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County Results DeWine: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Contents
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The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich is term-limited and cannot seek reelection to a third consecutive term.
Ohio is a Midwestern state in the Great Lakes region of the United States. Of the fifty states, it is the 34th largest by area, the seventh most populous, and the tenth most densely populated. The state's capital and largest city is Columbus.
The three classes of United States Senators are made up of 33 or 34 Senate seats each. The purpose of the classes is to determine which Senate seats will be up for election in a given year. The three groups are staggered such that all senators in each of the groups are up for election every two years, rather than having all 100 seats up for election at once. For example, the 33 Senate seats of class 1 were up for election in 2018, the elections for the 33 seats of class 2 will take place in 2020, and the elections for the 34 seats of class 3 will be held in 2022.
The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they compose the legislature of the United States.
The Republicans nominated Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. Senator Mike DeWine and the Democratic nominee is former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director and former Ohio Attorney General Richard Cordray. This was the second face off for DeWine and Cordray, following the 2010 election for Attorney General where DeWine won by 47.5% to 46.3%.
The Ohio Attorney General is the chief legal officer of the State of Ohio in the United States. The office is filled by general election, held every four years. The current Ohio Attorney General is Republican Dave Yost.
Richard Michael DeWine is an American politician serving as the 70th governor of Ohio. A member of the Republican Party, DeWine is a former United States Senator, elected in 1994 and reelected in 2000. In 2006, DeWine ran for reelection to a third term but lost to the Democratic nominee, U.S. Representative Sherrod Brown. DeWine had served as Lieutenant Governor of Ohio under George Voinovich from 1991 until 1994. In 2010, DeWine was elected Ohio Attorney General, defeating Democratic incumbent Richard Cordray, and was reelected for a second term in 2014. In the 2018 gubernatorial election, DeWine was elected Governor of Ohio, defeating Cordray in a rematch of their 2010 race.
The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.
Jon A. Husted is the 66th and current lieutenant governor of Ohio, since 2019. He was previously the 53rd Ohio Secretary of State. A member of the Republican Party, he previously represented the 6th District of the Ohio Senate from 2009 to 2011 and was a member of the Ohio House of Representatives from 2001 to 2009. From 2005 to 2009, Husted served as Speaker of the Ohio House of Representatives and remains one of the youngest people to ever become Ohio House Speaker.
The Ohio Secretary of State is an elected statewide official in the State of Ohio. The Secretary of state is responsible for overseeing elections in the state; registering business entities and granting them the authority to do business within the state; registering secured transactions; and granting access to public documents.
Mary Taylor is an American businesswoman and politician who served as the 65th lieutenant governor of Ohio from 2011 to 2019.
James B. Renacci is an American accountant, businessman, and politician who served as the U.S. Representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district from 2011 to 2019. A Republican, he is a former city council president and two-term Mayor of Wadsworth, Ohio. Renacci was the unsuccessful Republican nominee in the 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio, losing to incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown.
Mike DeWine |
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Jim Renacci (withdrawn) |
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Mary Taylor |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike DeWine | Mary Taylor | Other | Undecided |
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Baldwin Wallace University | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 323 | – | 52% | 24% | – | 25% |
Remington Research Group (R-Taylor) | April 10, 2018 | 1,064 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 32% | – | 26% |
Fallon Research | April 4–7, 2018 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 26% | – | 31% |
SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 541 | ± 5.8% | 50% | 18% | – | 31% |
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) | February 17, 2018 | 1,152 | ± 3.0% | 61% | 39% | – | – |
35% | 16% | 15% | 33% | ||||
Fallon Research | January 16–19, 2018 | 286 | – | 54% | 14% | – | 32% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Mike DeWine | 494,766 | 59.8 | |
Republican | Mary Taylor | 332,273 | 40.2 | |
Total votes | 827,039 | 100.0 |
Richard Cordray |
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Dennis Kucinich |
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Joe Schiavoni |
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Connie Pillich (withdrawn) |
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Betty Sutton (withdrawn) |
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Nan Whaley (withdrawn) |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Cordray | Dennis Kucinich | Bill O'Neill | Connie Pillich | Joe Schiavoni | Other | Undecided |
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Baldwin Wallace University | April 24 – May 2, 2018 | 333 | – | 31% | 15% | 6% | – | 6% | – | 41% |
Fallon Research | April 4–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 28% | 13% | 3% | – | 5% | 1% [upper-alpha 1] | 51% |
SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 509 | ± 5.3% | 21% | 21% | 4% | 5% | – | 3% [upper-alpha 2] | 46% |
Fallon Research | January 16–19, 2018 | 248 | – | 23% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 4% | – | 52% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Richard Cordray | 423,264 | 62.3 | |
Democratic | Dennis Kucinich | 155,694 | 22.9 | |
Democratic | Joe Schiavoni | 62,315 | 9.2 | |
Democratic | Bill O'Neill | 22,196 | 3.3 | |
Democratic | Paul Ray | 9,373 | 1.4 | |
Democratic | Larry Ealy | 6,896 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 679,738 | 100.0 |
Richard Cordray (D) |
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Mike DeWine (R) |
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The first debate was held on September 19, 2018. It featured only half of the participants in this election. As a result of this a complaint has been filed by the Ohio Libertarian party. [183] The complaint alleges that hosting the September 19 debate amounted to an illegal campaign contribution to DeWine and Cordray from UD. [184]
Host network/sponsors | Location | Date | Link(s) | Possible Participants | |||
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Richard Cordray (D) | Mike DeWine (R) | Travis Irvine (L) | Constance Gadell-Newton (G) | ||||
WHIO-TV | University of Dayton | September 19, 2018 | [185] | Invited | Invited | Not Invited | Not Invited |
WCMH-TV | Marietta College | October 1, 2018 | [186] | Invited | Invited | Not Invited | Not Invited |
Ohio Debate Commission | Cleveland State University | October 8, 2018 | [187] | Invited | Invited | Not Invited | Not Invited |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [189] | Tossup | September 14, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [190] | Tossup | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [191] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [192] | Tossup | September 14, 2018 |
Daily Kos [193] | Tossup | September 5, 2018 |
Fox News [194] [lower-alpha 1] | Tossup | October 10, 2018 |
Politico [195] | Tossup | October 9, 2018 |
Governing [196] | Tossup | October 2, 2018 |
The Washington Post [197] | Tossup | October 16, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [198] | Lean D | October 17, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike DeWine (R) | Richard Cordray (D) | Travis Irvine (L) | Constance Gadell- Newton (G) | Other | Undecided |
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Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 923 | – | 43% | 48% | 5% | 1% | – | – |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,948 | ± 2.2% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 7% | 5% |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | – | – | 2% | 10% |
Cygnal (R) | October 30–31, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
Gravis Marketing | October 29–30, 2018 | 789 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 48% | – | – | – | 9% |
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 566 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 2% | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University | October 19–27, 2018 | 1,051 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 39% | 4% | 2% | – | 16% |
41% | 42% | – | – | – | 17% | ||||
Suffolk University | October 4–8, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 0% [upper-alpha 3] | 10% |
Baldwin Wallace University | September 8 – October 8, 2018 | 1,017 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 37% | 4% | 3% | – | 15% |
42% | 39% | – | – | – | 19% | ||||
University of Akron | September 10 – October 4, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 36% | – | – | – | 27% |
Ipsos | September 13–21, 2018 | 1,074 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 2% | 9% |
Triton Polling & Research (R) | September 18–20, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 8% |
Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 564 LV | ± 5.0% | 44% | 44% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 6% |
47% | 47% | – | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
796 RV | ± 4.2% | 42% | 43% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 6% | ||
47% | 47% | – | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
Baldwin Wallace University | September 5–15, 2018 | 1,048 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 37% | – | – | – | 21% |
Morning Consult | September 2–11, 2018 | 1,592 | ± 2.0% | 39% | 38% | – | – | – | 23% |
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio) | August 31 – September 4, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 6% | 3% | – | – |
43% | 43% | – | – | – | 14% | ||||
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) | June 30 – July 10, 2018 | 1,485 | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | – | – | 3% | 17% |
Marist College | June 17–22, 2018 | 778 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | – | – | 2% | 11% |
Quinnipiac University | June 7–12, 2018 | 1,082 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | – | – | 2% | 14% |
Suffolk University | June 6–11, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 36% | 43% | – | 3% | 2% | 16% |
America First Action (R) | May 29–31, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 38% | – | – | – | 10% |
Fallon Research | May 21–25, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 34% | – | 1% | 3% [upper-alpha 4] | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | May 6–7, 2018 | 618 | ± 3.9% | 39% | 44% | – | – | – | 17% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | April 25–26, 2018 | 770 | ± 3.5% | 38% | 47% | – | – | – | 14% |
SurveyUSA | March 16–20, 2018 | 1,408 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 39% | – | – | – | 14% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) | January 22–23, 2018 | 585 | ± 4.1% | 45% | 44% | – | – | – | 11% |
Fallon Research | January 16–19, 2018 | 801 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 28% | – | – | – | 23% |
Luntz Global | June 12, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 31% | – | – | – | 14% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
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Republican | Mike DeWine | 2,231,917 | 50.39% | -13.25% | |
Democratic | Richard Cordray | 2,067,847 | 46.68% | +13.65% | |
Libertarian | Travis Irvine | 79,985 | 1.81% | N/A | |
Green | Constance Gadell-Newton | 49,475 | 1.12% | -2.21% | |
Independent | Renea Turner (write-in) | 185 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Independent | Richard Duncan (write-in) | 132 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Independent | Rebecca Ayres (write-in) | 41 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 4,429,582 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
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