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County Results Kelly: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Kobach: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kansas | ||||||||||
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The 2018 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Kansas. Democratic nominee Laura Kelly was elected, defeating Republican nominee Kris Kobach and an independent candidate, Greg Orman. Republican Governor Sam Brownback was term-limited and could not seek reelection to a third consecutive term, but can re-enter as a candidate in 2022. On July 26, 2017, Brownback was nominated by President Donald Trump to serve as United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom. Brownback was confirmed by the United States Senate on January 24, 2018. [1] On January 31, 2018 [2] Brownback resigned the governorship and Lieutenant Governor Jeff Colyer succeeded him. [3] Colyer is eligible to seek a full term and he announced his candidacy prior to becoming Governor of Kansas. In the August 7 primary, Colyer ran against CPA and incumbent Insurance Commissioner Ken Selzer; Topeka doctor Jim Barnett; and 2006 Republican Kansas gubernatorial nominee and Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach.
The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.
Laura Kelly is an American politician who is the 48th governor of Kansas, serving since January 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, she represented the 18th district in the Kansas State Senate from 2005 to 2019. Kelly ran for governor in the 2018 election and defeated the Republican nominee, Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach.
The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.
On August 7, 2018, Kobach defeated Colyer in the Republican gubernatorial primary by an initial margin of 191 votes, [4] a lead that increased to 361 votes by August 14, although discrepancies in some counties needed resolution and provisional and absentee ballots may not have been counted in some counties. [5] [6] [7] Colyer conceded the Republican nomination on August 14. [8] Democratic State Senator Laura Kelly easily won the Democratic nomination. [9] Independent Greg Orman, who finished second in the 2014 U.S. Senate race against incumbent Republican Pat Roberts, ran for governor, again as an independent candidate. [10]
Gregory John Orman is an American politician, entrepreneur and political candidate. He ran as an independent to represent Kansas in the United States Senate in the 2014 election, losing to incumbent U.S. Senator Pat Roberts. On January 24, 2018, Orman announced he would run for governor of the state of Kansas in 2018. After the major party primaries in August 2018, polling indicated that in a three-way race Orman was at 19 percent, Democrat Laura Kelly at 32 percent and Republican Kris Kobach at 38 percent. Orman suspended his television ads and stopped actively fundraising in mid-September. In the November 6 general election, he received approximately 6.5% of the vote, more than the victory margin of Democrat Laura Kelly over Republican Kris Kobach.
Charles Patrick Roberts is an American politician of the Republican Party serving as the senior United States Senator from Kansas, a position he has held since 1997. Roberts previously served as the Chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence.
Given that Kansas is the only state which has no gubernatorial statutory qualifications whatsoever in its constitution, seven teenagers, including one who has never even been to the state of Kansas, ran for the office in this election cycle. [11] A debate took place on September 5 between the three candidates that consistently polled above 5%. [12] Polls in late August had Kelly and Kobach running close with Orman polling in the single digits. [13]
Kris William Kobach is an American politician who served as the 31st Secretary of State of Kansas. A former Chairman of the Kansas Republican Party and member of the City Council of Overland Park, Kansas, he was the Republican nominee in Kansas's 3rd congressional district in the 2004 election, losing to Democratic incumbent Dennis Moore.
The Secretary of State of Kansas is one of the constitutional officers of the U.S. state of Kansas. The current secretary of state is former Speaker pro tempore of the Kansas House of Representatives, Scott Schwab, who was sworn in on January 14, 2019.
Tracey Mann is an American businessman and politician, who served as the 50th Lieutenant Governor of Kansas from 2018 to 2019. He was appointed by Governor Jeff Colyer in February 2018, after Colyer became Governor.
James A. Barnett is an American Republican politician. He announced his 2018 run for governor of Kansas on June 18, 2017 at the Topeka Medical Society Building.
Kansas's 1st congressional district is a congressional district in the U.S. state of Kansas. Commonly known as "The Big First", the district encompasses 63 counties in western and northern Kansas, making it the 12th largest congressional district in the nation. Located within the district are Manhattan, Salina, Dodge City, Emporia, Garden City, Hays and Hutchinson. From 2011 to 2017, the district was represented by Republican Tim Huelskamp who was originally elected in 2010 to succeed fellow Republican Jerry Moran who ran successfully for the U.S. Senate seat formerly held by Sam Brownback. Huelskamp was re-elected twice in 2012 and 2014, but lost the 2016 Republican primary for a fourth term to obstetrician Roger Marshall.
Jeff Colyer |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Barnett | Jeff Colyer | Wink Hartman | Kris Kobach | Ken Selzer | Other | Undecided |
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Remington (R) | August 3–5, 2018 | 2,769 | ± 2.0% | 14% | 34% | – | 32% | 9% | 3% [36] | 10% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | July 30 – August 2, 2018 | 1,546 | ± 2.4% | 11% | 36% | – | 43% | 5% | 4% [36] | – |
Remington (R) | August 2, 2018 | 859 | ± 3.3% | 13% | 32% | – | 32% | 9% | 3% [36] | 11% |
JMC Analytics (R-Kobach) | July 24–26, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 11% | 25% | – | 34% | 8% | 2% [37] | 20% |
Remington (R) | May 14–15, 2018 | 1,441 | ± 2.6% | 9% | 29% | – | 27% | 5% | – | 30% |
JMC Analytics (R-Kobach) | March 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 10% | 18% | – | 31% | 4% | – | 36% |
Remington (R) | February 13–14, 2018 | 1,806 | ± 2.3% | 8% | 23% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 3% [38] | 37% |
Moore Information (R) | February 11, 2018 | – | – | – | 20% | 6% | 26% | 11% | – | 38% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Kris Kobach | 128,838 | 40.62 | |
Republican | Jeff Colyer (incumbent) | 128,488 | 40.51 | |
Republican | Jim Barnett | 27,993 | 8.83 | |
Republican | Ken Selzer | 24,807 | 7.82 | |
Republican | Patrick Kucera | 3,212 | 1.01 | |
Republican | Tyler Ruzich | 2,276 | 0.72 | |
Republican | Joseph Tutera Jr. | 1,559 | 0.49 | |
Total votes | 317,173 | 100.0 |
Josh Svaty |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Arden Andersen | Jack Bergeson | Carl Brewer | Laura Kelly | Josh Svaty | Undecided |
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GBA Strategies (D-Kelly) | June 5–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 3% | 2% | 22% | 35% | 12% | 25% |
– | – | 25% | 44% | 12% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Laura Kelly | 78,746 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Carl Brewer | 30,693 | 20.1 | |
Democratic | Josh Svaty | 26,722 | 17.5 | |
Democratic | Arden Andersen | 12,845 | 8.4 | |
Democratic | Jack Bergeson | 3,850 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 152,856 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [76] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [77] | Tossup | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [78] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Real Clear Politics [79] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
Daily Kos [80] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Fox News [81] [lower-alpha 1] | Tossup | October 30, 2018 |
Politico [82] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Governing [83] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
The Washington Post [84] | Tossup | October 16, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [85] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Host network | Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
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Laura Kelly (D) | Greg Orman (I) | Kris Kobach (R) | |||
KCPT | September 5, 2018 | [86] | Invited | Invited | Invited |
Laura Kelly (D) |
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Kris Kobach (R) |
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Greg Orman (I) |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kris Kobach (R) | Laura Kelly (D) | Greg Orman (I) | Jeff Caldwell (L) | Other | Undecided |
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Emerson College | October 26–28, 2018 | 976 | ± 3.3% | 44% | 43% | 8% | – | 1% | 4% |
Ipsos | October 17–27, 2018 | 986 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 43% | 9% | – | 2% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Western States Strategies) | October 19–20, 2018 | 698 | ± 3.7% | 41% | 41% | 10% | 2% | 0% [137] | 6% |
Remington (R) | September 30 – October 1, 2018 | 1,680 | ± 2.4% | 41% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 1% [138] | 4% |
Emerson College | September 26–28, 2018 | 938 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 36% | 9% | – | 3% | 15% |
Fort Hays State University | August 22 – September 25, 2018 | 324 | – | 36% | 40% | 10% | – | 5% | – |
Civiqs (D-Crawford County Dems) | September 21–24, 2018 | 1,178 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 41% | 9% | 5% | 0% [139] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Pottawatomie County Dems) | September 12–13, 2018 | 618 | – | 39% | 38% | 9% | 1% | 2% [140] | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D-KNEA PAC) | August 24–26, 2018 | 877 | – | 39% | 38% | 9% | 1% | 2% [140] | 11% |
Remington (R) | July 19–20, 2018 | 1,189 | ± 2.9% | 35% | 36% | 12% | – | – | 17% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
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Democratic | Laura Kelly | 506,727 | 48.01% | +1.88% | |
Republican | Kris Kobach | 453,645 | 42.98% | -6.84% | |
Independent | Greg Orman | 68,590 | 6.50% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Jeff Caldwell | 20,020 | 1.90% | -2.15% | |
Independent | Rick Kloos | 6,584 | 0.62% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,055,566 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
Samuel Dale Brownback is an American attorney, politician, diplomat and member of the Republican Party who has served as the United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom since February 2018. Brownback previously served as the Secretary of Agriculture of Kansas (1986–93), as the U.S. Representative for Kansas's 2nd congressional district (1995–96), as a United States Senator from Kansas (1996–2011) and the 46th Governor of Kansas (2011–18). He also ran for the Republican nomination for President in 2008.
James Ward is a Democratic member of the Kansas House of Representatives, representing the 86th district. He has served since 2003 and is currently the House Minority Leader.
Jean Kurtis Schodorf, a former three-term Republican state senator, was the Democratic Party nominee for Kansas Secretary of State in 2014. She was defeated on November 4, 2014 by incumbent Kris Kobach in the general election for Secretary of State 59-41 percent.
Jeffrey William Colyer is an American surgeon who served as the 47th governor of Kansas from January 31, 2018 to January 14, 2019. A Republican, he served as the 49th lieutenant governor of Kansas from 2011 to 2018, as a member of the Kansas Senate from 2009 to 2011, and in the Kansas House of Representatives from 2007 to 2009. Colyer became governor of Kansas when Governor Sam Brownback resigned to take an ambassador position.
Ronald Gene Estes is an American politician serving as the U.S. Representative for Kansas's 4th congressional district since April 25, 2017. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as the 39th Kansas State Treasurer from 2011 to 2017 under Governor Sam Brownback.
The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Kansas on November 4, 2014. Primary elections were held on August 5.
United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 6, 2018 in 36 states and three territories. These elections formed part of the 2018 United States elections. Other coinciding elections were the 2018 United States Senate elections and the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all but three of the states took place in 2014. Governors in New Hampshire and Vermont serve two-year terms, meaning that their most recent gubernatorial elections took place in 2016. Meanwhile, Oregon held a special election in 2016 to fill an unexpired term.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich was term-limited and could not seek reelection to a third consecutive term.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats held a house seat in the state since 2010.
Lynn Wayne Rogers is an American politician and businessman who is the 51st and current lieutenant governor of Kansas since 2019. A Democrat, he had previously served on the Board of Wichita Public Schools from 2001 to 2017, and in the Kansas Senate representing the 25th District of west Wichita from 2017 to 2019.
Steven Charles Watkins Jr. is an American veteran, politician and businessman who serves as a member of the United States House of Representatives for Kansas' 2nd congressional district.
Willis E. "Wink" Hartman is an American businessman and politician from the state of Kansas.
Monica Murnan is an American politician and early childhood advocate who currently serves as a Democratic member of the Kansas House of Representatives. Murnan has represented the 3rd district, covering the city of Pittsburg, since 2017. She serves as the Ranking Minority member on the Health and Human Services committee.
Our primary endorsements are Laura Kelly for the Democratic primary