United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2018

Last updated
United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2018
Flag of West Virginia.svg
  2012 November 6, 20182024 
  Senator Manchin (cropped 2).jpg Patrick Morrisey Official Campaign Portrait (cropped 3) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Manchin Patrick Morrisey
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote290,505271,112
Percentage49.6%46.3%

West Virginia Senate Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County Results
Manchin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Morrisey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Senator before election

Joe Manchin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Joe Manchin
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

United States Senate Upper house of the United States Congress

The United States Senate is the upper chamber of the United States Congress, which along with the United States House of Representatives—the lower chamber—comprises the legislature of the United States. The Senate chamber is located in the north wing of the Capitol, in Washington, D.C.

West Virginia State of the United States of America

West Virginia is a state located in the Appalachian region in the Southern United States and is also considered to be a part of the Middle Atlantic States. It is bordered by Pennsylvania to the north, Maryland to the east and northeast, Virginia to the southeast, Kentucky to the southwest, and Ohio to the northwest. West Virginia is the 41st largest state by area, and is ranked 38th in population. The capital and largest city is Charleston.

United States House of Representatives lower house of the United States Congress

The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they comprise the legislature of the United States.

Contents

On May 8, 2018, the Republican primary voters of the state nominated West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey as the Republican candidate. [1] In the general election, incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Manchin defeated Morrisey and was elected to a second full term. [2]

Patrick Morrisey West Virginia politician

Patrick James Morrisey is an American politician and lawyer serving as the 34th Attorney General of West Virginia since 2013. He is a member of the Republican Party.

Democratic Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.

Joe Manchin United States Senator from West Virginia

Joseph Manchin III is an American politician serving as the senior United States Senator from West Virginia, a seat he has held since 2010. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served as the 34th governor of West Virginia from 2005 to 2010 and the 27th secretary of state of West Virginia from 2001 to 2005.

Background

Once a Democratic stronghold at the presidential level, West Virginia has become one of, if not the most, conservative states in the United States. In 2008, John McCain defeated Barack Obama 55-42 and In 2012, Mitt Romney defeated President Obama 62-35. In 2016, Donald Trump won the state by a greater than 40-point margin against Hillary Clinton (68-26).

John McCain American politician

John Sidney McCain III was an American politician and military officer who served as a United States Senator from Arizona from January 1987 until his death. He previously served two terms in the United States House of Representatives and was the Republican nominee for President of the United States in the 2008 election, which he lost to Barack Obama.

Barack Obama 44th president of the United States

Barack Hussein Obama II is an American attorney and politician who served as the 44th president of the United States from 2009 to 2017. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the first African American to be elected to the presidency. He previously served as a U.S. senator from Illinois from 2005 to 2008.

Mitt Romney United States Senator from Utah

Willard Mitt Romney is an American politician and businessman serving as the junior United States senator from Utah since January 2019. He previously served as the 70th Governor of Massachusetts from 2003 to 2007 and was the Republican Party's nominee for President of the United States in the 2012 election.

However, at the statewide level, West Virginia is much friendlier to Democrats. In 2016, while President Trump won the state with nearly 70% of the vote, Jim Justice (who was a Democrat at the time, before switching his affiliation to the Republican Party) won the gubernatorial election with 49% of the vote. In 2012, which was Senator Joe Manchin’s second most recent statewide election, he won with nearly 60% of the vote against John Raese.

Jim Justice 36th Governor of West Virginia

James Conley Justice II is an American coal mining and agriculture businessman and politician serving the 36th Governor of West Virginia since 2017. With a net worth of around $1.9 billion, he is the wealthiest person in West Virginia. He inherited a coal mining business from his father and successfully built a massive business empire with over 50 companies, including The Greenbrier, a luxury resort. Justice is one of the few billionaires from the State of West Virginia.

John Raese American businessman

John Reeves Raese is an American businessman and perennial Republican Party candidate for political office. He has lost campaigns to represent West Virginia in the U.S. Senate in 1984, 2006, 2010 and 2012 and was defeated in the Republican primary in the election for Governor of West Virginia in 1988.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Paula Jean Swearengin is an American social and environmental activist and politician from West Virginia. A member of the Democratic Party, she is associated with the progressive organizations Justice Democrats and Brand New Congress. She ran against incumbent U.S. Senator Joe Manchin in the 2018 Democratic primary but was defeated, winning 30.21% of the vote.

Endorsements

Paula Jean Swearengin
Individuals
Cenk Uygur Turkish-American online news show host

Cenk Kadir Uygur is a Turkish-American lawyer, businessman, columnist, journalist, activist and political commentator. Uygur is the main host and creator of The Young Turks (TYT), an American progressive political and social commentary program. Before beginning his career as a political commentator, he worked briefly as an associate attorney in Washington, D.C. and New York City. As a young man, Uygur supported social conservative views, opposing abortion, affirmative action and feminism in the United States. Over time his views changed, now identifying as a progressive.

<i>The Young Turks</i> Online news show

The Young Turks (TYT) is an American news and commentary program on YouTube. It serves as the flagship program of the TYT Network, a multi-channel network of associated web series focusing on news and current events. The program was created by Cenk Uygur, Ben Mankiewicz, and Dave Koller. Currently co-hosted by Uygur, Ana Kasparian and John Iadarola, who are often accompanied by various in-studio contributors, the program maintains an anti-establishment stance and provides commentary on topics of varying news genres. The Young Turks began as a radio program that premiered on February 14, 2002, on Sirius Satellite Radio; it was later carried on Air America, before launching a web series component in 2005 on YouTube. In 2018, Regional News Network offered it initially on WMCN, its New Jersey broadcast television station.

Kyle Kulinski is an American political activist, progressive talk radio host, social democratic political commentator and the co-founder of Justice Democrats. He is the host and producer of the YouTube show Secular Talk, an affiliate of The Young Turks network. He is a registered Democrat in New York state.

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Joe
Manchin
Paula Jean
Swearengin
Undecided
SurveyMonkey (D-Swearengin) September 201746%8%38%

Results

Results by county:
Manchin
70-80%
60-70%
50-60% West Virginia U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Democratic primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Joe Manchin (incumbent)111,58969.79
Democratic Paula Jean Swearengin 48,30230.21
Total votes159,891100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

Declined

Endorsements

Evan Jenkins
State officials
Organizations
  • West Virginia Chamber of Commerce [26]
  • Huntington Regional Chamber of Commerce [27]
  • Daily Mail [28]

Debates

Host
network
DateLink(s)Participants
Evan
Jenkins
Patrick
Morrisey
Don
Blankenship
Bo
Copley
Jack
Newbrough
Tom
Willis
Fox News May 1, 2018 [29] InvitedInvitedInvited
WVPB April 23, 2018 [30] InvitedInvitedInvitedInvitedInvitedInvited

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Don
Blankenship
Evan
Jenkins
Patrick
Morrisey
OtherUndecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Morrisey) April 22–23, 2018500± 4.4%15%26%28%18%
Fox News April 18–22, 2018985± 3.0%16%25%21%8% [31] 24%
National Research Inc. (R-GOPAC) April 17–19, 2018411± 4.9%12%20%24%5% [32] 39%
Osage Research (R-Morrisey) March 13, 2018500± 4.4%23%17%24%4% [33]
Harper Polling (R-Jenkins) March 5–6, 201840027%29%19%10% [34] 15%
Harper Polling (R-Jenkins) February 5–6, 2018500± 4.4%18%33%25%12%12%
42%36%22%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R-35th PAC) October 19–22, 2017400± 4.9%34%40%26%

Results

Results by county:
Morrisey
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
30-40%
<30%
Jenkins
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Blankenship
<30%
30-40%
40-50% 2018 WV US Senate Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Patrick Morrisey 47,57134.94
Republican Evan Jenkins 39,88829.28
Republican Don Blankenship 27,15319.93
Republican Tom Willis13,3229.78
Republican Bo Copley4,2063.09
Republican Jack Newbrough4,0803.0
Total votes136,220100.0

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Nominated

Constitution Party

Candidates

Denied ballot access

  • Don Blankenship, former Chairman & CEO of Massey Energy. Observers note that he may be ineligible to run due to West Virginia's sore-loser law which states that the loser of a partisan primary election cannot appear on the ballot as an independent or with another political party in the general election. [36] Blankenship is eligible to run as a write-in candidate. [37] [38] Secretary of State Mac Warner denied ballot access to Blankenship's campaign on July 26, citing West Virginia's "sore loser" law. The Supreme Court of Appeals of West Virginia ordered Warner to deny Blankenship ballot access on August 29, 2018. [39]

Endorsements

Don Blankenship
Organizations

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [42] Lean DOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [43] Tilt DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [44] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
CNN [45] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [46] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [47] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [48] Lean DNovember 5, 2018

Endorsements

Joe Manchin (D)
U.S. Senators
Labor unions
Organizations
Other Individuals
Newspapers
  • The Sunday News-Register [61]
Patrick Morrisey (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Governors
State Senators
State Delegates
Organizations
Other individuals
Newspapers

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of Sep 30, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Joe Manchin (D)$8,872,162$6,459,930$4,200,530
Patrick Morrisey (R)$4,943,056$3,315,300$1,627,756
Source: Federal Election Commission [92]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Manchin (D)
Patrick
Morrisey (R)
Rusty
Hollen (L)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College October 28–31, 20181,013± 3.2%47%42%3%8%
Research America Inc. October 19–30, 2018400± 4.9%45%40%11%5%
Strategic Research Associates October 12–19, 2018650± 3.8%52%36%4%8%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R-NRSC) October 16–18, 2018600± 4.0%42%44%3%12%
45%47%8%
Vox Populi Polling October 13–15, 2018789± 3.5%53%47%
The Polling Company (R-Citizens United) October 11–13, 2018600± 4.0%49%45%2%3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-NRSC) October 7–9, 2018600± 4.0%41%40%8%
Strategic Research Associates September 17–26, 2018650± 3.8%46%38%3%13%
1892 Polling (R-Morrisey) September 24–25, 2018500± 4.4%45%45%10%
The Tarrance Group (R-SLF) September 23–25, 2018612± 4.1%47%43%5%5%
Global Strategy Group (D-Manchin) September 19–23, 2018601± 4.0%48%36%4%
Emerson College September 13–15, 2018825± 3.5%45%33%6%16%
Harper Polling (R-35th PAC) August 23–26, 2018600± 4.0%47%41%12%
Research America Inc. August 16–26, 2018404± 4.9%46%38%16%
Trafalgar Group (R) July 13–16, 20181,158± 2.9%50%40%2%8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018892± 5.5%53%40%6%
Monmouth University June 14–19, 2018653± 3.8%49%42%3%6%
Public Policy Polling June 12–13, 201863349%42%9%
Hart Research Associates (D-DSCC) May 15–16, 2018602± 4.0%52%40%
Global Strategy Group (D-Manchin) May 13–16, 2018600± 4.0%50%42%
47%40%4%
WPA Intelligence (R) May 10, 2018400± 4.9%44%46%11%
Zogby Analytics September 27–30, 2017320± 5.5%45%38%17%
Research America Inc. August 11–20, 2017400± 4.9%51%37%12%
Harper Polling November 16–17, 2016500± 4.4%57%35%8%

Results

United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2018 [93]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Democratic Joseph Manchin III (incumbent) 290,505 49.57% -10.98%
Republican Patrick Morrisey 271,11246.26%+9.76%
Libertarian Rusty Hollen24,4114.17%N/A
Total votes586,028100.0%N/A
Democratic hold

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References

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  32. Tom Willis with 3 percent, Bo Copley and Jack Newbrough with 1 percent
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  67. "Kentucky Senator Rand Paul to Rally for West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey". WOWK. 3 May 2018.
  68. Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2018). "David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates". Politically Georgia.
  69. Raven Tiara Brown. "Senator Shelley Moore Capito, Congressman Alex Mooney, and Congressman David McKinley gather in support of Attorney General Patrick Morrisey for a Get-Out-The-Vote Kickoff event in Charleston. @wchs8fox11". Twitter.
  70. Alex Mooney. "Today, I am proud to endorse my friend and fellow conservative, @MorriseyWV for the United States Senate:". Twitter.
  71. Colegrove, Andrew. "Evan Jenkins loses Senate primary race".
  72. Pathé, Simone; Pathé, Simone (20 February 2018). "Scott Walker Backs Patrick Morrisey in West Virginia Senate Primary" via www.rollcall.com.
  73. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "Morrisey pulling in endorsements after announcing Senate run". wvrecord.com. July 20, 2017.
  74. 1 2 3 Zuckerman, Jake (July 22, 2017). "Manchin raises big money for Senate campaign; Jenkins lags behind". Charleston Gazette-Mail . Retrieved August 5, 2017.
  75. "Morrisey pulling in endorsements after announcing Senate run - Patrick Morrisey". 20 July 2017.
  76. AG Patrick Morrisey. "Humbled that Trump group, Great American Alliance, has endorsed my candidacy. Honored to be one of first three Senate candidates announced". Twitter.
  77. "Patrick Morrisey for Senate in West Virginia". Senate Conservatives Fund . January 24, 2018.
  78. "ACU Endorses Patrick Morrisey". American Conservative Union . March 29, 2018.
  79. "Citizens Fund Endorses Patrick Morrisey for Senate in West Virginia". Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund. April 16, 2018.
  80. "Morrisey Receives Endorsement from Conservative Family Policy Council of West Virginia". Morrisey for Senate.
  81. Students For Trump. "Liberal Joe Manchin has been deceiving the people of West Virginia for years!He supported Obama and Crooked Hillary,yet now supports Trump's policies when it is convenient for him.West Virginia deserves a Senator that shares their values! Elect @morriseywv @DonaldJTrumpJr". Twitter.
  82. "Republican Jewish Coalition launches first wave of midterm endorsements". NBCNews.com . July 23, 2018.
  83. "Pro-Life Group Endorses Patrick Morrisey in West Virginia Over "Pro-Life" Senator Joe Manchin". LifeNews.com. July 25, 2018.
  84. "Coal Association Endorses Morrisey for US Senate". WV Coal Association. August 21, 2018.
  85. Thomas, Alex (August 30, 2018). "US Chamber of Commerce backs Morrisey in Senate matchup". West Virginia MetroNews .
  86. "NRA Endorses Patrick Morrisey for U.S. Senate". NRA-ILA. September 10, 2018.
  87. John Bowden (October 19, 2018). "Blankenship endorses ex-W.Va. GOP Senate rival, calls him 'lying' drug lobbyist". The Hill .
  88. "Dinesh D'Souza on Twitter".
  89. Ben Kamisar (April 27, 2018). "Gorka backs W.Va. attorney general in GOP Senate bid". The Hill .
  90. Donald Trump Jr. "He voted with Obama 83% of the time, sponsored gun control legislation and voted for excessive regulation. He's about as far from #maga as it gets. Lying about it now won't help. Vote @MorriseyWV for someone who will support @realDonaldTrump #WV #wvpol". Twitter.
  91. "Patrick Morrisey for Senate". National Review . April 30, 2018. Retrieved April 30, 2018.
  92. "Campaign finance data" . Retrieved September 2, 2018.
  93. https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/WV/92360/Web02-state.221451/#/
Official campaign websites