United States House of Representatives election in Montana, 2018

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United States House of Representatives election in Montana, 2018
Flag of Montana.svg
  2017 (special) November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  
  Greg Gianforte 115th congress (cropped)1.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Greg Gianforte Kathleen Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote256,661233,284
Percentage50.9%46.2%

Montana House Election Returns 2018.jpg
Results by county

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Gianforte
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Gianforte
Republican

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

United States House of Representatives lower house of the United States Congress

The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they comprise the legislature of the United States.

Montanas at-large congressional district

Montana is represented in the United States House of Representatives by one at-large congressional district, among the 435 in the United States Congress. The district is the largest U.S. congressional district by population, with just over 1 million constituents. It is also the second-largest by land area, after Alaska's at-large congressional district.

United States Senate Upper house of the United States Congress

The United States Senate is the upper chamber of the United States Congress, which along with the United States House of Representatives—the lower chamber—comprises the legislature of the United States. The Senate chamber is located in the north wing of the Capitol, in Washington, D.C.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

2018 Republican Party primary results by county:
Gianforte--100%
Gianforte-->90% 2018 MT-AL Republican primary.svg
2018 Republican Party primary results by county:
  Gianforte—100%
  Gianforte—>90%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent)135,225100
Total votes135,225100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • John Heenan, attorney [2]
  • Grant Kier, former executive director of the Five Valleys Land Trust [3]
  • Jared Pettinato, attorney [4]
  • Kathleen Williams, former State Representative [5]

Kathleen Williams is an American Democratic politician. She has served in the nonpartisan Environmental Quality Council of the Montana Legislature and the Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks. In 2010, she was elected to the Montana House of Representatives and served three two-year terms before retiring. On June 5, 2018, Williams won the Democratic primary election for the 2018 election for Montana's at-large seat in the United States House of Representatives, unsuccessfully challenging incumbent Republican Greg Gianforte in the general election.

Withdrew

Lynda Moss is a Democratic former member of the Montana Senate. She represented District 26 from 2004 to 2012. She was a Majority Whip in the 2008-2010 session. She was ineligible to run for election in 2012 due to Montana's term limits.

Primary results

Democratic Party primary results by county:
Williams--50-60%
Williams--40-50%
Williams--<40%
Heenan--<40%
Heenan--40-50%
Heenan--50-60%
Kier--<40%
Kier--40-50% 2018 MT-AL Democratic primary.svg
Democratic Party primary results by county:
  Williams—50–60%
  Williams—40–50%
  Williams—<40%
  Heenan—<40%
  Heenan—40–50%
  Heenan—50–60%
  Kier—<40%
  Kier—40–50%
Democratic primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Kathleen Williams 37,15833.5
Democratic John Heenan35,16331.7
Democratic Grant Kier26,83524.2
Democratic Lynda Moss (withdrawn)5,5925.0
Democratic John Meyer3,6953.3
Democratic Jared Pettinato2,4402.2
Total votes110,883100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Elinor Swanson, Attorney [9]

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Lean RJuly 10, 2018
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report [11] Likely RDecember 15, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Lean RDecember 18, 2017

Endorsements

Greg Gianforte (R)
Federal politicians
Organizations
National Rifle Association American nonprofit organization

The National Rifle Association of America (NRA) is a U.S. nonprofit organization that advocates for gun rights. Founded in 1871, the group has informed its members about firearm-related legislation since 1934, and it has directly lobbied for and against firearms legislation since 1975.

Kathleen Williams (D)
Federal politicians
Newspapers

The Billings Gazette is the largest newspaper in Montana. It is geographically one of the most widely distributed newspapers in the nation.

The Bozeman Daily Chronicle is a daily newspaper published in Bozeman, Montana.

The Missoulian is a daily newspaper printed in Missoula, Montana. The newspaper has been owned by Lee Enterprises since 1959. The Missoulian is the largest published newspaper in western Montana. The Missoulian is distributed throughout the city of Missoula, Montana, and also throughout most of Western Montana.

Labor unions
American Federation of Government Employees

The American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) is an American labor union representing over 670,000 employees of the federal government, about 5,000 employees of the District of Columbia, and a few hundred private sector employees, mostly in and around federal facilities. AFGE is the largest union for civilian, non-postal federal employees and the largest union for District of Columbia employees who report directly to the mayor. It is affiliated with the AFL-CIO.

International Association of Fire Fighters

The International Association of Fire Fighters (IAFF) is a labor union representing paid full-time firefighters and emergency medical services personnel in the United States and Canada. The IAFF was formed in 1918 and is affiliated with the AFL-CIO in the United States and the Canadian Labour Congress in Canada. The IAFF has more than 316,000 members in its more than 3,200 affiliate organizations. Its political action committee, FIREPAC, is one of the most active PACs in the country.

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Kathleen
Williams (D)
Elinor
Swanson (L)
OtherUndecided
Change Research (D) November 2–4, 201887952%44%2%
Gravis Marketing October 24–26, 2018782± 3.5%48%48%3%
University of Montana October 10–18, 2018533± 4.3%45%46%2%7%
Montana State University Billings October 8–13, 2018471± 4.5%44%41%3%12%
Montana State University Bozeman September 15 – October 6, 20182,079± 2.2%48%40%2%1%9%
Gravis Marketing September 19–22, 2018710± 3.7%51%42%8%
AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D) September 6–16, 2018950± 3.1%46%45%1%7%
University of Montana August 13–31, 2018466± 4.5%38%51%3%8%
Gravis Marketing June 11–13, 2018469± 4.5%43%49%8%

Results

Gianforte defeated Kathleen Williams on November 6, 2018. [31]

Montana's at-large congressional district, 2018 [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent) 256,661 50.88% +1.18%
Democratic Kathleen Williams233,28446.25%+2.15%
Libertarian Elinor Swanson14,4762.87%-2.83%
Total votes504,421100.0%N/A
Republican hold

See also

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References

  1. Michels, Holly K. (June 5, 2017). "Greg Gianforte files for re-election, extension for court appearance expected". Missoulian . Retrieved June 7, 2017.
  2. Michels, Holly K. (August 7, 2017). "Democratic Billings lawyer, business owner says he's running for Greg Gianforte's seat". Independent Record . Retrieved August 7, 2017.
  3. Michels, Holly K. (September 12, 2017). "Democrat jumps into primary for U.S. House race". Independent Record . Retrieved September 13, 2017.
  4. Drake, Phil (October 30, 2017). "Pettinato enters race for lone congressional seat". Great Falls Tribune . Retrieved October 30, 2017.
  5. Michels, Holly K. (October 26, 2017). "Former Bozeman legislator joins Democratic primary for Montana's U.S. House seat". Independent Record . Retrieved October 26, 2017.
  6. "Moss Drops Out of Race for Montana's US House Seat - Flathead Beacon". Flathead Beacon. 2018-04-19. Retrieved 2018-04-20.
  7. Gazette, Billings. "Billings Democrat drops out of Montana House race, but will still be on the ballot". missoulian.com. Retrieved 2018-04-20.
  8. "Montana Primary Election Results". The New York Times .
  9. Ambarlan, Jonathon (February 27, 2018). "Billings lawyer enters Montana U.S. House race as Libertarian candidate". KTVH . Retrieved July 6, 2018.
  10. Wasserman, David (July 10, 2018). "House Ratings Changes: 10 Districts Move, Mostly in Democrats' Direction". The Cook Political Report.
  11. "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-12-26.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-12-26.
  13. Christian, Peter (August 30, 2018). "MONTANA GUN GROUP GRADES AND ENDORSES POLITICAL CANDIDATES". NewsTalkKGVO.com.
  14. Drake, Phil (September 12, 2018). "NRA endorses Gianforte and Rosendale, targets Tester". Great Falls Tribune .
  15. Michels, Holly (July 13, 2018). "Tester, Williams head to Great Falls to rally Montana Democrats for fall elections". Helena Independent Record.
  16. "Gazette Opinion: Restore Civility, Elect Williams to U.S. House". Billings Gazette. October 16, 2018.
  17. "Williams the moderate Montana needs". The Bozeman Daily Chronicle. October 12, 2018.
  18. "Williams is by far the better candidate for US House". Missoulian. October 21, 2018.
  19. Swanke, Gerald (August 6, 2018). "AFGE | AFGE Endorses Montana's Kathleen Williams for Congress". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees.
  20. Harris, Tammy. "2018 Endorsements | Montana AFL-CIO". Montana AFL-CIO.
  21. Perry, Joe (July 12, 2018). "Montana Sportsmen Alliance PAC: Montana Sportsmen Alliance Endorses Kathleen Williams". montanasportsmenalliance.blogspot.com/. Montana Sportsmen Alliance.
  22. "@williamsformt will stand up for firefighters and we stand behind her". www.facebook.com. Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters. July 18, 2018.
  23. Stephanie Schriock (June 28, 2018). "Emily's List Endorses Kathleen Williams for Montana's At-Large Congressional District". Emily's List.
  24. Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
  25. Giffords, Gabrielle (July 25, 2018). "Giffords Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress in Montana - Giffords". Giffords.
  26. Sittenfeld, Tiernan; Potts, Rick (September 14, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters.
  27. Tyler, Dave (June 20, 2018). "Montana Conservation Voters Endorses Kathleen Williams for U.S. House of Representatives". mtvoters.org.
  28. Richtman, Max (August 1, 2018). "Letter of Endorsement for Kathleen Williams - NCPSSM". www.ncpssm.org. NCPSSM-PAC.
  29. "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. National Organization for Women PAC. August 23, 2017.
  30. "List of Endorsements: 2018 Election". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  31. "House Races Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ". FOX News]. November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 11, 2018.
  32. "2018 Congressional Election (unofficial results)". Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved 13 November 2018.
Official campaign websites