)
38. Maria Victoria (PP) with 4.1%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 1.8% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 0.5%
39. Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.8%; Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.6% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 3.5%
40. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 6.8% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 5.8%
41. Cristina Graeml (PMB)
42. Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 6,4% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 0,5%
43. Valdemar Jorge (NOVO)
44. Maria Victoria (PP)
45. Maria Victoria (PP) with 3% and Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 3%
46. Gustavo Fruet (PDT) with 6%; Maria Victoria (PP) with 2%; Márcia Huçulak (PSD) with 2%; Professor Euler (MDB) with 1% and Denian Couto (PODE) with 1%
47. Denian Couto (PODE)
48. Maria Victoria (PP) with 5.6% and Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 4.7%
49. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
50. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
51. Maria Victoria (PP)
52. Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO)
53. The opinion poll was carried out in July 2023 by the Instituto Veritá, without specifying a sample size.
54. The opinion poll was carried out in July 2023 by the Instituto Veritá, without specifying a sample size.
55. Indiara Barbosa (NOVO)
56. Maria Victoria (PP) with 12.6% and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 5.9%
57. Zeca Dirceu (PT) with 17.5%; Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) with 10.3% and Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 9.4%
58. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 6.6%; Andrea Caldas (PSOL) with 6% and Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 5.8%
59. Rosangela Moro (UNIÃO) with 13.3%; Cristina Graeml (PMB) with 7% and Valdemar Jorge (NOVO) with 6.6%
60. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO)
61. The opinion poll does not specify the exact percentage, but rather a value below 1%
62. Gustavo Fruet (PDT) with 6%; Márcia Huçulak (PSD) with 1% and Denian Couto (PODE) with 1%; Professor Euler (MDB) didn't achieve 1% of the votes.
63. Fernanda Dallagnol (NOVO) with 7.5% and Ilana Lerner Hoffmann (Ind.) with 7%

References

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