Alabama gubernatorial election, 2018

Last updated

Alabama gubernatorial election, 2018
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2014 November 6, 20182022 
  Portrait-Governor-Kay-Ivey.jpg Walter Maddox May 2011 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kay Ivey Walter Maddox
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,019,558691,671
Percentage59.5%40.4%

Alabama gubernatorial election, 2018.svg
County Results

Ivey:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Maddox:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

Governor before election

Kay Ivey
Republican

Elected Governor

Kay Ivey
Republican

The 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Alabama. Incumbent Republican Governor Kay Ivey, who took office on April 10, 2017 upon the resignation of Governor Robert Bentley, ran for election to a full term and won over Tuscaloosa mayor Walt Maddox. [1] Ivey will be sworn into office on January 14, 2019.

Republican Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Kay Ivey Alabama politician

Kay Ellen Ivey is an American politician serving as the 54th Governor of Alabama since 2017. A member of the Republican Party, she previously was the 38th Alabama State Treasurer from 2003 to 2011 and 30th Lieutenant Governor of Alabama from 2011 to 2017. Ivey became Alabama's second female governor and first female Republican governor upon the resignation of her predecessor, Robert J. Bentley. She won a full term in the 2018 gubernatorial election.

Robert J. Bentley 53rd Governor of Alabama

Robert Julian Bentley is an American former politician and physician who served as the 53rd Governor of Alabama from 2011 until 2017 upon his resignation after a political scandal and subsequent arrest. A member of the Republican Party, Bentley was elected governor in 2010 and re-elected in 2014. Bentley resigned on April 10, 2017 due to a sex scandal involving a political aide.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Tommy Battle American politician and entrepreneur

Thomas Massengale Battle Jr. is an American businessman and politician who serves as the 67th and current mayor of Huntsville, Alabama. His first term began November 3, 2008, and he was re-elected in August 2012 and once again in August 2016 with over 80% of the vote.

Huntsville, Alabama City in Alabama

Huntsville is a city located primarily in Madison County in the Appalachian region of northern Alabama. Huntsville is the county seat of Madison County. The city extends west into neighboring Limestone County and south into Morgan County. Huntsville's population was 180,105 as of the 2010 census. Huntsville is the third-largest city in Alabama and the largest city in the five-county Huntsville-Decatur-Albertville, AL Combined Statistical Area, which at the 2013 census estimate had a total population of 683,871. The Huntsville Metropolitan Area's population was 417,593 in 2010 to become the 2nd largest in Alabama. Huntsville metro's population reached 441,000 by 2014.

Scott Dawson (evangelist) American priest

Scott Dawson is an American author and preacher, and the founder of the Scott Dawson Evangelistic Association (SDEA), and of the Strength to Stand Conference movement.

Withdrew

Slade Blackwell is a Republican member of the Alabama Senate for the 15th district, encompassing parts of Jefferson County and Shelby County.

Jefferson County, Alabama County in the United States

Jefferson County is the most populous county in the United States state of Alabama. As of the 2010 census, its population was 658,466. Its county seat is Birmingham, the most populous city in the state. Its rapid growth as an industrial city in the 20th century, based on heavy manufacturing in steel and iron, established its dominance.

The Alabama Public Service Commission, commonly called the PSC, was established by an act of the Alabama Legislature in 1915 to primarily replace the State Railroad Commission. The PSC's responsibility was expanded in 1920 to include regulating and setting rates that utility companies charge their customers for electricity. The legislature expanded the PSC's responsibilities in later years to include those companies that provide gas, water, and communications, as well as transportation common carriers such as trucking and air carriers. The PSC effectively determines the rate of profits that most of these companies are allowed to earn. However, some of its traditional responsibilities have passed to the federal government with the passage of the Federal Aviation Act of 1994 and the Federal Communications Act of 1996.

Declined

Bradley Byrne U.S. Representative

Bradley Roberts Byrne is an American business attorney and Republican congressman for Alabama's 1st congressional district. He served in the Alabama State Senate from 2003 to 2007. He was chancellor of the Alabama Community College System from 2007 until his resignation in 2009 to unsuccessfully run for the 2010 Republican nomination for Governor of Alabama. In December 2013, he won a special election to represent Alabama's 1st congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. On February 20, 2019, he announced his intention to run for U.S. Senate in 2020.

The Alabama State Board of Education is a nine-member body which authorizes the education policy for the state of Alabama. The governor is the ex officio president of the board and has voting privileges on all matters, although they are seldom exercised. The remaining eight members are elected to four-year terms in partisan elections from single-member districts of approximately equal population. However, most issues before the board are not necessarily considered as partisan in nature. There is no limit on the number of terms to which members may be elected. Members in Districts 1, 3, 5, and 7 are elected in the same cycle as the President of the United States, with their next election scheduled for 2020. Members in Districts 2, 4, 6, and 8 are elected in the same cycle as the Governor of Alabama, with their most recent election occurring in 2018. The eight single-member districts are re-drawn by the Alabama Legislature following each di-cennial U.S. Census.

Endorsements

Scott Dawson
Politicians
Individuals
Organizations
  • BamaCarry, Alabama's Largest Second Amendment Rights Group
  • Alabama Republican Assembly
Kay Ivey
Politicians
  • State Sen. Del Marsh. (R-Anniston), President pro tempore of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Reed, (R-Jasper), Majority Leader of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Albritton (R-Range)
  • State Sen. Clyde Chambliss (R-Prattville)
  • State Sen. Jimmy Holley (R-Elba)
  • State Sen. Jim McClendon (R-Springville)
  • State Sen. Tim Melson (R-Florence)
  • State Sen. Arthur Orr (R-Decatur)
  • State Sen. Paul Sanford (R-Huntsville)
  • State Sen. Clay Scofield (R-Guntersville)
  • State Sen. Jabo Waggoner (R-Vestavia Hills)
  • State Sen. Cam Ward (R-Alabaster)
  • State Sen. Phil Williams (R-Rainbow City)
  • Rep. Alan Baker (R-Brewton)
  • Rep. Chris Blackshear (R-Phenix City)
  • Rep. Alan Booth (R-Troy)
  • Rep. K.L. Brown (R-Jacksonville)
  • Rep. Donnie Chesteen (R-Geneva)
  • Rep. Steve Clouse (R-Ozark)
  • Rep. Terri Collins (R-Decatur)
  • Rep. Danny Crawford (R-Athens)
  • Rep. Corley Ellis (R-Columbiana)
  • Rep. David Faulkner (R-Mountain Brook)
  • Rep. Joe Faust (R-Fairhope)
  • Rep. Bob Fincher (R-Woodland)
  • Rep. Danny Garrett (R-Trussville)
  • Rep. Lynn Greer (R-Rogersville)
  • Rep. Alan Harper (R-Northport)
  • Rep. Steve Hurst (R-Munford)
  • Rep. Reed Ingram (R-Montgomery)
  • Rep. Ken Johnson (R-Moulton)
  • Rep. Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville)
  • Rep. Paul Lee (R-Dothan)
  • Rep. Joe Lovvorn (R-Auburn)
  • Rep. Steve McMillan (R-Bay Minette)
  • Rep. Becky Nordgren (R-Gadsden)
  • Rep. Phillip Pettus (R-Killen)
  • Rep. Bill Poole (R-Tuscaloosa)
  • Rep. Chris Pringle (R-Mobile)
  • Rep. Kerry Rich (R-Guntersville)
  • Rep. Chris Sells (R-Evergreen)
  • Rep. Randall Shedd (R-Cullman)
  • Rep. David Standridge (R-Hayden)
  • Rep. Allen Treadaway (R-Morris)
  • Rep. Randy Wood (R-Anniston)

Adelbert Carl "Del" Marsh is a Republican member of the Alabama Senate, representing the 12th District since 1998. He defeated Democratic challenger Judge Wallace Wyatt in the 2010 midterm elections. The next day, he was chosen as President pro tempore of the Alabama State Senate by his colleagues. Since the succession of Kay Ivey to the position of Governor of Alabama on April 10, 2017 until January 14, 2019, the office of lieutenant governor was vacant.

Greg Reed is a Republican member of the Alabama Senate, representing the 5th District since 2010. He defeated Democrat Brett Wadsworth in the 2010 midterm elections to replace Charles Bishop in the 5th District.

Clyde Chambliss is an American politician who has served in the Alabama Senate from the 30th district since 2014.

Individuals
Organizations
  • Alabama Farmers Federation
Tommy Battle
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tommy
Battle
Scott
Dawson
Bill
Hightower
Kay
Ivey
Undecided
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) May 20–22, 2018602± 4.1%18%7%5%58%12%
Leverage Public Strategies April 23–30, 2018600± 3.9%11%9%4%47%30%
The Tarrance Group (R-Ivey) August 28–30, 2017601± 4.1%11%3%66%16%

Results

Results by county:
Ivey
>90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
Battle
40-50%
60-70% Alabama gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Republican primary results [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent)330,74356.1%
Republican Tommy Battle146,88724.9%
Republican Scott Dawson79,30213.5%
Republican Bill Hightower29,2755.0%
Republican Michael McAllister3,3260.6%
Total votes589,533100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Sue Bell Cobb
Politicians
  • Thomas Parchman III, candidate for Jefferson County Circuit Clerk
Individuals
  • James T. Stephens, Chairman of EBSCO Industries
  • Lilly Ledbetter [55]
  • Billy Jones, President of Crowne Healthcare [56]
  • Suzanne Durham, former CEO of YMCA Birmingham [57]
  • J. Norman Baldwin, Author and Professor of Political Science at University of Alabama [58]
  • Ruth Harrell, former president of the Alabama State Nurses Association [59]
  • Joanne Shum, Director of Alabama HIPPY [60]
  • Kelley Parris, Director of the Children's Board of Hillsborough County
  • Mark Johnston, former candidate for Governor of Alabama
  • John A. Pickens, Former Executive Director of Alabama Appleseed Center
  • Miah Jackson, Councilwoman for Selma, Alabama
  • Frannie James, Jefferson County Democratic Party Executive Director
  • Wade Chapman, student activist
  • Quincy Hall, Equality Alabama Board of Directors President
  • Josh Coleman, Central Alabama Pride
  • Sue Thompson, activist
  • Lonnie Malone, Executive Director of The Effective Family Inc.
Organizations
  • Alabama Progressive Democratic Alliance
James Fields
Unions
Christopher A. Countryman
Organizations
  • Madison County Our Revolution
  • Millions For Medicare
  • Internet Democrats
  • Alabama United
Individuals
  • Bev Cowling, Director of Madison County Our Revolution
  • Cortney Brown, Successful business woman, Huntsville, AL
Walt Maddox
Politicians
Individuals
  • Bren Riley, Alabama AFL-CIO President [70]
  • Shelia Hocutt Remington, former Alabama Education Association President [71]
  • Pat Edington, former Vice Chair of the Alabama Democratic Party
  • Richard Allen Smith, MSNBC contributor and former staffer at the Department of Veteran Affairs [72]
  • Zac McCrary, Democratic pollster
  • Alex McDaniel, Editorial director of Oxford Eagle and Oxford Magazine.
  • Tom Ksobiech, Associate Dean at University of Alabama Law School
  • Jim Page, President of West Alabama Chamber of Commerce
  • Tony Quillen, President of IBEW 558 [73]
  • Sarah Patterson, former head coach of the Alabama Crimson Tide women's gymnastics team
  • Lars Anderson, Reporter for The Athletic
  • Jack Jacobs, UMWA Chairman
  • Bob Vance, Circuit Court Judge
  • Kurt Thomas, UAB Track and Field Head Coach
  • Charles Morgan, Alabama Restaurateur [62]
  • Brandon Hamner, President of United Steelworkers Local 351
  • Elliot Maisel, Chairman of the Mobile Airport Authority
  • Steven Reed, Montgomery County Probate Judge
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Results by county:
Maddox
>90%
80-90%
70-80%
60-70%
50-60%
40-50%
<40%
Cobb
<40%
40-50%
50-60%
Fields
50-60%
White
<40% Alabama gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
Democratic primary results [77]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Walt Maddox154,55954.6%
Democratic Sue Bell Cobb82,04329.0%
Democratic James Fields22,6358.0%
Democratic Anthony White9,6773.4%
Democratic Doug "New Blue" Smith9,2443.3%
Democratic Christopher Countryman4,9231.7%
Total votes283,081100.0%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Tony Hewitt, Jr., police officer [78]
  • Eric Lathan, security guard, Iraq War veteran and candidate for the Jefferson County Commission in 2010 [79]


Declined

  • Mark Johnston, pastor, businessman and summer camp executive director [80] [81] [82] [83]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [84] Solid RSeptember 28, 2018
The Washington Post [85] Safe ROctober 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [86] Solid ROctober 17, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [87] Solid RSeptember 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [88] Safe RSeptember 20, 2018
RealClearPolitics [89] Safe ROctober 9, 2018
Daily Kos [90] Safe RSeptember 28, 2018
Fox News [91] [lower-alpha 1] Likely ROctober 9, 2018
Politico [92] Solid ROctober 9, 2018
Governing [93] Safe ROctober 2, 2018

Endorsements

Walt Maddox
Federal officials
Local and state politicians
Individuals
  • Bren Riley, Alabama AFL-CIO President [104]
  • Shelia Hocutt Remington, former Alabama Education Association President [105]
  • Pat Edington, former Vice Chair of the Alabama Democratic Party
  • Richard Allen Smith, MSNBC contributor and former staffer at the Department of Veteran Affairs [106]
  • Zac McCrary, Democratic pollster
  • Alex McDaniel, Editorial director of Oxford Eagle and Oxford Magazine.
  • Tom Ksobiech, Associate Dean at University of Alabama Law School
  • Jim Page, President of West Alabama Chamber of Commerce
  • Tony Quillen, President of IBEW 558 [107]
  • Sarah Patterson, former head coach of the Alabama Crimson Tide women's gymnastics team
  • Lars Anderson, Reporter for The Athletic
  • Jack Jacobs, UMWA Chairman
  • Bob Vance, Circuit Court Judge
  • Kurt Thomas, UAB Track and Field Head Coach
  • Charles Morgan, Alabama Restaurateur [62]
  • Brandon Hamner, President of United Steelworkers Local 351
  • Elliot Maisel, Chairman of the Mobile Airport Authority
  • Steven Reed, Montgomery County Probate Judge
  • Marc Torrence, Reporter for Patch Media
  • Jim Stovall, American writer best known for his bestselling novel The Ultimate Gift. [108]


Organizations
Newspapers
Kay Ivey
Politicians
  • State Sen. Del Marsh. (R-Anniston), President pro tempore of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Reed, (R-Jasper), Majority Leader of the Alabama Senate
  • State Sen. Greg Albritton (R-Range)
  • State Sen. Clyde Chambliss (R-Prattville)
  • State Sen. Jimmy Holley (R-Elba)
  • State Sen. Jim McClendon (R-Springville)
  • State Sen. Tim Melson (R-Florence)
  • State Sen. Arthur Orr (R-Decatur)
  • State Sen. Paul Sanford (R-Huntsville)
  • State Sen. Clay Scofield (R-Guntersville)
  • State Sen. Jabo Waggoner (R-Vestavia Hills)
  • State Sen. Cam Ward (R-Alabaster)
  • State Sen. Phil Williams (R-Rainbow City)
  • Rep. Alan Baker (R-Brewton)
  • Rep. Chris Blackshear (R-Phenix City)
  • Rep. Alan Booth (R-Troy)
  • Rep. K.L. Brown (R-Jacksonville)
  • Rep. Donnie Chesteen (R-Geneva)
  • Rep. Steve Clouse (R-Ozark)
  • Rep. Terri Collins (R-Decatur)
  • Rep. Danny Crawford (R-Athens)
  • Rep. Corley Ellis (R-Columbiana)
  • Rep. David Faulkner (R-Mountain Brook)
  • Rep. Joe Faust (R-Fairhope)
  • Rep. Bob Fincher (R-Woodland)
  • Rep. Danny Garrett (R-Trussville)
  • Rep. Lynn Greer (R-Rogersville)
  • Rep. Alan Harper (R-Northport)
  • Rep. Steve Hurst (R-Munford)
  • Rep. Reed Ingram (R-Montgomery)
  • Rep. Ken Johnson (R-Moulton)
  • Rep. Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville)
  • Rep. Paul Lee (R-Dothan)
  • Rep. Joe Lovvorn (R-Auburn)
  • Rep. Steve McMillan (R-Bay Minette)
  • Rep. Becky Nordgren (R-Gadsden)
  • Rep. Phillip Pettus (R-Killen)
  • Rep. Bill Poole (R-Tuscaloosa)
  • Rep. Chris Pringle (R-Mobile)
  • Rep. Kerry Rich (R-Guntersville)
  • Rep. Chris Sells (R-Evergreen)
  • Rep. Randall Shedd (R-Cullman)
  • Rep. David Standridge (R-Hayden)
  • Rep. Allen Treadaway (R-Morris)
  • Rep. Randy Wood (R-Anniston)
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kay
Ivey (R)
Walt
Maddox (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey September 9–24, 20181,254± 3.8%51%26%22%
Research Consultants (R-FarmPAC) September 22, 2018316± 5.5%58%38%4%
Cygnal (R) July 24–25, 20181,027± 3.1%56%42%3%
Neighborhood Research Corporation (R) June 12–14 and 18–21, 2018440± 4.4%53%28%

Results

Alabama gubernatorial election, 2018 [116]
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 1,019,558 59.49% -4.07%
Democratic Walt Maddox 691,67140.36%+4.12%
n/a Write-ins2,6140.15%-0.05%
Total votes1,713,843100.0%N/A
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

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References

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Official gubernatorial campaign websites