Opinion polling for the 2005 New Zealand general election

Last updated

Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 47th New Zealand Parliament and in the lead up to the 2005 election by various organisations.

Contents

Party vote and key events in the leadup to the 2005 election

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Graphical summary

Opinion polls New Zealand 2005.svg
Local regression of polls conducted

Individual polls

PollDate Labour National NZ First ACT Green United
Future
Māori Destiny
2002 election result 27 Jul 200241.2620.9310.387.147.006.69N/A [note 1]
One News Colmar Brunton [1] 1 Sep 2002402510678
TV3 NFO [2] 16 – 22 Sep 2002491910584.7
NBR-HP Invent [3] 19 – 22 Sep 200244229.58.55.9
One News Colmar Brunton [4] 23 – 26 Sep 2002 [5] 47268564
One News Colmar Brunton [6] 27 Oct 200251257555
NBR-HP Invent [7] 18 – 20 Oct 200247249.14.97.54.7
TV3 NFO [8] 18 – 24 Nov 2002 [9] 5019104.885
One News Colmar Brunton [10] 18 Nov 200249268652.9
One News Colmar Brunton [11] 15 Dec 200252256554
Herald-DigiPoll [12] 3 Feb 200349.622.97.25.95.13.3
TV3 NFO [13] 10 – 16 Feb 2003562164.263.6
One News Colmar Brunton [14] 17 Feb 200353275662
One News Colmar Brunton [15] 23 Mar 200351286652.9
TV3 NFO [16] 7 – 13 Apr 2003532654.962.4
One News Colmar Brunton [17] 13 Apr 200352266552
Herald-DigiPoll [18] 15–18 May 200349.42885.65.31.8
One News Colmar Brunton [19] 12 – 15 May 200350287632
TV3 NFO [20] 9 – 16 Jun 2003 [21] 522484.562.9
One News Colmar Brunton [22] 16 Jun 200354284
13 Jun 2003 – Destiny New Zealand is formed. [23]
Herald-DigiPollJul 200348.227.29.24.85.13.4
One News Colmar Brunton [24] 13 Jul 200351287641.1
Herald-DigiPoll [25] 12 – 17 Aug 200347.726.89.74.454.2
TV3 NFO [26] 12 Aug 200352239562.7
One News Colmar Brunton [27] 17 Aug 200347278652.6
One News Colmar Brunton [28] 15 Sep 200345298573.4
Herald-DigiPoll [29] 15 Oct 200343.322.312.36.29.22.7
TV3 NFO [30] 6 Oct 2003462410682.9
One News Colmar Brunton [31] 14 Oct 200345278672.8
28 Oct 2003 – Don Brash is elected leader of the National Party.
One News Colmar Brunton [32] 9 Nov 200345318472.2
One News Colmar Brunton [33] 14 Dec 2003452811642.1
27 Jan 2004 – Don Brash delivers his Orewa Speech.
Herald-DigiPoll [34] 23 Feb 20043745.55.62.35.31.4
3 News TNS [35] 5 Feb 2004433284.282.4
One News Colmar Brunton [36] 29 Jan – 4 Feb 2004 [37] 384561.351.8
3 News TNS [37] 27 – 29 Feb 2004394262.460.9
One News Colmar Brunton [38] 22 Mar 20043949422.21.7
3 News TNS [39] 25 – 31 Mar 2004424251.34.62.1
One News Colmar Brunton [40] 25 Apr 2004374851.651.9
One News Colmar Brunton [41] 17 – 20 May 2004 [42] 37475341.4
Herald-DigiPoll [43] 27 May – 1 Jun 200436445.624.72.4
3 News TNS [44] 27 May – 3 Jun 2004 [45] 4340524.62.3
13 Jun 2004 – Rodney Hide replaces Richard Prebble as leader of ACT New Zealand.
One News Colmar Brunton [42] 21 Jun 200440442.72.352.2
One News Colmar Brunton [46] 5 – 8 Jul 2004394352.742.2
7 Jul 2004 – The Māori Party is formed.
3 News TNS [47] 31 Jul 2004443952.64.71.80.9
Sunday Star-Times/BRC [47] 1 Aug 2004443933
One News Colmar Brunton [48] 9 – 12 Aug 2004444041.641.5
One News Colmar Brunton [49] 13 Sep 2004424252.541.7
Herald-DigiPoll [50] 28 Sep 200440.836513.62.61.5
3 News TNS [51] 30 Sep – 6 Oct 2004453353.35.22.8
One News Colmar Brunton [52] 14 Oct 2004443953.142.2
One News Colmar Brunton [53] 15 Nov 2004443853.342.5
Herald-DigiPoll [54] 19 – 27 Nov 200450.130.45.72.55.42.31.9
3 News TNS [55] 25 Nov – 1 Dec 2004463272.85.12.32.6
One News Colmar Brunton [56] 13 Dec 2004473552.851.4
Herald-DigiPoll [57] 1 Feb 200544.835.34.71.66.931.5
3 News TNS [58] 4 Feb 2005463852.14.71.41.7
One News Colmar Brunton [59] 14 Feb 2005443952412
One News Colmar Brunton [60] 14 – 17 Mar 2005463553511
Herald-DigiPoll [61] 22 – 30 Mar 200547.734.5
3 News TNS [62] 15 Apr 200545348
One News Colmar Brunton [63] 17 Apr 2005453873411
One News Colmar Brunton [64] 16 May 2005443782412
3 News TNS [65] 9 – 16 Jun 20054036111.56
Fairfax Media–Nielsen [66] 18 Jun 2005403882522
One News Colmar Brunton [67] 19 Jun 2005414372312
One News Colmar Brunton [68] 18 Jul 2005394271612
3 News TNS [69] 21 – 27 Jul 2005393971.661.42.2
Roy Morgan Research [70] 21 Jul – 1 Aug 20053838101.562
One News Colmar Brunton [71] 1–4 Aug 2005454152311
Roy Morgan Research [70] 2–15 Aug 20054036.582.57.52
One News Colmar Brunton [72] 15–18 Aug 20054537626111
One News Colmar Brunton [73] 22–25 Aug 20054340527111
3 News TNS [74] 25 – 30 Aug 2005394161.461.71.7
One News Colmar Brunton [75] 29 Aug – 1 Sep 20053846516121
Roy Morgan Research [76] 3 – 13 Sep 200538.5376.537.52.51.5
One News Colmar Brunton [77] 5–8 Sep 20053941636211
3 News TNS [78] 8 – 14 Sep 200540.538.76.80.96.93.01.4
Herald-DigiPoll9 – 14 Sep 200544.637.44.51.34.62.62.3
One News Colmar Brunton [78] 12 – 14 Sep 2005384461.952.51.7
Fairfax Media–Nielsen13 Sep 2005374371631
2005 election result 17 Sep 200541.1 39.15.71.55.32.72.10.6
PollDate Labour National NZ First ACT Green United
Future
Māori Destiny
  1. The Māori Party and Destiny New Zealand were formed in 2004 and 2003, so did not contest the 2002 election

See also

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