Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2014

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Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2014
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  Mark Dayton official photo.jpg Jeff Johnson (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mark Dayton Jeff Johnson
Party DFL Republican
Running mate Tina Smith Bill Kuisle
Popular vote989,113879,257
Percentage50.1%44.5%
Minnesota Governor Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County Results

Dayton:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%

Johnson:     40–50%     50–60%
Governor before election

Mark Dayton
DFL

Elected Governor

Mark Dayton
DFL

The 2014 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Minnesota concurrently with the election to Minnesota's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Governor of Minnesota head of state and of government of the U.S. state of Minnesota

The Governor of Minnesota is the chief executive of the U.S. state of Minnesota, leading the state's executive branch. Forty people have been governor of Minnesota, though historically there were also three governors of Minnesota Territory. Alexander Ramsey, the first territorial governor, also served as state governor several years later. State governors are elected to office by popular vote, but territorial governors were appointed to the office by the United States president. The current governor of Minnesota is Tim Walz of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party (DFL).

The three classes of United States Senators are made up of 33 or 34 Senate seats each. The purpose of the classes is to determine which Senate seats will be up for election in a given year. The three groups are staggered such that all senators in each of the groups are up for election every two years, rather than having all 100 seats up for election at once. For example, the 33 Senate seats of class 1 were up for election in 2018, the elections for the 33 seats of class 2 will take place in 2020, and the elections for the 34 seats of class 3 will be held in 2022.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor Governor Mark Dayton ran for re-election to a second term in office. [1] Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Yvonne Prettner Solon retired and Tina Smith was selected as his new running mate. [2]

Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party Political party in Minnesota, United States

The Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL) is a center-left political party in the U.S. state of Minnesota. It is affiliated with the U.S. Democratic Party. Formed by a merger of the Minnesota Democratic Party and the left-wing Minnesota Farmer–Labor Party in 1944, the DFL is one of only two state Democratic party affiliates of a different name.

Mark Dayton American politician

Mark Brandt Dayton is an American politician who served as the 40th governor of Minnesota from 2011 to 2019. He was a United States Senator for Minnesota from 2001 to 2007, and the Minnesota State Auditor from 1991 to 1995. He is a member of the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL), which affiliates with the national Democratic Party.

Yvonne Prettner Solon American politician

Yvonne Prettner Solon is an American politician who served as the 47th lieutenant governor of Minnesota, from 2011 to 2015. She is the sixth consecutive woman to serve in that capacity and is a member of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party. She served with Governor Mark Dayton, who successfully ran for reelection, while she chose to retire at the end of her term.

Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014. Dayton and Smith won the Democratic primary and the Republicans nominated Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson and his running mate former State Representative Bill Kuisle. In the general election, Dayton and Smith defeated them and several other minor party candidates with just over 50% of the vote. Dayton's victory broke his own record, set in 2010, as the oldest Minnesota gubernatorial candidate to win an election; he was 67. [3] It was also the first gubernatorial race since 1994 in which the winner received a majority of the votes cast.

Hennepin County, Minnesota County in the United States

Hennepin County is a county in the U.S. state of Minnesota. As of the 2010 census the population was 1,152,425. It is the most populous county in Minnesota and the 35th-most populous county in the United States; more than one in five Minnesotans live in Hennepin County. Its county seat is Minneapolis, the state's most populous city. The county is named in honor of the 17th-century explorer Father Louis Hennepin.

County commission Governing body

A county commission is a group of elected officials charged with administering the county government in some states of the United States. County commissions are usually made up of three or more individuals. In some counties in Georgia however, a sole commissioner holds the authority of the commission.

Jeff Johnson (Minnesota politician) Minnesota politician

Jeff Johnson is an American politician from Minnesota. He was elected to the Minnesota House of Representatives in 2000 and served there from 2001 to 2007. Johnson left the legislature to run for state attorney general in 2006, but was defeated. Johnson now serves as Hennepin County commissioner for the 7th district. He was elected as the Republican National Committeeman from Minnesota in April 2011. Johnson was the Republican nominee for governor of Minnesota in 2014, losing to incumbent Mark Dayton, and again in the 2018 Minnesota gubernatorial election, losing to the Democratic nominee, U.S. Representative Tim Walz.

Background

Incumbent Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty declined to run for a third term in 2010, instead running for the Republican presidential nomination in the 2012 election. State Representative Tom Emmer easily won the Republican nomination and former U.S. Senator Mark Dayton won the DFL nomination with a plurality over State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher. After a very close race, Dayton defeated Emmer by just 8,770 votes, 0.42% of all votes cast.

Republican Party of Minnesota Political party in Minnesota, United States

The Republican Party of Minnesota is a conservative political party in the U.S. state of Minnesota. It is affiliated with the United States Republican Party.

Tim Pawlenty American politician

Timothy James Pawlenty is an American businessman and politician. He was a Republican politician who served as the 39th Governor of Minnesota (2003–2011). He previously served in the Minnesota House of Representatives (1993–2003), where he was majority leader for two terms. In 2011, he entered the campaign for the Republican presidential nomination and later was a potential vice presidential nominee before serving as co-chair of Mitt Romney's campaign.

Dayton's victory was one of just four that Minnesota Democrats have achieved out of 28 gubernatorial elections during a Democratic presidency. [4] Despite this, and despite his narrow margin of victory in 2010, Dayton was not seen as a top Republican target. The Cook Political Report [5] and The Rothenberg Political Report [6] both rate the race as "safe Democratic" and Daily Kos Elections , [7] Governing [8] and Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] all rate the race as "likely Democratic".

The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan online newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the United States House of Representatives, the United States Senate, Governor's offices and the American Presidency. It was founded by political analyst Charlie Cook in 1984. Coverage of Senate and Gubernatorial races is headed up by Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy and coverage of House races is led by David Wasserman. Amy Walter serves as national editor.

Daily Kos Political blog focused on the Democratic Party and liberal American politics

Daily Kos is a group blog and internet forum focused on the Democratic Party and liberal American politics. The site features a participatory political encyclopedia ("DKosopedia"), glossaries, and other content. It is sometimes considered an example of "netroots" activism.

<i>Governing</i> (magazine)

Governing is a national monthly magazine, edited and published since 1987 in Washington, D.C., whose subject area is state and local government in the United States. The magazine covers policy, politics and the management of government enterprises. Its subject areas include such issues as government finance, land use, economic development, the environment, technology and transportation.

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bill Dahn
    • Running mate: James Vigliotti
  • Leslie Davis, activist [10]
    • Running mate: Gregor Soderberg [11]
  • Mark Dayton, incumbent Governor [1]
    • Running mate: Tina Smith, Dayton's former chief of staff [12]

Results

Democratic primary election results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DFL Mark Dayton/Tina Smith 177,84992.99
DFL Leslie Davis/Gregor Soderberg8,5304.46
DFL Bill Dahn/James Vigliotti4,8802.55
Total votes191,259100

Republican primary

Until 2014, Minnesota Republicans had not had a competitive gubernatorial primary since 1924, when Theodore Christianson beat Ole Jacobson by 2.8%, taking 22.8% of the vote in a six-candidate race that saw five candidates finish in double digits. In every election since then, the nominee had won the primary by at least 17.8% and on average by 62.2%. [14]

At the Republican State Convention on May 30–31, 2014, Jeff Johnson received the party's endorsement. Dave A. Thompson withdrew from the race and endorsed Johnson. Scott Honour, Marty Seifert and Kurt Zellers all ran in the August primary, but Johnson prevailed with 30% of the vote. [15] [16]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rob
Farnsworth		Scott
Honour		Jeff
Johnson		Julie
Rosen		Ole
Savior		Marty
Seifert		Dave A.
Thompson		Kurt
Zellers		Other/
Undecided
SurveyUSA June 5–9, 2014404± 5%—9%23%——14%—23%33% [48]
Suffolk April 24–28, 201473± ?0.51%1.52%6.57%—1.01%9.60%4.55%8.08%68.19%
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013305± 5.7%—6%8%10%—9%11%12%44%

Results

Republican primary election results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jeff Johnson/Bill Kuisle 55,83630.33
Republican Kurt Zellers/Dean Simpson44,04623.92
Republican Marty Seifert/Pam Myhra 38,37721.1
Republican Scott Honour/Karin Housley 38,37720.84
Republican Merrill Anderson/Mark D. Anderson7,0003.8
Total votes184,110100

Independence primary

The Independence Party of Minnesota state convention was held on May 17, 2014, at Minnesota State University, Mankato. [49]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Hannah Nicollet, software developer [50]
    • Running mate: Tim Gieseke, businessman and candidate for the State House in 2013 [51]

Declined

Results

Independence primary election results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independence Hannah Nicollet/Tim Gieseke5,822100
Total votes5,822100

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party of Minnesota state convention was held on April 26, 2014, in Maple Grove. [54]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chris Holbrook [55]
    • Running mate: Chris Dock [56]

Grassroots — Legalize Cannabis Party

Candidates

Declared

  • Chris Wright, computer repair shop owner and nominee for governor in 1998 and 2010 [57]
    • Running mate: David Daniels, playwright and performance artist

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [58] Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [59] Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [60] Safe DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [61] Lean DNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Dayton (DFL)		Jeff
Johnson (R)		Hannah
Nicollet (IP)		OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV October 27–30, 2014596± 4.1%47%42%2%4% [62] 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20142,430± 3%50%41%—1%9%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune October 20–22, 2014800± 3.5%45%38%5%2%10%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV October 14–16, 2014597± 4.1%50%40%3%3% [63] 4%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV September 30 – October 2, 2014577± 4.2%51%39%4%2% [64] 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 20142,562± 2%49%42%0%1%8%
Rasmussen Reports September 29–30, 2014750± 4%50%40%——10%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune September 8–10, 2014800± 3.5%45%33%1%1%20%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 20143,607± 2%48%41%—2%10%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV August 19–21, 2014600± 4.1%49%40%3%3%5%
Rasmussen Reports August 13–14, 2014750± 4%49%41%——10%
Gravis Marketing July 2–3, 2014879± 3%52%37%11%——
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014633± 3.9%47%36%——16%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV June 5–9, 20141,017± 3.1%46%40%5%2%6%
Suffolk University April 24–28, 2014800± ?44%29.63%——26.38%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV February 25–27, 2014545± 4.3%52%34%——14%
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013895± 3.3%48%37%——15%
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013712± 3.7%52%34%——14%
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 20131,065± 3%53%29%——18%

Results

Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2014 [67]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
DFL Mark Dayton/Tina Smith (Incumbent) 989,113 50.07% +6.44%
Republican Jeff Johnson/Bill Kuisle 879,25744.51%+1.30%
Independence Hannah Nicollet/Tim Gieseke56,9002.88%-9.06%
Grassroots Chris Wright/David Daniels31,2591.58%+1.22%
Libertarian Chris Holbrook/Chris Dock18,0820.92%n/a
Write-insOthers7950.04%n/a
Majority109,8565.56%+5.14%
Total votes1,975,406100
DFL hold Swing

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 "Gov. Dayton stops by KARE 11 Sunrise, says he'll run again in 2014". KARE . November 15, 2011. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
  2. ↑ Brian Bakst (January 14, 2014). "Minn. Lt. Gov. Prettner Solon says no to 2nd term". San Francisco Chronicle . Retrieved January 14, 2014.
  3. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (November 13, 2014). "Minnesotans Elect Oldest Governor, US House Delegation in State History". Smart Politics.
  4. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (December 6, 2013). "Can Dayton Catch Lightning in a Bottle Twice?". Smart Politics.
  5. ↑ "2014 Governors Race Ratings for December 19, 2013". The Cook Political Report . December 19, 2013. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
  6. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. January 31, 2014. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
  7. ↑ Nir, David (November 15, 2013). "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings (2013-14)". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
  8. ↑ "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Democrats". Governing . July 16, 2013. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
  9. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Races". Sabato's Crystal Ball . February 3, 2014. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
  10. ↑ Salisbury, Bill (January 22, 2014). "Frequent candidate Davis runs for governor, this time as a DFLer". Pioneer Press . Retrieved February 3, 2014.
  11. ↑ Daily Herald Staff (June 7, 2014). "Austin resident promoting solar roads on campaign trail". Austin Daily Herald. Retrieved August 5, 2014.
  12. ↑ Helgeson, Baird (February 4, 2014). "Dayton picks chief of staff Tina Smith for running mate". Star Tribune . Retrieved February 4, 2014.
  13. 1 2 3 "Statewide Results for Governor & Lt Governor, Primary Election". Minnesota Secretary of State . Retrieved August 13, 2014.
  14. ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (August 12, 2013). "100 Years of Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primaries". Smart Politics.
  15. 1 2 3 Don Davis (May 31, 2014). "Jeff Johnson wins governor endorsement from Minnesota GOP". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved May 31, 2014.
  16. ↑ Bill Salisbury (May 31, 2014). "MN GOP: Johnson wins party endorsement for governor's race". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved May 31, 2014.
  17. ↑ "Meet 30 of the candidates for mayor of Minneapolis" . Retrieved 16 November 2014.
  18. ↑ http://candidates.sos.state.mn.us/CandidateInformation.aspx?county=0&municipality=0&schooldistrict=0&hospitaldistrict=0&level=1&party=0&federal=True&judicial=True&executive=True&senate=True&representative=True&title=&office=0&candidateid=10810.Missing or empty |title= (help)
  19. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (April 24, 2013). "Republican businessman announces challenge to DFL Gov. Dayton". Star Tribune . Retrieved May 2, 2013.
  20. 1 2 Bill Salisbury (May 31, 2014). "Scott Honour picks first-term lawmaker Karin Housley as running mate". St. Paul Pioneer Press . Retrieved May 31, 2014.
  21. ↑ "Jeff Johnson wins governor endorsement from Minnesota GOP". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved 16 November 2014.
  22. ↑ Meersman, Tom (May 5, 2013). "Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson announces he will seek GOP nomination for governor". Star Tribune . Retrieved May 5, 2013.
  23. ↑ Brucato, Cyndy (November 12, 2013). "Marty Seifert will seek GOP endorsement for governor". MinnPost . Retrieved November 12, 2013.
  24. ↑ Salisbury, Bill (February 27, 2014). "Governor hopeful Seifert chooses Rep. Pam Myhra as running mate". Pioneer Press . Retrieved February 27, 2014.
  25. ↑ Condon, Patrick (June 23, 2013). "GOP's Zellers vows common touch in Minn. governor's race, but brings past political baggage". Associated Press . Retrieved July 10, 2013.
  26. ↑ Tim Pugmire (May 22, 2014). "Zellers picks former Rep. Simpson as running mate". MPR. Retrieved May 31, 2014.
  27. ↑ Salisbury, Bill (August 21, 2013). "Hibbing teacher announces run for governor; will seek GOP endorsement". Pioneer Press . Retrieved August 22, 2013.
  28. ↑ "Candidate Filings".
  29. ↑ Brooks, Jennifer (June 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Dave Thompson announces campaign for Minnesota governor". Star Tribune . Retrieved July 10, 2013.
  30. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (January 30, 2014). "Sen. Thompson picks Sen. Benson as his gubernatorial running mate". Star Tribune . Retrieved February 4, 2014.
  31. ↑ Minock, Nick (August 1, 2013). "Former Senate Candidate Kurt Bills Back's Scott Honour for Governor". Northlands News Center. Retrieved August 12, 2013.
  32. ↑ Scheck, Tom (March 7, 2013). "Norm Coleman rules out 2014 run". Minnesota Public Radio . Retrieved April 20, 2013.
  33. ↑ Brooks, Jennifer (June 22, 2013). "More GOP hopefuls prepare to jump into Minnesota governor's race". Star Tribune . Retrieved April 20, 2013.
  34. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (April 6, 2013). "Minnesota Republican Party elects a new chair". Star Tribune . Retrieved February 3, 2014.
  35. ↑ Scheck, Tom (February 4, 2013). "Draft Emmer?". Minnesota Public Radio . Retrieved April 20, 2013.
  36. ↑ Salisbury, Bill (June 5, 2013). "Tom Emmer announces candidacy for Congress". Pioneer Press . Retrieved August 22, 2013.
  37. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (December 8, 2012). "Minnesota Republicans hold a 'pick-up-the-pieces' gathering". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 12, 2012.
  38. ↑ Rupar, Aaron (July 5, 2013). "Minnesota Senate leader Hann decides against GOP governor race". Star Tribune . Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  39. ↑ Kimball, Joe (February 3, 2014). "GOP state Sen. Karin Housley says she won't run for governor". MinnPost . Retrieved February 3, 2014.
  40. ↑ Bierschbach, Briana (July 2, 2013). "GOP Sen. Bill Ingebrigtsen considering a run for governor". Politics in Minnesota. Retrieved August 22, 2013.
  41. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (April 19, 2013). "Kline to seek re-election, not Senate or governor's office". Star Tribune . Retrieved April 20, 2013.
  42. ↑ "Kriesel says he's unlikely to return to politics". KARE . June 24, 2013. Archived from the original on June 28, 2013. Retrieved August 22, 2013.
  43. ↑ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (March 22, 2013). "Republicans sniffing around bids against Dayton". Star Tribune . Retrieved March 26, 2013.
  44. ↑ Diaz, Kevin (May 13, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Paulsen rules out run for Minnesota governor or U.S. Senate". Star Tribune . Retrieved May 13, 2013.
  45. 1 2 Kessler, Pat (September 20, 2012). "Pawlenty Rules Out Minnesota Electoral Bid In 2014". CBS Minnesota. Associated Press . Retrieved November 17, 2012.
  46. ↑ Scheck, Tom (January 15, 2013). "Rosen pondering a run for higher office". Minnesota Public Radio . Retrieved January 16, 2013.
  47. ↑ Scheck, Tom (October 6, 2012). "Downey doesn't rule out run for governor in 2014". Minnesota Public Radio . Retrieved April 20, 2013.
  48. ↑ Other 11%, Undecided 22%
  49. ↑ "Events". Independence Party of Minnesota . Retrieved February 15, 2014.
  50. ↑ Cox, Peter (May 18, 2014). "Full Independence Party slate set for November elections". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved May 19, 2014.
  51. ↑ "GOP and DFL candidates hit the campaign trail". TwinCities.com. June 2, 2014. Retrieved July 24, 2014.
  52. ↑ http://kstp.com/article/stories/s3556490.shtml Tom Horner Endorses Jeff Johnson For Governor
  53. ↑ Bakst, Brian (June 16, 2013). "Independence Party's role in Minnesota 2014 governor's race: TBD". Associated Press . Retrieved August 22, 2013.
  54. ↑ "2014 LPMN State Convention". Libertarian Party of Minnesota . Retrieved April 29, 2014.
  55. ↑ "Five statewide candidates up for nomination at LPMN Convention". Libertarian Party of Minnesota . Retrieved April 29, 2014.
  56. ↑ "Liberty Candidates '14". Libertarian Party . Retrieved August 5, 2014.
  57. ↑ Patrick Condon (June 21, 2014). "Pot activists light up Minnesota ballot". Star Tribune. Retrieved July 26, 2014.
  58. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  59. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  60. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  61. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  62. ↑ Chris Holbrook (L) 2%, Chris Wright (G) 1%, Other 1%
  63. ↑ Chris Holbrook (L) 1%, Chris Wright (G) 1%, Other 1%
  64. ↑ Chris Holbrook (L) 0%, Chris Wright (G) 1%, Other 1%
  65. 1 2 Hannah Nicollet (IP) 7%, Other 3%
  66. ↑ Hannah Nicollet (IP) 6%, Other 3%
  67. ↑ "Statewide Results for Governor & Lt Governor". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved December 19, 2014.
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