Opinion polling for the 2020 New Zealand general election

Last updated

Several polling firms conducted opinion polls during the term of the 52nd New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 2020 general election, which elects the 53rd Parliament. The 52nd Parliament was elected on 23 September 2017 and dissolved on 6 September 2020. The 2020 election was originally due to take place on Saturday 19 September 2020, but due to a second COVID-19 outbreak it was delayed until Saturday 17 October 2020. [1]

Contents

Very few polls have been conducted compared to previous electoral cycles. [2] The two regular polls are Television New Zealand ( 1 News ), conducted by Colmar Brunton, and MediaWorks New Zealand (Newshub) Reid Research, with less frequent polls from Roy Morgan Research. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Party vote

Graphical summary

The first graph shows trend lines averaged across all polls for all political parties that are routinely included by polling companies. The second graph shows parties that received less than 10% of the party vote in the 2017 election, and are routinely included by polling companies.

Summary of poll results given below from the election result 23 September 2017. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.625). Left and right-hand axis markers indicate the actual poll results from the 2017 and 2020 elections respectively. Opinion polling for the 2020 New Zealand general election.svg
Summary of poll results given below from the election result 23 September 2017. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.625). Left and right-hand axis markers indicate the actual poll results from the 2017 and 2020 elections respectively.
Summary of poll results for parties that received less than 10% of the party vote in the 2017 election, and that are routinely included by polling companies. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.625). Left and right-hand axis markers indicate the actual poll results from the 2017 and 2020 elections respectively. Opinion polling for the 2020 New Zealand general election (zoomed on smaller parties).svg
Summary of poll results for parties that received less than 10% of the party vote in the 2017 election, and that are routinely included by polling companies. Lines give the mean estimated by a LOESS smoother (smoothing set to span = 0.625). Left and right-hand axis markers indicate the actual poll results from the 2017 and 2020 elections respectively.

Individual polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, both figures are shaded and displayed in bold. Percentages may not add to 100 percent due to polls not reporting figures for all minor parties and due to rounding. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey organisations.

The parties shown in the table are National (NAT), Labour (LAB), New Zealand First (NZF), Green (GRN), ACT, Opportunities (TOP), Māori (MRI), New Conservative (NCP) and Advance New Zealand (ANZ). Other parties have also registered in some polls, but are not listed in this table.

Date [nb 1] Polling organisationSample size NAT LAB NZF GRN ACT TOP MRI NCP ANZ Lead
17 Oct 2020 2020 election result N/A25.650.02.67.97.61.51.21.51.024.4
8–15 Oct 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 100031.145.83.56.37.41.30.61.70.314.7
10–14 Oct 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100531462.6881.10.61.50.915
3–7 Oct 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100732472.4681.80.21.30.915
3 Oct 2020Advance voting for the election begins. The Electoral Commission estimates 60% of voters will cast their vote before election day. [3]
Sep 2020 Roy Morgan Research 91128.547.52.59.57.01.50.519
23–27 Sep 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100533471.4781.00.81.40.614
16–23 Sep 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 100029.650.11.96.56.30.91.52.120.5
17–21 Sep 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100831482.4671.10.91.60.817
Aug 2020 Roy Morgan Research 89728.548.02.511.56.01.00.519.5
17 Aug 2020 Jacinda Ardern announces the election is postponed to 17 October 2020, over concerns relating to a recent rise in cases of COVID-19. [1]
Jul 2020 Roy Morgan Research 89926.553.51.586.51.50.5N/A27
25–29 Jul 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10043253254.80.111.2N/A21
16–24 Jul 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 100025.160.92.05.73.30.40.40.9N/A35.8
14 Jul 2020 Todd Muller resigns and Judith Collins is elected as leader of the National Party.
Jun 2020 Roy Morgan Research 8792754.51.5951.51N/A27.5
20–24 Jun 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100738501.863.10.50.90.7N/A12
27 Apr – 24 May 2020 Roy Morgan Research 89426.556.52.573.511.5N/A30
22 May 2020 Todd Muller is elected leader of the National Party, replacing Simon Bridges.
16–20 May 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100329592.94.72.20.51.20.4N/A30
8–16 May 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 100030.656.52.75.51.80.10.91.0N/A25.9
14 May 2020 2020 Budget is delivered.
Apr 2020 Roy Morgan Research 30.5552.572.5N/A24.5
Mar 2020 Roy Morgan Research 3742.5311.53.5N/A5.5
25 March 2020Nationwide Level 4 restrictions are implemented due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Feb 2020 Roy Morgan Research 3740.5510.53.5N/A3.5
8–12 Feb 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100446413.351.70.11.10.8N/A5
23 Jan – 1 Feb 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 100043.342.53.65.61.80.60.90.7N/A0.8
Jan 2020 Roy Morgan Research 40402.510.53N/ATie
28 Jan 2020Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announces that the election will take place on 19 September 2020.
23–27 Nov 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100646394.371.60.90.50.8N/A7
7–11 Nov 2019 Stuff–YouGov 1005384188211N/A3
5–9 Oct 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100847404.270.90.50.80.4N/A7
2–9 Oct 2019 Newshub–Reid Research 100043.941.64.06.31.41.10.71N/A2.3
20–24 Jul 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100345433.3610.51.10.8N/A2
4–8 Jun 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10024442560.70.50.50.6N/A2
30 May – 7 Jun 2019 Newshub–Reid Research 100037.450.82.86.20.80.10.51N/A13.4
30 May 2019The 2019 Budget is delivered.
6–10 Apr 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100940484.360.70.50.4N/A8
15–23 Mar 2019 Business NZ–Reid Research 100041.349.62.33.9N/A8.3
15 Mar 2019 Christchurch shootings targeting mosques kill 51 people and injure a further 49. Terror threat level is raised from low to high.
9–13 Feb 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10064245360.90.61.40.2N/A3
24 Jan – 2 Feb 2019 Newshub–Reid Research 100041.647.52.95.10.40.50.81.1N/A5.9
24–28 Nov 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10084643450.60.30.9N/A3
15–19 Oct 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10064345570.30.30.60.3N/A2
2 Aug 2018Ardern returns as Prime Minister after six weeks of maternity leave.
28 Jul – 1 Aug 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10074542561.10.40.90.1N/A3
21 Jun 2018Ardern gives birth. Winston Peters becomes Acting Prime Minister.
17–24 May 2018 Newshub–Reid Research 1000 [4] 45.142.62.45.70.21.60.91.1N/A2.5
19–23 May 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100745434.250.70.50.90.2N/A2
17 May 2018The 2018 Budget is delivered.
7–11 Apr 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10074443560.30.41.20.2N/A1
8 Apr 2018 Marama Davidson is elected co-leader of the Green Party. [5]
27 Feb 2018 Simon Bridges is elected leader of the National Party. [6]
10–14 Feb 2018 [nb 2] 1 News–Colmar Brunton 100743482.650.50.60.70.1N/A5
13 Feb 2018 Bill English announces he will stand down as National leader and resign from Parliament. [7]
18–28 Jan 2018 Newshub–Reid Research 100044.542.33.860.21.40.80.3N/A2.2
2–28 Jan 2018 Roy Morgan Research 10003942.5690.51.51N/A3.5
27 Nov – 10 Dec 2017 Roy Morgan Research 40.5378100.5N/A3.5
29 Nov – 5 Dec 2017 1 News–Colmar Brunton 10074639570.11.20.9N/A7
30 Oct – 12 Nov 2017 Roy Morgan Research 88740.539.55100.521.5N/A1
26 Oct 2017 Jacinda Ardern is sworn in as Prime Minister of New Zealand. [8]
2–15 Oct 2017 Roy Morgan Research 89446316.5110.521.5N/A15
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result [9] N/A44.436.97.26.30.52.41.20.2N/A7.6
Date [nb 1] Polling organisationSample size NAT LAB NZF GRN ACT TOP MRI NCP ANZ Lead

UMR and Curia polls

These polls are typically unpublished and are used internally for Labour (UMR) and National (Curia). Although these polls are sometimes leaked or partially leaked, their details are not publicly available for viewing and scrutinising. Because not all of their polls are made public, it is likely that those that are released are cherry-picked and therefore may not truly indicate ongoing trends.

Date [nb 1] Polling organisation NAT LAB NZF GRN ACT Lead
13 Oct 2020 UMR Research 29502.76721
25 Aug – 2 Sep 2020 UMR Research 29533.93.26.224
12 Aug 2020 UMR Research 28525.15.45.924
28 Jul 2020 Curia 364736311
30 Jun 2020 Curia 345521
26 May – 1 Jun 2020 UMR Research 30545424
21–27 April 2020 UMR Research 295565326
14 April 2020 Curia 314969518
8 April 2020 UMR Research 354955214
17 Feb 2020 UMR Research 38426934
2 Feb 2020 Curia 39417722
23 Jul 2019 UMR Research 384294
9 Nov 2018 UMR Research 37469
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result [9] 44.436.97.26.30.57.5

Preferred prime minister

Some opinion pollsters ask voters who they would prefer as prime minister. The phrasing of questions and the treatment of refusals, as well as "don't know" answers, differ from poll to poll.

Preferred prime minister polling for the 2020 New Zealand election.svg
Graph of preferred prime minister polling before the 2020 election. Only includes people who polled above 1% at least once. Smoothing is set to span 45%.
Date [nb 1] Polling organisationSample size Jacinda Ardern Judith Collins Winston Peters James Shaw Marama Davidson David Seymour Leighton Baker Billy Te Kahika Todd Muller Simon Bridges Bill English Lead
8–15 Oct 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 1,00052.618.434.2
10–14 Oct 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,005552010.40.130.40.40.435
3–7 Oct 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,007502310.10.520.10.20.10.20.227
23–27 Sep 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,005542310.10.220.10.40.10.131
16–23 Sep 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 1,00053.217.735.5
17–21 Sep 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,008541820.120.30.20.10.336
25–29 Jul 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,004542010.10.110.10.70.234
16–24 Jul 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 1,0006214.647.4
14 Jul 2020 Todd Muller resigns and Judith Collins is elected as leader of the National Party.
20–24 Jun 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00754 220.10.10.80.1130.40.241
26 May – 1 Jun 2020 UMR Research 651352
22 May 2020 Todd Muller is elected leader of the National Party.
16–20 May 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00363310.10.10.40.30.250.158
8–16 May 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 1,00059.53.14.551
21–27 Apr 2020 UMR Research 6573758
8–12 Feb 2020 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00442330.10.50.8110.231
23 Jan – 1 Feb 2020 Newshub–Reid Research 1,00038.710.628.1
23–27 Nov 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00636430.30.61026
5–9 Oct 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00838540.30.30.40.290.129
2–9 Oct 2019 Newshub–Reid Research 1,00038.45.26.731.7
20–24 Jul 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00341620.10.40.160.235
4–8 Jun 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00245650.10.550.139
30 May – 7 Jun 2019 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000497.14.241.9
6–10 Apr 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00651530.20.250.346
9–13 Feb 2019 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00644630.20.160.438
24 Jan – 2 Feb 2019 Newshub–Reid Research 1,00041.86.25.035.6
24–28 Nov 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00839640.10.170.432
15–19 Oct 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00642540.10.17135
2 Aug 2018 Jacinda Ardern returns as Prime Minister after six weeks of maternity leave.
28 Jul – 1 Aug 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00740250.30.30.2100.930
21 Jun 2018Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern gives birth. Winston Peters becomes Acting Prime Minister.
17–24 May 2018 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 [10] 40.23.74.694.231.2
19–23 May 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00741240.20.1120.929
7–11 Apr 2018 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00737250.310227
8 Apr 2018 Marama Davidson is elected co-leader of the Green Party. [5]
27 Feb 2018 Simon Bridges is elected leader of the National Party. [6]
10–14 Feb 2018 [nb 2] 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,007410.440.40.112021
18–28 Jan 2018 Newshub–Reid Research 1,000 [4] 37.90.25.70.10.525.712.2
29 Nov – 5 Dec 2017 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,007370.750.40.3289

Government approval rating

Government approval rating prior to the 2020 election. No polling was conducted in 2018 or 2019.
Date [nb 1] Polling organisationSample sizeRight directionWrong directionDo not knowLead
Sep 2020 Roy Morgan Research 91170.519.51051
Aug 2020 Roy Morgan Research 89771191052
Jul 2020 Roy Morgan Research 89971.5199.552.5
Jun 2020 Roy Morgan Research 8797218.59.553.5
May 2020 Roy Morgan Research 9007617.56.558.5
Apr 2020 Roy Morgan Research 9007714963
Mar 2020 Roy Morgan Research 90060.525.51435
Feb 2020 Roy Morgan Research 90059271432
Jan 2020 Roy Morgan Research 90066.52012.546.5
27 Nov – 10 Dec 2017 Roy Morgan Research 68181450
29 Nov – 5 Dec 2017 1 News–Colmar Brunton 1,00751262325
30 Oct – 12 Nov 2017 Roy Morgan Research 88766.52013.546.5
24 Oct – 1 Nov 2017 Horizon Research 1,06849242821
2–15 Oct 2017 Roy Morgan Research 89458.527.51431

Electorate polling

Auckland Central

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB NAT GRN NZF TOP ACT SNZ TEA IND
Helen White Emma Mellow Nikki Kaye Chlöe Swarbrick Denise Roche Jenny Marcroft Frank Edwards Tuariki Delamere Mika Haka Felix Poole Brooke van Velden Vernon Tava Dominic Hoffman DervanJoshua Love
24–30 Sep 2020 Q+A Colmar Brunton 3530N/A26N/A1N/AN/A4N/A210.4
September 2020 Newshub Nation–Reid Research 42.326.6N/A24.2N/A2.2N/A1.0N/A0.9N/A
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 39.82N/A45.25N/A9.72N/A1.98N/A2.33N/A0.52N/AN/AN/A
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB NAT GRN ACT NZF TOP SNZ VNZ SCP
24–30 Sep 2020 Q+A Colmar Brunton 47281361.72.20.60.40.3
September 2020 Newshub Nation–Reid Research 56.223.112.13.91.61.4
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 37.7139.1513.871.053.873.14N/AN/A0.01

East Coast

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB NAT GRN
Kiri Allan Tania Tapsell Anne Tolley Meredith
Akuhata-Brown
Gareth Hughes
22–24 Sep 2020 Community Engagement 40.535N/A4.9N/A
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 33.51N/A46.18N/A7.13
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB NAT GRN NZF
22–24 Sep 2020 Community Engagement 50314.44.2
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 36.6244.034.589.89

Northland

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation NAT LAB NZF GRN NCP ACT
Matt King Willow-Jean Prime Shane Jones Winston Peters Darleen Tana Hoff-NielsenPeter HughesMel Taylor Mark Cameron Craig Nelson
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2020 Q+A–Colmar Brunton 463115N/A3N/A21N/A
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 38.3021.61N/A34.81N/A4.510.46N/A0.30
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB NAT ACT NZF GRN TOP
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2020 Q+A–Colmar Brunton 4138874.70.4
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 30.1246.350.4713.176.051.98

Hauraki-Waikato

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI
Nanaia Mahuta Donna Pokere-Phillips Rahui Papa
29–30 Sep 2020 Māori TV–Curia 6114N/A
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 68.85N/A27.36
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI NAT GRN NZF ACT
29–30 Sep 2020 Māori TV–Curia 6185331
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 61.511.36.875.148.340.09

Ikaroa-Rāwhiti

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI GRN ANZ OUT
Meka Whaitiri Heather
Te Au-Skipworth
Marama Fox Elizabeth Kerekere Waitangi KupengaKelly Thurston
23–25 Sep 2020 Māori TV–Curia 4619N/A320
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 53.68N/A35.278.41N/AN/A
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI NZF GRN NAT ACT
23–25 Sep 2020 Māori TV–Curia 62103321
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 64.7137.164.864.80.13

Tāmaki Makaurau

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI GRN
Peeni Henare John Tamihere Shane Taurima Marama Davidson
6–7 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 3529N/A14
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 47.51N/A28.2521.58
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI GRN NZF NAT ACT
6–7 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 5797531
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 59.3410.967.249.536.550.16

Te Tai Hauāuru

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI
Adrian Rurawhe Debbie
Ngarewa-Packer
Howie Tamati
23–25 Sep 2020 Māori TV–Curia 3820N/A
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 43.86N/A39.21
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI NAT GRN NZF ACT TOP
23–25 Sep 2020 Māori TV–Curia 511044321
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 58.4714.966.546.537.260.082.85

Te Tai Tokerau

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI ANZ
Kelvin Davis Mariameno Kapa-Kingi Billy Te Kahika
6–7 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 36181
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 52.60N/AN/A
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB NZF NAT MRI GRN ACT
6–7 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 5864771
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 57.9411.127.426.486.350.16

Te Tai Tonga

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI GRN
Rino Tirikatene Tākuta Ferris Mei Reedy-Taare Ariana
Paretutanganui-Tamati
Metiria Turei
4–5 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 3711N/A2N/A
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 44.44N/A20.97N/A24.5
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB NAT MRI GRN NZF ACT
4–5 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 53165522
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 55.812.478.48.127.80.2

Waiariki

Electorate vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI VNZ
Tāmati Coffey Rawiri Waititi Te Ururoa Flavell Hannah Tamaki
30 Sep – 1 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 3826N/A2
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 53.74N/A46.26N/A
Party vote
Date [nb 1] Polling organisation LAB MRI GRN NAT NZF ACT
30 Sep – 1 Oct 2020 Māori TV–Curia 47197322
23 Sep 2017 2017 election result 58.9519.713.864.757.420.08

Forecasts

The use of mixed-member proportional representation allows ready conversion of a party's support into a party vote percentage and therefore a number of seats in Parliament. Projections assume the new electorate of Takanini will be won by either Labour or National [11] and that Botany will be returned to National, [12] [13] but otherwise assume no material change to the electorate seats held by each party. Parties that do not hold an electorate seat and poll below 5% are assumed to win zero seats.

When determining the scenarios for the overall result, the minimum parties necessary to form majority governments are listed (provided parties have indicated openness to working together). Actual governments formed may include other parties beyond the minimum required for a majority; this happened after the 2014 election, when National only needed one seat from another party to reach a 61-seat majority, but instead chose to form a 64-seat government with Māori, ACT and United Future. [14]

SourceSeats in Parliament [lower-roman 1] Likely
government
formation(s)
NAT LAB NZF GRN ACT MRI Total
Roy Morgan [15]
Sep 2020 poll
386101290120Labour (61)
1 News–Colmar Brunton [16]
10–14 Oct 2020 poll
4059011100120Labour–Green (70)
Newshub–Reid Research [17]
8–15 Oct 2020 poll
416108100120Labour (61)
2020 result3365010102120Labour (65)
  1. Forecasted seats are calculated using the Electoral Commission's MMP seat allocation calculator, based on polling results.

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.
  2. 1 2 75% of respondents were polled before Bill English announced his resignation.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">53rd New Zealand Parliament</span> Current New Zealand parliamentary term

The 53rd New Zealand Parliament is the current session of Parliament in New Zealand. It opened on 25 November 2020 following the 17 October 2020 general election, and will expire on or before 20 November 2023 to trigger the next election. It consists of 120 members of Parliament (MPs) with five parties represented: the Labour and Green parties, in government, and the National, Māori and ACT parties, in opposition. The Sixth Labour Government has a majority in this Parliament, with Jacinda Ardern as prime minister.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">May 2020 New Zealand National Party leadership election</span>

An election for the parliamentary leadership of the New Zealand National Party took place in the National Party parliamentary caucus on 22 May 2020. Todd Muller and Nikki Kaye stood against the existing leader Simon Bridges and his deputy leader Paula Bennett following poor polling results. Muller and Kaye won the votes and became the new leader and deputy leader respectively.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Gaurav Sharma (politician)</span> New Zealand politician elected in 2020

Gaurav Mrinal Sharma is a New Zealand doctor and former member of Parliament. Elected in 2020, Sharma was a Member of Parliament for the Labour Party, representing Hamilton West, but was expelled from its caucus in August 2022. He briefly served as an independent, before resigning from Parliament in October 2022.

Several polling firms have conducted opinion polls during the term of the 53rd New Zealand Parliament (2020–present) for the next New Zealand general election. The regular polls are the quarterly polls produced by Television New Zealand conducted by Kantar Public and Discovery New Zealand (Newshub) conducted by Reid Research, along with monthly polls by Roy Morgan Research, and by Curia. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Hamilton West by-election</span> New Zealand by-election

The 2022 Hamilton West by-election is an upcoming by-election in New Zealand's Hamilton West electorate. The seat became vacant due to the resignation of former Labour Party MP Gaurav Sharma on 18 October 2022 after expulsion from the party caucus.

References

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