Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018

Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018
	County Results; Ige: 60-70% 70–80%
Governor before election; David Ige ; Democratic	Elected Governor ; David Ige ; Democratic

Last updated April 06, 2019

The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Hawaii and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii.

The Governor of Hawaii is the chief executive of the state of Hawaii and its various agencies and departments, as provided in the Hawaii State Constitution Article V, Sections 1 through 6. It is a directly elected position, votes being cast by popular suffrage of residents of the state. The governor is responsible for enforcing laws passed by the Hawaii State Legislature and upholding rulings of the Hawaii State Judiciary. The role includes being commander-in-chief of the armed forces of Hawaii and having the power to use those forces to execute laws, suppress insurrection and violence and repel invasion. The Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii becomes acting governor upon the officeholder's absence from the state or if the person is unable to discharge the powers and duties of the office. Historically, the Governor of Hawaii has been from either the Democratic Party of Hawaii or Hawaii Republican Party.

The Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii is the assistant chief executive of the U.S. state of Hawaii and its various agencies and departments, as provided in the Article V, Sections 2 though 6 of the Constitution of Hawaii. Elected by popular suffrage of residents of the state on the same ticket as the Governor of Hawaii, the officeholder is concurrently the Secretary of State of Hawaii.

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.

David Yutaka Ige is an American politician serving as the eighth governor of Hawaii since 2014. A Democrat, he previously served in the Hawaii State Senate. In the 2014 gubernatorial election, he won the Democratic primary by defeating incumbent Governor Neil Abercrombie, and won the general election by defeating former Republican Lieutenant Governor Duke Aiona. He won re-election to a second term in 2018.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Ernest Caravalho, Democratic Party of Hawaii, Chair, House District 29^[1]
Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 ^[2]^[3]^[4]
David Ige, incumbent Governor^[2]^[5]
Wendell Kaehuaea, security guard and perennial candidate ^[6]
Van Tanabe

Colleen Wakako Hanabusa is an American politician who served as the U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 1st congressional district from 2011 to 2015 and again from 2016 to 2019. She is a member of the Democratic Party and ran for her party's nomination for Governor of Hawaii in 2018, challenging and losing to incumbent Governor and fellow Democrat David Ige.

A perennial candidate is a political candidate who frequently runs for an elected office but seldom wins. The term is not generally extended to incumbent politicians who successfully defend their seats repeatedly.

Withdrew

Clayton Hee, former State Senator and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2014 ^[7]^[8]

Clayton H. W. Hee was a Democratic Party member of the Hawaii Senate, representing the 23rd District from 2004 to 2014. Hee served as chairman of the state Senate's Judiciary and Labor Committee.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige	Colleen Hanabusa	Clayton Hee	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	43%	34%	–	18%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	44%	40%	–	16%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	June 21 – July 6, 2018	518	± 4.4%	31%	57%	–	11%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	April 21 – May 7, 2018	888	± 3.4%	23%	52%	6%	19%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	31%	37%	11%	16%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	27%	47%	11%	15%

Results

Democratic primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	124,528	51.3
	Democratic	Colleen Hanabusa	107,583	44.3
	Democratic	Ernest Caravahlo	5,659	2.3
	Democratic	Wendell Ka'ehu'ae'a	2,293	0.9
	Democratic	Van Tanabe	1,575	0.6
	n/a	Blank votes	5,112	2.1
	n/a	Over votes	302	0.1
Total votes			247,052	100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Bernard Carvalho, Mayor of Kauai County ^[10]
Will Espero, State Senate Vice President and candidate for HI-01 in 2014 ^[11]
Josh Green, State Senator^[3]^[12]^[11]
Kim Coco Iwamoto, former state Board of Education member^[13]
Jill Tokuda, State Senator ^[2]

Bernard P. Carvalho Jr. is an American politician and former football player serving as Mayor of Kauai in Hawaii since December 1, 2008. Carvalho was elected in November 2008 to complete the unexpired term of former Mayor Bryan J. Baptiste, who died in office in June 2008.

The Mayor of Kauaʻi is the chief executive officer of the County of Kauaʻi in the state of Hawaiʻi. He or she has municipal jurisdiction over the islands of Kauaʻi and Ni’ihau. Derek Kawakami was elected on November 6, 2018 as the mayor of Kauaʻi over JoAnn A. Yukimura, who was Kauaʻi's mayor from 1988 to 1992, with 15,857 votes out of 40,323 registered voters in the County of Kauaʻi. The Mayor of Kauaʻi is the successor of the Royal Governors of Kauaʻi of the Kingdom of Hawaii.

Kauaʻi County is a county in the U.S. state of Hawaiʻi. It consists of the islands of Kauaʻi, Niʻihau, Lehua, and Kaʻula. As of the 2010 Census the population was 67,091. The county seat is Līhuʻe.

Withdrew

Alan Arakawa, Mayor of Maui County ^[14] (running for Maui County Council)^[15]

Alan M. Arakawa is an American politician who served as the fifth and seventh mayor of the County of Maui in Hawaii.

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bernard Carvalho	Will Espero	Josh Green	Kim Coco Iwamoto	Jill Tokuda	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	13%	5%	31%	10%	17%	26%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	14%	6%	34%	10%	14%	22%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	19%	8%	16%	14%	11%	32%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	14%	9%	19%	5%	12%	41%

Results

Democratic primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Josh Green	74,819	30.2
	Democratic	Jill Tokuda	68,107	27.5
	Democratic	Bernard P. Carvalho	45,802	18.5
	Democratic	Kim Coco Iwamoto	34,218	13.8
	Democratic	Will Espero	15,459	6.2
	n/a	Blank votes	9,201	3.7
	n/a	Over votes	220	0.1
Total votes			247,826	100.0

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

John Carroll, former State Representative, former State Senator and perennial candidate^[6]^[16]
Ray L'Heureux, president and chairman of the Education Institute of Hawaii, Former Assistant Superintendent, and retired U.S. Marine colonel^[17]
Andria Tupola, Minority Leader of the Hawaii House of Representatives^[18]^[16]

Withdrew

Bob McDermott, State Representative and nominee for HI-02 in 2002 ^[19]^[20]

Endorsements

Andria Tupola

Newspapers

Maui Time ^[21]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Carroll	Raymond L'Heureux	Andria Tupola	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	219	± 6.6%	22%	4%	39%	22%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	143	± 8.4%	28%	8%	41%	23%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	134	± 8.6%	40%	–	28%	32%

Results

Republican primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Andria Tupola	17,282	53.0
	Republican	John Carroll	10,969	33.7
	Republican	Ray L'Heureux	2,883	8.8
	n/a	Blank votes	1,425	4.4
	n/a	Over votes	28	0.1
Total votes			32,587	100

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Marissa Kerns
Steve Lipscomb
Jeremy Low

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marissa Kerns	Jeremy Low	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	219	± 6.6%	26%	20%	54%

Results

Republican primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marissa Dipasupil Kerns	9,749	29.9
	Republican	Steve Lipscomb	9,538	29.3
	Republican	Jeremy Low	8,224	25.2
	n/a	Blank votes	5,057	15.5
	n/a	Over votes	19	0.1
Total votes			32,587	100.0

Green primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Jim Brewer

Results

Green primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Jim Brewer	454	73.3
	n/a	Blank votes	164	26.5
	n/a	Over votes	1	0.2
Total votes			619	100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Renee Ing

Results

Green primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Renee Ing	444	71.7
	n/a	Blank votes	175	28.3
	n/a	Over votes	0	0.0
Total votes			619	100.0

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Selina Blackwell
Link El
Terrence Teruya

Results

Nonpartisan primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	n/a	Blank votes	918	44.7
	Nonpartisan	Terrence Teruya	542	26.4
	Nonpartisan	Selina Blackwell	494	24.1
	Nonpartisan	Link El	98	4.8
	n/a	Over votes	1	0.2
Total votes			2,053	100.0

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Ernest Magaoay
Paul Robotti

Results

Nonpartisan primary results^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	n/a	Blank votes	995	48.5
	Nonpartisan	Paul Robotti	535	26.1
	Nonpartisan	Ernest Magaoay	521	25.4
	n/a	Over votes	2	0.1
Total votes			2,053	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report ^[22]	Solid D	October 16, 2018
The Washington Post ^[23]	Safe D	October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight ^[24]	Solid D	October 22, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report ^[25]	Solid D	October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^[26]	Safe D	October 19, 2018
Real Clear Politics ^[27]	Safe D	October 21, 2018
Daily Kos ^[28]	Safe D	October 22, 2018
Fox News ^[29]^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Likely D	October 19, 2018
Politico ^[30]	Solid D	October 19, 2018
Governing ^[31]	Safe D	October 22, 2018

Notes

↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige (D)	Andria Tupola (R)	Undecided
Merriman River Group	October 8–12, 2018	961	± 4.3%	52%	31%	11%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	800	± 3.5%	57%	34%	9%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	800	± 3.5%	51%	24%	25%

Results

Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	244,934	62.67%	+13.22%
	Republican	Andria Tupola	131,719	33.70%	-3.38%
	Green	Jim Brewer	10,123	2.59%	N/A
	Nonpartisan	Terrence Teruya	4,067	1.04%	N/A
Total votes			390,843	100.0%	N/A
	Democratic hold

Related Research Articles

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References

↑ "Ernest Caravalho". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
1 2 3 Singer, Jeff (June 6, 2017). "Why several Hawaii Democrats are mulling primary bids against Gov. David Ige". Daily Kos. Retrieved June 6, 2017.
1 2 Hooser, Gary (August 9, 2017). "Brace yourselves, primaries are coming". The Garden Island. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
↑ "U.S. Rep. Hanabusa announces plans to run for governor". Hawaii News Now . September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
↑ Callis, Tom (January 3, 2016). "Green saving up for run at higher office". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
1 2 Cook Lauer, Nancy (January 6, 2018). "Familiar candidate aims for governor". West Hawaii Today . Archived from the original on January 6, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2018.
↑ Blair, Chad (February 27, 2018). "Former Sen. Clayton Hee Is Running For Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved February 28, 2018.
↑ Blair, Chad (June 4, 2018). "Clayton Hee Withdraws From Hawaii Governor's Race". Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved June 8, 2018.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Primary Election 2018 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved August 12, 2018.
↑ "Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho Jr. to run for lieutenant governor". KHON 2. October 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
1 2 "Sens. Green, Espero announce runs for lieutenant governor in 2018". Hawaii News Now . September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
↑ Cook Lauer, Nancy (June 13, 2017). "3 show interest in Green's seat as senator eyes lieutenant gov bid". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
↑ "Kim Coco Iwamoto announces bid for Lieutenant Governor". Island News KITV 4. November 5, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
↑ "Maui Mayor Arakawa says he plans to run for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now. May 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
↑ Pignataro, Anthony (April 3, 2018). "Maui Mayor Alan Arakawa to hold $1,000/person fundraiser at swanky Waikiki restaurant". MauiTime. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
1 2 Daverta, Jobeth (Jan 21, 2018). "Hawaii minority leader Rep. Andria Tupola enters gubernatorial race". Hawaii News Now . Retrieved Jan 26, 2018.
↑ Dible, Max (April 14, 2018). "Republican candidates for state office stump in Kona". West Hawaii Today .
↑ "The Hawaii Republican Party has a new chair" . Retrieved 2018-04-05.
↑ Nagaoka, Ashley (May 12, 2017). "McDermott touts leadership, officialy [sic] enters 2018 race for governor". Hawaii News Now . Retrieved May 13, 2017.
↑ Dayton, Kevin (August 29, 2017). "Rep. McDermott withdraws from governor's race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved August 30, 2017.
↑ Beers, Axel (August 2, 2018). "MauiTime endorses Andria Tupola for governor (Republican) in 2018 Primary Election". Maui Time .
↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
↑ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post . October 16, 2018.
↑ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
↑ "2018 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics . August 9, 2018.
↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . June 5, 2018.
↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News .
↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico .
↑ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.

External links

Candidates at Vote Smart
Candidates at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.

[30] The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

[1] "Ernest Caravalho". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 6, 2018.

[dailykos-2] 1 2 3 Singer, Jeff (June 6, 2017). "Why several Hawaii Democrats are mulling primary bids against Gov. David Ige". Daily Kos. Retrieved June 6, 2017.

[Brace-3] 1 2 Hooser, Gary (August 9, 2017). "Brace yourselves, primaries are coming". The Garden Island. Retrieved August 22, 2017.

[hanabusa-4] "U.S. Rep. Hanabusa announces plans to run for governor". Hawaii News Now . September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.

[tribuneherald-5] Callis, Tom (January 3, 2016). "Green saving up for run at higher office". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Retrieved November 15, 2016.

[familiar-6] 1 2 Cook Lauer, Nancy (January 6, 2018). "Familiar candidate aims for governor". West Hawaii Today . Archived from the original on January 6, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2018.

[7] Blair, Chad (February 27, 2018). "Former Sen. Clayton Hee Is Running For Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved February 28, 2018.

[8] Blair, Chad (June 4, 2018). "Clayton Hee Withdraws From Hawaii Governor's Race". Honolulu Civil Beat . Retrieved June 8, 2018.

[primaryresults-9] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Primary Election 2018 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved August 12, 2018.

[10] "Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho Jr. to run for lieutenant governor". KHON 2. October 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.

[greenespero-11] 1 2 "Sens. Green, Espero announce runs for lieutenant governor in 2018". Hawaii News Now . September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.

[3Show-12] Cook Lauer, Nancy (June 13, 2017). "3 show interest in Green's seat as senator eyes lieutenant gov bid". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Retrieved August 22, 2017.

[13] "Kim Coco Iwamoto announces bid for Lieutenant Governor". Island News KITV 4. November 5, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.

[14] "Maui Mayor Arakawa says he plans to run for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now. May 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.

[15] Pignataro, Anthony (April 3, 2018). "Maui Mayor Alan Arakawa to hold $1,000/person fundraiser at swanky Waikiki restaurant". MauiTime. Retrieved April 15, 2018.

[Daverta-16] 1 2 Daverta, Jobeth (Jan 21, 2018). "Hawaii minority leader Rep. Andria Tupola enters gubernatorial race". Hawaii News Now . Retrieved Jan 26, 2018.

[17] Dible, Max (April 14, 2018). "Republican candidates for state office stump in Kona". West Hawaii Today .

[18] "The Hawaii Republican Party has a new chair" . Retrieved 2018-04-05.

[19] Nagaoka, Ashley (May 12, 2017). "McDermott touts leadership, officialy [sic] enters 2018 race for governor". Hawaii News Now . Retrieved May 13, 2017.

[mcdermottwithdraws-20] Dayton, Kevin (August 29, 2017). "Rep. McDermott withdraws from governor's race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser . Retrieved August 30, 2017.

[21] Beers, Axel (August 2, 2018). "MauiTime endorses Andria Tupola for governor (Republican) in 2018 Primary Election". Maui Time .

[22] "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.

[23] "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post . October 16, 2018.

[24] "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.

[25] "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.

[26] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.

[27] "2018 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics . August 9, 2018.

[28] "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . June 5, 2018.

[29] "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News .

[31] "Politico Race Ratings". Politico .

[32] "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.

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Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018

Contents

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Results

Green primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

Related Research Articles

References

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