Opinion polling for the 1996 New Zealand general election

Last updated

Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 44th New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 1996 election by various research organisations.

Contents

Graphical summary

Opinion polls New Zealand 1996.svg
Local regression of polls conducted

Individual polls

Polls are listed in the table below in chronological order. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Unless otherwise noted the information is sourced from here: [1]

PollDate [nb 1] Labour National Alliance NZ First ACT United
1993 election result [2] 6 Nov 199334.6835.0518.218.40
TVNZ Heylen4 Dec 199325352710
TVNZ Heylen19 Feb 19943235238
TVNZ Heylen5 Mar 19943232277
TVNZ Heylen26 Mar 19942932277
TVNZ Heylen7 May 19943034248
TVNZ Heylen28 May 19942932277
TVNZ Heylen2 Jul 19942936248
TVNZ Heylen30 Jul 19942735287
13 August 1994 – National narrowly wins the Selwyn by-election after Ruth Richardson's resignation.
TVNZ Heylen3 Sep 19942236327
TVNZ Heylen1 Oct 19942435298
TVNZ Heylen29 Oct 19942739257
TVNZ Heylen3 Dec 199428402262
TVNZ Heylen9 May 199525382454
One News Colmar Brunton15 Jun 199527362463
28 June 1995 – United New Zealand is formed by 4 former National MPs and 3 former Labour MPs.
One News Colmar Brunton17 Jul 1995244220522
One News Colmar Brunton13 Aug 199523422052.90.7
One News Colmar Brunton7 Sep 199524461751.90.3
One News Colmar Brunton7 Oct 19951649214.52.90.8
One News Colmar Brunton14 Nov 199520452252.11
One News Colmar Brunton21 Feb 199620442281.30.8
One News Colmar Brunton18 Mar 1996174216173.81.3
April 1996 – Two former National MPs and one former Labour MP defected to New Zealand First.
One News Colmar Brunton18 Apr 1996184011224.10.5
One News Colmar Brunton16 May 19961535112930.3
27 May 1996 – Labour Party leader Helen Clark survived a leadership challenge with deputy leader David Caygill resigning soon after to be replaced with Michael Cullen.
TV39 Jun 199616437282.4
One News Colmar Brunton14 Jun 199616419251.80.6
TV37 Jul 1996164112242.7-
One News Colmar Brunton19 Jul 1996194310203.20.2
TV321 Jul 1996194313201.2
One News Colmar Brunton2 Aug 1996154013212.50.4
TV34 Aug 199619429213.2
One News Colmar Brunton15 Aug 19961439132040.3
TV318 Aug 1996203714173.4-
One News Colmar Brunton29 Aug 1996193512204.60.6
TV31 Sep 1996213812182.4-
One News Colmar Brunton12 Sep 1996163515194.30.7
One News Colmar Brunton26 Sep 19961840151450.4
One News Colmar Brunton3 Oct 1996243415153.80.5
TV38 Oct 1996263017166.4-
1996 election result [3] 12 Oct 199628.1933.8710.1013.356.100.88

See also

Notes

  1. These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

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References

  1. "Historical Pollling Data 1974–2021". Patrick Leyland. Retrieved 10 March 2022.
  2. "Elections to the New Zealand House of Representatives". Election Resources on the Internet. Retrieved 17 December 2011.
  3. "1996 GENERAL ELECTION - OFFICIAL RESULTS AND STATISTICS". ElectionResults.govt.nz. Electoral Commission. 18 October 2020.