Next Israeli legislative election

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Next Israeli legislative election
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  2022 By 27 October 2026

All 120 seats in the Knesset
61 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
Likud Benjamin Netanyahu 32
Yesh Atid Yair Lapid 24
Shas Aryeh Deri 11
National Unity Benny Gantz 8
Mafdal–RZ Bezalel Smotrich 7
UTJ Yitzhak Goldknopf 7
Otzma Yehudit Itamar Ben-Gvir 6
Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman 6
Ra'am Mansour Abbas 5
Hadash–Ta'al Ayman Odeh 5
Labor Merav Michaeli 4
National Right Gideon Sa'ar 4
Noam Avi Maoz 1

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by 27 October 2026 to elect the 120 members of the twenty-sixth Knesset. [1] In late February 2024 it was suggested it was likely they would take place in January or February 2025. [2]

Contents

Background

After the 36th government lost its majority, the 2022 snap election was called. This resulted in the Netanyahu bloc gaining a majority, [3] and a government was successfully negotiated between Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Noam, Religious Zionist Party, United Torah Judaism and Shas. The coalition was sworn in on 29 December 2022. [4] [5]

With this new government, Netanyahu returned to the premiership, having previously been out of that office since the anti-Netanyahu bloc won a majority in the 2021 election and formed a government without Netanyahu's Likud.

Five members of the National Unity party (Benny Gantz, Gadi Eizenkot, Gideon Sa'ar, Hili Tropper and Yifat Shasha-Biton) joined an emergency wartime government in October 2023 following the outbreak of the Israel–Hamas war. Gantz and Eizenkot also joined the Israeli war cabinet. [6] Sa'ar announced on 25 March that New Hope had resigned from the government. [7]

Electoral system

The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by closed list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%. [8]

Two parties can sign a surplus vote agreement that allows them to compete for leftover seats as if they were running together on the same list. The Bader–Ofer method slightly favours larger lists, meaning that alliances are more likely to receive leftover seats than parties would be individually. If the alliance receives leftover seats, the Bader–Ofer calculation is applied privately, to determine how the seats are divided among the two allied lists. [9]

Timing

Per sections 8 and 9 of the Israeli quasi-constitutional Basic Law: Knesset, an election will typically be called approximately 4 years after the previous election, on the first or third Tuesday of the Hebrew month of Cheshvan, depending on whether or not the previous year was a Jewish Leap Year. An election can happen earlier if the government falls and the Knesset is dissolved, or later if the Knesset's term is extended by a supermajority vote.

The next election is scheduled to be held no later than 27 October 2026. [1] In late February 2024 Yoav Krakowsky, an Israeli journalist and radio reporter, suggested during an edition of the Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation's Friday evening magazine programme that they would take place in January or February 2025. [2]

After the 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel and subsequent Israel–Hamas war, some have called for the resignation of Prime Minister Netanyahu, [10] [11] with polls suggesting that more than 75% of Israelis believe he should step down. [12] [13] There have also been calls for a snap election once the war is over. Minister of Labor Yoav Ben-Tzur said that an election should occur within 90 days of the end of the war, [14] although he later walked those statements back. [15] Polling suggests that 64% of Israelis believe that an election should happen as soon as the war is over. [13]

Political parties

2022 election results

The table below lists the results of 2022 Israeli legislative election.

NameIdeologySymbolPrimary demographicLeader2022 result
Votes (%)Seats
Likud Conservatism מחל Benjamin Netanyahu 23.41%
32 / 120(27%)
Yesh Atid Liberal Zionism פה Yair Lapid 17.78%
24 / 120(20%)
Religious Zionist Party Religious Zionism
Kahanism
ט Israeli settlers
Modern Orthodox and Hardal Jews
Bezalel Smotrich 10.83%
14 / 120(12%)
National Unity Conservatism
Zionism
כן Benny Gantz 9.08%
12 / 120(10%)
Shas Religious conservatism שס Sephardi, Mizrahi, and Haredim Jews Aryeh Deri 8.24%
11 / 120(9%)
United Torah Judaism Religious conservatism ג Ashkenazi Haredim Yitzhak Goldknopf 5.88%
7 / 120(6%)
Yisrael Beiteinu Conservatism
Nationalism
ל Avigdor Lieberman 4.49%
6 / 120(5%)
Ra'am Islamism
Social conservatism
עם Israeli Arab and Sunni Muslims
Negev Bedouin
Mansour Abbas 4.07%
5 / 120(4%)
Hadash–Ta'al Two-state solution
Secularism
ום Israeli Arabs Ayman Odeh 3.75%
5 / 120(4%)
Labor Social democracy אמת Merav Michaeli 3.69%
4 / 120(3%)

Leadership elections and primaries

Leadership elections have been held by some parties to determine party leadership ahead of the election. Primary elections will be held by some parties in advance of the national election to determine the composition of their party list.

Labor

Current party leader Merav Michaeli announced on 7 December 2023 that she was calling an early leadership election that she would not run in. [16] In response, Meretz chairman Tomer Reznik urged Labor to hold joint primaries with Meretz. [17] The leadership election for the Israeli Labor Party is expected to be held on 28 May. [18]

Yesh Atid

Yesh Atid held its first leadership primary on 28 March 2024, in which party leader Yair Lapid narrowly beat MK Ram Ben-Barak 308 votes to 279, a margin of 29 votes. [19]

Opinion polls

This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using a 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Opinion polls Israel 2026.svg
Local regression of polls conducted

See also

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References

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