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Turnout | 4,239,807 | |||||||||||||||||||
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County Results Whitmer: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Schuette: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Michigan | ||||||||||
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The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2018 took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Michigan, concurrently with the election of Michigan's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The Governor of Michigan is the chief executive of the U.S. state of Michigan. The current governor is Gretchen Whitmer, a member of the Democratic Party, who was inaugurated on January 1, 2019, as the state's 49th governor. She is eligible for a second term under Michigan's term limits, which limit a governor to only two, four-year terms.
The three classes of United States Senators are made up of 33 or 34 Senate seats each. The purpose of the classes is to determine which Senate seats will be up for election in a given year. The three groups are staggered such that all senators in each of the groups are up for election every two years, rather than having all 100 seats up for election at once. For example, the 33 Senate seats of class 1 were up for election in 2018, the elections for the 33 seats of class 2 will take place in 2020, and the elections for the 34 seats of class 3 will be held in 2022.
The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they compose the legislature of the United States.
The filing deadline was April 24, 2018. The Republican, Democratic and Libertarian parties chose their nominees in a partisan primary on August 7, 2018. [1] 2018 is the first year for the Libertarian Party to hold a gubernatorial primary alongside the two other major parties in the state of Michigan. [2] The Working Class Party, U.S. Taxpayers Party, Green Party and Natural Law Party chose their nominees at state party conventions. [3]
The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.
The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.
The Libertarian Party (LP) is a political party in the United States that promotes civil liberties, non-interventionism, laissez-faire capitalism and shrinking the size and scope of government. The party was conceived at meetings in the home of David F. Nolan in Westminster, Colorado in 1971 and was officially formed on December 11, 1971 in Colorado Springs, Colorado. The founding of the party was prompted in part due to concerns about the Nixon administration, the Vietnam War, conscription and the end of the gold standard.
Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder was term-limited. [4]
Richard Dale Snyder is an American politician, business executive, venture capitalist, lawyer and accountant who served as the 48th governor of Michigan from 2011 to 2019. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Democrat Gretchen Whitmer was elected with 53.3% of the vote. [5]
William Duncan Schuette is an American lawyer and politician who served as the 53rd Attorney General of Michigan from January 1st, 2011 to January 1st, 2019 He was the unsuccessful Republican nominee for Governor of Michigan in the 2018 gubernatorial election, losing to Democrat Gretchen Whitmer.
The Attorney General of Michigan is the fourth-ranking official in the U.S. state of Michigan. The officeholder is elected statewide in the November general election alongside the governor, lieutenant governor, secretary of state, members of the Senate and members of the House of Representatives.
Brian Nelson Calley is an American politician who served as the 63rd lieutenant governor of Michigan, from 2011 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party, Calley served as a member of the Michigan House of Representatives from 2007 to 2011.
Patrick J. Colbeck is a devout Christian, aerospace engineer, author, former elected official, and former candidate for Governor in Michigan. He was born October 7, 1965 in Dearborn, MI. He is perhaps best known for his service as a Republican two-term member of the Michigan Senate, representing the northwestern portion of Wayne County.
The Christian Medical & Dental Associations ® (CMDA) is made up of the Christian Medical Association and the Christian Dental Association. As of 2018, CMDA had over 19,000 members. It is the United States affiliate of the International Christian Medical & Dental Associations.
Jim Hines |
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Patrick Colbeck |
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Brian Calley |
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Host network | Date | Link(s) | Participants | |||||
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Bill Schuette | Patrick Colbeck | Brian Calley | Jim Hines | |||||
WOOD-TV | May 9, 2018 | [42] | Invited | Invited | Invited | Invited | ||
WDIV-TV | June 28, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited | Invited |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Calley | Patrick Colbeck | Jim Hines | Bill Schuette | Other | Undecided |
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Mitchell Research | July 30, 2018 | 413 | ± 5.0% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 40% | – | 23% |
EPIC-MRA | July 21–22, 2018 | 1,045 | ± 3.1% | 24% | 11% | 8% | 42% | – | 15% |
Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 202 | ± 7.3% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 35% | – | 36% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 337 | ± 6.3% | 26% | 11% | – | 33% | 1% | 30% |
JMC Analytics | July 5–12, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 25% | – | 45% |
Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 45% | – | 21% |
NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) | June 18–21, 2018 | – | – | 23% | – | – | 45% | – | 29% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | May 22–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 6% | 1% | 42% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | April 29 – May 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 42% | – | – |
Glengariff Group | April 19–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 0% [43] | 34% |
Denno Research | April 2–3, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 23% | – | 59% |
Strategic National (R) | March 19–20, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 27% | – | 45% |
Marketing Resource Group | March 13–17, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 29% | – | 54% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | February 10–13, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 42% | – | – |
Strategic National (R) | December 16–17, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 30% | – | 44% |
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 14% | <5% | <5% | 38% | – | – |
Mitchell Research | September 21–24, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 13% | – | – | 52% | – | 36% |
Marketing Resource Group | September 13–18, 2017 | 216 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 33% | – | 48% |
Target-Insyght | July 25–27, 2017 | 344 | ± 5.4% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 42% | – | 39% |
Marketing Resource Group | May 8–11, 2017 | 216 | ± 4.0% | 11% | – | 7% | 32% | – | 51% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Bill Schuette | 501,959 | 50.7 | |
Republican | Brian Calley | 249,185 | 25.2 | |
Republican | Patrick Colbeck | 129,646 | 13.1 | |
Republican | Jim Hines | 108,735 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 989,525 | 100.0 |
Abdul El-Sayed |
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Host network | Date | Participants | ||||
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Abdul El-Sayed | Shri Thanedar | Gretchen Whitmer | ||||
WOOD-TV | June 20, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited | ||
WDIV-TV | July 19, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Cobbs | Abdul El-Sayed | Shri Thanedar | Gretchen Whitmer | Other | Undecided |
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EPIC-MRA | July 21–22, 2018 | 1,054 | ± 3.1% | – | 19% | 22% | 49% | – | 10% |
Change Research (D-El-Sayed) | July 20–21, 2018 | 1,503 | – | – | 27% | 15% | 33% | – | 24% |
Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 282 | ± 6.4% | – | 12% | 17% | 39% | – | 31% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 442 | ± 5.5% | – | 22% | 27% | 31% | <1% | 20% |
Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | – | 17% | 19% | 40% | 2% | 22% |
Glengariff Group | April 20–22, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 3% | 7% | 30% | 26% | – | 35% |
Denno Research | April 6–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 2% | 2% | 15% | 17% | – | 63% |
Marketing Resource Group | March 13–17, 2018 | 233 | ± 6.4% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 18% | – | 48% |
Target-Insyght | March 6–8, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 4% | 6% | 20% | 34% | 3% | 33% |
EPIC-MRA (D-Thanedar) | February 17–22, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 3% | 8% | 24% | 34% | – | 31% |
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 4% | 13% | 2% | 45% | 8% | 28% |
Marketing Resource Group | September 13–18, 2017 | 255 | ± 4.0% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 27% | – | 58% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer | 588,436 | 52.0 | |
Democratic | Abdul El-Sayed | 342,179 | 30.2 | |
Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 200,645 | 17.7 | |
Total votes | 1,131,447 | 100.0 |
The Libertarian Party is one of three parties that have a primary in Michigan. [84]
John Tatar |
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Host network | Date | Participants | |||
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Bill Gelineau | John Tatar | ||||
WOOD-TV [86] | July 15, 2018 | Invited | Invited | ||
WJBK-TV [87] | July 22, 2018 | Invited | Invited |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Libertarian | Bill Gelineau | 4,034 | 57.8 | |
Libertarian | John Tatar | 2,941 | 42.2 | |
Total votes | 6,975 | 100.0 |
The Green Party chose candidates for the 2018 ballot at its state convention on May 5, 2018 at the University of Michigan-Flint. [88]
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [90] | Lean D | October 16, 2018 |
The Washington Post [91] | Lean D | October 16, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [92] | Likely D | October 25, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [93] | Lean D | October 12, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [94] | Likely D | October 11, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [95] | Lean D | October 12, 2018 |
Daily Kos [96] | Lean D | October 5, 2018 |
Fox News [97] [lower-alpha 1] | Likely D | October 12, 2018 |
Politico [98] | Lean D | October 12, 2018 |
Governing [99] | Lean D | October 2, 2018 |
Gretchen Whitmer (D) [127] |
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Bill Gelineau (L) [152] |
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Todd Schleiger (USTP) [153] |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Schuette (R) | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Bill Gelineau (L) | Other | Undecided |
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Mitchell Research | November 5, 2018 | 827 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 48% | – | 5% | 6% |
Mitchell Research | November 4, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 54% | – | 1% | 1% |
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 880 | – | 43% | 51% | 2% | 3% [154] | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | – | 1% | 9% |
Glengariff Group | October 25–27, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 50% | 2% | 2% [155] | 9% |
Emerson College | October 24–26, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 52% | – | 3% | 4% |
Mitchell Research | October 25, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4% | 4% |
Target-Insyght | October 22–24, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 4% [156] | 4% |
EPIC-MRA | October 18–23, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
Michigan State University | October 13–22, 2018 | 169 | – | 39% | 47% | – | – | – |
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | October 15–21, 2018 | 906 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 47% | 4% | 6% [157] | 11% |
38% | 48% | – | – | 13% | ||||
Marketing Resource Group | October 14–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 50% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | October 8–14, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 36% | 46% | 3% | 2% [158] | 13% |
Mitchell Research | September 30 – October 7, 2018 | 654 | ± 3.8% | 38% | 46% | – | 6% | 10% |
Glengariff Group | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 35% | 47% | – | 5% | 13% |
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | September 24–30, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 49% | 2% | 2% [158] | 10% |
EPIC-MRA | September 21–25, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 45% | 2% | 5% | 11% |
Ipsos | September 14–24, 2018 | 1,150 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 52% | – | 4% | 6% |
Target-Insyght | September 10–14, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – |
Mitchell Research | September 12–13, 2018 | 1,009 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 48% | – | 5% | 9% |
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | September 8–13, 2018 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 38% | 45% | 3% | 3% [158] | 11% |
Strategic National (R) | September 8–9, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 39% | 49% | – | – | 12% |
Glengariff Group | September 5–7, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 50% | 2% | 4% [159] | 10% |
Gravis Marketing | August 14–16, 2018 | 647 | ± 3.9% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 11% |
Strategic National (R) | August 13–14, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 36% | 45% | – | 2% | 17% |
Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 36% | 43% | – | 9% | 12% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 886 | ± 3.9% | 38% | 47% | – | 1% | 14% |
Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | – | – | 20% |
NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) | June 18–21, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | – | – | 20% |
EPIC-MRA | April 30 – May 3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 43% | – | – | 19% |
Glengariff Group | January 16–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 40% | – | – | 25% |
Michigan State University | September 14, 2017 – January 18, 2018 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 35% | 41% | – | – | 24% |
EPIC-MRA | December 9–13, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 35% | – | – | 27% |
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 40% | 41% | – | – | 19% |
EPIC-MRA | August 27 – September 1, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 37% | – | – | 26% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Campaign finance reports as of August 27, 2018 | |||
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Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Gretchen Whitmer (D) | $7,134,218.66 | $5,599,850.57 | $1,534,368.09 |
Bill Schuette (R) | $6,175,889.09 | $4,741,577.63 | $1,434,311.46 |
Bill Gelineau (L) | $54,785.88 | $51,267.71 | $3,518.17 |
Source: Michigan Department of State [160] |
Two televised debates between Schuette and Whitmer were scheduled. The first debate was held on Friday, October 12 hosted by Grand Rapids television station WOOD-TV. [161] [162] That debate mainly concentrated on issues and there were no surprises or major errors from either candidate. [163] The second debate was hosted by Detroit television station WDIV and was held on Wednesday, October 24. [164] The two again clashed on various issues, [165] but Schuette made a blooper when he mixed up Whitmer's name with that of former governor Jennifer Granholm. [166] [167]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
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Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer | 2,266,193 | 53.31% | +6.45% | |
Republican | Bill Schuette | 1,859,534 | 43.75% | -7.17% | |
Libertarian | Bill Gelineau | 56,606 | 1.33% | +0.20% | |
Taxpayers | Todd Schleiger | 29,219 | 0.69% | +0.08% | |
Green | Jennifer Kurland | 28,799 | 0.68% | +0.21% | |
Natural Law | Keith Butkovich | 10,202 | 0.24% | N/A | |
n/a | Write-ins | 32 | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
Total votes | 4,250,585 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
Gretchen Esther Whitmer is an American politician serving as the 49th governor of Michigan since January 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, she served as a Michigan state representative from 2001 to 2006 and a Michigan state senator from 2006 to 2015. Whitmer won the gubernatorial election on November 6, 2018, defeating Republican nominee Bill Schuette, and was sworn into office on January 1, 2019.
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. Representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate in 33 other states and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018. Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report has rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.
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