Electoral history of Justin Trudeau

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This article is the Electoral history of Justin Trudeau , the twenty-third and current Prime Minister of Canada. Trudeau has served as prime minister since November 5, 2015, having won three general elections.

Contents

A liberal, Trudeau was successful in his first general election as leader of the Liberal Party, which he defeated then-Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives in the general election of 2015 and formed a majority government. He was re-elected with a minority government in 2019 and again in 2021.

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times and was elected each time (2008, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2021).

Trudeau was elected leader of the Liberal Party in 2013, succeeding Michael Ignatieff, who retired from politics after losing the general election of 2011.

Summary

Trudeau currently ranks tenth out of twenty-three prime ministers for time in office, being in office for 8 years, 269 days. [1]

Trudeau is the eighth prime minister from Quebec, the others being Sir John Abbott, Sir Wilfrid Laurier, Louis St. Laurent, Pierre Trudeau, Brian Mulroney, Jean Chrétien and Paul Martin. He is also the fifth francophone prime minister, the others being Laurier, St. Laurent, Pierre Trudeau, and Chretien.

Trudeau was first elected to the House of Commons in 2008, at age 36. The Liberals were in opposition after the 2008 and 2011 general elections. Under Liberal leader Stéphane Dion, Trudeau was the Liberal critic for Citizenship and Immigration, Youth and Multiculturalism. The next leader, Michael Ignatieff, appointed him critic for Sports and Post-Secondary Education. [1] [2]

In the 2011 general election, the Liberals under the leadership of Ignatieff were reduced to third party status, their worst showing in history. Ignatieff lost his own seat and retired from politics. Trudeau announced he would seek the party leadership. In the 2013 vote, he won the leadership on the first ballot with 80% support. [2]

Trudeau led the Liberals in the general election of 2015. At dissolution, the Liberals were in third place in the Commons, behind the Conservative Party, which held a majority government, and the New Democratic Party, which formed the Official Opposition. Trudeau led the Liberals to a majority government, defeating both the Conservatives led by Stephen Harper and the New Democrats led by Thomas Mulcair. Trudeau's government was sworn in on November 4, 2015.

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times (in 2008, 2011, 2015, 2019 and 2021), each time from the riding of Papineau, in Montreal, Quebec. He has served in the House of Commons for 15 years, 290 days. [3]

Federal general elections: 2015 to 2021

Trudeau led the Liberal Party in three general elections. He won three (2015, 2019 and 2021). He won a majority government in the 2015 election, and two minority governments in the 2019 and 2021 elections.

Federal general election: 2015

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2015 election from third place in the House of Commons at dissolution to win a majority government, defeating incumbent Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives.

Canadian Federal Election, 2015 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote
PartyLeadersSeats WonPopular Vote
Liberal Justin Trudeau 118439.47%
Conservative Stephen Harper 29931.9%
  New Democratic Party Thomas Mulcair 34419.7%
Bloc Québécois Gilles Duceppe 104.7%
Green Elizabeth May 13.5%
Total33899.3%4
Sources: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867

1 Leader of a third party when election was called; Prime Minister after election.
2 Prime Minister when election was called; Member of Parliament after the election.
3 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; leader of a third party after the election.
4 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

Federal general election: 2019

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2019 election and was returned to office, but with a minority government. Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives won the popular vote.

Canadian Federal Election, 2019 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote
PartyLeadersSeats WonPopular Vote
Liberal Justin Trudeau 115733.1%
Conservative Andrew Scheer 212134.4%
Bloc Québécois Yves-François Blanchet 327.7%
  New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh 2415.9%
Green Elizabeth May 36.5%
  Independent 10.4%
Total33898.0%3
Sources: Elections Canada: October 21, 2019 Federal Election - Election Results

1 Prime Minister when election was called; Prime Minister after election.
2 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; Leader of the Opposition after the election.
3 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

Federal general election: 2021

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2021 election and was returned to office, but with another minority government. Erin O'Toole and the Conservatives won the popular vote.

Canadian Federal Election, 2021 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote
PartyLeadersSeats WonPopular Vote
Liberal Justin Trudeau 116032.6%
Conservative Erin O'Toole 211933.7%
Bloc Québécois Yves-François Blanchet 327.6%
  New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh 2517.8%
Green Annamie Paul 22.3%
Total33894.15%3
Sources:

1 Prime Minister when election was called; Prime Minister after election.
2 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; Leader of the Opposition after the election.
3 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

Federal constituency elections: 2008 to 2021

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times (in 2008, 2011, 2015, 2019 and 2021). He was elected all five times, each time from the riding of Papineau, in Montreal, Quebec.

2008 Federal Election: Papineau

Federal Election, 2008: Papineau, Quebec
PartyCandidatePopular Vote %
Liberal Yes check.svg Justin Trudeau 17,72441.5%
Bloc Québécois X Vivian Barbot 16,53538.7%
  New Democratic Party Costa Zafiropoulos3,7348.7%
Conservative Mustaque Sarker3,2627.6%
Green Ingrid Hein1,2132.8%
  Independent Mahmoud Raza Baig2670.6%
Total42,73599.9%1
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

Yes check.svg Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2011 Federal Election: Papineau

Federal Election, 2011: Papineau, Quebec
PartyCandidatePopular Vote %
Liberal Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau 16,42938.4%
  New Democratic Party Marcos Radomes Tejada12,10228.3%
Bloc Québécois Vivian Barbot 11,09125.9%
Conservative Shama Chopra2,0214.7%
Green Danny Polifroni8061.9%
Marxist–Leninist Peter Macrisopoulos2280.5%
 Non-affiliatedJoseph Young950.2%
Total42,77299.9%1
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

Yes check.svg Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2015 Federal Election: Papineau

Federal Election, 2015: Papineau, Quebec
PartyCandidatePopular Vote %
Liberal Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau 26,39152.0%
  New Democratic Party Anne Lagacé Dowson13,13225.9%
Bloc Québécois Maxime Claveau6,18212.2%
Conservative Yvon Vadnais2,3904.7%
Green Danny Polifroni1,4432.8%
  Independent Chris Lloyd5051.0%
Rhinoceros Tommy Gaudet3230.6%
  Independent Kim Waldron1590.3%
Marxist–Leninist Peter Macrisopoulos1420.3%
 Non-affiliatedBeverly Bernardo1030.2%
Total50,770100.0%
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

Yes check.svg Elected.
X Incumbent.

2019 Federal Election: Papineau

Federal Election, 2019: Papineau, Quebec
PartyCandidatePopular Vote %
Liberal Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau 24,79751.2%
New Democratic Christine Paré9,13518.9%
Bloc Québécois Christian Gagnon7,72215.9%
Green Juan Vazquez3,6737.6%
Conservative Sophie Veilleux2,0954.3%
Rhinoceros Jean-Patrick Cacereco Berthiaume3340.7%
People's Mark Sibthorpe3110.6%
Christian Heritage Susanne Lefebvre1840.4%
 No affiliationLuc Lupien730.2%
  Independent Alain Magnan730.2%
 No affiliationSteve Penner540.1%
Total48,451100.1%1
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

Yes check.svg Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2021 Federal Election: Papineau

Federal Election, 2021: Papineau, Quebec
PartyCandidatePopular Vote %
Liberal Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau 22,84850.3%
New Democratic Christine Paré10,30322.6%
Bloc Québécois Nabila Ben Youssef6,83015.0%
Conservative Julio Rivera2,1984.8%
Green Alain Lepine1,4583.2%
People's Christian Boutin1,0642.3%
Rhinoceros Above Znoneofthe4180.9%
Marxist–Leninist Garnet Colly1150.3%
  Independent Raymond Martin1020.2%
  Independent Béatrice Zako970.2%
Total45,42399.8%1
Source: Elections Canada - September 21, 2021 Federal Election - Election Results - Papineau

Yes check.svg Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2013 Liberal Party leadership election

Following the 2011 general election, the leader of the Liberals, Michael Ignatieff, announced his retirement. Trudeau entered the leadership contest, which was held in April, 2013. The vote was based on the 308 Liberal riding associations, which each had 100 points. All members of the party had the right to vote in the election through their riding associations. The points for each riding association were allocated in proportion to the local vote.

Liberal Leadership Election, April 14, 2013
First and only ballot
CandidateVotes castPoints won
Justin Trudeau APEC 2015 (cropped).jpg Justin Trudeau 81,38978.8%24,66880.1%
Joyce Murray 12,14811.8%3,13010.2%
Martha Hall Findlay 2011.jpg Martha Hall Findlay 6,5856.4%1,7605.7%
Martin Cauchon.PNG Martin Cauchon 1,6301.6%8152.6%
Deborah Coyne 8330.8%2140.7%
Karen McCrimmon.jpg Karen McCrimmon 7570.7%2100.7%
Total103,342100.1%130,797100.0%
Sources: Huffington Post: Justin Trudeau Wins Liberal Leadership Race In Resounding Fashion;
Globe & Mail: Justin Trudeau elected Liberal leader in a landslide.

1 Rounding error.

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