Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election

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Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2008
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This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.

Contents

First round

2004–2006 polls

Polling firmFieldwork date Medvedev Ivanov Zyuganov Zhirinovsky OtherUndecidedWouldn't vote
Levada [1] [2] 13–16 Aug 2004—269462315
14–17 Oct 2005——128452412
11–14 Nov 2005——159472315
9–12 Dec 2005——138472313
16–19 Dec 2005—8179372117
20–24 Jan 2006—259837—15
10–14 Feb 2006—257736—18
10–13 Mar 2006—267836—17
20–25 Apr 20068237830—15
19–22 May 200610257728—16
10–14 Jun 2006112161030—17
14–17 Jul 200612227926—16
18–21 Aug 2006102381012—29
15–18 Sep 200614279810—26
13–16 Oct 200611299108—25
10–13 Nov 20061423989—28
8–12 Dec 20061930569—18

2007 polls

Polling firmFieldwork date Medvedev Ivanov Zubkov Zyuganov Zhirinovsky Glazyev Rogozin Liberal
candidate [a] 		OtherUndecidedUnsureWouldn't vote
Levada [1] Jan 20073321—14145111————
Levada [1] [2] 19–22 Jan 20071711—77———1028820
Levada [1] Feb 20073227—1313528————
Levada [1] [2] 16–19 Feb 20071916—88———920421
Levada [1] Mar 20073125—1514648————
Levada [1] [2] 16–19 Mar 20071714—76———827813
Levada [1] Apr 20072931—1711526————
Levada [1] [2] 13–16 Apr 20071818—910———923810
Levada [1] May 20073431—1213326————
Levada [1] [2] 11–14 May 20071512—23———94468
Levada [1] Jun 20072731—1414527————
Levada [1] [2] 15–18 Jun 20071719—99———8201011
Levada [1] [2] 13–16 Jul 20071722—86———522614
Levada [1] Aug 20073436—1212113————
Levada [1] [2] 10–13 Aug 20071819—76———3231014
Levada [1] Sep 20073034415114<13————
Levada [1] [2] 14–17 Sep 200756—43———32811—
Levada [1] Oct 200726251912133—2————
Levada [1] [2] 12–15 Oct 200755—42———52810—
14141077———326711
Levada [1] Nov 20072425201584—4————
Levada9–12 Nov 200713161196———422910
LevadaDec 20073521171111——3————
FOM [3] 15–16 Dec 2007325257———10 [b] 28—10
Levada21–24 Dec 200779——99——2————
FOM [4] 22–23 Dec 200746——67————25—9

2008 polls

Polling firmFieldwork date Medvedev Zyuganov Zhirinovsky Kasyanov Bogdanov Spoil UndecidedWouldn't vote
Levada [5] 18–21 Jan 20088298<1<1———
FOM [4] 12–13 Jan 20085067—0—2610
19–20 Jan 20085067—00269
26–27 Jan 20085457—012310
2–3 Feb 20085277—01249
Levada [5] 8–11 Feb 200880119—<1———
FOM [4] 9–10 Feb 20084998—102211
FOM [6] 16–17 Feb 200849.69.18.7—0.60.622.19.3
67.816.313.7—1.30.9——
FOM [7] 20 Feb 20085099—11229
FOM [8] 23–24 Feb 20087015.812.4—0.7———
FOM [9] 2 Mar 20085098—012210
Election result 2 Mar 200870.317.79.3—1.31.4——

Polls with Vladimir Putin as a candidate

Polling firmFieldwork date Medvedev Ivanov Putin [c] Zyuganov Zhirinovsky No preferenceOtherUndecidedUnsureWouldn't vote
Levada [1] [2] 13–16 Aug 2004——495626158—12
15–18 Jul 2005——3664451024810
19–22 Aug 2005——374347923713
26–29 Sep 2005——3563488221110
14–17 Oct 2005——35435183078
11–14 Nov 2005——3633491024910
20–24 Jan 2006—03333538—931
10–14 Feb 2006—13443527—925
10–13 Mar 2006223133536—1227
20–25 Apr 20062—3342527—830
19–22 May 2006223243507—1127
14–17 Jul 2006214033465—727
18–21 Aug 2006214034456—922
15–18 Sep 2006213933485—1410
13–16 Oct 2006213753503—729
10–13 Nov 2006213844464—1122
8–12 Dec 2006323622514—1027
19–22 Jan 2007533452461025810
16–19 Feb 2007533253461125511
16–19 Mar 20076333434792599
13–16 Apr 200764315345625116
11–14 May 20075341334182578
15–18 Jun 20073544433561986
13–16 Jul 20073448433441878
10–13 Aug 200755404241322107
14–17 Sep 2007161835874442777
FOM [10] 24–25 Nov 2007315734—5 [d] 16—10
FOM [11] [12] 27–28 Nov 2007——
FOM [13] 11–12 Dec 2007326044—7 [e] 12—8
FOM [14] 15–16 Dec 2007925445—5 [f] 12—9

Hypothetical second round polls

Polling firmFieldwork date Medvedev Ivanov Zubkov
Levada [1] Jan 20075446—
Feb 20075248—
Mar 20074852—
Apr 20074555—
May 20075149—
Jun 20074655[ sic ]—
Aug 20074654—
Sep 20074159—
Oct 20074753—
—5941
56—44
Nov 20074753—
—5743
57—43
Dec 20075644—
—5842
63—37

Exit polls

Agency Medvedev Zyuganov Zhirinovsky Bogdanov
FOM [8] [15] 67.4%19.5%10.5%1.4%
Election result 70.317.79.31.3

Notes

  1. ↑ Combined vote for the "liberal opposition", in different polls, the lists included: Irina Khakamada, Nikita Belykh, Mikhail Kasyanov, Vladimir Ryzhkov, Grigory Yavlinsky. [1]
  2. ↑ Shoigu 4%, Mironov 2%, Gryzlov 1%, other 3%.
  3. ↑ Term-limited.
  4. ↑ Mironov, Shoigu, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
  5. ↑ Mironov, Shoigu 2%, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
  6. ↑ Shoigu 2%, Mironov, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 1%.

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 "Левада-Центр > ВЫБОРЫ 2008" (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2007-11-30.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Russia votes
  3. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  4. 1 2 3 "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  5. 1 2 "Президентские рейтинги. Выборы 2008". Levada Center (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2 April 2008.
  6. ↑ Preliminary forecast of the results of the election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008 (according to a poll from February 16-17)
  7. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  8. 1 2 Elections of the President of the Russian Federation: FOM forecast, exit-poll results and election results (CEC) FOM
  9. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  10. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  11. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  12. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  13. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  14. ↑ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  15. ↑ Election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008. Poll at the exit from polling stations (exit-poll). Final results FOM
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