Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2018

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Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2018
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Nominee Asa Hutchinson Jared Henderson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote582,406283,218
Percentage65.3%31.8%
Arkansas Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County Results

Hutchinson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Contents

Henderson:     40-50%     50–60%
Governor before election

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

Elected Governor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

United States House of Representatives lower house of the United States Congress

The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they comprise the legislature of the United States.

Incumbent Republican Governor Asa Hutchinson won reelection to a second term.

Republican Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Asa Hutchinson 46th Governor of Arkansas

William Asa Hutchinson II is an American businessman, attorney, and politician, serving as the 46th Governor of Arkansas since 2015. Previously he was U.S. Attorney for the Fort Smith-based Western District of Arkansas, U.S. Congressman from the Third District of Arkansas, Administrator of the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) and the first Undersecretary for Border & Transportation Security at the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Tim Griffin American politician

John Timothy Griffin is an American politician and member of the Republican Party who is the 20th and current Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas, a post he has held since January 2015 under Governor Asa Hutchinson. Previously, Griffin was the U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 2nd congressional district from 2011 to 2015. As the Republican nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 he defeated Democrat John Burkhalter. Griffin was also the interim United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Arkansas from December 2006 to June 2007 but was never confirmed by the United States Senate.

Leslie Rutledge American politician

Leslie Rutledge is an American lawyer and politician from the U.S. State of Arkansas. A member of the Republican Party, she is the current Attorney General of Arkansas, a position she has held since January 13, 2015.

John Manuel Thurston is the current Secretary of State of Arkansas, Elected in November 2018, he has served in the position since January 2019.

Endorsements

Asa Hutchinson
Federal officials
Donald Trump 45th president of the United States

Donald John Trump is the 45th and current president of the United States. Before entering politics, he was a businessman and television personality.

Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Asa
Hutchinson		Jan
Morgan		Undecided
Hendrix College April 17–19, 2018676± 3.8%58%31%12%

Results

Results by county: Hutchinson 80-90% 70-80% 60-70% 50-60% Morgan 50-60% Arkansas gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Asa Hutchinson (incumbent)145,25169.7
Republican Jan Morgan63,00930.3
Total votes208,260100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Teach For America (TFA) is a nonprofit organization whose stated mission is to "enlist, develop, and mobilize as many as possible of our nation's most promising future leaders to grow and strengthen the movement for educational equity and excellence."

Declined

Results

Results by county: Henderson 70-80% 60-70% 50-60% Sanders 50-60% Arkansas gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jared Henderson68,34063.4
Democratic Leticia Sanders39,38236.6
Total votes107,722100.0

Independents

Candidates

Declined

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [18] Solid RAugust 7, 2017
The Washington Post [19] Solid ROctober 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [20] Solid ROctober 17, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [21] Solid RNovember 10, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Safe RNovember 14, 2017
RealClearPolitics [23] Safe ROctober 9, 2018
Daily Kos [24] Safe RJune 5, 2018
Fox News [25] [lower-alpha 1] Likely ROctober 9, 2018
Politico [26] Solid ROctober 9, 2018
Governing [27] Safe ROctober 2, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

Host
network/sponsors		DateLink(s)Participants
Jared
Henderson(D)		Asa
Hutchinson (R)		Mark
West (L)
Arkansas Educational Television Network October 12, 2018 [28] InvitedInvitedInvited
Arkansas Press AssociationJune 29, 2018 [29] InvitedInvitedInvited

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Asa
Hutchinson (R)		Jared
Henderson (D)		Mark
West (L)		OtherUndecided
University of Arkansas October 1–28, 2018618± 3.9%59%35%–6%–
Hendrix College October 18–19, 2018528± 4.3%60%24%5%–11%
Hendrix College September 5–7, 20181,701± 2.4%60%25%6%–9%
Mason-Dixon March 21–24, 2018625± 4.0%63%24%––13%

Results

Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Republican Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) 582,406 65.33% +9.89%
Democratic Jared Henderson283,21831.77%-9.72%
Libertarian Mark West25,8852.90%+0.98%
Total votes891,509100.0%N/A
Republican hold

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 Wickline, Michael R. (January 3, 2017). "Arkansas governor to hold fundraiser for term 2; re-election bid not yet formally announced". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . Retrieved January 3, 2017.
  2. ↑ Wickline, Michael R. (May 17, 2017). "Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson to pursue second term". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  3. ↑ Lanning, Curt (October 3, 2017). "Gov. Hutchinson May Have a GOP Challenger". KNWA-TV . Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  4. ↑ "Republican Jan Morgan Announces Run for Arkansas Governor". U.S. News and World Report. January 1, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2018.
  5. ↑ Ramsey, David (April 18, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Tim Griffin "opposes Obamacare" (duh), dodges questions on "Arkansas Works"". Arkansas Times . Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  6. ↑ DeMillo, Andrew (July 11, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Griffin says he's seeking re-election". Log Cabin Democrat . Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  7. ↑ Donald J. Trump. ".@AsaHutchinson, the great Governor of Arkansas, is in a primary tomorrow. He has done an incredible job with a focus on lower taxes, border security, and crime prevention. Asa loves our military and our veterans. I fully endorse Asa for Governor!". Twitter.
  8. ↑ "NRA Endorses Governor Asa Hutchinson In Re-Election Bid". 5newsonline.com . September 20, 2018.
  9. ↑ "EDITORIAL: For Asa Hutchinson". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . October 23, 2018.
  10. ↑ Brock, Roby (December 12, 2017). "Jared Henderson to run as Democratic candidate for Governor". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
  11. ↑ "Meet Jan Morgan, GOP Candidate For Arkansas Governor". KFSM. March 27, 2018. Retrieved April 8, 2018.
  12. ↑ Brock, Roby (November 28, 2017). "Former State Rep. Jay Martin eyeing run for governor on Democratic ticket". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved November 29, 2017.
  13. ↑ "Martin says time is not right to run for Arkansas governor's office". Talk Business & Politics. December 1, 2017. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
  14. ↑ "Radio host Bobby Bones considering run for Ark. governor". THV11 Digital, KTHV. January 3, 2017. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
  15. ↑ Taha, Nada (March 14, 2017). "Bobby Makes Official Statement On Political Plans". The Bobby Bones Show . Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  16. ↑ Wickline, Michael R. (June 28, 2017). "Libertarian to run for governor's post". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette . Retrieved June 28, 2017.
  17. ↑ Lampe, Ellen (June 27, 2017). "Libertarian Party Candidate Announces Run for AR Governor". ArkansasMatters.com. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
  18. ↑ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  19. ↑ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post . October 16, 2018.
  20. ↑ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  21. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  22. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
  23. ↑ "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . October 9, 2018.
  24. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . June 5, 2018.
  25. ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News .
  26. ↑ "Race Ratings, Politico predicts". Politico.
  27. ↑ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
  28. ↑ https://www.c-span.org/video/?453008-1/arkansas-gubernatorial-debate
  29. ↑ https://www.facebook.com/KARK4/videos/arkansas-governor-debate/10156828106739113/
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