2019 Belgian federal election

Last updated

2019 Belgian federal election
Flag of Belgium (civil).svg
  2014 26 May 2019 (2019-05-26) 2024  

All 150 seats in the Chamber of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
Turnout88.38%
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
N-VA Bart De Wever 16.0325−8
VB Tom Van Grieken 11.9518+15
PS Elio Di Rupo 9.4620−3
CD&V Wouter Beke 8.8912−6
PVDA-PTB Peter Mertens 8.6212+10
Open Vld Gwendolyn Rutten 8.5412−2
MR Charles Michel 7.5614−6
sp.a John Crombez 6.719−4
Ecolo Jean-Marc Nollet
& Zakia Khattabi
6.1413+7
Groen Meyrem Almaci 6.108+2
cdH Maxime Prévot 3.705−4
DéFI Olivier Maingain 2.2220
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
2019 Belgium Chamber of Representatives election.svg
Results of the election by constituency
Federal Government beforeFederal Government after
Charles Michel (2018-01-31) (cropped).jpg Michel II Government Wilmès II Government Sophie Wilmes 2020 (cropped) 2.jpg

Federal elections were held in Belgium on 26 May 2019, alongside the country's European and regional elections. All 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives were elected from eleven multi-member constituencies.

Contents

The right-wing Vlaams Belang (VB) saw a resurgence in Flanders, and with the New Flemish Alliance (NVA), parties subscribing to Flemish separatism and nationalism obtained nearly 50% of the vote in Flanders. The Belgian coalition [1] of N-VA, CD&V, MR and Open VLD lost more than a quarter of its seats, the worst government punishment in 20 years. [2]

In addition, gains for the far-left Workers' Party of Belgium (PVDA-PTB), and the green Ecolo party in Wallonia occurred. Overall, traditional parties suffered losses in both regions.

Background

Following the 2014 elections, a centre-right government consisting of N-VA, CD&V, Open Vld and MR was formed, led by Prime Minister Charles Michel (MR). This government coalition was unique in several aspects: the N-VA participated for the first time, the MR was the only French-speaking party, and the French-speaking Socialist Party was not part of the government for the first time in 25 years.

Local elections were held on 14 October 2018. As such, the 2019 simultaneous regional, federal and European elections were held only several months after the local elections.

In early December 2018, a political crisis emerged regarding the Global Compact for Migration, which was supposed to be signed but sparked instead opposition from government party N-VA. As the three other government parties as well as a large majority in parliament supported the compact, N-VA left the government and the three other parties continued briefly as a minority cabinet (Michel II) with an unclear status. Prime Minister Michel ultimately offered his resignation to the King on 18 December 2018, who accepted it three days later. As regular elections were scheduled for May 2019 anyway, snap elections were only favoured by N-VA and Vlaams Belang and did not happen, and the minority cabinet continued as a caretaker government until the elections. [3]

Electoral system

The 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives were elected in 11 multi-member constituencies, being the ten provinces and Brussels, with between 4 and 24 seats. Seats are allocated using the D'Hondt method, with an electoral threshold of 5% per constituency. [4]

Representatives elected from the five Flemish Region provinces, Antwerp (24), East Flanders (20), Flemish Brabant (15), Limburg (12) and West Flanders (16), automatically belonged to the Dutch-speaking language group in parliament, whereas those elected from the five provinces of Wallonia, Hainaut (18), Liège (15), Luxembourg (4), Namur (6) and Walloon Brabant (5), formed the French-speaking language group. The 15 members elected in Brussels could choose to join either group. Apportionment of seats is done every ten years in accordance with population data, last by royal order of 31 January 2013. [5]

The 60-member Senate is composed of 50 representatives from the regional and community parliaments, plus 10 co-opted senators proportionally divided among parties based on the result of the federal election.

All Belgian citizens aged 18 or over were obligated to participate in the election. Non-Belgian citizens residing in Belgium (regardless of EU citizenship) couldn't vote, whereas Belgian citizens living abroad could register to vote.

Date

The 2011–14 state reform changed several aspects regarding federal elections. Starting with the May 2014 election, which coincided with European Parliament and regional elections, the federal parliament is elected for a five-year term rather than a four-year term.

The federal elections would from then on always coincide with the European Parliament elections; [6] snap federal elections would trigger a parliamentary term lasting until the next European Parliament elections. [7] However, as of 2017, a law needed for this to take effect had not yet been enacted. Given the five-year term for all three elections, they all coincided in 2019 regardless, as no snap federal elections were called.

Additionally, de facto practice is to formally dissolve parliament and trigger new elections by Declaration of Revision of the Constitution shortly before regular expiry of the parliamentary term.

Parties and leaders

NameIdeologyLeader2014 result
Votes (%)Seats
Flemish parties
N-VA New Flemish Alliance
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie
Flemish nationalism Bart De Wever 20.3%
33 / 150
CD&V Christian Democratic and Flemish
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
Christian democracy Wouter Beke 11.6%
18 / 150
Open Vld Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
Liberalism Gwendolyn Rutten 9.8%
14 / 150
sp.a Socialist Party Differently
Socialistische Partij Anders
Social democracy John Crombez 8.8%
13 / 150
Groen Green
Groen
Green politics Meyrem Almaci 5.3%
6 / 150
VB Flemish Interest
Vlaams Belang
Flemish nationalism Tom Van Grieken 3.7%
3 / 150
Francophone parties
PS Socialist Party
Parti Socialiste
Social democracy Elio Di Rupo 11.7%
23 / 150
MR Reformist Movement
Mouvement Réformateur
Liberalism Charles Michel 9.6%
20 / 150
cdH Humanist Democratic Centre
Centre démocrate humaniste
Christian democracy Maxime Prévot 5.0%
9 / 150
Ecolo Ecolo
Ecolo
Green politics Jean-Marc Nollet &
Zakia Khattabi
3.3%
6 / 150
DéFI DéFI
DéFI
Regionalism Olivier Maingain 1.8%
2 / 150
PP People's Party
Parti populaire
Right-wing populism Mischaël Modrikamen 1.5%
1 / 150
Bilingual parties
PVDA–PTB Workers' Party of Belgium
Partij van de Arbeid van België
Parti du Travail de Belgique
Marxism Peter Mertens 3.7%
2 / 150

Lead candidates

The following candidates are the first on the respective party list ( lijsttrekker / tête de liste ) per constituency.

Dutch-speaking constituencies

PartyFlag of Antwerp.svg  Antwerp Flag of Oost-Vlaanderen.svg  East Flanders Flemish Brabant Flag.png  Flemish Brabant Flag of Limburg (Belgium).svg  Limburg Flag of West Flanders.svg  West Flanders Flag of the Brussels-Capital Region.svg  Brussels
CD&V Servais Verherstraeten Pieter De Crem Koen Geens Wouter Beke Hendrik Bogaert Sabine de Bethune
Groen Kristof Calvo Stefaan Van Hecke Jessika Soors Barbara Creemers Wouter De Vriendt
N-VA Jan Jambon Anneleen Van Bossuyt Theo Francken Zuhal Demir Sander Loones Elias Kartout
Open Vld Christian Leysen Alexander De Croo Maggie De Block Patrick Dewael Vincent Van Quickenborne Mimi Crahaij
PVDA Peter Mertens Steven De Vuyst Bea Knaepen Ayse Yigit Ilona Vandenberghe
sp.a Yasmine Kherbache Joris Vandenbroucke Karin Jiroflée Meryame Kitir John Crombez
Vlaams Belang Tom Van Grieken Barbara Pas Dries Van Langenhove Annick Ponthier Wouter Vermeersch

French-speaking constituencies

PartyFlag of Hainaut.svg  Hainaut Flag of the Province of Liege.svg  Liège Unofficial flag of the Province of Luxembourg.svg  Luxembourg Flag of Namur Province.svg  Namur Drapeau Province BE Brabant Wallon.svg  Walloon Brabant Flag of the Brussels-Capital Region.svg  Brussels
cdH Catherine Fonck Vanessa Matz René Collin Maxime Prévot Olivier Vanham Joëlle Milquet
DéFI Alexandra Dupire Pierre-Yves Dupuis François De Smet
Ecolo Jean-Marc Nollet Sarah Schlitz Cécile Thibaut Georges Gilkinet Simon Moutquin Zakia Khattabi
MR Denis Ducarme Daniel Bacquelaine Benoit Piedboeuf David Clarinval Charles Michel Didier Reynders
PP
PS Elio Di Rupo Frédéric Daerden André Flahaut Ahmed Laaouej
PTB Marco Van Hees Raoul Hedebouw Thierry Warmoes Maria Vindevoghel

Campaign

Despite leaving the government coalition in late 2018, it was the explicit ambition of N-VA to continue governing after the May 2019 election. In January 2019, the party put forward ex-minister Jan Jambon as candidate for Prime Minister should the party enter a coalition. [8] A continuation of the "Swedish coalition" (N-VA, MR, CD&V and Open Vld), potentially expanded with cdH, was a likely scenario. Outgoing Prime Minister Charles Michel (MR) was candidate to continue in his position. [9]

Meanwhile, the French-speaking Socialist Party (PS) had the ambition to re-enter government as well, or "re-conquer" as formulated by leader Elio Di Rupo, after being in the opposition at federal level and being ousted from the Walloon government. [10]

Additionally, there was speculation that the Flemish liberal and green parties (Open Vld and Groen) would favour cooperating, given Groen's recent rise and their local governing coalitions in cities like Mechelen, Gent and Oostende. However, their French-speaking counterparts, MR and Ecolo, are politically and ideologically further apart. [11] [12]

Retiring incumbents

The following incumbent members of the Chamber of Representatives announced their retirement from (national) politics:

Opinion polls

Results

Map of the largest party in each municipality PoliticsBelgium2019.jpg
Map of the largest party in each municipality
Belgium Chamber of Representatives 2019 v2.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance 1,086,78716.03–4.2325–8
Vlaams Belang 810,17711.95+8.2818+15
Parti Socialiste 641,6239.46–2.2120–3
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 602,5208.89–2.7212–6
Workers' Party of Belgium 584,6218.62+4.9012+10
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten 579,3348.54–1.2412–2
Mouvement Réformateur 512,8257.56–2.0814–6
Socialistische Partij Anders 455,0346.71–2.129–4
Ecolo 416,4526.14+2.8413+7
Groen 413,8366.10+0.788+2
Centre démocrate humaniste 250,8613.70–1.285–4
DéFI 150,3942.22+0.4220
People's Party 75,0961.11–0.390–1
DierAnimal 47,7330.70New0New
Listes Destexhe 42,7120.63New0New
Collectif Citoyen21,0920.31New0New
La Droite15,0750.22–0.1600
Nation 10,5830.160.0000
Les Belges d'Abord10,4630.15New0New
Agir 7,5980.11New0New
Pirate Party 7,5210.11–0.2300
D-SA5,9490.09New0New
Lutte Ouvrière5,7350.08+0.0300
PRO5,6820.08New0New
Wallonie Insoumise5,3540.08New0New
BUB Belgische Unie4,5130.07New0New
PV&S3,2170.05New0New
B.U.B2,0980.03New0New
de coöperatie1,7320.03New0New
Volt 1,6690.02New0New
Communist Party of Belgium 1,6260.02New0New
Turquoise6260.01New0New
Total6,780,538100.001500
Valid votes6,780,53893.93
Invalid/blank votes438,0956.07
Total votes7,218,633100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,167,70988.38
Source: IBZ

Results by region

Flanders

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance 1,086,78725.5625−8
Vlaams Belang 810,17719.0518+15
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 602,52014.1712−6
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten 579,33413.6212−2
Socialistische Partij Anders 455,03410.709−4
Groen 413,8369.738+2
Workers' Party of Belgium 236,8975.573+3
Others67,6521.59
Total4,252,237100.0087

Wallonia

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Socialist Party 641,62325.3820−3
Reformist Movement 512,82520.2814−6
Ecolo 416,45216.4713+7
Workers' Party of Belgium 347,72413.759+7
Centre démocrate humaniste 250,8619.925−4
DéFI 150,3945.9520
People's Party (Belgium) 75,0962.970−1
Destexhe Lists 42,7121.690New
Others90,6143.58
Total2,528,301100.0063

Brussels-Capital

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
EcoloGroen 108,14421.574+2
Socialist Partysp.a 100,19519.983−2
Reformist Movement 87,59417.473−1
Workers' Party of Belgium 61,58912.282+2
DéFI 51,54410.2820
Centre démocrate humaniste 29,1615.821−1
New Flemish Alliance 15,9833.1900
Destexhe Lists 12,8792.570New
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten 11,5112.300
People's Party (Belgium) 8,4551.690
Vlaams Belang 7,8241.5600
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 6,5801.3100
Total501,459100.0015

Senate

Since the sixth state reform of 2011, the Senate is no longer directly elected. The regional parliaments elect 50 senators based on the results of the concurrent regional elections (the Flemish Parliament elects 29, the Parliament of the French Community elects ten, the Walloon Parliament elects eight, the Parliament of the Brussels-Capital Region elects two Francophone senators and the Parliament of the German-speaking Community elects one). The elected senators in turn co-opt 10 senators (six Dutch-speaking and four Francophone), making a total of 60 senators.

The distributiuon of seats among parties resulted as following: [22]

Belgica Senado 2019.svg
PartySeats
ElectedCo-optedTotal+/–
New Flemish Alliance 819–3
Vlaams Belang 617+5
Socialist Party 617–2
Reformist Movement [lower-alpha 1] 617–1
Workers' Party [lower-alpha 2] 415+5
Christian Democratic and Flemish 415–3
Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats 4150
Ecolo 415+2
Socialist Party Differently 314–1
Groen 314+1
Humanist Democratic Centre 202–2
Total5010600
  1. Elected members included one German-speaking senator from the Party for Freedom and Progress.
  2. The elected members included three Francophone senators and one Dutch-speaking one; the co-opted member was Francophone.

Aftermath

The election once again exposed the deep linguistic, ethnic and regional divisions of Belgium, with the Dutch-speaking region of Flanders strongly voting for right-wing Flemish nationalist and separatist parties, and the French-speaking region of Wallonia strongly voting left. [23] [24]

In response to Vlaams Belang's surge in support there has been some speculation that the N-VA leader Bart De Wever may break the Cordon sanitaire imposed on the party, resulting in the two Flemish nationalist parties joining forces, by refusing to rule out talks with the VB, as their strong results could make forming a coalition more difficult. [25] [26]

The People's Party, a small right-wing French-speaking party, dissolved on 18 June through an internal party vote in response to losing their only seat in the elections. Former party leader Mischaël Modrikamen blamed the "systematic exclusion of the People's Party from the political and media debate." [27]

In the days following the election, King Philippe held consultations with all main party leaders, including Vlaams Belang party leader Tom Van Grieken. According to The Guardian , it was the first time a Belgian monarch met a representative from a far-right party since 1936, when King Leopold III met the representatives of the Rexist Party. [28]

On 30 May, King Philippe appointed Johan Vande Lanotte (sp.a) and Didier Reynders (MR), two experienced politicians with a long period of service, as informateurs. They reported on their progress by 6 June as expected, [29] after which they were given some more time, with a new deadline of 17 June. [30] After this deadline passed, another extension was granted until 1 July, [31] and again until 29 July [32] and one more extension until 9 September. [33]

On 24 August the Belgian government decided to appoint Didier Reynders as European Commissioner. [34] On 4 October 2019, King Philippe announced the end of the first phase of federal government formation talks, with the informateurs advising that a government of the N-VA, the Socialist Party and the Greens was the best option to pursue. The informateurs will report back to the king of the 4 November, following which a formateur will be appointed to introduce the third stage of government formation. [35]

On 4 November, the two new informateurs, Rudy Demotte and Geert Bourgeois, offered their resignations to the King, as they could not break the political deadlock. [36]

On 17 March 2020, the successor of Michel II Government, the Wilmès Government, had its mandate extended. Most parliamentary parties provided them external support in order to manage the coronavirus pandemic. Informal talks on forming a new government began in June 2020. [37] Wilmès II government was eventually replaced by the permanent seven-party coalition — De Croo Government in October, with Wilmès becoming one of the deputy prime ministers.

See also

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Belgian local elections</span>

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