Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018

Last updated

Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018
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  Kim Reynolds by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Fred Hubbell (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kim Reynolds Fred Hubbell
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Adam Gregg Rita Hart
Popular vote667,220630,950
Percentage50.3%47.5%
Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018.svg
County Results

Reynolds:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70-80%

Contents

Hubbell:     40–50%     50–60%     70–80%
Governor before election

Kim Reynolds
Republican

Elected Governor

Kim Reynolds
Republican

The 2018 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds ran for election to a full term. Businessman Fred Hubbell was the Democratic candidate. Primary elections were held on June 5, 2018. Business consultant Jake Porter won the Libertarian nomination in the party's first ever Iowa primary election. Independent candidate Gary Siegwarth also ran on a progressive platform.

Republican Party (United States) Major political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Kim Reynolds 43rd Governor of Iowa

Kimberly Kay Reynolds is an American politician serving as the 43rd Governor of Iowa since 2017. A member of the Republican Party, she is the first female Governor of Iowa. Reynolds previously served as the 46th Lieutenant Governor of Iowa from 2011 to 2017. Before she was elected Lieutenant Governor, Reynolds served as Clarke County Treasurer for four terms and then served in the Iowa Senate from 2009 to 2011.

Fred Hubbell American politician

Frederick Shelton Hubbell is an American attorney, businessman and politician. He was the Democratic nominee for Governor of Iowa in the 2018 election. Before running for office, Hubbell served as Chairman of the Younkers retail department stores in the 1980s and President of Equitable of Iowa. He served as Acting Director of the Department of Economic Development of Iowa and as Chair of the Iowa Power Fund in the 2000s.

After the 2016 presidential election, President Donald Trump nominated then-Governor Terry Branstad to be the United States Ambassador to China. When Branstad was confirmed by the United States Senate, he resigned as Iowa Governor to assume the ambassadorship on May 24, 2017. Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds then became Governor of Iowa. [1] Reynolds won 50.4% of the vote and carried 88 of Iowa's 99 counties. She became the first female governor of Iowa elected in her own right. [2]

Donald Trump 45th and current president of the United States

Donald John Trump is the 45th and current president of the United States. Before entering politics, he was a businessman and television personality.

Terry Branstad U.S. Ambassador to China, Governor of Iowa (1983–1999; 2011–2017)

Terry Edward Branstad is an American politician, university administrator, and diplomat serving as the United States Ambassador to China since 2017. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as Governor of Iowa. Branstad also previously served three terms in the Iowa House of Representatives from 1973 to 1979.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Withdrew

Ron Corbett is an American politician and former mayor of Cedar Rapids, Iowa. A member of the Republican Party of Iowa, he was not eligible to be a candidate for the Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018 due to insufficient petition signers.

Cedar Rapids, Iowa City in Iowa, United States

Cedar Rapids is the second-largest city in Iowa and is the county seat of Linn County. The city lies on both banks of the Cedar River, 20 miles (32 km) north of Iowa City and 100 miles (160 km) northeast of Des Moines, the state's capital and largest city. It is a part of the Cedar Rapids/Iowa City Corridor of Linn, Benton, Cedar, Jones, Johnson, and Washington counties.

Boone, Iowa Place in Iowa, USA

Boone is a city in Des Moines Township, and county seat of Boone County, Iowa, United States. It is the principal city of the Boone, Iowa Micropolitan Statistical Area, which encompasses all of Boone County. This micropolitan statistical area, along with the Ames, Iowa Metropolitan Statistical Area comprise the larger Ames-Boone, Iowa Combined Statistical Area. The population of the city was 12,661 at the 2010 census.

Declined

Steve King American politician

Steven Arnold King is an American politician and former businessman serving as a U.S. Representative from Iowa since 2003. A member of the Republican Party, he represented Iowa's 5th congressional district until 2013, when redistricting renumbered it the 4th. This district is in northwestern Iowa and includes Sioux City. He is the only Republican in Iowa's House delegation.

Bill Northey Iowa politician

William Howard Northey is an American politician serving as the Under Secretary for Farm Production and Conservation in the United States Department of Agriculture since 2018. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as the Secretary of Agriculture of Iowa, first elected on November 7, 2006 and sworn in on January 2, 2007. In that position he led he led the Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship.

Under Secretary of Agriculture for Farm and Foreign Agricultural Services third-ranking official in the United States Department of Agriculture

The Under Secretary of Agriculture for Farm and Foreign Agricultural Services was the third-ranking official in the United States Department of Agriculture prior to reorganization of several mission areas, announced on May 11, 2017. The mission area of USDA's purpose was to "help to keep America's farmers and ranchers in business as they face the uncertainties of weather and markets..." and that "...deliver[s] commodity, credit, conservation, disaster, and emergency assistance programs that help improve the stability and strength of the agricultural economy." The Under Secretary was traditionally appointed to serve as the President of the Commodity Credit Corporation.

Endorsements

Kim Reynolds
Newspaper

Results

Republican primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kim Reynolds94,11889.5
Republican Under votes9,7439.3
Republican Write-ins1,3071.2
Republican Over votes150.0
Total votes105,183100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Cathy Glasson is an American nurse, union leader, and former candidate for Governor of Iowa, running in the 2018 Democratic primary. She is President of SEIU Local 199 in Iowa and has received support from the union. Glasson lost the primary to businessman Fred Hubbell, receiving 20.5% of the vote to Hubbell's 55.5%.

Andy McGuire politician

Andrea "Andy" McGuire is an American politician. She served as Iowa Democratic Party (IDP) chair; elected in January 2015 for a two-year term by the Party’s State Central Committee. Prior to becoming the Chair of the Iowa Democratic Party, McGuire ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s Lieutenant Governor.

The Iowa Democratic Party (IDP) is the affiliate of the United States Democratic Party in the state of Iowa.

Withdrew

Nate Boulton

Nate Boulton is an American politician currently serving in the Iowa Senate. Boulton, a Democrat, represents the 16th district. Boulton was first elected in 2016 to replace retiring Democratic Senator Dick Dearden.

Polk County, Iowa County in the United States

Polk County is a county in the U.S. state of Iowa. As of the 2010 census, the population was 430,640, making it Iowa's most populous county, hosting over 14% of the state's residents. The county seat is Des Moines, which is also the capital city of Iowa.

The Iowa Department of Natural Resources is a department/agency of the U.S. state of Iowa formed in 1986, charged with maintaining state parks and forests, protecting the environment of Iowa, and managing energy, fish, wildlife, land resources, and water resources of Iowa.

Declined

Endorsements

Nate Boulton (withdrew)
Statewide official
State legislators
Organizations
Cathy Glasson
Elected officials
Iowa Democratic Party officials
  • Jason Frerichs, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus [62]
  • Dylan P. Funk, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, vice-chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus [62]
  • Mason Fraker, Henry County Democratic Party vice-chairman [62]
  • Nora Taft, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member [62]
  • Evan Burger, 4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member [62]
  • Jessica Fears, 4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member [62]
  • Holly Herbert, 3rd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member [62]
  • Jon Green, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member [62]
  • Sarah J. Hinds, Linn County Democratic Party credentials committee chairperson [62]
  • Kate Revaux, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member [62]
  • Alex Anderson, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee affirmative action chairperson [62]
  • Lindsey Ellickson, Linn County Democratic Party central committee member [62]
Labor union leaders
  • Chris Laursen, UAW Local 74 president [62]
Labor unions
Organizations
Fred Hubbell
Statewide officials
State legislators
Newspaper
Andy McGuire
John Norris
  • Marti Anderson, state representative
  • Jo Oldson, state representative
  • Brad Anderson, 2014 Democratic Secretary of State nominee
  • Tom Hockensmith, Polk County Supervisor
  • Rod Sullivan, Johnson County Supervisor
  • Travis Weipert, Johnson County Auditor
  • Andrew Wenthe, mayor of Fayette, former state representative
  • Brian Quirk, former state representative
  • Don Ruby, Iowa Democratic Party Secretary
  • Daryll Beal, former state senator
  • Norm Sterzenbach, former executive director, Iowa Democratic Party
  • Roger Thomas, former state representative
  • Marcia Nichols, former political director for AFSCME 61
  • Dave Schroeder, former state representative
Todd Prichard (withdrew)

Polling

Results

Results by county: Hubbell--70-80% Hubbell--60-70% Hubbell--50-60% Hubbell--40-50% Hubbell--<40% Glasson--<40% Norris--60-70% Boulton--<40% Iowa gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
  Hubbell—70–80%
  Hubbell—60–70%
  Hubbell—50–60%
  Hubbell—40–50%
  Hubbell—<40%
  Glasson—<40%
  Norris—60–70%
  Boulton—<40%
Democratic primary results [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Fred Hubbell99,24554.3
Democratic Cathy Glasson36,81520.1
Democratic John Norris20,49811.2
Democratic Andy McGuire9,4045.1
Democratic Nate Boulton (withdrawn)9,0825.0
Democratic Ross Wilburn3,8802.1
Democratic Write-ins2000.0
Total votes182,736100

Libertarian primary

Libertarian Party presidential nominee Gary Johnson received 3.8 percent of the votes in Iowa in 2016, surpassing the 2 percent threshold to attain full political party status. [77] As a result, the Libertarian Party will be allowed to hold a primary to select a nominee. [77]

Candidates

Nominated

  • Jake Porter, business consultant

Declared

  • Marco Battaglia, musician [78]
  • Jake Porter, nominee for Secretary of State in 2010 and 2014 [79] [80] [81]

Endorsements

Jake Porter
Newspaper

Results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Jake Porter99153.9
Libertarian Marco Battaglia70538.4
Libertarian Write-ins1427.7
Total votes1,838100

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

Endorsements

Brent Roske (withdrew)

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [90] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [91] Tilt DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [92] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Real Clear Politics [93] TossupOctober 30, 2018
Daily Kos [94] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Governing [95] TossupOctober 30, 2018
Politico [96] TossupOctober 30, 2018
Fox News [97] TossupOctober 30, 2018
The Washington Post [98] TossupOctober 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [99] TossupNovember 3, 2018

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kim
Reynolds (R)		Fred
Hubbell (D)		Jake
Porter (L)		OtherUndecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018961–46%49%3%1% [100] –
Selzer & Company October 30 – November 2, 2018801± 3.5%44%46%2%1%7%
Emerson College October 29 – November 1, 20181,462± 2.7%49%45%–2%5%
University of Iowa October 8–22, 2018452–40%48%–5%6%
Selzer & Company September 17–20, 2018555± 4.2%41%43%7%0%9%
Emerson College September 6–8, 20181,000± 3.2%31%36%–7%26%
Selzer & Company January 28–31, 2018801± 3.5%42%37%–12%10%

Results

Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Republican Kim Reynolds (incumbent) 667,220 50.26% -8.73%
Democratic Fred Hubbell630,95047.53%+10.26%
Libertarian Jake Porter21,4251.61%-0.19%
Independent Gary Siegwarth7,4630.56%N/A
n/a Write-ins4880.04%-0.06%
Total votes1,327,546100.0%N/A
Republican hold

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 Washington Post
  2. ↑ Ferris, Sarah (November 7, 2018). "Kim Reynolds is Iowa's first elected female governor". Politico.
  3. ↑ "Kim Reynolds acknowledges plan to seek full term in 2018".
  4. ↑ "Ron Corbett to run for Iowa governor". The Gazette. June 20, 2017. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  5. ↑ Morelli, BA (5 April 2018). "Judge: Ron Corbett will not appear on Iowa GOP primary ballot". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved 5 April 2018.
  6. ↑ Allen, Paige (July 1, 2017). "Boone City Council member announces run for Iowa governor". KWQC-TV . Retrieved July 3, 2017.
  7. ↑ http://www.amestrib.com/article/20180209/news/302099981
  8. ↑ Costa, Robert (February 9, 2015). "Longtime Iowa governor says he is not likely to run again". The Washington Post . Retrieved March 6, 2015.
  9. ↑ Hanson, Alex (July 1, 2015). "Branstad won't rule out another term". Iowa State Daily. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  10. ↑ The Hill: Steve King mulling run for Iowa governor
  11. ↑ Koss, Emily (June 2, 2017). "Steve King Running for Another Term in Congress". WHO-DT . Retrieved June 2, 2017.
  12. ↑ Steffi Lee (December 7, 2016). "Kim Reynolds slated to become the first female governor of Iowa". CBS2. Retrieved December 8, 2016.
  13. ↑ Noble, Jason (December 19, 2016). "Hinting at gubernatorial run, Cedar Rapids mayor won't seek re-election". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved December 19, 2016.
  14. ↑ "OUR OPINION: Kim Reynolds represents best choice for governor". Sioux City Journal . October 28, 2018.
  15. 1 2
  16. ↑ Noble, Jason (July 17, 2017). "Fred Hubbell is officially running for governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  17. ↑ Noble, Jason (September 19, 2017). "Union leader Cathy Glasson makes it official, is running for governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved September 19, 2017.
  18. ↑ Noble, Jason (April 10, 2017). "Andy McGuire is running for Iowa governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved April 10, 2017.
  19. ↑ Rynard, Pat (April 5, 2017). "John Norris Weighing Run For Iowa Governor". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
  20. ↑ Tibbetts, Ed (June 1, 2017). "Former Vilsack aide to run for governor". The Quad-City Times. Retrieved June 2, 2017.
  21. ↑ Ufheil, Angela (August 14, 2017). "Former mayor of Iowa City seeks Democratic nomination for Iowa governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 14, 2017.
  22. 1 2 3 Noble, Jason (May 4, 2017). "Democrat Nate Boulton announces run for governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved May 4, 2017.
  23. ↑ Noble, Jason (January 4, 2017). "Democrat Rich Leopold to run for governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved January 4, 2017.
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  25. ↑ Petroski, William (June 7, 2017). "Democrat Rich Leopold drops out of Iowa governor's race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
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  29. ↑ "IA-Gov: Democrat Jon Neiderbach launching campaign soon". Bleeding Heartland. January 30, 2017. Retrieved February 1, 2017.
  30. ↑ "IA-Gov: Jon Neiderbach officially launches campaign". Bleeding Heartland. February 9, 2017. Retrieved February 9, 2017.
  31. ↑ Tibbetts, Ed (May 16, 2017). "Todd Prichard announces run for governor". The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier . Retrieved May 16, 2017.
  32. ↑ Rynard, Pat (August 15, 2017). "Todd Prichard Bows Out of Gubernatorial Race". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved August 15, 2017.
  33. ↑ Mendenhall, Mike (January 19, 2017). "Allen rules out 2018 bid for governor". Newton Daily News . Retrieved January 19, 2017.
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  35. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Rynard, Pat (December 11, 2016). "Iowa Governor Now Top Pick-Up Opportunity For Democrats". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved December 14, 2016.
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  37. ↑ "Nathan Blake may run for Iowa secretary of state in 2018". Bleeding Heartland. March 6, 2017. Retrieved March 7, 2017.
  38. ↑ Pat Rynard (May 18, 2017). "Candidate Updates: Kiernan In, Carberry & Blake Out, Glasson Maybe". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  39. 1 2 3 4 Murphy, Erin (December 18, 2016). "Eight Democrats that could join 2018 Iowa governor race". The Gazette . Retrieved December 19, 2016.
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  41. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Rynard, Pat (April 10, 2017). "Andy McGuire Kicks Off Gubernatorial Bid – Here's Who Backs Her". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved April 10, 2017.
  42. ↑ Hayworth, Bret (May 1, 2017). "Sioux City's Hall mulls run for governor". Sioux City Journal . Retrieved May 12, 2017.
  43. 1 2 Hayworth, Bret (November 20, 2017). "Hall endorses Hubbell for Iowa governor". Sioux City Journal . Retrieved November 21, 2017.
  44. ↑ "IA-Gov: Boulton, Hubbell lead in early legislative endorsements". Bleeding Heartland. August 23, 2017. Retrieved August 24, 2017.
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  49. ↑ Dolmage, David (August 3, 2017). "Loebsack lays out plan for 2018". Newton Daily News . Retrieved August 3, 2017.
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  54. ↑ Dorman, Todd (January 31, 2017). "Mayoral possibilities list shrinks". The Gazette . Retrieved March 13, 2017.
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  66. ↑ Lynch, James Q. "National populist group endorses Cathy Glasson for Iowa governor". Quad-City Times. Retrieved 21 September 2017.
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  69. ↑ https://twitter.com/People4Bernie/status/948019400405381120 . Retrieved 2 January 2018.Missing or empty |title= (help)
  70. ↑ "Cathy Glasson". Our Revolution. Retrieved 19 January 2018.
  71. ↑ Lynch, James Q. (May 29, 2018). "Iowa AG Tom Miller endorses Hubbell for governor". The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier . Retrieved May 30, 2018.
  72. ↑ Cynthia Fodor (July 26, 2017). "Former Lt. Gov. to Chair Hubbell Campaign". KCCI-TV. Retrieved July 27, 2017.
  73. ↑ Jay Inslee. ".@FredHubbell is a great candidate, ready to lead Iowa, and take it back for Democrats. Iowans are ready for change". Twitter.
  74. ↑ Tibbetts, Ed (November 21, 2017). "Prichard endorses Hubbell for Iowa governor". Quad-City Times . Retrieved November 21, 2017.
  75. ↑ Lynch, James Q. "McGuire gets Iowa governor endorsement from former Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean". The Gazette. Retrieved 21 September 2017.
  76. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "Why We're Supporting Todd Prichard for Governor of Iowa". Todd Prichard for Governor. June 15, 2017. Retrieved June 15, 2017.
  77. 1 2 Boshart, Rod (December 5, 2016). "State Board certifies Iowa election results". Quad-City Times . Retrieved December 19, 2016.
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  79. ↑ Davis, Andy (March 7, 2016). "Libertarian Porter to announce run for governor". The Little Daily Report. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  80. ↑ Vander Hart, Shane (March 7, 2016). "A Look Ahead at the 2018 Iowa Gubernatorial Race". Caffeinated Thoughts. Retrieved July 3, 2017.
  81. ↑ Noble, Jason (July 25, 2017). "Jake Porter to run for governor as Libertarian". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved August 4, 2017.
  82. ↑ "The Register endorses Jake Porter in the Libertarian primary for governor". May 23, 2018. Retrieved May 24, 2018.
  83. ↑ "GaryForGov". GaryForGov. Retrieved 2018-09-15.
  84. ↑ "Clear Water Party of Iowa – Water Connects US All". clearwaterparty.com. Retrieved 2018-09-15.
  85. ↑ "Gary Siegwarth for IA Governor". www.facebook.com. Retrieved 2018-09-15.
  86. ↑ "Hollywood director enters Iowa gubernatorial race". April 20, 2017. Retrieved April 20, 2017.
  87. ↑ Noble, Jason (May 8, 2017). "Filmmaker Brent Roske making independent run for Iowa governor". The Des Moines Register . Retrieved May 12, 2017.
  88. ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (December 26, 2017). "Brent Roske ends candidacy in Iowa governor's race". Des Moines Register. Retrieved 3 June 2018.
  89. ↑ Gardner, Chris (April 25, 2017). "Richard Dreyfuss Endorses Candidate In Iowa Governor's Race". The Hollywood Reporter. Retrieved April 25, 2017.
  90. ↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  91. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  92. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  93. ↑ "2018 Governor Races". www.realclearpolitics.com. August 9, 2018.
  94. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . June 5, 2018.
  95. ↑ "As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
  96. ↑ "Race Ratings: Politico Predicts" . Retrieved 2018-09-05.
  97. ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Rankings | Fox News". Fox News. Retrieved 2018-09-25.
  98. ↑ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post . October 16, 2018.
  99. ↑ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  100. ↑ Gary Siegwarth (Clear Water) with 1%
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