Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014

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Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014
Flag of Alaska.svg
←  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  →
  Bill Walker.jpg Former Governor of Alaska Sean Parnell.jpg
Nominee Bill Walker Sean Parnell
Party Independent Republican
Alliance Democratic —
Running mate Byron Mallott Dan Sullivan
Popular vote134,658128,435
Percentage48.1%45.9%
2014 Alaska gubernatorial election results by State House district.svg
House district results
Governor before election

Sean Parnell
Republican

Elected Governor

Bill Walker
Independent

The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Alaska State of the United States of America

Alaska is a U.S. state in the northwest extremity of North America, just across the Bering Strait from Asia. The Canadian province of British Columbia and territory of Yukon border the state to the east, its most extreme western part is Attu Island, and it has a maritime border with Russia to the west across the Bering Strait. To the north are the Chukchi and Beaufort seas—southern parts of the Arctic Ocean. The Pacific Ocean lies to the south and southwest. It is the largest state in the United States by area and the seventh largest subnational division in the world. In addition, it is the 3rd least populous and the most sparsely populated of the 50 United States; nevertheless, it is by far the most populous territory located mostly north of the 60th parallel in North America: its population—estimated at 738,432 by the United States Census Bureau in 2015— is more than quadruple the combined populations of Northern Canada and Greenland. Approximately half of Alaska's residents live within the Anchorage metropolitan area. Alaska's economy is dominated by the fishing, natural gas, and oil industries, resources which it has in abundance. Military bases and tourism are also a significant part of the economy.

The three classes of United States Senators are made up of 33 or 34 Senate seats each. The purpose of the classes is to determine which Senate seats will be up for election in a given year. The three groups are staggered so that senators in one of the groups are up for election every two years, rather than having all 100 seats up for election at once. For example, the 33 Senate seats of class 1 were up for election in 2018, the elections for the 33 seats of class 2 will take place in 2020, and the elections for the 34 seats of class 3 will be held in 2022.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Governor Sean Parnell ran for re-election to a second full term in office, but incumbent Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell did not; he ran unsuccessfully in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014, to determine party nominees for the office, with separate primaries held for governor and lieutenant governor and the winners running together on the same ticket.

Republican Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Sean Parnell Alaska governor

Sean R. Parnell is an American politician of the Republican Party. He succeeded Sarah Palin in July 2009 to become the tenth governor of Alaska and served until 2014. Parnell was elected governor in his own right in 2010 with 59.06% of the vote, as the largest percentage margin of any Alaska governor since statehood. In 2014, he narrowly lost his bid for re-election and has since returned to work in the private sector.

Mead Treadwell American politician

Louis Mead Treadwell II is an American businessman and politician who served as lieutenant governor of Alaska from 2010 to 2014. Treadwell is the former Chair of the U.S. Arctic Research Commission serving from 2006 to 2010. He is a member of the Republican Party and was a candidate for the 2014 U.S. Senate election in Alaska.

Parnell was renominated; his running mate was Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan. [1] The Democrats nominated businessman and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund Byron Mallott, whose running mate was State Senator Hollis French. Also running as an independent was former Republican mayor of Valdez Bill Walker, whose running mate was Craig Fleener, the former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.

Anchorage, Alaska Consolidated city-borough in Alaska, United States

Anchorage is a unified home rule municipality in the U.S. state of Alaska. With an estimated 298,192 residents in 2016, it is Alaska's most populous city and contains more than 40 percent of the state's total population; among the 50 states, only New York has a higher percentage of residents who live in its most populous city. All together, the Anchorage metropolitan area, which combines Anchorage with the neighboring Matanuska-Susitna Borough, had a population of 401,635 in 2016, which accounts for more than half of the state's population. At 1,706 square miles of land area, the city is the fourth largest city by land in the United States and larger than the smallest state, Rhode Island, at 1,212 square miles.

Democratic Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party. The Democrats' dominant worldview was once social conservatism and economic liberalism while populism was its leading characteristic in the rural South. In 1912, Theodore Roosevelt ran as a third-party candidate in the Progressive Party, beginning a switch of political platforms between the Democratic and Republican Party over the coming decades, and leading to Woodrow Wilson being elected as the first fiscally progressive Democrat. Since Franklin D. Roosevelt and his New Deal coalition in the 1930s, the Democratic Party has also promoted a social liberal platform, supporting social justice.

The Alaska Permanent Fund is a constitutionally established permanent fund managed by a state-owned corporation, the Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation (APFC). It was established in Alaska in 1976 by Article 9, Section 15 of the Alaska State Constitution under Governor Jay Hammond. From February 1976 until April 1980, the Department of Revenue Treasury Division managed the state's Permanent Fund assets, until, in 1980, the Alaska State Legislature created the APFC. As of the end of 2016, the fund is worth nearly $55 billion that has been funded by oil revenues.

On September 2, 2014, Walker and Mallott merged their campaigns to appear on the November ballot as a single independent ticket, which the Alaska Democratic Party endorsed. On this ticket, Walker ran for governor with Mallott as his running mate. Both candidates' former running mates withdrew. [2] Parnell was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report , Governing , The Rothenberg Political Report , Sabato's Crystal Ball , Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Former Republican governor Sarah Palin, who had praised Parnell as her successor when she resigned in 2009, endorsed Walker and Mallott, taking issue with Parnell's tax cuts for the oil and gas industry.

The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. It was founded by political analyst Charlie Cook in 1984. Coverage of Senate and Gubernatorial races is headed up by Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy and coverage of House races is led by David Wasserman. Amy Walter serves as national editor.

<i>Governing</i> (magazine)

Governing is a national monthly magazine, edited and published since 1987 in Washington, D.C., whose subject area is state and local government in the United States. The magazine covers policy, politics and the management of government enterprises. Its subject areas include such issues as government finance, land use, economic development, the environment, technology and transportation.

Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst. He is best known for his biweekly political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report, now known as Inside Elections. He was as also regular columnist at Roll Call and an occasional op-ed contributor to other publications, including The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The New York Times, and The Orlando Sentinel.

On November 7, Walker and Mallott held a 3,165-vote lead, [3] which on November 11 had grown to 4,004 out of some 244,000 votes cast, or 1.6%. [4] Walker began preparing for a transition but the race remained officially uncalled and Parnell refused to concede. [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] On November 14, after Walker and Mallott extended their lead to 4,634 votes, [10] multiple media outlets called the race. [11] [12] Parnell conceded the following day. [13] His loss – coupled with Democrat Mark Begich's defeat in the U.S. Senate election – marked just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which gubernatorial and U.S. Senate incumbents from different political parties have been defeated in the same state. [14]

Mark Begich Democratic U.S. Senator from Alaska

Mark Peter Begich is an American politician who was a United States Senator from Alaska from 2009 to 2015. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously was Mayor of Anchorage from 2003 to 2009.

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Alaska gubernatorial election, 2006

The 2006 Alaska gubernatorial general election took place on November 7, 2006. The former mayor of Wasilla, Sarah Palin, was elected governor.

Withdrew

Polling

Results

Republican primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Sean Parnell80,90375.86
Republican Russ Millette11,29610.59
Republican Brad Snowden10,5949.93
Republican Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes3,8553.61
Total votes106,648100

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared
Withdrew

Results

Republican primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan Sullivan74,75870.70
Republican Kelly Wolf30,98529.30
Total votes105,743100

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary

Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Governor

Democratic candidates

Declared
Withdrew
Declined

Libertarian candidates

Declared
  • Carolyn Clift, treasurer of the Alaska Libertarian Party [15]

Results

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Byron Mallott42,32766.89
Democratic Phil Stoddard10,51416.62
Libertarian Carolyn Clift10,43616.49
Total votes63,277100

Lieutenant Governor

Democratic candidates

Declared

Libertarian candidates

Declared
  • Andrew C. Lee, gold miner [33]

Results

Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Hollis French40,27162.08
Democratic Bob Williams16,35825.22
Libertarian Andrew C. Lee8,23812.70
Total votes64,867100

Others

Constitution Party

  • Running mate: Maria Rensel [35]

Independent

General election

Campaign

Parnell drew criticism during his re-election campaign over his support of billions in tax reductions for the petrochemical industry as well an exploding scandal featuring five years of alleged cover ups with regard to rampant sexual abuse, cronyism, corruption and whistleblower suppression, in the Alaska National Guard. [37] [38] [39]

In October 2014, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin endorsed Walker and Mallott. The endorsement was prompted by Parnell's oil and gas industry tax cuts, which dismantled her administration's "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" (ACES) plan. She had previously supported a referendum to repeal the tax cuts, which was narrowly defeated [40] in August 2014. Walker and Mallott made the repeal of the tax cuts a centerpiece of their campaign. [41]

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [42] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [43] Lean INovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [44] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [45] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sean
Parnell (R)		Byron
Mallott (D)		Bill
Walker (I)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 20141,052± 3%45%—46%4% [46] 5%
47%—48%—6%
Rasmussen Reports October 27–30, 2014887± 4%43%—50%—7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014561± 9%42%—39%0%20%
Hellenthal & Associates October 15–21, 2014403± 4.88%44.3%—42.5%4.6% [47] 8.6%
Rasmussen Reports October 8–12, 2014700± 4%41%—50%2%7%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014706± 3.5%42%—37%8% [48] 13%
CNN/ORC October 1–6, 2014704 LV± 3.5%45%—51%—3%
875 RV± 3.4%46%—49%1%5%
Hickman Analytics September 26–October 2, 2014400± 4.9%46%—38%7% [49] 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014593± 5%40%—45%1%14%
Rasmussen Reports September 23–24, 2014713± 4%42%—47%5%6%
Public Policy Polling September 18–21, 2014880± 3.3%41%—42%5% [50] 13%
41%—45%—14%
Hays Research/AFL-CIO September 13–14, 2014500± 4.38%30%—37%33%
Hays Research* August 20–22, 2014474± 4.5%40%—43%—15%
Rasmussen Reports August 20–21, 2014750± 4%47%36%—11%6%
Public Policy Polling July 31–August 1, 2014673± 3.8%37%22%20%5% [51] 16%
48%37%——14%
41%—40%—19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014450± 5.2%55%29%—6%8%
Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014582± 4.1%37%27%17%4% [52] 15%
Public Policy Polling January 30–February 1, 2014850± 3.4%41%25%16%3% [52] 15%

Results

Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014 [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Independent Bill Walker/Byron Mallott 134,658 48.1% +48.1%
Republican Sean Parnell/Dan Sullivan 128,43545.9%-13.22%
Libertarian Carolyn Clift/Andrew C. Lee8,9853.21%+2.16%
Constitution J. R. Myers/Maria Rensel6,9872.5%+2.5%
Write-insOthers8930.32%-0.04%
Majority6,2232.22%
Turnout 279,95855%
Independent gain from Republican Swing

See also

Elections in Alaska

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References

  1. ↑ Not to be confused with former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan who ran as the Republican nominee in the U.S. Senate election which was held at the same time.
  2. ↑ "Walker, Mallott to join forces in governor's race". Alaska Dispatch News. September 1, 2014. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  3. ↑ "In governor's race, Walker has edge -- or maybe not". Alaska Dispatch News. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
  4. ↑ "Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election". Alaska Dispatch News. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  5. ↑ "Parnell says race isn't over as Walker moves ahead with transition planning". Alaska Dispatch News. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  6. ↑ "Governor's race uncalled; Walker plans transition". Alaska Journal. November 13, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  7. ↑ "Walker introduces co-chairs of transition team". Houston Chronicle. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  8. ↑ "Number of uncounted votes grows in Alaska U.S. Senate race". Alaska Dispatch News. November 7, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
  9. ↑ "More than 50,000 votes remain to be counted in heated Alaska races". Alaska Dispatch News. November 10, 2014. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  10. ↑ "Friday vote count makes Walker victory in race for governor look certain". Alaska Dispatch News. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  11. ↑ "Alaska Governor Race: Incumbent Republican Sean Parnell Loses To Independent Bill Walker". The Huffington Post. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  12. ↑ "Unity ticket defeats Alaska GOP Gov. Sean Parnell in drawn-out race". Los Angeles Times. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
  13. ↑ "Parnell concedes governor's race". Alaska Dispatch News. November 15, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014.
  14. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (November 19, 2014). "Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat". Smart Politics.
  15. 1 2 3 4 "2014 Primary Official Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Archived from the original on June 30, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  16. ↑ "Ousted GOP leader plans run for governor". Anchorage Daily News. Associated Press. May 23, 2014. Archived from the original on May 26, 2014. Retrieved May 25, 2014.
  17. ↑ Forgey, Pat (2013-05-04). "Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell to seek re-election in 2014". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved 2013-10-16.
  18. 1 2 Thiessen, Mark (April 25, 2013). "Walker announces 2014 run for Alaska governor". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on April 29, 2013. Retrieved April 26, 2013.
  19. 1 2 "Walker planning to run as independent for Alaska governor". Newsminer. August 1, 2013. Retrieved August 5, 2013.
  20. 1 2 3 4 "2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results". State of Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved 8 September 2014.
  21. ↑ Gonzales, Nathan L. (May 23, 2013). "Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2013.
  22. ↑ "Assembly Member Running for Lieutenant Governor". Anchorage Daily News . June 2, 2014. Retrieved May 16, 2014.
  23. ↑ Hopkins, Kyle (June 5, 2013). "McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor". Anchorage Daily News . Archived from the original on June 9, 2013. Retrieved June 10, 2013.
  24. ↑ "McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline". Anchorage Daily News . June 2, 2014. Archived from the original on June 6, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  25. ↑ DeMarban, Alex (September 3, 2013). "Byron Mallot announces decision to run for Alaska governor". Alaska Dispatch . Retrieved September 3, 2013.
  26. 1 2 John Aronno (October 16, 2013). "Hollis French Swaps Roles, 2014 Gubernatorial Field Likely Set". Alaska Commons. Retrieved November 5, 2013.
  27. ↑ Miller, Mark D. (May 6, 2013). "Treadwell ramps up for Senate after Parnell announcement". Juneau Empire. Retrieved May 8, 2013.
  28. ↑ "Gara decides to seek re-election to Alaska House". Anchorage Daily News. Associated Press. August 22, 2013. Archived from the original on August 31, 2013. Retrieved August 23, 2013.
  29. ↑ Caldwell, Suzanna (2013-04-03). "Less is more as former Senate candidate Scott McAdams sheds 100 pounds". Alaska Dispatch. Retrieved 2013-10-16.
  30. ↑ "Wielechowski taking look at governor's race". News Miner. Associated Press. May 29, 2013. Retrieved May 30, 2013.
  31. ↑ Scott Rhode (June 3, 2014). "Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates". KENI . Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  32. ↑ "Sen. Lesil McGuire withdrawing from lieutenant gov's race". KTOO. June 3, 2014. Archived from the original on June 7, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  33. ↑ "Loose Lips: Establishment finds its West Anchorage candidate, drafting Palin, Gattis nabs Bickford". Amanda Coyne. May 20, 2014. Retrieved June 4, 2014.
  34. ↑ Redlich, Warren (2013-10-01). "Constitution Party Candidate for Alaska". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 2013-10-16.
  35. ↑ "November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List". Alaska Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 20, 2014. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
  36. ↑ Demer, Lisa (October 14, 2013). "Walker chooses Fleener as running mate in independent bid for governor". Alaska Dispatch News. Retrieved July 24, 2014.
  37. ↑ Parnell defends handling alaska national guard dysfunction, plans more firings, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 2, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
  38. ↑ Parnell waited years to take direct action on National Guard misconduct, Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 1, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
  39. ↑ Debate draws standing-room-only crowd Archived June 2, 2015, at the Wayback Machine ., KTUU, Caslon Hatch. July 23, 2014. Retrieved 3 October 2014.
  40. ↑ narrowly defeated
  41. ↑ "Palin Endorses Independent-Democratic Ticket for Alaska Governor Against GOP Successor". National Journal. October 23, 2014. Archived from the original on October 24, 2014. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
  42. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
  43. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
  44. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
  45. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 4, 2018.
  46. ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 2%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
  47. ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3.8%, J.R. Myers (I) 0.8%
  48. ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%, Other 3%
  49. ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 5%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
  50. ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (I) 2%
  51. ↑ Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (C) 2%
  52. 1 2 J.R. Myers (C)
  53. ↑ "2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results". elections.alaska.gov. November 11, 2014. Retrieved November 27, 2014.
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