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Mayoral election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 72.26% (first round) 69.63% (second round) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All 38 seats in the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba 20 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. |
The 2024 Curitiba mayoral election was held in Curitiba on 6 October 2024 to elect the mayor, vice mayor, and 38 councillors of the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba. Incumbent mayor Rafael Greca (PSD) was not eligible to run for a third consecutive term, having been elected in 2016 and re-elected in 2020.
As no mayoral candidate received more than half of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff election was held on 27 October 2024. Eduardo Pimentel won the majority of the votes in the second round and was elected mayor of Curitiba for the 2025–2029 term. [1] At least seven of the elected councillors are aligned with right-wing or far-right politics and have a strong presence on Instagram and YouTube. [2]
The last mayoral election in Curitiba resulted in the victory of incumbent Rafael Greca, from the extinct party Democrats (DEM), in the first round. Greca obtained 499,821 votes or 59.74% of the valid votes. In the second place, the state deputy Goura Nataraj, from the Democratic Labour Party (PDT), only obtained 110,977 or around 13.26% of the valid votes and the other candidates did not reach double digits in vote percentages. [3]
Greca's victory in the first round is linked to the enormous popularity he had and still has in the city. In December 2023, the mayor's management was approved by around 73% of Curitiba's inhabitants. [4] As he was in his second consecutive term, Greca couldn't run for a third term, due to limitations imposed by the Federal Constitution. Eduardo Pimentel, the Vice Mayor of Curitiba, was chosen as his successor. [5]
In February 2024, Curitiba had around 1,419,395 people eligible to vote, [6] an increase of 5% in the electorate compared to the last election and around 80% of the city's population eligible to vote (1,773,718), according to the 2022 Brazilian Demographic Census. [7] The city is divided into ten electoral zones (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 145th, 174th, 175th, 176th, 177th and 178th). [8] Voters had until 8 May 2024 to register for the first time or regularize their electoral status, including biometric registration. [9]
7 March – 5 April | Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms. |
6 April | Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party. |
15 May | Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet. |
20 July – 5 August | On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice. |
16 August | Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines. |
30 August –3 October | Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television. |
6 October | Date of mayoral elections. |
27 October | Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes. |
Party | Mayoral candidate | Running mate | Coalition | Broadcast time allocation per party/coalition [11] | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Progressistas | ![]() | Maria Victoria Barros
| ![]() Progressistas | ![]() | Walter Petruzziello
| Curitiba Better for Everyone [16] [12]
| 1 minute and 7 seconds | ||
![]() United Socialist Workers' Party | ![]() | Samuel Mattos
| ![]() | ![]() | Leonardo Martinez | — | — | ||
![]() Workers' Cause Party | ![]() | Felipe Bombardelli | ![]() Workers' Cause Party | ![]() | Paulo Costycha
| — | — | ||
![]() National Mobilization | ![]() | Roberto Requião
| ![]() National Mobilization | ![]() | Marcelo Henrique Pinto
| — | — | ||
Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB 35) | ![]() | Cristina Graeml
| Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) | ![]() | Jairo Ferreira Filho
| — | — | ||
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB 40) | ![]() | Luciano Ducci
| ![]() Democratic Labour Party | ![]() | Goura Nataraj
| A More Social and Human Curitiba [16] | 2 minutes and 12 seconds | ||
![]() Brazil Union | ![]() | Ney Leprevost
| ![]() Brazil Union | ![]() | Rosangela Moro
| Curitiba Can Achieve More [16]
| 1 minute and 14 seconds | ||
![]() Socialism and Liberty Party | ![]() | Andrea Caldas
| ![]() Socialism and Liberty Party | ![]() | Letícia Faria |
| 25 seconds | ||
![]() Social Democratic Party | ![]() | Eduardo Pimentel
| ![]() Liberal Party | ![]() | Paulo Martins
| Curitiba Love and Innovation [16] | 4 minutes and 42 seconds | ||
![]() Solidarity | ![]() | Luizão Goulart | ![]() Solidarity | ![]() | Tiago Chico | — | 17 seconds |
The Workers' Party, through its National Executive, announced its support for the potential candidacy of former mayor Luciano Ducci on 27 May 2024. As a result of this decision, none of the party’s potential candidates at the time were able to secure their candidacies. The Workers' Party National Directorate also signaled support for candidates from other parties aligned with the federal government in Congress, such as the Brazilian Socialist Party itself. [62] Dartora and Mongruel chose not to appeal the decision made by the National Executive, thereby ending their intentions to run; only Zeca Dirceu opted to appeal to the National Directorate, which ultimately confirmed its support for Ducci. [63] Alongside with the Workers' Party, the other parties that make up the Brazil of Hope alliance (FE Brasil), such as PCdoB and PV, also endorsed Ducci’s candidacy. [64] Goura Nataraj was confirmed as Luciano Ducci’s running mate on 24 July 2024, following a decision of the National Executive of the Democratic Labour Party. [32]
According to journalist Esmael Morais, the Liberal Party decided to support the potential candidacy of Eduardo Pimentel and nominated Paulo Eduardo Martins to be his running mate on the mayoral election. As a result, the state deputy Ricardo Arruda— another potential candidate from the party—will no longer be in the race. In Morais’s analysis, Martins' nomination also represented a political setback for the incumbent mayor Rafael Greca. Greca had intended to nominate either his Secretary of Government, Luís Fernando Jamur, or the Secretary of the Environment, Marilza Dias, for the spot. However, both names were rejected by political groups aligned with former President Jair Bolsonaro and Paraná’s governor Ratinho Júnior. [42] After Rafael Greca publicly criticized Jair Bolsonaro on 21 July 2024, [65] the former president took a photo with Cristina Graeml near the party convention period—and stated that his party might take a different path, possibly endorsing her candidacy instead. [66] Nevertheless, after Brazil Union refused to withdraw Leprevost’s candidacy and to nominate a running mate on Pimentel’s ticket, Martins’s nomination was announced on 25 July 2024. [67]
David Antunes withdrew his candidacy for mayor on 25 July 2024 in order to build a strong ticket, with strong candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba in the October elections. At the same meeting, the party declared its support for Eduardo Pimentel's candidacy. On 5 August 2024, Beto Richa withdrew his candidacy. The reasons that led him to make this decision were: a lack of party political broadcast time to present his proposals and a disagreement between some groups of Cidadania with a possible support for his candidacy. Cidadania is a party that has a national alliance (Always Forward – PSDB/Cidadania) with the Brazilian Social Democracy Party. Richa defends the neutrality of his party in the election. [68]
On 26 January 2024, the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) announced journalist Cristina Graeml as a potential candidate for the Curitiba City Hall. [28] [69] She left Gazeta do Povo, where she worked as a columnist from January 2020 to April 2024, to run for the position. [27] However, there was uncertainty regarding the party convention that would officially confirm her candidacy in August due to a legal dispute involving the PMB's National President, Suêd Haidar, and the party's local executives in Paraná. On 3 August, Haidar decided to dissolve the local PMB executives and removed Geonísio Marinho from his position as the municipal president of PMB Curitiba to prevent the convention that would officially confirm Graeml’s candidacy. [70] [71] Despite this, the convention was confirmed by the state president of the PMB Paraná Executive Committee, Fabiano dos Santos, and took place as scheduled on the evening of 5 August. Cristina Graeml’s candidacy was officially confirmed, and the slate of candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba by the PMB was also formalized at the same event. [29]
The legal dispute continued, and on the last day of the convention, the local PMB executives in Paraná and Curitiba filed a writ of mandamus with the Regional Electoral Court of Paraná (TRE-PR) to challenge the legal effects of the intervention by the National Executive. On 7 August, the electoral judge Cláudia Cristina Cristofani ruled that the state electoral court did not have authority to judge the case. She argued that, since this was a decision by the National Executive of the Brazilian Woman's Party, the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) would be the appropriate instance to decide on this legal matter and only it could decide on the maintenance of Cristina Graeml’s candidacy. [70] [72] On 23 August, the Superior Electoral Court, through a preliminary injunction issued by Floriano de Azevedo Marques Neto, reversed the dissolution of the PMB Executive in Curitiba—this decision came after the convention had already taken place. [73] In early September of the same year, Cristina Graeml’s candidacy was approved by the Electoral Court. [74]
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
Affiliation | Members | +/– | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Elected [75] | April 2024 [a] [77] | |||
PSD | 4 | 8 [b] | ![]() | |
MDB | 1 | 4 [c] | ![]() | |
PP | 2 | 4 [d] | ![]() | |
PODE | 2 | 4 [e] | ![]() | |
PT | 3 | 3 | ![]() | |
PL | 0 | 2 [f] | ![]() | |
PRD | didn't exist | 2 [g] | ![]() | |
NOVO | 2 | 2 | ![]() | |
Republicanos | 2 | 2 [h] | ![]() | |
UNIÃO | didn't exist | 1 [i] | ![]() | |
PRTB | 0 | 1 [j] | ![]() | |
REDE | 0 | 1 [k] | ![]() | |
Cidadania | 1 | 1 | ![]() | |
PV | 1 | 1 | ![]() | |
Solidarity | 2 | 1 [l] | ![]() | |
PDT | 3 | 1 [m] | ![]() | |
PSB | 1 | 0 [n] | ![]() | |
DC | 1 | 0 [o] | ![]() | |
PMB | 1 | 0 [p] | ![]() | |
PROS | 1 | extinct party [q] | ![]() | |
PTB | 1 | extinct party [r] | ![]() | |
PSC | 1 | extinct party [s] | ![]() | |
Patriota | 1 | extinct party [t] | ![]() | |
PSL | 3 | extinct party [u] | ![]() | |
DEM | 5 | extinct party [v] | ![]() | |
Total | 38 |
Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in UTC−03:00).
According to the electoral rules, broadcasters can only invite candidates to the debate if they receive the agreement of at least two-thirds of the candidates in a majoritarian election (for the mayor position), or at least two-thirds of the parties or federations with candidates in a proportional election (for the councillor position). If an agreement cannot be reached, radio and television broadcasters may hold joint debates for the mayor position, with all candidates present, or in groups, with the presence of at least three people. [82]
Due to the crisis that unfolded within the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) following the dissolution of the local executives by the National Directorate and the suspension of Cristina Graeml's candidacy, she was not invited to the first Band debate. The conglomerate announced the decision of not inviting Graeml to the debate on the evening of 8 August. [83] She criticized Band Paraná for considering the decision to 'uninvite' her from the debate as undemocratic, especially after she had arrived at the broadcaster at the scheduled time and was forced to return home, [84] stated that she had prepared for the debate and, while the event was being broadcast on television, she hosted a live stream on social media to answer the questions directed at the other candidates. [85]
No. | Date, time, and location | Hosts | Moderators | Participants [w] | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Present A Absent I Invited N Not invited Out Out of the election | PSD | PMB | PSB | UNIÃO | PMB | PP | Solidariedade | PSOL | PSTU | PCO | |||
Pimentel | Graeml | Ducci | Leprevost | Requião | Barros | Goulart | Caldas | Mattos | Bombardelli | ||||
1.1 | 8 August 2024, 22:15 Pilarzinho, Curitiba [88] | Bandeirantes | Alessandra Consoli [89] | P | N | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | N |
1.2 | 12 September 2024, 20:00 Jardim Botânico, Curitiba [90] | Jornal Plural | Rogerio Galindo [91] | A | P | A | P | P | A | P | P | P | N |
1.3 | 24 September 2024, 10:00 Centro, Curitiba [92] | PUC-PR/DCE [93] | No info available | A | P | A | A | P | P | P | P | P | P |
1.4 | 28 September 2024, 20:40 Pilarzinho, Curitiba [94] | RIC TV/Jovem Pan News | Manuella Niclewicz | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | N |
1.5 | 3 October 2024, 22:00 Mercês, Curitiba [95] | RPC TV | Wilson Soler | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | N | N |
2.1 | 14 October 2024, 22:45 Pilarzinho, Curitiba [96] | Bandeirantes | Alessandra Consoli | P | P | Out | |||||||
2.2 | 19 October 2024, 21:00 Pilarzinho, Curitiba [97] | RIC TV/Jovem Pan News | Marc Sousa | P | P | Out | |||||||
2.3 | 25 October 2024, 22:00 Mercês, Curitiba [98] | RPC TV | Wilson Soler | P | P | Out |
Plural was the only news website to hold a debate among the vice-mayor candidates. Only five of the nine invited candidates accepted the invitation. Both Rosangela Moro, Walter Petruzziello, and Paulo Martins cited scheduling conflicts to justify their absence. Leonardo Martinez claimed to have work commitments. [99]
No. | Date, time, and location | Hosts | Moderators | Participants | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Present A Absent I Invited N Not invited Out Out of the election | PL | PMB | PDT | UNIÃO | PMB | PP | Solidariedade | PSOL | PSTU | PCO | |||
Martins | Filho | Nataraj | Moro | Pinto | Petruzziello | Chico | Faria | Martinez | Costycha | ||||
1 | 18 September 2024, 18:00 Centro, Curitiba [100] | Jornal Plural | Rogerio Galindo | A | P | P | A | P | A | P | P | A | N |
The CNN Index, developed by CNN Brazil and Ipespe Analítica, does not present sampling numbers or specific collection periods because it does not conduct its own polls. Instead, it aggregates and adjusts data from various polls conducted by different institutes, using statistical techniques and machine learning. The index provides an overview of voting intentions in 100 cities, including capitals, and is constantly updated based on the latest available data. Additionally, the CNN Index typically highlights only the top five candidates, potentially leaving out other relevant candidates.
5–7 August 2024 | Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. [101] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can stay on the ballot in the upcoming election. [29] [70] [72] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–4 August 2024 | Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. [13] [102] [41] Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). [22] | ||||||
27 July–2 August 2024 | Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. [40] Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. [103] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. [35] | ||||||
24–25 July 2024 | Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. [32] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. [67] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. [19] | ||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel PSD | Ducci PSB | Leprevost UNIÃO | Richa PSDB | Requião MOBILIZA | Lead |
IPESPE/CNN | 8 July 2024 | 22% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 7% |
30 May 2024 | Deltan Dallagnol's name is removed from the IPESPE/CNN aggregator due to his withdrawal from the race. | ||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel PSD | Dallagnol NOVO [x] | Ducci PSB | Leprevost UNIÃO | Richa PSDB | Lead |
IPESPE/CNN | 30 May 2024 | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 1% |
27 May 2024 | The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [62] It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. [104] | ||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel PSD | Dallagnol NOVO [y] | Ducci PSB | Leprevost UNIÃO | Richa PSDB | Lead |
IPESPE/CNN | 14 May 2024 | 20% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 4% |
3 May 2024 | Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [54] | ||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel PSD | Dallagnol NOVO | Ducci PSB | Richa PSDB | Leprevost UNIÃO | Lead |
IPESPE/CNN | 25 April 2024 | 17% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 1% |
22 April 2024 | 15% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 1% | |
27 March 2024 | 16% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 2% | |
21 March 2024 | 16% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 1% | |
18 March 2024 | 15% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 2% | |
1 January 2024 | The election year begins. All election polls from this date onward must be registered with the Superior Electoral Court. [105] | ||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Ducci PSB | Moro [z] UNIÃO | Pimentel PSD | Martins PL | Carol PT | Lead |
IPESPE/CNN | 13 December 2023 | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 2% |
Polls are designed to assess what the election outcome would be if it were held on the day the respondents' data were collected. They do not aim to predict the final election result based on the confidence percentage.
2024
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample Size | Pimentel PSD | Leprevost UNIÃO | Ducci PSB | Requião MOBILIZA | Victoria PP | Luizão Solidariedade | Graeml PMB | Caldas PSOL | Bombardelli PCO | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IRG/Band | 22–26 August | 1000 | 28% | 14.6% | 16% | 10% | 2.7% | 3% | 6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 18.7% | 12% |
Quaest/G1 | 24–26 August | 900 | 19% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 15% | 1% |
Radar/Tribuna | 19–21 August | 816 | 25.1% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 16.5% | 9.4% |
5–7 August | Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. [101] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election. [29] [70] [72] | |||||||||||||
3–4 August | Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. [13] [102] [41] Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). [22] | |||||||||||||
27 July–2 August | Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. [40] Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. [103] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. [35] | |||||||||||||
24–25 July | Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. [32] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. [67] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. [19] | |||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel PSD | Ducci PSB | Leprevost UNIÃO | Requião MOBILIZA | Martins PL | Richa PSDB | Luizão Solidariedade | Graeml PMB | Goura PDT | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
Paraná Pesquisas [106] | 29 June–3 July | 800 | 24.1% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | — | 10.1% | 1.8% | 3% | — | 5.7% [aa] | 14.6% | 9.2% |
24.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.9% | — | 10.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | — | 1.5% [ab] | 15.2% | 9.4% | |||
27.3% | 17.8% | — | 13.3% | — | 12% | 1.9% | 3.3% | — | 7.2% [ac] | 17.5% | 9.5% | |||
27 May | The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [62] It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. [104] | |||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel PSD | Ducci PSB | Leprevost UNIÃO | Requião MOBILIZA | Martins PL | Richa PSDB | Luizão Solidariedade | Carol PT | Goura PDT | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
Paraná Pesquisas | 8–13 May | 800 | 22.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 1.4% | — | 5.4% | 3.6% [ad] | 15.4% | 9.8% |
26.4% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.6% | — | 8.4% | 1.6% | — | 5.8% | — | 17.3% | 11.9% | |||
28.5% | 19.9% | 19.3% | — | — | 10.6% | 2.1% | — | — | — | 19.7% | 8.6% | |||
34.4% | 24.1% | — | — | — | 13.9% | 2.6% | — | — | — | 25% | 10.3% | |||
30.4% | 22.9% | 22.8% | — | — | — | 2.5% | — | — | — | 21.5% | 7.5% | |||
Futura/100% Cidades [107] | 7–8 May | 800 | 15.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 10.6% [ae] | 20% | 4% |
17.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | — | 4.8% | 8% | 1.6% | — | 6.4% | 13.7% [af] | 21.2% | 4.2% | |||
17.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | — | 5.8% | — | 5.9% [ag] | 20.2% | 3.6% | |||
3 May | Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [54] | |||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel PSD | Ducci PSB | Dallagnol NOVO | Leprevost UNIÃO | Martins PL | Richa PSDB | Luizão Solidariedade | Carol PT | Goura PDT | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
AtlasIntel | 18–23 April | 860 | 17.9% | 3.8% | 18.2% | 7.7% | 18% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 8.4% [ah] | 1,9% | 0.2% |
18.4% | 4.1% | 21.5% | 8.3% | — | 12.7% | 3.8% | — | 9% | 19% [ai] | 3,3% | 3.1% | |||
20.2% | 7.9% | — | 10.7% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 13% [aj] | 15.9% | 2.1% | |||
Instituto Opinião [108] | 17–19 April | 1,200 | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% [ak] | 18.2% | 1% |
19.9% | 21.1% | — | 19.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 13.9% [al] | 26% | 1.2% | |||
22.6% | 23.5% | — | — | — | 14.7% | — | — | — | 12.6% [am] | 26.7% | 0.9% | |||
Ágili Pesquisas | 21–25 March | 800 | 17.84% | 11.93% | 18.72% | — | — | 10.43% | 4.15% | 5.78% | 3.77% | — | 27.39% | 0.88% |
16.56% | 13.05% | 17.94% | 10.16% | — | 9.91% | 5.14% | — | — | — | 27.23% | 1.38% | |||
18.44% | 13.05% | — | 12.55% | 9.03% | 10.54% | 5.4% | — | — | — | 30.99% | 5.39% | |||
16.04% | 9.4% | 14.16% | 10.4% | 5.51% | 9.4% | 2.38% | 4.01% | 3.88% | — | 24.81% | 1.88% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas [109] | 15–20 March | 17.4% | 15.9% | 11% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 14.5% | 1.9% | — | 5.6% | 2.8% [an] | 13% | 1.5% | |
21.1% | 20.3% | — | — | 8% | 16.4% | 2.1% | — | 6.1% | 6.9% [ao] | 19.2% | 0.8% | |||
25.5% | 23.8% | — | 22.8% | — | — | 3.1% | — | — | 0.9% [ap] | 24% | 1.7% | |||
Radar Inteligência [110] | 11–13 March | 816 | 15.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% [aq] | 20.1% | 2.7% |
24% | 17% | — | 19.2% | — | — | — | 3.9% | 3.3% | — | 32.6% | 4.8% | |||
21.5% | 17.4% | 12% | 16.4% | 4.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 28.3% | 4.1% | |||
28.3% | 23% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.4% | 3.4% | — | 40.9% | 5.3% |
2023
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Dallagnol NOVO | Leprevost UNIÃO | Ducci PSB | Pimentel PSD | Richa PSDB | Luizão Solidariedade | Martins PL | Carol PT | Goura PDT | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December | 900 | — | 17% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% [ar] | 20% | 1% |
Ágora Pesquisa [111] | 11–19 December | 1,245 | 5% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 12% [as] | 22% | 1% |
— | 15% | 16% | 12% | — | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% [at] | 37% | 1% | |||
— | 17% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 7% | — | — | — | — | 35% | 3% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas [112] | 10–12 December | 845 | — | 16% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 10.3% [au] | 12.4% | 0.2% |
— | 19.6% | 22.1% | 15.9% | — | 3.4% | 10.8% | — | 7.3% | 6.9% [av] | 14% | 2.5% | |||
— | 21.2% | 25.2% | 16.7% | — | — | 11.1% | — | — | 8.4% [aw] | 17.4% | 4% | |||
— | 23.1% | 27.1% | 19.9% | — | — | — | — | — | 9% [ax] | 20.9% | 4% | |||
Instituto Veritá [113] | 5–7 December | 1,002 | 24.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | — | 37.5% | 15.5% |
26.1% | — | — | 9.8% | — | — | 7.5% | 12.4% | 4.2% | — | 40% | 13.7% | |||
1 November | Luizão Goulart (Solidariedade) announces he will run for mayor in the 2024 Curitiba general election. [47] | |||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Dallagnol NOVO | Leprevost UNIÃO | Ducci PSB | Pimentel PSD | Richa PSDB | Maria PP | Martins PL | Carol PT | Goura PDT | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
Paraná Pesquisas [114] | 26–29 October | 805 | — | — | 25.6% | 14.7% | — | 6.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | — | 15.3% [ay] | 19.8% | 10.9% |
15.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | — | — | 13.8% | 0.8% | |||
15.8% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 12.4% | — | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | — | — | 15.9% | 3.5% | |||
— | 19% | 22.4% | 14% | — | 6.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% | — | — | 19.5% | 3.4% | |||
— | 19.8% | 28.1% | 17.5% | — | — | — | 9.4% | — | — | 25.2% | 8.3% | |||
IRG Pesquisa [115] | 4–8 July | 1,200 | 22% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | — | 6.4% | 6% | 5.4% | — | 12.9% | 7.8% |
— | 18.2% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10% | — | 13% | 6% | 6.2% | — | 16.9% | 2.7% | |||
Instituto Veritá | July [az] | n/a [ba] | — | 5.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | — | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% [bb] | 52% | 1.5% |
These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.
Luciano Ducci and Eduardo Pimentel
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Ducci PSB | Pimentel PSD | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Futura/100% Cidades [107] | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 31.6% | 39.7% | 28.7% | 8.1% |
Instituto Opinião [116] | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 40.7% | 32.8% | 26.5% | 7.9% |
Radar Inteligência | 11–13 March 2024 | 816 | 28.8% | 30.6% | 40,6% | 1.8% |
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 41% | 30% | 29% | 11% |
Paraná Pesquisas [112] | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 44% | 31.7% | 24.2% | 12.3% |
Luciano Ducci and Ney Leprevost
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Ducci PSB | Leprevost UNIÃO | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Futura/100% Cidades [107] | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 34.4% | 32.8% | 32.8% | 1.6% |
Instituto Opinião [116] | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 39.3% | 33.4% | 27.3% | 5.9% |
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 35% | 38% | 27% | 3% |
Paraná Pesquisas [112] | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 40.4% | 35.1% | 24.5% | 5.3% |
Luciano Ducci and Roberto Requião
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Ducci PSB | Requião MOBILIZA | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Futura/100% Cidades [107] | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 40.6% | 25.4% | 34% | 15.2% |
Ney Leprevost and Eduardo Pimentel
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Leprevost UNIÃO | Pimentel PSD | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Futura/100% Cidades [107] | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 34.8% | 35.1% | 30.1% | 0.3% |
Instituto Opinião [116] | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 39.4% | 31.7% | 29% | 7.7% |
Radar Inteligência | 11–13 March 2024 | 816 | 29.4% | 31.6% | 39% | 2.2% |
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 43% | 29% | 28% | 14% |
Paraná Pesquisas [112] | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 41.8% | 32.4% | 25.8% | 9.4% |
Ney Leprevost and Roberto Requião
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Leprevost UNIÃO | Requião MOBILIZA | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Futura/100% Cidades [107] | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 43.4% | 27.6% | 28.9% | 15.8% |
Eduardo Pimentel and Roberto Requião
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel PSD | Requião MOBILIZA | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Futura/100% Cidades [107] | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 45.7% | 28.6% | 25.7% | 17.1% |
Hypothetical scenario with Deltan Dallagnol
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel PSD | D. Dallagnol NOVO | Abst. Undec. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Radar Inteligência | 11–13 March 2024 | 816 | 35.1% | 20.5% | 44.4% | 14.6% |
In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios.
5–7 August 2024 | Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. [101] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election. [29] [70] [72] | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–4 August 2024 | Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. [13] [102] [41] Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). [22] | ||||||||||||||
27 July–2 August 2024 | Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. [40] Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. [103] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. [35] | ||||||||||||||
24–25 June 2024 | Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. [32] Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. [67] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. [19] | ||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Richa PSDB | Requião MOBILIZA | Goura PDT | Ducci PSB | Luizão Solidariedade | Caldas PSOL | Leprevost UNIÃO | Pimentel PSD | Martins PL | Graeml PMB | Could vote in anyone | Others | Abst. Undec. |
Paraná Pesquisas [106] | 29 June–3 July 2024 | 800 | 49% | 37.6% | — | 17.4% | 11.1% | 8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | — | 7.2% | 4% | 18.5% [bc] | 8.9% |
27 May 2024 | The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [62] It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. [104] | ||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Richa PSDB | Requião MOBILIZA | Goura PDT | Ducci PSB | Luizão Solidariedade | Carol PT | Leprevost UNIÃO | Pimentel PSD | Martins PL | Graeml PMB | Could vote in anyone | Others | Abst. Undec. |
Paraná Pesquisas | 8–13 May 2024 | 800 | 56.3% | 41.3% | 12.1% | 16% | 10.3% | — | 12% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 37.2% [bd] | 7.8% |
3 May 2024 | Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. [54] | ||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Richa PSDB | Maria PP | Goura PDT | Ducci PSB | Luizão Solidariedade | Carol PT | Leprevost UNIÃO | Pimentel PSD | Martins PL | Dallagnol NOVO | Could vote in anyone | Others | Abst. Undec. |
Instituto Opinião [117] | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 51.6% | 11% | 13% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 18.4% [be] | 9.3% |
Ágili Pesquisas | 21–25 March 2024 | 800 | 43.11% | — | 2.51% | 6.27% | 1.38% | 7.39% | 3.38% | 4.26% | 1.75% | 6.14% | — | — | — |
Paraná Pesquisas [118] | 15–20 March 2024 | 47.4% | — | 12% | 15.9% | 6.9% | — | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 26.9% [bf] | 13.3% | |
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 55% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | — | — | 13% [bg] | — |
Ágora Pesquisa [111] | 11–19 December 2023 | 1,245 | 31% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | <1% [bh] | 4% | — | ≈8% [bi] | 20% |
Paraná Pesquisas [112] | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 50.8% | 8.9% | 12% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | — | 9.8% | 14.5% [bj] | 20.7% |
Candidate | Running mate | Party | First round | Second round | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
Eduardo Pimentel | Paulo Martins (PL) | Social Democratic Party | 313,347 | 33.51 | 531,029 | 57.64 | |
Cristian Graeml | Jairo Ferreira Filho | Brazilian Woman's Party | 291,523 | 31.17 | 390,254 | 42.36 | |
Luciano Ducci | Goura Nataraj (PDT) | Brazilian Socialist Party | 181,770 | 19.44 | |||
Ney Leprevost | Rosangela Moro | Brazil Union | 60,675 | 6.49 | |||
Luiz Goulart | Tiago Chico | Solidariedade | 41,271 | 4.41 | |||
Maria Victoria | Walter Petruzziello | Progressistas | 20,497 | 2.19 | |||
Roberto Requião | Marcelo Paula Pinto | National Mobilization | 17,155 | 1.83 | |||
Andrea Caldas | Leticia Faria | Socialism and Liberty Party | 8,021 | 0.86 | |||
Samuel de Mattos | Leonardo Martinez | United Socialist Workers' Party | 569 | 0.06 | |||
Felipe Bombardelli | Paulo Costycha | Workers' Cause Party | 341 | 0.04 | |||
Total | 935,169 | 100.00 | 921,283 | 100.00 | |||
Valid votes | 935,169 | 90.90 | 921,283 | 92.93 | |||
Invalid votes | 47,728 | 4.64 | 41,082 | 4.14 | |||
Blank votes | 45,913 | 4.46 | 28,979 | 2.92 | |||
Total votes | 1,028,810 | 100.00 | 991,344 | 100.00 | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 1,424,026 | 72.25 | 1,424,026 | 69.62 | |||
PSD hold |
Party or alliance | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Social Democratic Party | 100,293 | 11.18 | 6 | ![]() | |||
Liberal Party | 78,623 | 8.76 | 4 | ![]() | |||
Brazil Union | 77,702 | 8.66 | 4 | New | |||
Brazil of Hope | Workers' Party | 72,931 | 8.13 | 3 | ![]() | ||
Green Party | 7,956 | 0.89 | 0 | ![]() | |||
Communist Party of Brazil | 4,883 | 0.54 | 0 | ![]() | |||
Progressistas | 70,817 | 7.89 | 3 | ![]() | |||
Republicans | 63,183 | 7.04 | 3 | ![]() | |||
Podemos | 55,738 | 6.21 | 3 | ![]() | |||
New Party | 53,200 | 5.93 | 3 | ![]() | |||
Brazilian Democratic Movement | 46,621 | 5.20 | 2 | ![]() | |||
Brazilian Woman's Party | 43,052 | 4.80 | 1 | ![]() | |||
Democratic Labour Party | 37,169 | 4.14 | 2 | ![]() | |||
Brazilian Socialist Party | 30,867 | 3.44 | 1 | ![]() | |||
Agir | 25,268 | 2.82 | 1 | ![]() | |||
Democratic Renewal Party | 24,263 | 2.70 | 1 | New | |||
Solidariedade | 22,290 | 2.48 | 0 | ![]() | |||
Brazilian Labour Renewal Party | 15,838 | 1.77 | 0 | ![]() | |||
PSOL REDE Federation | Sustainability Network | 14,872 | 1.66 | 0 | ![]() | ||
Socialism and Liberty Party | 14,559 | 1.62 | 1 | ![]() | |||
Christian Democracy | 10,497 | 1.17 | 0 | ![]() | |||
PSDB Cidadania Federation | Cidadania | 10,281 | 1.15 | 0 | ![]() | ||
Brazilian Social Democracy Party | 8,379 | 0.93 | 0 | ![]() | |||
National Mobilization | 7,877 | 0.88 | 0 | ![]() | |||
Total | 897,159 | 100.00 | 38 | – | |||
Valid votes | 897,159 | 87.20 | |||||
Invalid votes | 52,363 | 5.09 | |||||
Blank votes | 79,288 | 7.71 | |||||
Total votes | 1,028,810 | 100.00 | |||||
Registered voters/turnout | 1,424,026 | 72.25 |