Iowa gubernatorial election, 2014

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Iowa gubernatorial election, 2014
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Nominee Terry Branstad Jack Hatch
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Kim Reynolds Monica Vernon
Popular vote666,023420,778
Percentage59.0%37.3%
Iowa Governor Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County Results
Brandstad:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Hatch:     50–60%
Governor before election

Terry Branstad
Republican

Elected Governor

Terry Branstad
Republican

The 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Iowa. Republican incumbent Terry Branstad was running for reelection to a sixth overall and second consecutive four-year term. [1] On December 14, 2015, he became the longest-serving Governor in American history. Branstad went on to win a historic sixth term as governor by defeating Democratic challenger and State Senator Jack Hatch. Branstad won 59.1% of the popular vote to Hatch's 37.3%. Branstad won every county except Johnson County.

Terry Branstad U.S. Ambassador to China, Governor of Iowa (1983–1999; 2011–2017)

Terry Edward Branstad is an American politician, university administrator, and diplomat serving as the United States Ambassador to China since 2017. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as Governor of Iowa. Branstad also previously served three terms in the Iowa House of Representatives from 1973 to 1979.

Jack Hatch American politician

Jack G. Hatch is an Iowa State Senator and American business owner. He was the Democratic nominee for Governor of Iowa in the 2014 election. A Democrat, Hatch has served in the Iowa Senate since 2003 and currently is an assistant majority leader. Prior to his election to the Iowa Senate, Hatch served in the Iowa House of Representatives from 1985-1993 and 2001-2003.

Johnson County, Iowa County in the United States

Johnson County is a county located in the U.S. state of Iowa. As of the 2010 census, the population was 130,882 making it the fifth-most populous county in Iowa. The county seat is Iowa City, home of the University of Iowa. The county is named for Richard Mentor Johnson, the ninth vice president of the United States.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Thomas Conrad Hoefling is an American activist and politician. He is the founder and national chairman of America's Party and was the party's 2012 and 2016 presidential nominee. Hoefling has served as political director for Alan Keyes' political group America's Revival, and as a representative for the American Conservative Coalition.

Americas Party (political party) conservative populist political party

America's Party, founded as America's Independent Party, is a conservative American political party formed in August 2008 in an offshoot of the Constitution Party by supporters of Alan Keyes, with the goal of an alternative to the Republican and Democratic party system. It selected party leader Tom Hoefling in the 2012 presidential election, and Hoefling sought the party nomination again in the 2016 Presidential election.

American Independent Party political party

The American Independent Party (AIP) is a far right political party in the United States that was established in 1967. The AIP is best known for its nomination of former Governor George Wallace of Alabama, who carried five states in the 1968 presidential election running on a law and order platform against Richard M. Nixon and Hubert H. Humphrey. The party split in 1976 into the modern American Independent Party and the American Party. From 1992 until 2008, the party was the California affiliate of the national Constitution Party. Its exit from the Constitution Party led to a leadership dispute during the 2016 election.

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad		Tom
Hoefling		Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014303± 3.3%66%12%22%
Loras College April 7–8, 2014600± 4.0%80%4%14%
Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014224± 6.6%70%9%21%
Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014283± 5.8%70%11%18%

Results

Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Terry Branstad (incumbent)129,75283.0
Republican Tom Hoefling26,29916.8
Republican Write-In2940.2
Total votes156,275100

Democratic primary

Narcisse was disqualified from appearing on the ballot in the Democratic primary following a ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court [4] that upheld a lower court decision that held that Narcisse had not submitted enough valid signatures to be placed on the ballot for the primary election. Narcisse continued his campaign and declared his intention to run for the nomination as a write-in candidate. [5] When he was unsuccessful, he announced that he would be running in the general election as the nominee of the Iowa Party. [6] [7]

Candidates

Declared

Des Moines, Iowa Capital of Iowa

Des Moines is the capital and the most populous city in the U.S. state of Iowa. It is also the county seat of Polk County. A small part of the city extends into Warren County. It was incorporated on September 22, 1851, as Fort Des Moines, which was shortened to "Des Moines" in 1857. It is on and named after the Des Moines River, which likely was adapted from the early French name, Rivière des Moines, meaning "River of the Monks". The city's population was 217,521 as of the 2017 population estimate. The five-county metropolitan area is ranked 89th in terms of population in the United States with 634,725 residents according to the 2016 estimate by the United States Census Bureau, and is the second largest metropolitan area in the state after that of Omaha, Nebraska, which includes three counties in southwest Iowa.

Withdrew

Iowas 5th congressional district

Iowa's 5th congressional district is an obsolete congressional district in the U.S. state of Iowa. It was last represented by Republican Steve King, now serving the state's 4th congressional district.

Tyler Olson (politician) American politician

Tyler Olson, is a former Iowa State Representative from the 38th District. A member of the Democratic Party, he served in the Iowa House of Representatives from 2007 to 2015. He also was Chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party from January to June 2013. He received his BA from Claremont McKenna College and his JD from the University of Iowa College of Law.

The Iowa Democratic Party (IDP) is the affiliate of the United States Democratic Party in the state of Iowa.

Declined

Frank Cownie American politician

Thomas Michael Franklin "Frank" Cownie is the current mayor of Des Moines, Iowa in the United States. He owns and operates Cownie Furs, a store that has been in his family for generations.

Chet Culver American football player and politician

Chester John "Chet" Culver is an American politician who served as the 41st Governor of Iowa from 2007 to 2011. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served as the 29th Secretary of State of Iowa from 1999 to 2007. He was also elected as the Federal Liaison for the Democratic Governors Association for 2008–2009. He founded the Chet Culver Group, an energy sector consulting firm, after he left public office in 2011.

Jeff Danielson American politician

Jeff Danielson is a Democratic Iowa State Senator serving Iowa Senate District 30.

Endorsements

Jack Hatch
Tyler Olson
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jack Hatch60,38599.2
Democratic Write-in4660.8
Total votes60,851100

General election

Candidates

  • Running mate: Mary Krieg
  • Running mate: Ryan Ketelsen, businessman [34]
  • Running mate: Michael Richards, semi-retired businessman [35]

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [36] Likely RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [38] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [39] Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Jack
Hatch (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 20141,265± 2.8%51%40%5% [40] 5%
54%43%—4%
Quinnipiac University October 28–November 2, 2014778± 3.5%52%41%2%6%
Iowa Poll October 28–31, 2014701± 3.7%59%35%2%4%
YouGov October 25–31, 20141,112± 4.4%49%35%4%13%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014911± 3%53%36%5%6%
Reuters/Ipsos October 23–29, 20141,129± 3.3%57%34%4%5%
Quinnipiac October 22–27, 2014817± 3.4%56%37%2%5%
Loras College October 21–24, 20141,121± 2.93%54.9%34.1%1.5%9.4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20142,322± 3%50%37%0%13%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014772 LV± 3.5%59%36%2%4%
1,052 RV± 3%58%34%2%6%
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014964± 3%53%43%—4%
Monmouth University October 18–21, 2014423± 4.8%58%37%3%2%
Quinnipiac University October 15–21, 2014964± 3.2%55%37%2%5%
Suffolk University October 11–14, 2014500± 4.4%53.6%37.2%2.6% [41] 6.6%
Quinnipiac University October 8–13, 2014967± 3.2%54%39%1%6%
The Iowa Poll October 3–8, 20141,000± 3.1%54%39%—4%
Magellan October 3, 20141,299± 2.8%54.7%38.7%—6.5%
NBC News/Marist September 27–October 1, 2014778 LV± 3.5%58%36%1%5%
1,093 RV± 3%58%35%1%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 20142,359± 2%52%39%0%9%
Gravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014522± 4%51%43%—6%
Public Policy Polling September 25–28, 20141,192± 2.8%50%36%4% [42] 9%
52%38%—10%
Iowa Poll September 21–24, 2014546± 4.2%48%34%6% [43] 12%
Rasmussen Reports September 17–18, 2014750± 4%46%40%3%10%
FOX News September 14–16, 2014600± 4%50%37%4%8%
Quinnipiac September 10–15, 20141,167± 2.9%60%37%1%3%
Loras College September 2–5, 20141,200± 2.82%55.5%33.5%—11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 20141,764± 3%51%38%1%10%
Suffolk August 23–26, 2014500± 4%47%35.4%1.6% [44] 16%
Public Policy Polling August 22–24, 2014915± 3.2%48%35%5% [40] 12%
50%37%—13%
Rasmussen Reports August 11–12, 2014750± 4%52%35%6%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20142,044± 2.7%51%40%1%8%
Gravis Marketing July 17–18, 20141,179± 3%50%42%—9%
NBC News/Marist July 7–13, 20141,599± 2.5%53%38%1%9%
Quinnipiac June 12–16, 20141,277± 2.7%47%38%1%14%
Vox Populi Polling June 4–5, 2014665± 3.8%51%40%—9%
Loras College June 4–5, 2014600± 4%51.7%37.8%—10.5%
Rasmussen Reports June 4–5, 2014750± 4%49%40%2%8%
Global Strategy Group May 13–15, 2014602± 4%47%40%—13%
Public Policy Polling May 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%48%40%—12%
Victory Enterprises April 30–May 1, 2014400± 4.9%47.8%32.8%—19.5%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30500± 4.4%50%40%—10%
Vox Populi Polling April 22–24, 2014600± 4%45%43%—12%
Public Policy Polling April 19–20, 2014677± 3.8%43%38%—19%
Suffolk University April 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%42.38%32.13%1.63% [45] 23.88%
Quinnipiac March 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6%46%35%1%17%
Selzer & Co. February 23–26, 2014703± 3.7%44%29%—27%
Public Policy Polling February 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%48%36%—15%
Quinnipiac December 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4%49%33%1%17%
Selzer & Co. December 8–11, 2013325± ?%52%29%8%11%
Public Policy Polling July 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%47%35%—18%
Selzer & Co. June 2–5, 2013591± 4%55%27%9%9%
Public Policy Polling February 1–3, 2013846± %48%33%—19%

Results

Iowa Gubernatorial Election, 2014 [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Terry Branstad 666,02359.0
Democratic Jack Hatch 420,77837.3
Libertarian Lee Deakins Hieb20,3191.8
New Independent Party IowaJim Hennager10,5820.9
Iowa PartyJonathan R. Narcisse10,2390.9
Write-ins1,093.1
Total votes1,129,034100.00

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References

  1. 1 2 "Governor Terry Branstad announces gubernatorial run, tours Iowa". KWWL. Retrieved 15 January 2014.
  2. ↑ "HAYWORTH: Republican Hoefling aiming to challenge Branstad in 2014". Sioux City Journal. March 4, 2014. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
  3. 1 2 "Official Iowa Secretary of State Elections Results". Iowa Secretary of State . June 3, 2014. Retrieved June 5, 2014.
  4. ↑ Iowa Supreme Court (March 31, 2014). "Opinion in Narcisse v. Schultz, No. 14-0512" (pdf). Retrieved April 3, 2014.
  5. ↑ Bleeding Heartland (April 1, 2014). "IA-Gov: Iowa Supreme Court rejects Narcisse bid for spot on primary ballot". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
  6. 1 2 The Des Moines Register (July 30, 2014). "Jonathan Narcisse to run for governor as third-party candidate" . Retrieved September 10, 2014.
  7. 1 2 The Des Moines Register (August 9, 2014). "Register Soapbox: Governor candidate Jonathan Narcisse" . Retrieved September 10, 2014.
  8. ↑ Noble, Jason (September 16, 2013). "State Sen. Jack Hatch officially enters 2014 race for Iowa governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved September 16, 2013.
  9. 1 2 Horsch, Lauren (January 18, 2014). "Narcisse says he'll seek Democratic nomination in gubernatorial race". Des Moines Register . Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  10. ↑ Hayworth, Bret (October 2, 2013). "4th Democrat enters race for governor; Sioux City stop planned". Sioux City Journal . Retrieved October 14, 2013.
  11. ↑ Koplan, Tal (December 17, 2013). "State Rep. Tyler Olson drops Terry Branstad challenge". Politico. Retrieved December 17, 2013.
  12. 1 2 Noble, Jason; Jacobs, Jennifer (May 10, 2013). "New Hatch committee aimed at run for governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved May 12, 2013.
  13. ↑ Jacobs, Jennifer (February 12, 2014). "Democrat Chet Culver: I won't run for public office in 2014". Des Moines Register . Retrieved February 12, 2014.
  14. ↑ Jacobs, Jennifer (June 4, 2013). "Waterloo Democrat Jeff Danielson won't run for higher office". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved June 5, 2013.
  15. ↑ Jacobs, Jennifer (August 30, 2013). "Democrat Mike Fitzgerald rules out a run for Iowa governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 30, 2013.
  16. 1 2 Jacobs, Jennifer (July 30, 2013). "Democrats Mike Gronstal and Pam Jochum won't run for governor (updated)". Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 30, 2013.
  17. 1 2 Petroski, William (October 11, 2013). "Hatch names steering committee for Iowa governor's race". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved October 14, 2013.
  18. 1 2 "Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch". Des Moines Register. 2 January 2014. Retrieved 3 January 2014.
  19. ↑ Dorman, Todd (January 2, 2014). "Petersen won't run for governor". The Gazette . Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Retrieved January 4, 2014.
  20. ↑ Jacobs, Jennifer (June 5, 2013). "Tom Vilsack won't run for Iowa governor again". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved June 5, 2013.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 "IA-Gov: Hatch rolls out campaign, Olson rolls out endorsements (updated)". Bleeding Heartland. September 16, 2013. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
  22. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "IA-Gov: Leonard Boswell, 14 legislators endorse Jack Hatch (updated)". Bleeding Heartland. October 10, 2013. Retrieved October 14, 2013.
  23. ↑ "Bleeding Heartland:: IA-Gov: Jack Hatch running "Smokey and the Branstad" ad (updated)" . Retrieved 26 November 2014.
  24. ↑ Danielson, Jeff (August 20, 2013). "Why Tyler Has My Support". Tyler Olson for Governor. Retrieved August 29, 2013.
  25. ↑ "Bleeding Heartland:: IA-Gov: Bob Dvorsky is third senator to endorse Tyler Olson" . Retrieved 26 November 2014.
  26. ↑ "Sue Dvorsky on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 26 November 2014.
  27. 1 2 3 "Bleeding Heartland:: IA-Gov: Tyler Olson evokes "fresh leadership" for "the next thirty years"" . Retrieved 26 November 2014.
  28. ↑ Hon, Dave (October 15, 2013). "Rep. Dan Kelley endorses Tyler Olson for governor". Newton Daily News . Retrieved October 19, 2013.
  29. ↑ "Janet Petersen on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 26 November 2014.
  30. ↑ "State's largest union backs Olson for governor". WCF Courier. October 30, 2013. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
  31. ↑ "Tyler Olson claims first union endorsement of Democratic race for governor". Des Moines Register. September 19, 2013. Retrieved September 23, 2013.
  32. ↑ Noble, Jason (June 18, 2014). "Monica Vernon signs on as Jack Hatch's lieutenant governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved June 18, 2014.
  33. ↑ "Meet the Candidate: Iowa Governor: Jim Hennager, New Independent Party Iowa". Des Moines Register. October 14, 2014. Retrieved October 17, 2014.
  34. 1 2 Aronsen, Gavin (March 25, 2014). "Iraq war vet among libertarians nominated at state convention". Ames Tribune . Retrieved June 18, 2014.
  35. ↑ James Q. Lynch (July 31, 2014). "Iowa Party lieutenant governor candidate hopes to tap voter discontent". The Gazette. Retrieved September 10, 2014.
  36. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  37. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  38. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  39. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  40. 1 2 Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
  41. ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 1.4%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 0.6%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0.6%
  42. ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 3%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
  43. ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 3%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
  44. ↑ Jim Hennager (NIP) 0.8%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 0.8%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0%
  45. 1 2 Lee Hieb (L)
  46. ↑ "Iowa General Election 2014". Iowa Secretary of State. 2014-11-04. Archived from the original on 2014-12-13. Retrieved 2014-12-19.
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