Opinion polling for the 2024 Belgian elections

In the run up to the 2024 Belgian federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. The results of nationwide polls are usually numerically split into the three Belgian regions: Flanders, Brussels and Wallonia. Federal seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives are presented together under these regional polls. The federal election was part of a group of elections which also include the regional elections and the European elections held on the same day. Some polls might be undefined voting intentions without differentiating between the elections.

Flanders

Federal

The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Flemish Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Flemish Region.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	N‑VA	VB	cd&v	Open Vld	Vooruit	Groen	PVDA	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.	Blank/ no vote/no answer
9 June 2024	Federal election [1]			25.6%	21.8%	12.8%	8.8%	13.0%	7.5%	8.2%	2.3%	3.8%	42.1%	57.9%
3 – 4 June 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws [2]	2,000	21.0%	25.8%	12.3%	7.0%	15.6%	6.1%	10.2%	2.0%	4.8%	41.0%	59.0%
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL [3]	1,140	19.6%	27.2%	12.0%	9.2%	13.0%	6.9%	9.3%	2.8%	7.6%	41.1%	58.2%
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [4]	2,000	20.6%	26.8%	12.2%	8.2%	14.3%	6.6%	8.9%	2.4%	6.2%	41.3%	58.7%
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique / RTBF [5]	1016	20.9%	26.0%	11.6%	10.4%	11.5%	6.0%	12.2%	1.4%	5.1%	39.5%	60.5%
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [6]	1,000	20.4%	27.4%	13.1%	8.3%	11.4%	7.8%	9.5%	2.1%	7.0%	40.6%	59.4%
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif [7]	1,077	20.6%	25.5%	10.5%	8.0%	14.7%	8.7%	10.9%	1.1%	4.9%	41.8%	58.2%
9 – 22 Jan 2024	iVox	Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL [8]	2,000	22.7%	26.6%	12.3%	7.6%	12.8%	7.4%	9.3%	1.4%	3.9%	42.6%	57.4%
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [9]	1,000	22.0%	25.1%	11.7%	7.1%	13.8%	9.2%	9.7%	1.4%	3.1%	41.8%	58.2%
23 Nov – 28 Nov 2023	iVox	Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL [10]	1,000	22.0%	26.5%	11.6%	8.8%	14.3%	7.1%	8.7%	0.9%	4.5%	41.7%	58.3%
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique / RTBF [11]	566	20.4%	23.3%	13.9%	7.9%	16.1%	8.2%	8.8%	1.4%	2.9%	46.1%	53.9%
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [12]	1,000	20.2%	25.8%	12.2%	8.2%	15.4%	6.4%	9.5%	2.3%	5.6%	42.2%	57.8%	7%
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [13]	1,000	21.8%	22.7%	10.7%	8.3%	16.8%	7.6%	10.3%	1.8%	0.9%	43.4%	56.6%
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [14]	1,000	21.6%	25.0%	11.8%	9.2%	15.5%	7.4%	8.0%	1.5%	3.4%	43.9%	56.1%
16 – 29 Jan 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique [15]	514	21.5%	24.8%	9.6%	12.1%	15.2%	10.3%	5.7%	0.9%	3.3%	46.9%	53.1%
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [16]	1,001	22.0%	25.5%	9.6%	9.3%	16.1%	8.7%	7.4%	1.4%	3.5%	43.7%	56.3%
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [17]	1,000	21.5%	21.6%	9.9%	11.1%	16.8%	8.6%	8.7%	1.8%	0.1%	46.4%	53.6%
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [18]	1,008	24.9%	22.6%	10.2%	9.3%	14.8%	7.9%	8.5%	1.8%	2.3%	42.2%	57.8%
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [19]	1,007	23.4%	22.2%	11.3%	9.8%	14.2%	8.4%	8.9%	1.8%	1.2%	43.7%	56.3%
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [20]	988	21.6%	24.5%	10.7%	10.3%	13.9%	8.4%	8.9%	1.7%	2.9%	43.3%	56.7%
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [21]	1,000	21.2%	23.6%	12.6%	11.4%	12.3%	9.6%	7.7%	1.6%	2.4%	45.9%	54.1%
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [22]	1,002	21.8%	26.1%	10.0%	11.4%	12.6%	8.3%	7.8%	2.0%	4.3%	42.3%	57.7%
29 Mar – 19 Apr 2021	TNS	VRT / De Standaard [23]	1,908	21.5%	24.7%	10.0%	11.5%	12.0%	10.9%	7.9%	1.4%	3.2%	44.4%	55.5%
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [24]	1,006	20.0%	23.6%	13.2%	12.9%	12.3%	8.2%	8.2%	1.6%	3.6%	46.6%	53.4%
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [25]	1,007	19.9%	26.3%	12.4%	12.0%	13.6%	8.1%	6.6%	1.1%	6.4%	46.1%	53.9%
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [26]	1,001	22.2%	27.1%	10.6%	10.9%	13.7%	7.6%	6.0%	1.9%	4.9%	42.8%	57.2%
1 Oct 2020	De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [27]	951	20.0%	27.7%	11.8%	10.0%	12.5%	9.4%	7.3%	1.3%	7.7%	43.7%	56.3%
9 – 28 Apr 2020	TNS	VRT / De Standaard [28]	2,040	20.3%	24.5%	11.9%	11.6%	11.0%	11.1%	8.2%	1.4%	4.2%	45.6%	54.4%
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir / De Morgen [29]	958	20.7%	28.0%	11.7%	10.3%	9.6%	8.8%	9.3%	1.9%	7.3%	40.4%	59.6%
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [30]	999	22.1%	27.3%	11.4%	9.9%	8.9%	10.7%	8.4%	1.3%	5.2%	40.9%	59.1%
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [31]	1,000	22.7%	24.9%	11.7%	13.3%	8.4%	11.0%	6.2%	1.8%	2.2%	44.4%	55.6%
26 May 2019	Federal election			25.5%	18.6%	14.2%	13.5%	10.8%	9.8%	5.6%	1.9%	6.9%	48.3%	51.6%

Regional

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	N‑VA	VB	cd&v	Open Vld	Vooruit	Groen	PVDA	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.	Blank/ no vote/no answer
23 Apr – 3 May 2024	iVox	OVV [32]	1,579	21.4%	26.3%	12.5%	7.7%	13.5%	8.2%	8.8%	1.7%	4.9%	41.9%	58.1%
8 – 22 Jan 2024	Kantar	VRT / De Standaard [33]	2,029	18.9%	27.8%	11.3%	9.0%	13.7%	8.2%	10.7%	0.5%	8.9%	39.2%	60.8%	10.1%
23 Nov – 28 Nov 2023	iVox	Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL [34]	1,000	21.3%	27.5%	12.9%	8.7%	13.2%	6.9%	8.5%	0.9%	6.2%	42.9%	57.1%
13 – 23 Mar 2023	VUB, UA	VRT / De Standaard [35]	2,092	21.0%	24.6%	9.2%	9.3%	16.9%	7.9%	9.5%	1.6%	3.6%	39.5%	60.5%
14 – 31 Mar 2022	VUB, UA	VRT / De Standaard [36]	2,064	22.4%	22.9%	8.7%	10.2%	15.5%	9.4%	9.1%	1.8%	0.5%	41.3%	58.7%
26 May 2019	Regional election			24.8%	18.5%	15.4%	13.1%	10.4%	10.1%	5.3%	2.4%	6.3%	53.3%	46.7%

Wallonia

The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	PS	MR	Ecolo	PTB	LE	DéFI	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL [3]	1,000	23.9%	23.0%	8.0%	16.0%	17.9%	4.0%	7.2%	0.9%	54.9%	45.1%
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [4]	1,000	22.6%	22.6%	8.8%	14.5%	18.1%	4.3%	9.1%	0.0%	54.0%	46.0%
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF [5]	1004	25.4%	20.8%	12.7%	16.0%	13.9%	4.2%	7.0%	4.6%	58.9%	41.1%
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [6]	1,000	21.3%	20.5%	11.9%	14.9%	16.8%	4.8%	9.8%	0.8%	53.7%	46.3%
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif [7]	1,004	24.3%	19.9%	13.8%	18.4%	13.2%	4.1%	6.4%	3.1%	58.0%	42.0%
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [9]	1,000	23.9%	20.0%	14.0%	14.0%	13.8%	3.9%	10.4% [nb 1]	3.9%	57.9%	42.1%
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF [11]	436	27.2%	20.6%	11.6%	19.2%	11.1%	4.5%	5.8%	6.6%	59.4%	41.6%
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [12]	1,000	21.8%	19.7%	14.9%	19.8%	13.8%	2.7%	7.3% [nb 2]	2.0%	56.4%	43.6%
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [13]	1,000	25.7%	19.8%	12.7%	18.9%	10.3%	3.8%	8.8%	5.9%	58.2%	41.8%
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [14]	1,000	25.5%	18.5%	12.8%	17.6%	11.1%	4.9%	9.6%	7.0%	56.8%	43.2%
16 – 29 Jan 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique [15]	502	25.8%	19.7%	11.3%	20.1%	9.3%	5.4%	8.5%	5.7%	56.8%	43.2%
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [16]	1,002	23.7%	20.4%	13.1%	17.9%	9.1%	5.3%	10.5%	3.3%	57.2%	42.8%
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [17]	1,002	22.9%	22.0%	13.6%	18.4%	9.1%	5.6%	8.0%	0.9%	58.5%	41.5%
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [18]	1,008	25.3%	19.2%	14.4%	19.1%	8.8%	4.2%	9.0%	5.9%	58.9%	41.1%
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [19]	1,009	22.4%	20.1%	15.0%	19.7%	9.5%	3.7%	9.4%	2.3%	57.7%	42.5%
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [20]	961	24.9%	22.3%	15.5%	18.2%	8.0%	4.2%	9.9%	2.6%	62.7%	37.3%
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [21]	930	21.4%	20.3%	16.7%	18.7%	10.0%	5.1%	7.8%	1.1%	58.4%	41.6%
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [22]	992	24.0%	18.7%	15.0%	19.1%	10.8%	5.1%	7.3%	4.9%	57.7%	42.3%
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [38]	958	22.8%	20.1%	16.4%	19.0%	8.7%	3.9%	9.1%	2.7%	59.3%	40.7%
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [39]	995	23.2%	20.6%	15.6%	17.2%	10.3%	3.7%	9.7%	2.6%	59.4%	40.6%
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [26]	1,001	21.1%	19.2%	17.8%	18.9%	9.7%	3.8%	9.5%	1.9%	58.1%	41.9%
1 Oct 2020	De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [27]	986	23.7%	20.5%	15.1%	18.7%	8.1%	4.7%	9.2%	3.2%	59.3%	40.7%
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir / De Morgen [29]	974	25.5%	19.6%	15.5%	18.6%	7.5%	5.1%	8.2%	5.9%	60.6%	39.4%
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [30]	983	23.8%	20.5%	17.2%	16.5%	8.8%	4.7%	8.5%	3.3%	61.5%	38.5%
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [31]	992	22.9%	22.6%	16.2%	15.5%	8.5%	5.0%	9.3%	0.3%	61.7%	38.3%
26 May 2019	Federal election			26.1%	20.5%	14.9%	13.8%	10.7%	4.1%	9.9% [nb 3]	5.6%	61.5%	38.5%

Brussels

The graph and the table below show polling results in the Brussels Region (which may be part of a larger, nationwide poll). In September 2022, only polling results for Francophone parties were published for polls conducted for VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir.

Scatter plot with moving average showing the results of the polls in the Brussels Region since the last federal elections.

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	Ecolo	PS	MR	PTB- PVDA	DéFI	LE	N‑VA	Open Vld	VB	cd&v	Groen	Vooruit	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL [3]	501	11.6%	15.0%	22.9%	19.8%	7.0%	7.8%							3.2%	3.1%
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [4]	600	12.5%	15.2%	23.3%	19.8%	7.2%	7.7%								3.5%
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF [5]	807	15.5%	14.2%	22.9%	15.4%	7.4%	5.4%	3.8%	1.2%	5.0%	1.6%	4.6%	1.0%	2.0%	7.4%	61.0%	39.0%
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [6]	600	14.7%	15.4%	21.8%	17.5%	8.8%	6.9%	2.2%	2.2%	3.0%	1.3%	1.0%	1.3%	3.9%	4.3%	57.7%	42.3%
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif [7]	600	14.2%	13.5%	17.9%	20.8%	7.8%	5.4%	3.8%	1.9%	5.2%	1.2%	5.3%	1.3%	1.3%	2.9%	55.3%	44.7%
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [9]	600	16.8%	15.7%	18.1%	19.3%	9.1%	7.2%	3.4%	2.0%	3.0%	0.5%	1.9%	0.7%	2.3%	1.2%	55.7%	44.3%
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique, RTBF [11]	545	13.0%	18.8%	19.7%	16.3%	6.9%	5.1%	5.3%	3.3%	4.2%	0.8%	4.2%	1.3%	1.2%	0.9%	61.1%	38.9%
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [12]	600	17.9%	18.1%	21.9%	15.3%	8.0%	6.5%	3.6%	1.2%	2.3%	0.6%	0.8%	1.8%	2.0%	3.8%	62.3%	37.7%
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [13]	600	18.1%	18.6%	19.9%	17.6%	8.3%	4.3%	2.9%	1.4%	3.1%	0.9%	1.3%	0.6%	3.0%	1.3%	60.8%	39.2%
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [40]	600	15.7%	16.8%	19.8%	19.4%	10.2%	5.1%	3.0%	0.8%	3.0%	0.5%	1.8%	2.0%	1.9%	0.4%	57.4%	42.6%
16 – 29 Jan 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique [15]	493	16.0%	18.0%	16.8%	16.7%	9.6%	2.9%	4.5%	1.2%	2.6%	1.0%	6.1%	1.6%	3.1%	1.2%	60.7%	39.3%
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [40]	601	13.0%	21.6%	20.3%	16.1%	10.4%	6.1%	2.8%	0.8%	2.5%	1.8%	1.0%	0.3%	3.3%	1.3%	58.8%	41.2%
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [17]	600	15.8%	22.7%	21.2%	12.7%	9.6%	3.8%								1.6%
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [18]	536	18.0%	19.1%	22.0%	13.6%	10.8%	3.8%	2.8%	2.0%	2.2%	0.6%	1.4%	0.9%	2.8%	2.9%	64.0%	36.0%
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [19]	485	20.3%	15.1%	19.9%	16.4%	10.8%	4.9%	3.5%	1.6%	2.3%	0.2%	3.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.4%	61.1%	38.9%
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [41]	485	19.3%	15.1%	17.4%	15.1%	11.3%	5.2%	3.0%	2.9%	3.3%	1.3%	0.6%	0.3%	5.2%	1.9%	56.9%	43.1%
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [42]	485	19.1%	18.6%	18.5%	15.1%	10.4%	3.7%	2.6%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	2.5%	0.8%	4.2%	0.5%	62.5%	37.7%
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [22]	523	18.0%	17.6%	17.9%	15.0%	11.1%	5.3%	4.1%	2.5%	3.1%	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	1.4%	0.1%	60.0%	40.0%
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [38]	557	18.2%	16.8%	16.4%	16.0%	11.4%	4.0%	2.9%	2.8%	3.2%	1.5%	2.4%	1.1%	3.3%	1.4%	59.2%	40.8%
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [39]	533	19.5%	16.8%	15.0%	15.1%	11.5%	5.0%	4.9%	1.9%	3.7%	0.3%	2.8%	1.4%	0.6%	2.7%	57.7%	42.3%
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [26]	593	21.6%	19.1%	14.0%	12.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.8%	2.4%	3.7%	1.7%	3.2%	2.3%	0.6%	2.5%	64.3%	35.7%
1 October 2020	De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [27]	580	19.1%	18.2%	17.4%	12.6%	10.9%	4.8%	4.9%	1.4%	3.7%	1.5%	1.8%	0.7%	3.0%	0.9%	60.1%	39.9%
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [29]	531	20.3%	20.5%	17.6%	12.2%	10.0%	3.8%	4.1%	0.9%	3.3%	0.9%	1.4%	1.4%	3.6%	0.2%	63%	37%
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [30]	526	19.7%	18.9%	16.2%	12.5%	12.0%	5.1%	4.8%	2.2%	1.9%	0.9%	2.8%	0.5%	2.2%	0.8%	61.2%	38.8%
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [31]	548	21.4%	19.2%	16.4%	11.0%	11.0%	4.9%	3.6%	2.4%	2.5%	0.2%	3.1%	1.0%	3.3%	2.2%	63.7%	36.3%
26 May 2019	Federal election [43]			21.6%	20.0%	17.5%	12.3%	10.3%	5.8%	3.2%	2.3%	1.6%	1.3%	Ecolo	PS	4.3% [nb 3]	1.6%	62.7%	37.3%

Seat projections

The graph and table below shows seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives according to a reporting newspaper or polling firm.

By party

76 seats needed for majority

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publishers	N‑VA	PS	VB	MR	Ecolo	cd&v	Open Vld	PVDA- PTB	Vooruit	Groen	LE	DéFI	Others	Lead	Gov.	Opp.	Lead
9 June 2024	Federal election		24	16	20	20	3	11	7	15	13	6	14	1	0	4	76	74	1
28 – 31 May 2024	Cluster17	RTL [3]	20	18	26	18	4	10	7	20	11	5	10	1	0	6	73	77	4
14 – 20 May 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [44] [ under discussion ]	20	16	26	18	4	10	7	19	12	5	12	1	0	6	72	78	6
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	La Libre Belgique / RTBF [45]	19	18	26	14	8	10	11	20	10	4	9	1	0	6	75	75	0
11 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [46] [ under discussion ]	20	16	27	15	9	11	6	19	10	5	10	2	0	7	72	78	6
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	Knack / Le Vif [47]	19	16	25	15	10	10	6	21	13	7	7	1	0	4	77	73	4
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [48]	21	18	25	14	10	10	5	19	11	7	8	2	0	4	75	75	0
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	La Libre Belgique [49]	21	19	21	16	9	10	6	20	16	6	5	1	0	0	82	69	13
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [50]	19	16	26	16	10	10	6	20	14	4	8	1	0	6	76	74	2
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [51]	20	20	22	15	10	10	6	21	16	5	4	1	0	1	82	68	14
20 – 27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [40]	20	20	24	14	10	10	8	18	14	5	5	2	0	4	83	67	16
16 – 29 Jan 2023	3rd party analysis based on Kantar	La Libre Belgique [52]	21	19	24	14	10	6	10	17	14	9	4	2	0	3	82	68	14
21 – 29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [16]	20	19	25	15	9	8	7	18	15	7	5	2	0	5	80	70	10
7 – 13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [17]	20	18	20	17	10	9	9	18	15	7	4	3	0	0	85	65	20
6 – 14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [18]	25	19	21	15	11	9	7	20	12	5	4	2	0	4	78	72	6
15 – 22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [19]	23	17	21	15	12	10	7	21	12	6	4	2	0	2	79	71	8
1 – 8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [53]	20	17	24	16	11	10	9	19	11	6	5	2	0	4	80	70	10
7 – 14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [54]	20	16	22	15	13	11	10	18	10	9	4	2	0	2	84	66	18
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [55]	20	18	25	14	12	9	10	17	11	7	5	2	0	5	81	69	12
4 – 9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [56]	20	16	22	15	13	11	11	19	11	6	4	2	0	2	83	67	16
2 – 8 Dec 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [57]	20	17	25	15	12	10	10	17	12	5	5	2	0	5	81	69	12
2 – 8 Oct 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [58] [59]	21	17	25	14	14	10	10	16	12	5	4	2	0	4	82	68	14
10 – 15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [60]	20	19	26	14	12	10	9	17	10	7	4	2	0	6	81	69	12
4 – 9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [61]	19	19	26	14	13	10	9	19	7	8	4	2	0	7	80	70	10
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [62]	20	18	27	14	13	10	8	18	6	9	5	2	0	7	78	72	6
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir [63]	21	17	25	17	13	11	11	14	6	9	4	2	0	4	84	66	18
26 May 2019	Federal election		25	20	18	14	13	12	12	12	9	8	5	2	0	5	88	62	26

By political family

Below are tallies for each ideological 'group' as well as probable coalitions. In bold on dark grey, if the coalition commands an absolute majority.

Note that "asymetrical" coalitions are now frequent: between 2007 and 2011, PS was part of each cabinet but not sp.a (Vooruit); and between 2014 and 2018, the Michel Government included cd&v but not cdH (LE), as well as the N-VA, of which there is no equivalent in Wallonia.

Coalition seat projections

Political family seat projections

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Ideologies									Coalitions
		Far-left	Greens	Soc- Dems	Soc Libs	Libs	Chr Dems [nb 4]	Flemish Nation-alist	Far-right		Left- wing			Big Olive Tree				Olive Tree			Purple- Green [nb 5]			Vivaldi (+ LE)				National Unity					Tri-partite			Arizona				Sunset			Purple-Yellow			Swedish + LE [nb 6]			Centre- right				Right- wing
9 June 2024	Federal Elections	15	9	29	1	27	25	24	20		53			81				63			65			76 (90)				114					81			105				78			80			76			96				71
14 - 20 May 2024	Ipsos	19	9	28	1	25	22	20	26		56			78				59			62			72 (84)				104					75			95				70			73			67			93				71
8 - 18 Apr 2024	Kantar	20	12	28	1	25	19	19	26		60			79				59			65			75 (84)				103					72			91				66			72			63			89				70
1 – 18 Mar 2024	Ipsos	19	14	26	2	21	21	20	27		59			80				61			61			72 (82)				102					68			87				67			67			62			89				68
22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024	Kantar	21	17	29	1	21	17	19	25		67			84				63			67			77(84)				103					67			86				65			69			57			82				65
4 – 11 Dec 2023	Ipsos	19	17	29	2	19	18	21	25		65			83				64			65			75 (83)				104					66			87				68			69			58			83				65
10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023	Kantar	20	15	35	1	22	15	21	21		70			85				65			72			82 (87)				108					72			93				71			78			58			79				64
18 – 25 Sep 2023	Ipsos	20	14	30	1	22	18	19	26		64			82				62			66			76 (84)				103					70			89				67			71			59			85				67
29 May – 6 Jun 2023	Ipsos	21	15	36	1	21	14	20	22		72			86				65			72			82 (86)				106					71			91				70			77			55			77				63
20–27 Mar 2023	Ipsos	18	15	34	2	22	15	20	24		67			82				64			71			81 (86)				106					71			91				69			76			57			81				66
16–29 Jan 2023	3rd party analysis based on Kantar	17	19	33	2	24	10	21	24		69			79				62			76			82 (86)				107					67			88				64			78			55			79				69
21–29 Nov 2022	Ipsos	18	16	34	2	22	13	20	25		68			81				63			72			80 (85)				105					69			89				67			76			55			80				67
7–13 Sep 2022	Ipsos	18	17	33	3	26	13	20	20		68			81				63			76			85 (89)				109					72			92				66			79			59			79				66
6–14 Jun 2022	Ipsos	20	16	31	2	22	13	25	21		67			80				60			69			78 (82)				107					66			91				69			78			60			81				68
15–22 Mar 2022	Ipsos	21	18	29	2	22	14	23	21		68			82				61			69			79 (83)				106					65			88				66			74			59			80				66
1–8 Dec 2021	Ipsos	19	17	28	2	25	15	20	24		64			79				60			70			80 (85)				105					68			88				63			73			60			84				69
7–14 Sep 2021	Ipsos	18	22	26	2	25	15	20	22		66			81				63			73			84 (88)				108					66			86				61			71			60			82				67
25 May – 1 Jun 2021	Ipsos	17	19	29	2	24	14	20	25		65			79				62			72			81 (86)				106					67			87				63			73			58			83				69
4–9 Mar 2021	Ipsos	19	19	27	2	26	15	20	22		65			80				61			72			83 (87)				107					68			88				62			73			61			83				68
2–10 Dec 2020	Ipsos	17	17	29	2	25	15	20	25		63			78				61			71			81 (86)				106					69			89				64			74			60			85				70
2–10 Oct 2020	Ipsos	16	19	29	2	24	14	21	25		64			78				62			71			82 (86)				107					67			88				64			74			59			84				70
10–15 Jun 2020	Ipsos	17	19	29	2	23	14	20	26		65			79				62			71			81 (85)				105					66			86				63			72			57			83				69
4–9 Mar 2020	Ipsos	19	21	26	2	23	14	19	26		66			80				61			70			80 (84)				105					63			82				66			68			56			82				68
29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019	ESOMAR	18	22	24	2	22	15	20	27		64			79				61			68			78 (83)				105					61			81				59			66			57			84				69
2–10 Sep 2019	ESOMAR	14	22	23	2	28	15	21	25		59			74				60			73			84 (88)				109					66			86				59			72			67			89				74
26 May 2019	Federal Elections	12	21	29	2	26	17	25	18		62			79				67			76			88 (93)				120					72			97				71			80			68			86				69

European Parliament election

See also: Opinion polling for the 2024 European Parliament election

Dutch-speaking

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	N‑VA ECR	VB ID	Open Vld Renew	cd&v EPP	Groen G/EFA	Vooruit S&D	PVDA Left	Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews [64]	1,500	18.7% 3	23.5% 3	12.7% 2	11.5% 1	9.7% 1	13.8% 2	9.3% 1	0.8% 0	4.8%
26 May 2019	European election			22.4% 3	19.1% 3	15.9% 2	14.5% 2	12.4% 1	10.2% 1	4.9% 0	0.5% 0	3.3%

French-speaking

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm	Publisher	Sample size	PS S&D	Ecolo G/EFA	MR Renew	PTB Left	LE EPP	DéFI NI	Others	Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024	Ipsos	Euronews [64]	1,500	26.7% 2	12.8% 1	22.8% 2	19.2% 2	11.0% 1	2.8% 0	4.7% 0	3.9%
26 May 2019	European election			26.7% 2	19.9% 2	19.3% 2	14.6% 1	8.9% 1	5.9% 0	4.7% 0	6.8%

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2019 Belgian federal election
• List of political parties in Belgium

Notes

1. Chez Nous 1.4%, N-VA 1.2% ^[37]
2. Chez Nous 0.3% ^[37]
3. Includes the People's Party, which dissolved in June 2019 after the elections
4. Includes LE, which broke with their Christian democratic tradition on 17 March 2022
5. Example of a Purple-Green coalition: Verhofstadt I Government
6. Example of a Swedish coalition: Michel I Government

References

1. "VP2024" (in Dutch). 9 June 2024. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
2. "DE LAATSTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste, voor N-VA en Vooruit" (in Dutch). 6 June 2024. Retrieved 6 June 2024.
3. Delfosse, RTL info avec Frederic (4 June 2024). "Sondage RTL info-Cluster17: bataille entre le MR et le PS en Wallonie, le Vlaams Belang conforte sa place de futur premier parti en Flandre". RTL Info (in French). Retrieved 4 June 2024.
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5. "Découvrez les résultats de notre sondage : le Vlaams Belang toujours plus haut, le MR en grande forme à Bruxelles" (in French). 25 April 2024. Retrieved 25 April 2024.
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7. "Open Vld verliest helft zetels in Knack-peiling, liberalen duiken in Antwerpen onder kiesdrempel". De Morgen. DPG Media nv. 20 February 2024.
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20. "DE GROTE PEILING. Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste partij in Vlaanderen, PS sterkste stijger in Wallonië". Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch). 10 December 2021.
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28. "De Stemming: de kiezer ruilt het centrum meer en meer in voor de uitersten". VRT NWS (Dutch). 23 May 2020.
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30. "De Grote Peiling. Vlaams Belang stijgt tot ongekende hoogtes, Open Vld afgestraft". Het Laatste Nieuws (Dutch). 13 December 2019.
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35. "Peiling "De Stemming": Vlaams Belang blijft de grootste, Vooruit gaat meest vooruit en PVDA wordt vierde partij". VRTNWS. 12 May 2023.
36. "cd&v verliest bijna helft van kiezers en wordt de kleinste partij van Vlaanderen". VRTNWS. 6 May 2022.
37. David Coppi (15 December 2023). "Grand Baromètre : le PTB caracole à Bruxelles et dégringole en Wallonie (infographies)" . Le Soir . Retrieved 16 December 2023. Mais d'autres électeurs envisagent de donner leur voix à la N-VA (1,2 %) si elle présente des listes au sud du pays et également à « Chez nous », mouvement d'extrême droite (1,4 % contre 0,3 % en septembre) ainsi qu'à d'autres formations comme le Parti Populaire.
38. "Grand Baromètre: le PTB monte en puissance". Le Soir (French). 12 March 2021.
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54. "BELGIUM · Ipsos poll 17/09/2021: VB largest party in Flanders (23.6%), PS in Wallonia (21.4%), Ecolo in Brussels (19.1%)". 17 September 2021. Archived from the original on 18 September 2021.
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