Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election

Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2008

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This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.

First round

2004–2006 polls

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Medvedev UR	Ivanov UR	Gryzlov UR	Luzhkov UR	Shoigu UR	Zyuganov CPRF	Zhirinovsky LDPR	Glazyev Rodina / IND	Rogozin Rodina	Kasyanov IND	Other	Against all [a]	Undecided	Wouldn't vote
Levada [1] [2]	13–16 Aug 2004	—	2	—	—	—	6	9	—	—	—	46	—	23	15
Levada	May 2005	—	—	7	9	—	11	9	5	7	3	4 [b]	13	—	11
VCIOM	17–18 Sep 2005	—	1	4	4	8	6	5	2	3	1	17 [c]	9	31	6
Levada	16–19 Sep 2005	—	—	6	10	—	10	8	4	5	2	5 [d]	16	21	14
Levada [1] [2]	14–17 Oct 2005	—	—	—	—	—	12	8	—	—	—	45	—	24	12
	11–14 Nov 2005	—	—	—	—	—	15	9	—	—	—	47	—	23	15
	9–12 Dec 2005	—	—	—	—	—	13	8	—	—	—	47	—	23	13
	16–19 Dec 2005	—	8	—	—	—	17	9	—	—	—	37	—	21	17
Levada	20–24 Jan 2006	—	—	—	10	—	9	8	4	3	1	3 [e]	16	25	15
Levada [1] [2]		—	25	—	—	—	9	8	—	—	—	37	—	—	15
	10–14 Feb 2006	—	25	—	—	—	7	7	—	—	—	36	—	—	18
Levada	10–14 Mar 2006	—	7	—	8	—	7	8	4	3	1	4 [f]	16	26	17
Levada [1] [2]	20–25 Apr 2006	8	23	—	—	—	7	8	—	—	—	30	—	—	15
Levada	Apr 2006	18	17	—	—	—	16	18	7	5	4	9 [g]	5	—	—
Levada [1] [2]	19–22 May 2006	10	25	—	—	—	7	7	—	—	—	28	—	—	16
	10–14 Jun 2006	11	21	—	—	—	6	10	—	—	—	30	—	—	17
	14–17 Jul 2006	12	22	—	—	—	7	9	—	—	—	26	—	—	16
	18–21 Aug 2006	10	23	—	—	—	8	10	—	—	—	12	—	—	29
	15–18 Sep 2006	14	27	—	—	—	9	8	—	—	—	10	—	—	26
	13–16 Oct 2006	11	29	—	—	—	9	10	—	—	—	8	—	—	25
	10–13 Nov 2006	14	23	—	—	—	9	8	—	—	—	9	—	—	28
	8–12 Dec 2006	19	30	—	—	—	5	6	—	—	—	9	—	—	18

2007 polls

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Medvedev UR	Ivanov UR	Zubkov UR	Shoigu UR	Zyuganov CPRF	Zhirinovsky LDPR	Glazyev IND	Rogozin IND	Kasyanov RNDS / IND	Nemtsov IND	Bogdanov DPR	Other	Undecided	Unsure	Wouldn't vote
Levada [1]	Jan	33	21	—	—	14	14	5	1	—	—	—	11 [h]	—	—	—
Levada [2]	19–22 Jan	17	11	—	—	7	7	—	—	—	—	—	10	28	8	20
Levada [1]	Feb	32	27	—	—	13	13	5	2	—	—	—	8 [h]	—	—	—
VCIOM	3–4 Feb	22	6	—	5	4	6	1	1	0	—	—	20 [i]	24	—	11
	10–11 Feb	20	6	—	5	5	5	1	1	0	—	—	18 [j]	27	—	11
	15 Feb	Sergey Ivanov appointed first deputy premier alongside Dmitry Medvedev
VCIOM	17–18 Feb	20	10	—	4	5	5	1	0	0	—	—	13 [k]	27	—	11
Levada [2]	16–19 Feb	19	16	—	—	8	8	—	—	—	—	—	9	20	4	21
Levada [1]	Mar	31	25	—	—	15	14	6	4	—	—	—	8 [h]	—	—	—
ROMIR	Mar	16	10	—	8	5	9	—	—	1	—	—	27 [l]	8	—	16
Levada [2]	16–19 Mar	17	14	—	—	7	6	—	—	—	—	—	8	27	8	13
Levada [1]	Apr	29	31	—	—	17	11	5	2	—	—	—	6 [h]	—	—	—
Levada [2]	13–16 Apr	18	18	—	—	9	10	—	—	—	—	—	9	23	8	10
ROMIR	12–18 Apr	16	8	—	9	5	8	—	—	1	—	—	31 [m]	6	—	16
Levada [1]	May	34	31	—	—	12	13	3	2	—	—	—	6 [h]	—	—	—
Levada [2]	11–14 May	15	12	—	—	2	3	—	—	—	—	—	9	44	6	8
Levada [1]	Jun	27	31	—	—	14	14	5	2	—	—	—	7 [h]	—	—	—
Levada [2]	15–18 Jun	17	19	—	—	9	9	—	—	—	—	—	8	20	10	11
ROMIR	6–12 Jul	18	14	—	—	6	9	—	—	2	—	—	24 [n]	8	—	—
Levada [2]	13–16 Jul	17	22	—	—	8	6	—	—	—	—	—	5	22	6	14
Levada [1]	Aug	34	36	—	—	12	12	1	1	—	—	—	3 [h]	—	—	—
Levada [2]	10–13 Aug	18	19	—	—	7	6	—	—	—	—	—	3	23	10	14
Levada [1]	Sep	30	34	4	—	15	11	4	<1	—	—	—	3 [h]	—	—	—
	14 Sep	Viktor Zubkov replaces Mikhail Fradkov as prime minister
Levada [1]	Oct	26	25	19	—	12	13	3	—	—	—	—	2 [h]	—	—	—
Levada [2]	12–15 Oct	5	5	—	—	4	2	—	—	—	—	—	5	28	10	—
		14	14	10	—	7	7	—	—	—	—	—	3	26	7	11
Levada [1]	Nov	24	25	20	—	15	8	4	—	—	—	—	4 [h]	—	—	—
Levada [2]	9–12 Nov	13	16	11	—	9	6	—	—	—	—	—	4	22	9	10
	26 Nov	Presidential election set for 2 March 2008
	2 Dec	2007 Russian legislative election: United Russia wins supermajority
Levada	7–10 Dec	35	21	17	—	11	11	—	—	1	1	—	3 [o]	—	—	—
	10 Dec	Outgoing president Putin endorses Dmitry Medvedev
FOM [3]	15–16 Dec	32	5	2	4	5	7	—	—	—	—	—	6 [p]	28	—	10
VCIOM	15–16 Dec	44.6	—	—	—	4.6	4.8	—	—	0.3	0.5	<1	—	30.2	—	7.8
FOM [4] [5]	22–23 Dec	46	—	—	—	6	7	—	—	1	1	—	4 [q]	25	—	9
VCIOM	22–23 Dec	52.3	—	—	—	4.1	4.8	—	—	0.4	0.4	0.3	—	22.6	—	6.8
	22 Dec	CEC denies registration for Vladimir Bukovsky, Nikolai Kuryanovich, other independents
Levada	21–24 Dec	79	—	—	—	9	9	—	—	2	<1	<1	0–3 [r]	—	—	—
	26 Dec	Boris Nemtsov withdraws his candidacy, endorses Kasyanov

2008 polls

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Medvedev UR	Zyuganov CPRF	Zhirinovsky LDPR	Kasyanov RNDS / IND	Nemtsov IND	Bogdanov DPR	Spoil	Undecided	Wouldn't vote
VCIOM	5–6 Jan	52.5	5.4	4.9	0.3	0.4	0.2	—	21.9	5.9
	12–13 Jan	60.4	6.1	7.5	0.9	0.8	0.2	—	14.0	10.2
FOM [4]	12–13 Jan	50	6	7	—	—	0	—	26	10
Levada [6]	18–21 Jan	82	9	8	<1	—	<1	—	—	—
FOM [4]	19–20 Jan	50	6	7	—	—	0	0	26	9
VCIOM	26–27 Jan	63.5	5.3	5.5	0.8	—	0.4	—	16.8	7.8
FOM [4]	26–27 Jan	54	5	7	—	—	0	1	23	10
	2–3 Feb	52	7	7	—	—	0	1	24	9
Levada [6]	8–11 Feb	80	11	9	—	—	<1	—	—	—
FOM [4]	9–10 Feb	49	9	8	—	—	1	0	22	11
FOM [7]	16–17 Feb	49.6	9.1	8.7	—	—	0.6	0.6	22.1	9.3
		67.8	16.3	13.7	—	—	1.3	0.9	—	—
FOM [8] [9]	23–24 Feb	50	9	8	—	—	0	1	22	10
		70	15.8	12.4	—	—	0.7	—	—	—
Election result	2 Mar	70.3	17.7	9.3	—	—	1.3	1.4	—	—

Polls with Vladimir Putin as a candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Medvedev UR	Ivanov UR	Putin [s] UR	Zyuganov CPRF	Zhirinovsky LDPR	No preference	Other	Against all [a]	Undecided	Unsure	Wouldn't vote
Levada [1] [2]	13–16 Aug 2004	—	—	49	5	6	26	15	—	8	—	12
FOM [10]	15–16 Jan 2005	—	—	43	3	5	—	11 [t]	6	—	16	15
FOM [11]	9–10 Jul 2005	—	—	43	4	4	—	11 [u]	6	—	15	16
Levada [1] [2]	15–18 Jul 2005	—	—	36	6	4	45	10	—	24	8	10
	19–22 Aug 2005	—	—	37	4	3	47	9	—	23	7	13
	26–29 Sep 2005	—	—	35	6	3	48	8	—	22	11	10
	14–17 Oct 2005	—	—	35	4	3	51	8	—	30	7	8
	11–14 Nov 2005	—	—	36	3	3	49	10	—	24	9	10
	20–24 Jan 2006	—	0	33	3	3	53	8	—	—	9	31
	10–14 Feb 2006	—	1	34	4	3	52	7	—	—	9	25
	10–13 Mar 2006	2	2	31	3	3	53	6	—	—	12	27
	20–25 Apr 2006	2	—	33	4	2	52	7	—	—	8	30
	19–22 May 2006	2	2	32	4	3	50	7	—	—	11	27
	14–17 Jul 2006	2	1	40	3	3	46	5	—	—	7	27
	18–21 Aug 2006	2	1	40	3	4	45	6	—	—	9	22
	15–18 Sep 2006	2	1	39	3	3	48	5	—	—	14	10
	13–16 Oct 2006	2	1	37	5	3	50	3	—	—	7	29
	10–13 Nov 2006	2	1	38	4	4	46	4	—	—	11	22
	8–12 Dec 2006	3	2	36	2	2	51	4	—	—	10	27
	19–22 Jan 2007	5	3	34	5	2	46	10	—	25	8	10
	16–19 Feb 2007	5	3	32	5	3	46	11	—	25	5	11
	16–19 Mar 2007	6	3	33	4	3	47	9	—	25	9	9
	13–16 Apr 2007	6	4	31	5	3	45	6	—	25	11	6
	11–14 May 2007	5	3	41	3	3	41	8	—	25	7	8
	15–18 Jun 2007	3	5	44	4	3	35	6	—	19	8	6
	13–16 Jul 2007	3	4	48	4	3	34	4	—	18	7	8
	10–13 Aug 2007	5	5	40	4	2	41	3	—	22	10	7
	14–17 Sep 2007	16	18	35	8	7	44	4	—	27	7	7
FOM [12]	24–25 Nov 2007	3	1	57	3	4	—	5 [v]	—	16	—	10
FOM [13] [14]	27–28 Nov 2007						—		—		—
FOM [15]	11–12 Dec 2007	3	2	60	4	4	—	7 [w]	—	12	—	8
FOM [16]	15–16 Dec 2007	9	2	54	4	5	—	5 [x]	—	12	—	9
Levada	21–24 Dec 2007	55	4	24	7	7	—	1–5 [y]	—	—	—	—

Preferred United Russia candidate

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Medvedev	Ivanov	Zubkov
Levada [1]	Jan 2007	54	46	—
	Feb 2007	52	48	—
	Mar 2007	48	52	—
	Apr 2007	45	55	—
	May 2007	51	49	—
	Jun 2007	46	55[ sic ]	—
	Aug 2007	46	54	—
	Sep 2007	41	59	—
	Oct 2007	47	53	—
		—	59	41
		56	—	44
	Nov 2007	47	53	—
		—	57	43
		57	—	43
	Dec 2007	56	44	—
		—	58	42
		63	—	37

Exit polls

Agency	Medvedev UR	Zyuganov CPRF	Zhirinovsky LDPR	Bogdanov DPR
FOM [8] [17]	67.4	19.5	10.5	1.4
VCIOM [18]	70.1	16.8	11.4	1.7
Election result	70.3	17.7	9.3	1.3

Notes

1. "Against all" line was removed from Russian election ballots in 2006.
2. Ryzhkov 4%
3. • Matviyenko, Tuleyev 3%,
   • Yavlinsky, Zhukov 2%,
   • Khakamada, Kozak, Mironov, Semigin 1%,
   • Chubais, Khodorkovsky 0%, other 3%.
4. Yavlinsky 3%, Ryzhkov 2%.
5. Yavlinsky 2%, Ryzhkov 1%.
6. Yavlinsky 3%, Ryzhkov 1%.
7. Ryzhkov 5%, Yavlinsky 4%.
8. Combined vote for the generic "liberal candidate". In different polls, the lists included: Irina Khakamada, Nikita Belykh, Mikhail Kasyanov, Vladimir Ryzhkov, Grigory Yavlinsky. ^[1]
9. • Luzhkov, Matviyenko 3%,
   • Gryzlov, Mironov, Tuleyev 2%,
   • Barshchevsky, Fradkov, Khakamada, Ryzhkov, Sobyanin, Yavlinsky 1%,
   • Kozak, Semigin, Zhukov 0%,
   • other 2%.
10. • Luzhkov, Matviyenko 3%,
    • Fradkov, Gryzlov, Mironov, Tuleyev 2%,
    • Khakamada, Sobyanin 1%,
    • Barshchevsky, Kozak, Ryzhkov, Semigin, Yavlinsky, Zhukov 0%,
    • other 2%.
11. • Matviyenko, Tuleyev 2%,
    • Fradkov, Gryzlov, Khakamada, Luzhkov, Mironov, Ryzhkov, Sobyanin 1%,
    • Barshchevsky, Kozak, Semigin, Yavlinsky, Zhukov 0%,
    • other 2%.
12. Lavrov, Yakunin 1%, other 25%.
13. Lavrov 1%, other 30%.
14. Lavrov 2%, Yakunin 1%, other 21%.
15. Yavlinsky 3%.
16. Mironov 2%, Gryzlov 1%, other 3%.
17. Bukovsky 0%, other 4%.
18. Bukovsky, Kuryanovich, Shenin <1%.
19. Term-limited.
20. Kharitonov 3%, Glazyev 2%, Khakamada, Rogozin, Shoigu, Yavlinsky 1%, other 2%.
21. Glazyev, Kharitonov, Shoigu 2%, Khakamada, Rogozin, Yavlinsky 1%, other 2%.
22. Mironov, Shoigu, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
23. Mironov, Shoigu 2%, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
24. Shoigu 2%, Mironov, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 1%.
25. Zubkov 1%, Kasyanov, Mironov, Shoigu, Yavlinsky <1%.

References

1. "Левада-Центр > ВЫБОРЫ 2008" (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2007-11-30.
2. Russia votes
3. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 20 December 2007. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
4. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 14 February 2008. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
5. "Предновогодний экспресс-выпуск. Доминанты 52". FOM (in Russian). 25 December 2007. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
6. "Президентские рейтинги. Выборы 2008". Levada Center (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2 April 2008.
7. "Предварительный прогноз результатов выборов Президента РФ 2 марта 2008 г. (по результатам опроса от 16–17 февраля)" [Preliminary forecast of the results of the election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008 (according to a poll from February 16-17)]. fom.ru (in Russian). 20 February 2008. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
8. "Выборы Президента Российской Федерации: прогноз ФОМа, результаты exit-poll и итоги выборов (ЦИК)" [Elections of the President of the Russian Federation: FOM forecast, exit-poll results and election results (CEC)]. fom.ru (in Russian). 6 March 2008. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
9. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 3 March 2008.
10. "Электоральные рейтинги политиков - 2005. Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 20 January 2005. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
11. "Электоральные рейтинги политиков - 2005. Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 14 July 2005. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
12. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 26 November 2007.
13. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 29 November 2007.
14. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 29 November 2007.
15. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 13 December 2007.
16. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 20 December 2007.
17. "Выборы Президента Российской Федерации 2 марта 2008 года. Опрос на выходе с избирательных участков (exit-poll). Итоговые результаты" [Election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008. Poll at the exit from polling stations (exit-poll). Final results]. fom.ru (in Russian). 2 March 2008. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
18. "Пресс-выпуск № 888". VCIOM (in Russian). 2 March 2008. Archived from the original on 9 March 2008.