Michigan gubernatorial election, 2018

Last updated

Michigan gubernatorial election, 2018
Flag of Michigan.svg
  2014 November 6, 20182022 
Turnout4,239,807
  Gretchen Whitmer Portrait.jpg President Donald Trump with Bill Schuette (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Gretchen Whitmer Bill Schuette
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Garlin Gilchrist Lisa Posthumus Lyons
Popular vote2,266,1931,859,534
Percentage53.3%43.8%

Michigan Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County Results
Whitmer:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Schuette:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Rick Snyder
Republican

Elected Governor

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic

The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2018 took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Michigan, concurrently with the election of Michigan's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Governor of Michigan head of state and of government of the U.S. state of Michigan

The Governor of Michigan is the chief executive of the U.S. state of Michigan. The current governor is Gretchen Whitmer, a member of the Democratic Party, who was inaugurated on January 1, 2019, as the state's 49th governor. She is eligible for a second term under Michigan's term limits, which limit a governor to only two, four-year terms.

The three classes of United States Senators are made up of 33 or 34 Senate seats each. The purpose of the classes is to determine which Senate seats will be up for election in a given year. The three groups are staggered such that all senators in each of the groups are up for election every two years, rather than having all 100 seats up for election at once. For example, the 33 Senate seats of class 1 were up for election in 2018, the elections for the 33 seats of class 2 will take place in 2020, and the elections for the 34 seats of class 3 will be held in 2022.

United States House of Representatives lower house of the United States Congress

The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they compose the legislature of the United States.

Contents

The filing deadline was April 24, 2018. The Republican, Democratic and Libertarian parties chose their nominees in a partisan primary on August 7, 2018. [1] 2018 is the first year for the Libertarian Party to hold a gubernatorial primary alongside the two other major parties in the state of Michigan. [2] The Working Class Party, U.S. Taxpayers Party, Green Party and Natural Law Party chose their nominees at state party conventions. [3]

Republican Party (United States) Major political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Democratic Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.

Libertarian Party (United States) national political party in United States

The Libertarian Party (LP) is a political party in the United States that promotes civil liberties, non-interventionism, laissez-faire capitalism and shrinking the size and scope of government. The party was conceived at meetings in the home of David F. Nolan in Westminster, Colorado in 1971 and was officially formed on December 11, 1971 in Colorado Springs, Colorado. The founding of the party was prompted in part due to concerns about the Nixon administration, the Vietnam War, conscription and the end of the gold standard.

Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder was term-limited. [4]

Rick Snyder American politician and business executive

Richard Dale Snyder is an American politician, business executive, venture capitalist, lawyer and accountant who served as the 48th governor of Michigan from 2011 to 2019. He is a member of the Republican Party.

Democrat Gretchen Whitmer was elected with 53.3% of the vote. [5]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Bill Schuette American politician

William Duncan Schuette is an American lawyer and politician who served as the 53rd Attorney General of Michigan from January 1st, 2011 to January 1st, 2019 He was the unsuccessful Republican nominee for Governor of Michigan in the 2018 gubernatorial election, losing to Democrat Gretchen Whitmer.

Michigan Attorney General attorney general for the U.S. state of Michigan

The Attorney General of Michigan is the fourth-ranking official in the U.S. state of Michigan. The officeholder is elected statewide in the November general election alongside the governor, lieutenant governor, secretary of state, members of the Senate and members of the House of Representatives.

Eliminated in primary

Brian Calley politician

Brian Nelson Calley is an American politician who served as the 63rd lieutenant governor of Michigan, from 2011 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party, Calley served as a member of the Michigan House of Representatives from 2007 to 2011.

Patrick J. Colbeck is a devout Christian, aerospace engineer, author, former elected official, and former candidate for Governor in Michigan. He was born October 7, 1965 in Dearborn, MI. He is perhaps best known for his service as a Republican two-term member of the Michigan Senate, representing the northwestern portion of Wayne County.

Christian Medical and Dental Associations organization

The Christian Medical & Dental Associations ® (CMDA) is made up of the Christian Medical Association and the Christian Dental Association. As of 2018, CMDA had over 19,000 members. It is the United States affiliate of the International Christian Medical & Dental Associations.

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Hines
Organizations
  • Right to Life of Michigan [19]
Patrick Colbeck
U.S. Senators
State officials
Media Personalities
Businessmen
  • Bob Lutz, Former General Motors Vice-Chairman and ex-Chrysler President [25]
Other
  • Jack R. Lousma, former NASA astronaut and retired USMC colonel [26]
  • Mark Gurley, co-director of the Michigan Oak Initiative and as the Grassroots vice-chair for the MIGOP [27]
  • Dawn Dodge, Speakers Bureau Director for the Republican Women's Federation of Michigan [28]
  • Wes Nakagiri, Michigan Tea Party Leader, One of the 17 Republican At-Large Delegates sent to the 2016 Republican National Convention
Organizations
  • Right to Life of Michigan [19]
  • Michigan Vaccine Freedom PAC [29]
Brian Calley
U.S. Governors
U.S. Representatives
State and local officials
Individuals
Organizations
  • Right to Life of Michigan [19]
  • Grand Rapids Area Chamber of Commerce [37]
  • Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce [38]
  • Home Builders Association of Michigan [39]
  • Michigan Vaccine Freedom PAC [29]
Newspapers

Debates

Host
network
DateLink(s)Participants
Bill
Schuette
Patrick
Colbeck
Brian
Calley
Jim
Hines
WOOD-TV May 9, 2018 [42] InvitedInvitedInvitedInvited
WDIV-TV June 28, 2018InvitedInvitedInvitedInvited

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Brian
Calley
Patrick
Colbeck
Jim
Hines
Bill
Schuette
OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research July 30, 2018413± 5.0%18%9%10%40%23%
EPIC-MRA July 21–22, 20181,045± 3.1%24%11%8%42%15%
Emerson College July 19–21, 2018202± 7.3%13%7%9%35%36%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018337± 6.3%26%11%33%1%30%
JMC Analytics July 5–12, 2018600± 4.0%17%10%4%25%45%
Target-Insyght June 24–26, 2018400± 5.0%16%8%4%45%21%
NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) June 18–21, 201823%45%29%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) May 22–24, 2018500± 4.4%19%6%1%42%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) April 29 – May 1, 2018600± 4.0%20%6%2%42%
Glengariff Group April 19–21, 2018400± 4.9%23%4%1%36%0% [43] 34%
Denno Research April 2–3, 2018500± 4.0%13%4%1%23%59%
Strategic National (R) March 19–20, 2018400± 4.9%18%7%3%27%45%
Marketing Resource Group March 13–17, 2018600± 4.0%13%2%2%29%54%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) February 10–13, 2018800± 3.4%15%5%2%42%
Strategic National (R) December 16–17, 2017600± 4.0%19%5%2%30%44%
Target-Insyght November 1–6, 2017400± 5.0%14%<5%<5%38%
Mitchell Research September 21–24, 2017400± 5.0%13%52%36%
Marketing Resource Group September 13–18, 2017216± 4.0%13%3%3%33%48%
Target-Insyght July 25–27, 2017344± 5.4%14%4%1%42%39%
Marketing Resource Group May 8–11, 2017216± 4.0%11%7%32%51%

Results

Results by county:
Schuette
Schuette--60-70%
Schuette--50-60%
Schuette--40-50%
Schuette--<40%
Calley
Calley--<40%
Calley--40-50%
Calley--50-60% 2018 MI gubernatorial GOP primary.svg
Results by county:
Republican primary results [44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Schuette501,95950.7
Republican Brian Calley249,18525.2
Republican Patrick Colbeck129,64613.1
Republican Jim Hines108,73511.0
Total votes989,525100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Write-In

  • Bill C. Cobbs, businessman [48]

Declined

Endorsements

Abdul El-Sayed
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
  • Abdullah Hammoud, State Representative [65]
Organizations
Celebrities
Political candidates
Other individuals

Debates

Host
network
DateParticipants
Abdul
El-Sayed
Shri
Thanedar
Gretchen
Whitmer
WOOD-TV June 20, 2018InvitedInvitedInvited
WDIV-TV July 19, 2018InvitedInvitedInvited

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Cobbs
Abdul
El-Sayed
Shri
Thanedar
Gretchen
Whitmer
OtherUndecided
EPIC-MRA July 21–22, 20181,054± 3.1%19%22%49%10%
Change Research (D-El-Sayed) July 20–21, 20181,50327%15%33%24%
Emerson College July 19–21, 2018282± 6.4%12%17%39%31%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018442± 5.5%22%27%31%<1%20%
Target-Insyght June 24–26, 2018400± 5.0%17%19%40%2%22%
Glengariff Group April 20–22, 2018400± 4.9%3%7%30%26%35%
Denno Research April 6–7, 2018500± 4.0%2%2%15%17%63%
Marketing Resource Group March 13–17, 2018233± 6.4%3%10%21%18%48%
Target-Insyght March 6–8, 2018500± 4.5%4%6%20%34%3%33%
EPIC-MRA (D-Thanedar) February 17–22, 2018600± 4.0%3%8%24%34%31%
Target-Insyght November 1–6, 2017400± 5.0%4%13%2%45%8%28%
Marketing Resource Group September 13–18, 2017255± 4.0%8%4%3%27%58%

Results

Results by county:
Whitmer
Whitmer--60-70%
Whitmer--50-60%
Whitmer--40-50% 2018 MI gubernatorial Dem primary.svg
Results by county:
Democratic primary results [44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gretchen Whitmer588,43652.0
Democratic Abdul El-Sayed342,17930.2
Democratic Shri Thanedar200,64517.7
Total votes1,131,447100.0

Libertarian primary

The Libertarian Party is one of three parties that have a primary in Michigan. [84]

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in Primary

Endorsements

John Tatar
Organizations
  • Michigan Vaccine Freedom PAC [29]

Debates

Host
network
DateParticipants
Bill
Gelineau
John
Tatar
WOOD-TV [86] July 15, 2018InvitedInvited
WJBK-TV [87] July 22, 2018InvitedInvited

Results

Libertarian primary results [44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Bill Gelineau4,03457.8
Libertarian John Tatar2,94142.2
Total votes6,975100.0

Green Convention

The Green Party chose candidates for the 2018 ballot at its state convention on May 5, 2018 at the University of Michigan-Flint. [88]

Candidates

Declared & Nominated

  • Jennifer Kurland, President of the Redford Union School Board [88]

U.S. Taxpayers Party

Candidates

Declared & Nominated

  • Todd Schleiger

Natural Law Party

Candidates

Declared & Nominated

  • Keith Butkovich [89]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [90] Lean DOctober 16, 2018
The Washington Post [91] Lean DOctober 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [92] Likely DOctober 25, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [93] Lean DOctober 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [94] Likely DOctober 11, 2018
RealClearPolitics [95] Lean DOctober 12, 2018
Daily Kos [96] Lean DOctober 5, 2018
Fox News [97] [lower-alpha 1] Likely DOctober 12, 2018
Politico [98] Lean DOctober 12, 2018
Governing [99] Lean DOctober 2, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

Bill Schuette (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
U.S. Governors
U.S. Representatives
State Representatives [111]
State Senators [111]
Organizations
Local officials
Other individuals
Gretchen Whitmer (D) [127]
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States [128]
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and Former U.S Senator, DE [129]
  • Hillary Clinton, 67th U.S. Secretary of State, former U.S. Senator (D-NY), former First Lady of the United States, 2016 Democratic Nominee for President [130]
  • Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General [131]
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Notable Individuals
Bill Gelineau (L) [152]
Notable Individuals
  • Mary Buzuma, 2014 Candidate for Governor
  • Kenneth Proctor, 2010 Candidate for Governor
  • Greg Creswell, 2006 Candidate for Governor
Todd Schleiger (USTP) [153]
Organizations
  • The Modern Whig Party
  • The Education Watchdogs
  • Protect OutStolen Treasures

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bill
Schuette (R)
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Bill
Gelineau (L)
OtherUndecided
Mitchell Research November 5, 2018827± 3.4%41%48%5%6%
Mitchell Research November 4, 2018701± 3.7%40%54%1%1%
Change Research November 2–4, 201888043%51%2%3% [154]
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%43%47%1%9%
Glengariff Group October 25–27, 2018600± 4.0%38%50%2%2% [155] 9%
Emerson College October 24–26, 2018822± 3.6%41%52%3%4%
Mitchell Research October 25, 2018400± 5.0%43%48%4%4%
Target-Insyght October 22–24, 2018800± 3.0%44%48%1%4% [156] 4%
EPIC-MRA October 18–23, 2018600± 4.0%41%46%3%3%7%
Michigan State University October 13–22, 201816939%47%
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) October 15–21, 2018906± 3.3%36%47%4%6% [157] 11%
38%48%13%
Marketing Resource Group October 14–18, 2018600± 4.0%36%50%2%4%7%
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) October 8–14, 2018800± 3.5%36%46%3%2% [158] 13%
Mitchell Research September 30 – October 7, 2018654± 3.8%38%46%6%10%
Glengariff Group September 30 – October 2, 2018600± 4.0%35%47%5%13%
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) September 24–30, 2018800± 3.5%37%49%2%2% [158] 10%
EPIC-MRA September 21–25, 2018600± 4.0%37%45%2%5%11%
Ipsos September 14–24, 20181,150± 3.0%39%52%4%6%
Target-Insyght September 10–14, 2018800± 3.0%41%50%
Mitchell Research September 12–13, 20181,009± 3.0%38%48%5%9%
ALG Research (D-Whitmer) September 8–13, 2018798± 3.5%38%45%3%3% [158] 11%
Strategic National (R) September 8–9, 20181,000± 3.1%39%49%12%
Glengariff Group September 5–7, 2018600± 4.0%36%50%2%4% [159] 10%
Gravis Marketing August 14–16, 2018647± 3.9%37%52%11%
Strategic National (R) August 13–14, 2018700± 3.7%36%45%2%17%
Emerson College July 19–21, 2018600± 4.3%36%43%9%12%
Marist College July 15–19, 2018886± 3.9%38%47%1%14%
Target-Insyght June 24–26, 2018800± 3.0%37%42%20%
NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) June 18–21, 2018800± 3.5%39%40%20%
EPIC-MRA April 30 – May 3, 2018600± 4.0%38%43%19%
Glengariff Group January 16–19, 2018600± 4.0%33%40%25%
Michigan State University September 14, 2017 – January 18, 2018963± 3.2%35%41%24%
EPIC-MRA December 9–13, 2017600± 4.0%38%35%27%
Target-Insyght November 1–6, 20171,000± 3.6%40%41%19%
EPIC-MRA August 27 – September 1, 2017600± 4.0%37%37%26%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of August 27, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Gretchen Whitmer (D)$7,134,218.66$5,599,850.57$1,534,368.09
Bill Schuette (R)$6,175,889.09$4,741,577.63$1,434,311.46
Bill Gelineau (L)$54,785.88$51,267.71$3,518.17
Source: Michigan Department of State [160]

Debates

Two televised debates between Schuette and Whitmer were scheduled. The first debate was held on Friday, October 12 hosted by Grand Rapids television station WOOD-TV. [161] [162] That debate mainly concentrated on issues and there were no surprises or major errors from either candidate. [163] The second debate was hosted by Detroit television station WDIV and was held on Wednesday, October 24. [164] The two again clashed on various issues, [165] but Schuette made a blooper when he mixed up Whitmer's name with that of former governor Jennifer Granholm. [166] [167]

Results

Michigan gubernatorial election, 2018 [5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Democratic Gretchen Whitmer 2,266,193 53.31% +6.45%
Republican Bill Schuette1,859,53443.75%-7.17%
Libertarian Bill Gelineau56,6061.33%+0.20%
Taxpayers Todd Schleiger29,2190.69%+0.08%
Green Jennifer Kurland28,7990.68%+0.21%
Natural Law Keith Butkovich10,2020.24%N/A
n/a Write-ins320.00%0.00%
Total votes4,250,585100.0%N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

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  109. Bill Schuette. "Great news! I am happy to announce that 7th District Congressman Tim Walberg has endorsed my campaign for Governor! With Congressman Walberg's support, we will cut taxes and create bigger paychecks in Michigan! #PaycheckAgenda". Twitter.
  110. Bill Schuette. "Join Mike Bishop and I this morning in Rochester Hills to knock doors and make phone calls!". Twitter.
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  129. name="Marc Daalder" group="Detroit Free Press">Daalder, Marc. "Joe Biden endorses Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan's governor race". Detroit Free Press. Marc Daalder. Retrieved 15 August 2018.
  130. Hillary Clinton. ".@GretchenWhitmer never backs down from tackling the problems facing Michigan's working families, and she was a key leader in addressing Detroit's financial crisis. The Flint water crisis was a powerful motivator in Gretchen's decision to jump in the race". Twitter.
  131. Gretchen Whitmer. "Thank you @EricHolder for your support! #LetsGetItDone". Twitter.
  132. Debbie Stabenow. "Garlin Gilchrist II is a tremendous choice! He's a proven problem solver and community leader with a strong background in technology. @Gretchenwhitmer and @garlin are the partners in Lansing we need to get things done for MI families!". Twitter.
  133. Gary Peters. "We need leaders in Lansing who will expand access to affordable health care and fight for middle class families. That's why I'm proud to support @gretchenwhitmer for Governor and @garlin for Lieutenant Governor! #MIGOV". Twitter.
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  135. Gretchen Whitmer. "I'm proud to have the support of @BernieSanders! Join us Friday, October 19th for a rally with Senator Sanders at @UMich's Rackham Auditorium". Twitter.
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  137. Jay Inslee. "Bill Schuette may call her Jennifer, but I'm looking forward to calling @gretchenwhitmer Governor. #migov". Twitter.
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  139. Garlin Gilchrist. "Enjoyed the opportunity to sit down and engage with the Genesee County Democratic Party and special guest former Lieutenant Governor, Honorable John Cherry. Thank you for building our people power to #StandTALLforMichigan". Twitter.
  140. Curtis Hertel Jr. "Proud to support @gretchenwhitmer for Governor!". Twitter.
  141. Gretchen Whitmer. "Thank you Rep. Sneller for your support!". Twitter.
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  144. Gretchen Whitmer. "Elections are won through hard work and determination. I'm so grateful for the support of @mayormikeduggan and everyone who put in the work to help us win. Now let's get to work and make sure we do it again in November!". Twitter.
  145. Randick, Michael (November 14, 2017). "Iron Workers Local 25 Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". Praise 102.7.
  146. Bieber, Ron (April 11, 2018). "Michigan AFL-CIO Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor - Michigan AFL-CIO". Michigan AFL-CIO.
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  153. "Endorsements from Todd Schleiger's website" (PDF). August 11, 2018. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  154. Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers), Jennifer Kurkland (G), and Keith Butkovich (Natural Law) with 1%
  155. Includes Jennifer Kurkland (G), Keith Butkovich (Natural Law), Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers) with 1%
  156. Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers) with 2%, Jennifer Kurland (G) with 1%, Keith Butkovich (Natural Law) with 1%
  157. Includes Jennifer Kurland (G) with 2%
  158. 1 2 3 Jennifer Kurland (G)
  159. Includes Jennifer Kurland (G) with 0.8%, Keith Butkovich (NL) with 0.5%, and Todd Schleiger (UST) with 0.5%. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=822587
  160. "Campaign finance data" . Retrieved September 24, 2018.
  161. https://www.woodtv.com/news/elections/schuette-whitmer-to-debate-in-grand-rapids/1445190354
  162. Complete video of debate, October 12, 2018
  163. https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/12/whitmer-schuette-spar-grand-rapids-debate/1617151002/
  164. https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-elections/local-4-to-host-bill-schuette-gretchen-whitmer-for-gubernatorial-debate-on-oct-24
  165. https://www.mlive.com/news/index.ssf/2018/10/governor_candidates_talk_uia_s.html
  166. https://www.mlive.com/news/index.ssf/2018/10/learn_my_name_whitmer_says_aft.html
  167. Complete video of debate, October 24, 2018
Official campaign websites