Next Israeli legislative election

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Next Israeli legislative election
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  2022 By 27 October 2026

All 120 seats in the Knesset
61 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
Likud Benjamin Netanyahu 32
Yesh Atid Yair Lapid 24
Shas Aryeh Deri 11
Blue and White Benny Gantz 8
Mafdal–RZ Bezalel Smotrich 7
UTJ Yitzhak Goldknopf 7
Otzma Yehudit Itamar Ben-Gvir 6
Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman 6
Ra'am Mansour Abbas 5
Hadash–Ta'al Ayman Odeh 5
Democrats [a] Yair Golan 4
New Hope Gideon Sa'ar 4
Noam Avi Maoz 1

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by 27 October 2026 to elect the 120 members of the twenty-sixth Knesset. [2]

Contents

Background

After the 36th government lost its majority, snap elections were called in 2022. They resulted in the Netanyahu bloc gaining a majority, [3] and a government was successfully negotiated between Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Noam, Religious Zionist Party, United Torah Judaism and Shas. The coalition was sworn in on 29 December 2022. [4] [5]

With this new government, Netanyahu returned to the premiership, having previously been out of office since the anti-Netanyahu bloc won a majority in the 2021 election and formed a government without Netanyahu's Likud. Five members of the National Unity party (Benny Gantz, Gadi Eizenkot, Gideon Sa'ar, Hili Tropper and Yifat Shasha-Biton) joined an emergency wartime government in October 2023 following the outbreak of the Gaza war. Gantz and Eizenkot also joined the Israeli war cabinet. [6] Sa'ar announced on 25 March 2024 that New Hope had resigned from the government. [7] Gantz and the rest of his National Unity party left the government on 9 June. [8] New Hope rejoined the government in September 2024. [9] Otzma Yehudit announced on 19 January 2025 that it would leave the government because the government had agreed to a Gaza ceasefire agreement. [10] The resignations were effective two days later. [11] Members of the party rejoined the government in March. [12]

Electoral system

The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by closed list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%. [13]

Two parties can sign a surplus vote agreement that allows them to compete for leftover seats as if they were running together on the same list. The Bader–Ofer method slightly favours larger lists, meaning that alliances are more likely to receive leftover seats than parties would be individually. If the alliance receives leftover seats, the Bader–Ofer calculation is applied privately, to determine how the seats are divided among the two allied lists. [14]

Timing

Per sections 8 and 9 of the Israeli quasi-constitutional Basic Law: Knesset, an election will typically be called approximately 4 years after the previous election, on the first or third Tuesday of the Hebrew month of Cheshvan, depending on whether or not the previous year was a Jewish Leap Year. An election can happen earlier if the government falls and the Knesset is dissolved, or later if the Knesset's term is extended by a supermajority vote.

Per section 36 if the previous Knesset was dissolved earlier than the expiration of its full term then the next election shall be held the next month of Cheshvan after 4 years of a current Knesset's term have been completed (from 1970 all except in 1988 had been early elections). Since the 2022 elections were held in Cheshvan a question was raised as to once 4 years from the last elections are completed whether the "next Cheshvan" will be in 2027 or 2026. The Israeli Supreme Court decided that it is in 2026; the next election was scheduled to be held no later than 27 October 2026. [2]

After the 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel and subsequent Gaza war, some have called for the resignation of Prime Minister Netanyahu, [15] [16] with polls suggesting that more than 75% of Israelis believe he should step down. [17] [18] There have also been calls for a snap election once the war is over. Minister of Labor Yoav Ben-Tzur said that an election should occur within 90 days of the end of the war, [19] although he later walked those statements back. [20] Polling suggests that 64% of Israelis believe that an election should happen as soon as the war is over. [18]

Political parties

2022 election results

The table below lists the results of the 2022 Knesset elections.

NameIdeologySymbolPrimary demographicLeader2022 result
Votes (%)Seats
Likud Conservatism מחל Benjamin Netanyahu 23.41%
32 / 120(27%)
Yesh Atid Liberal Zionism פה Yair Lapid 17.78%
24 / 120(20%)
Religious Zionist Party
(including Noam and Otzma Yehudit)
Religious Zionism
Kahanism
ט Israeli settlers
Modern Orthodox and Hardal Jews
Bezalel Smotrich 10.83%
14 / 120(12%)
National Unity Conservatism
Zionism
כן Benny Gantz 9.08%
12 / 120(10%)
Shas Religious conservatism שס Sephardic, Mizrahi, and Haredi Jews Aryeh Deri 8.24%
11 / 120(9%)
United Torah Judaism Religious conservatism ג Ashkenazi Haredim Yitzhak Goldknopf 5.88%
7 / 120(6%)
Yisrael Beiteinu Conservatism
Nationalism
לRussian Israelis Avigdor Lieberman 4.49%
6 / 120(5%)
Ra'am Islamism
Social conservatism
עם Israeli Arab and Sunni Muslims
Negev Bedouin
Mansour Abbas 4.07%
5 / 120(4%)
Hadash–Ta'al Two-state solution
Secularism
ום Israeli Arabs Ayman Odeh 3.75%
5 / 120(4%)
Labor Social democracy אמת Merav Michaeli 3.69%
4 / 120(3%)

Retiring incumbents

The table below lists all members of the Knesset (MKs) who will not stand for re-election.

PartyNameYear first elected
Democrats Merav Michaeli [21] 2013
Hadash–Ta'al Ayman Odeh [22] 2015

Public expression of interest

Leadership elections and primaries

Leadership elections have been held by some parties to determine party leadership ahead of the election. Primary elections will be held by some parties in advance of the national election to determine the composition of their party list.

Blue and White

National Unity announced on 8 June 2025 that it would hold leadership primaries. [42]

The party's Knesset faction was renamed to Blue and White-National Unity in July 2025, following the departures of MKs Gadi Eisenkot and Matan Kahana from the party. [43]

Labor

Party leader Merav Michaeli announced on 7 December 2023 that she was calling an early leadership election that she would not run in. [44] In response, Meretz chairman Tomer Reznik urged Labor to hold joint primaries with Meretz. [45]

On 6 May the party announced the final slate of leadership candidates: Yair Golan, Itai Leshem, Azi Nagar and Avi Shaked. [46]

Golan won the leadership election, which was held on 28 May. [47] On 30 June 2024, Labor and Meretz announced an agreement to merge into a new party, The Democrats, with Golan as the new party's leader. [48] The merger was approved in July by a conference of Labor and Meretz delegates. [49]

Likud

The next Likud primary is expected to be held in October 2026, though they could be held earlier if the coalition collapses. [50]

Yesh Atid

Yesh Atid held its first leadership primary on 28 March 2024, in which party leader Yair Lapid narrowly beat MK Ram Ben-Barak 308 votes to 279, a margin of 29 votes. [51]

Opinion polls

This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 elections until the next election day using a 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Opinion polls Israel 2026.svg

Local regression of polls conducted

See also

Notes

  1. The Democrats' members sit in the 25th Knesset as members of the Israeli Labor Party. [1]

References

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  2. 1 2 "October 27, 2026: Judge sets date for next scheduled elections". The Times of Israel . 20 April 2023. Retrieved 9 November 2023.
  3. "Netanyahu bloc wins majority in Knesset, final poll results show". Financial Times. 3 November 2022. Archived from the original on 4 January 2023. Retrieved 4 January 2023.
  4. "Benjamin Netanyahu returns as PM of Israel's most far-right gov't". Al Jazeera English . Archived from the original on 4 January 2023. Retrieved 9 November 2023.
  5. "Benjamin Netanyahu sworn in as Israel's prime minister for sixth time". Sky News . Archived from the original on 4 January 2023. Retrieved 9 November 2023.
  6. Keller-Lynn, Carrie (12 October 2023). "Knesset okays war cabinet; PM: Saturday 'most horrible day for Jews since Holocaust'". The Times of Israel . Archived from the original on 12 October 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
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  8. Sokol, Sam (9 June 2024). "Gantz quits war government, says PM preventing 'true victory' over Hamas, urges elections". The Times of Israel . Retrieved 6 July 2024.
  9. "As he officially rejoins government, Sa'ar blasts opposition for 'living in Oct. 6'". The Times of Israel . Retrieved 16 August 2025.
  10. Sokol, Sam (19 January 2025). "Otzma Yehudit exits coalition over Gaza deal, blasting it as 'victory for terrorism'". The Times of Israel . Archived from the original on 19 January 2025. Retrieved 19 January 2025.
  11. Summers, Charlie (21 January 2025). "Ben Gvir said seeking to retain influence over law enforcement, despite resigning". The Times of Israel. Retrieved 22 January 2025.
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  13. "With Bader-Ofer method, not every ballot counts". The Jerusalem Post . 16 March 2014. Archived from the original on 11 May 2019. Retrieved 9 November 2023.
  14. "The Distribution of Knesset Seats Among the Lists—the Bader-Offer Method". www.knesset.gov.il. Archived from the original on 2 April 2019.
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  18. 1 2 Johnston, Holly (5 November 2023). "Poll finds the majority want Benjamin Netanyahu to resign as Israel protests spread". The National . Retrieved 9 November 2023.
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  24. Azulay, Moran (1 April 2025). "'Bennett 2026': Former PM Naftali Bennett registers new political party". Ynet . Retrieved 1 April 2025.
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  32. Staff, TOI (2 July 2025). "Eisenkot party would win 7-9 seats; balance between pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs unchanged". The Times of Israel .
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