2010 Belgian federal election

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2010 Belgian federal election
Flag of Belgium (civil).svg
  2007 13 June 2010 (2010-06-13) 2014  
Chamber of Representatives

All 150 seats in the Chamber of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
N-VA Bart De Wever 17.4027+22
PS Elio Di Rupo 13.7026+6
CD&V Marianne Thyssen 10.8517−8
MR Didier Reynders 9.2818−5
sp.a Caroline Gennez 9.2413−1
Open Vld Alexander De Croo 8.6413−5
VB Bruno Valkeniers 7.7612−5
cdH Benoît Lutgen 5.529−1
Ecolo Jean-Michel Javaux
Sarah Turine
4.8080
Groen Wouter Van Besien 4.385+1
LDD Jean-Marie Dedecker 3.741−4
PP Mischaël Modrikamen 1.291New
Senate

40 of 71 seats in the Senate
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
N-VA Bart De Wever 19.619+8
PS Elio Di Rupo 13.627+3
CD&V Marianne Thyssen 9.994−4
sp.a Caroline Gennez 9.4840
MR Didier Reynders 9.274−2
Open Vld Alexander De Croo 8.244−1
VB Bruno Valkeniers 7.603−2
Ecolo Jean-Michel Javaux
Sarah Turine
5.4620
cdH Benoît Lutgen 5.1320
Groen Wouter Van Besien 3.8910
Maps
2010 Belgium Chamber of Representatives election.svg
2010 Belgium Senate election.svg
Federal Government beforeFederal Government after
Leterme II Government Di Rupo Government

Federal elections were held in Belgium on 13 June 2010, [1] during the midst of the 2007-11 Belgian political crisis. After the fall of the previous Leterme II Government over the withdrawal of Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats (Open VLD) from the government the King dissolved the legislature and called new elections. The New Flemish Alliance, led by Bart De Wever, emerged as the plurality party with 27 seats, just one more than the francophone Socialist Party, led by Elio Di Rupo, which was the largest party in the Wallonia region and Brussels. [2] It took a world record 541 days until a government was formed, resulting in a government led by Di Rupo. [3]

Contents

Yves Leterme served as the caretaker prime minister of the country for the period that it had no official government. [4]

Background

Fall of the government

Following a continued lack of agreement over how to resolve the conflict over the electoral arrondissement of Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde, the liberal Open VLD left the government on 22 April 2010, continuing the 2007–2011 Belgian political crisis. Prime Minister Yves Leterme (Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams, CD&V) immediately offered his resignation to King Albert II, who accepted it on 26 April 2010. Following the elections held on 13 June, there were fears that coalition-building may take so long that Belgium's presidency of the Council of the European Union, which starts on 1 July 2010, might have to start under a caretaker government. [5] [6] [7]

Constitutionality of elections

According to a statement by the Flemish President of the Constitutional Court, Marc Bossuyt, the elections might be ruled unconstitutional unless the Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde arrondissement is split up beforehand. [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] On 4 May, all but one Flemish judge-president of the 13 Flemish Courts of First Instance wrote a collective letter, saying that the elections cannot be held with the current electoral districts and that a return to the previous electoral arrondissements is necessary. [13] In contrast, Ghislain Londers, the president of the Court of Cassation declared that all judges are obliged to cooperate with the electoral process. Before the judges' letters, former president of the Belgian Chamber of Representatives Herman De Croo stated that no court could prevent the elections from taking place. [12]

Importance of elections

The international media saw the election as crucial to determine the future of the country, even though it was admitted that devolution would not happen immediately. [14]

Date

The parliament was dissolved by Declaration of Revision of the Constitution on 7 May 2010 and elections were called by royal order of the same day. [15] The period with rules and limits on campaign spending (sperperiode), which normally runs three months prior to election day, started that day.

Voting occurred on Sunday 13 June 2010 between 08:00 and 13:00 in polling stations with paper ballots, and between 08:00 and 15:00 in those with electronic voting.

The newly elected parliament was to convene on 6 July 2010.

Parties

The primary six Flemish political parties and their results for the House of Representatives (Kamer). From 1978 to 2014, in percentages for the complete 'Kingdom'. Kamer-1978-2014.png
The primary six Flemish political parties and their results for the House of Representatives (Kamer). From 1978 to 2014, in percentages for the complete 'Kingdom'.

Flemish parties (Dutch speaking)

These Flemish parties field candidates in the regions of Flanders and the partially bilingual electoral district Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde.

Walloon parties (French speaking)

These Francophone parties fielded candidates in the region of Wallonia and in the electoral district Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde.

Candidates

Leterme stepped aside on 28 April 2010 and was replaced as leader of CD&V by Marianne Thyssen. [16]

Notable newcomers in politics:

Polls

As of May 26, it appeared that the major development in the election was the surge in popularity of the N-VA in Flanders. Led by Bart De Wever, it supports eventual independence for Flanders, and an immediate switch from a federal Belgium to a confederal Belgium. The N-VA replaces the CD&V of outgoing PM Yves Leterme as the most popular party in Flanders. This development opens the question of how the francophone parties might react to forming a government with an openly sovereigntist, but politically centrist party if they do win a plurality of votes in Flanders. It appeared that the N-VA had attracted some popularity from the ethnic nationalist party, Vlaams Belang. [18]

Flemish constituencyFrancophone constituency
DateSource CD&V N-VA Open VLD SP–A VB Groen! LDD PS MRFDF CDH Ecolo FN PP RWF
10 June 2007 2007 election 29.6%18.8%16.3%19.0%6.3%6.5%29.5%31.2%15.8%12.8%5.6%//
29 March 2010 La Libre Belgique [19] 20.0%17.8%13.8%15.5%17.3%8.1%5.5%31.7%20.5%15.5%20.2%/4.3%/
4 May 2010 l'Avenir [20] 18.9%22.9%14.8%14.2%12.5%7.9%3.9%32.5%21.1%18.2%17.6%2.9%<1%2.0%
26 May 2010 Dimarso [21] 19.5%26.0%12.4%16.0%10.3%7.8%5.4%
28 May 2010 l'Avenir [22] 33.0%20.4%17.0%17.6%2.5%1.9%1.9%
4 June 2010 Standaard/VRT [23] 19.0%25.2%13.9%13.8%11.5%8.2%6.2%
June 2010 La Libre Belgique [24] 16.2%26%13.6%16.3%15%6.8%4.3%30%20.2%16.1%18.9%4.1%4.1%/

Results

After polls showed the N-VA receiving 29% of votes in their region, media interpreted the election as a "victory for Flemish independence". [25] The following tables contain percentages on the national level (i.e. the result of N-VA is 17.4% on the national level, while it is 27.8% on the regional level).

Chamber of Representatives

Chamberdesreps2010.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance 1,135,61717.40N/A27+22
Parti Socialiste 894,54313.70+2.8426+6
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 707,98610.85N/A17–8
Mouvement Réformateur 605,6179.28–3.2418–5
Socialistische Partij Anders 602,8679.24N/A13–1
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten 563,8738.64–3.1913–5
Vlaams Belang 506,6977.76–4.2312–5
Centre démocrate humaniste 360,4415.52–0.539–1
Ecolo 313,0474.80–0.3180
Groen! 285,9894.38+0.405+1
Lijst Dedecker 150,5772.31–1.721–4
Workers' Party of Belgium 101,0881.55+0.7000
People's Party 84,0051.29New1New
Wallonie d'Abord36,6420.56New0New
Rassemblement Wallonie France 35,7430.55+0.1500
National Front 33,5910.51–1.450–1
Front des gauches20,7340.32New0New
BELG.UNIE 20,6650.32New0New
Front National+11,5530.18New0New
Pro Bruxsel 7,2010.11New0New
Left Socialist Party 6,7910.10New0New
Parti Pensionné PP6,6880.10New0New
Vivant 6,2110.10+0.0100
Wallon+ 5,8570.09New0New
EGALITE5,6700.09New0New
RESPECT5,6300.09New0New
Mouvement socialiste plus2,8270.04New0New
MP Éducation2,5720.04+0.0200
Vital2,2590.03+0.0100
Pirate Party 2,2000.03New0New
Vrijheid1,5760.02New0New
N6100.01New0New
Total6,527,367100.001500
Valid votes6,527,36794.19
Invalid/blank votes402,4885.81
Total votes6,929,855100.00
Registered voters/turnout7,767,55289.22
Source: IBZ

Details

Results by party (seats)
RegionSeats won per partyTotal seats
ConstituencyN-VACD&VSP.AVLDVBGROEN!LDD
Flag of Flanders.svg
Flanders
Flag of Antwerp.svg Antwerp
8 / 24
4 / 24
3 / 24
3 / 24
4 / 24
2 / 24
24 / 88
Flag of the Brussels-Capital Region.svg B.H.V.
3 / 9
2 / 9
1 / 9
2 / 9
1 / 9
9 / 88
Flag of Oost-Vlaanderen.svg East Flanders
6 / 20
3 / 20
3 / 20
4 / 20
3 / 20
1 / 20
20 / 88
Flag of Belgium (civil).svg Leuven
2 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
1 / 7
7 / 88
Flag of Limburg (Belgium).svg Limburg
4 / 12
3 / 12
2 / 12
1 / 12
2 / 12
12 / 88
Flag of West Flanders.svg West Flanders
4 / 16
4 / 16
3 / 16
2 / 16
1 / 16
1 / 16
1 / 16
16 / 88
Total
27 / 88
17 / 88
13 / 88
13 / 88
12 / 88
5 / 88
1 / 88
88 / 88
PSMRCDHECOLOPP
Flag of Wallonia.svg
Wallonia
Flag of the Brussels-Capital Region.svg B.H.V.
4 / 13
5 / 13
2 / 13
2 / 13
13 / 62
Flag of Hainaut.svg Hainaut
11 / 19
4 / 19
2 / 19
2 / 19
19 / 62
Flag of the Province of Liege.svg Liège
7 / 15
4 / 15
2 / 15
2 / 15
15 / 62
Unofficial flag of the Province of Luxembourg.svg Luxembourg
1 / 4
1 / 4
2 / 4
4 / 62
Flag of Namur Province.svg Namur
2 / 6
2 / 6
1 / 6
1 / 6
6 / 62
Drapeau Province BE Brabant Wallon.svg Walloon Brabant
1 / 5
2 / 5
1 / 5
1 / 5
5 / 62
Total
26 / 62
18 / 62
9 / 62
8 / 62
1 / 62
62 / 62
Results by electoral constituencies (percentages)
Region% won per party
ConstituencyN-VACD&VSP.AVLDVBGROEN!LDDOthers
Flanders Antwerp 30.7115.5314.3211.0316.157.692.292.28
B.H.V. 12.236.944.647.175.03*
East Flanders 28.1515.4014.1517.4012.337.363.192.04
Leuven 27.0516.2617.7914.519.619.793.141.86
Limburg 28.8318.8118.1412.1012.794.812.891.62
West Flanders 23.8923.0115.1313.539.076.317.671.27
PSMRCDHECOLOPP
Wallonia B.H.V. 16.7419.178.077.9912.01*
Hainaut 48.1817.5211.479.412.7510.67
Liège 35.7922.3013.9313.833.0811.07
Luxembourg 28.4919.5431.4111.712.446.41
Namur 32.2024.6515.9213.383.1210.73
Walloon Brabant 22.4835.7912.8916.335.047.47

Senate

Senat2010.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance 1,268,78019.61N/A9+8
Parti Socialiste 880,82813.62+3.377+3
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams 646,3759.99N/A4–4
Socialistische Partij Anders 613,0799.48N/A40
Mouvement Réformateur 599,6189.27–3.044–2
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten 533,1248.24–4.164–1
Vlaams Belang 491,5477.60–4.293–2
Ecolo 353,1115.46–0.3620
Centre démocrate humaniste 331,8705.13–0.7720
Groen! 251,5463.89+0.2510
Lijst Dedecker 130,7792.02–1.360–1
Workers' Party of Belgium 105,0601.62+0.8000
People's Party 98,8581.53New0New
Wallonie d'Abord62,2510.96New0New
Rassemblement Wallonie France 40,3930.62+0.1400
Front des gauches28,3460.44New0New
Vivant 15,4620.24New0New
Left Socialist Party 7,8410.12New0New
Committee for Another Policy 6,2540.10–0.1000
Mouvement socialiste plus3,9810.06New0New
Total6,469,103100.00400
Valid votes6,469,10393.36
Invalid/blank votes460,3756.64
Total votes6,929,478100.00
Registered voters/turnout7,767,55289.21
Source: IBZ

Chamber of Representatives (geographically)

These maps depict the largest party in each constituency.

Dutch-speaking constituencies

FED2010-WVL.PNG FED2010-OVL.png FED2010-ANT.png FED2010-LIM.png FED2010-VLB.png
Legend:

Brussels, French- & German-speaking constituencies

FED2010-BRU.png FED2010-WAB.png FED2010-HEN.png FED2010-NAM.png FED2010-LUI.png FED2010-LUX.png
Legend:

Candidates receiving the highest number of preferential votes.

For the Senate: [26] For the Chamber: [27]
  • 203,758 votes (28.19% of the constituency of Hainaut) for Elio Di Rupo,   PS
  • 101,940 votes (10.67% of the constituency of East Flanders) for Siegfried Bracke,   N-VA
  • 101,830 votes (12.97% of the constituency of West Flanders) for Yves Leterme,   CD&V
  • 78.951 votes (7.20% of the constituency of Antwerp) for Inge Vervotte,   CD&V
  • 72.194 votes (11.92% of the Constituency of Liège) for Michel Daerden,   PS

Government formation

On possible coalitions, election winner Bart De Wever announced he would seek negotiations with the Francophone Socialist Party. [28] The Socialist Party leader Elio di Rupo was tapped to become the next Prime Minister, because the socialist parties emerged as the largest "party family" in the elections, and because the New Flemish Alliance lacks a Francophone counterpart. [29] [30] [31]

Philip Blenkinsop of Reuters stated that the win of the New Flemish Alliance could have negative effects because "Belgium can ill afford drawn-out coalition talks because it has a large debt and any policy paralysis could make the country vulnerable on financial markets that are closely watching a sovereign debt crisis." [32]

Coalition formation continued for a record-breaking 541 days, with a government under Elio De Rupo eventually being formed on 6 December 2011 after agreement was reached on the 2012 budget. The Di Rupo I Government included the Liberal, Socialist and Christian Democratic parties from both Flanders and Wallonia. The government excludes the New Flemish Alliance (N-VA), the Greens of Groen and Ecolo, Vlaams Belang on the right, the Lijst Dedecker and the People's Party. N-VA's absence, together with the unwillingness of Open Vld to enter into an eight-party coalition that included the green parties, meant the government coalition lacked a majority in the Dutch language group. It was the first time that the Belgian prime minister has been openly gay and the world's first male openly gay head of government [33] Belgium was thus the second European country to have a homosexual prime minister, after Iceland (Jóhanna Sigurðardóttir). Elio Di Rupo was the first native French-speaking prime minister since 1979 and the first Walloon prime minister since 1974.

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  27. Chamber
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