Tropical Storm Fengshen (2025)

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Map key
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
Disc Plain black.svg Tropical cyclone
Solid black.svg Subtropical cyclone
ArrowUp.svg Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

On October 12, the JMA began tracking a tropical depression that had formed near 5°N148°E / 5°N 148°E / 5; 148 . [1] The JTWC followed later that day, noting poorly organized convection concentrated along the southern periphery of the system. The depression was situated in a moderately favorable environment, characterized by very warm sea surface temperatures, moderate equatorward outflow, and low vertical wind shear. [2] However, within a few hours, the JMA assessed that the system had weakened into a low-pressure area and subsequently discontinued advisories on October 15. The JTWC continued monitoring the disturbance as it passed south of Guam, with satellite imagery revealing a wave-like structure and no defined low-level circulation center (LLCC), despite the system remaining in a conducive environment. [3]

On October 16, the JMA reissued advisories and resumed tracking the system as it moved westward toward the eastern Philippines. [4] The disturbance entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 15:00 PHT (07:00 UTC), [5] and was assigned the local name Ramil early the following day. [6] Satellite imagery indicated a broad LLCC consolidating within persistent convection. [7] A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) was issued at 03:00 UTC, indicating a high probability of further development. [8] Although the system was supported by high sea surface temperatures and weak vertical wind shear, the presence of dry air in the surrounding environment limited its intensification, resulting in neutral development conditions. [9] The system continued moving westward along the southern edge of a subtropical ridge. [10]

At 18:00 UTC on October 17, the JMA upgraded the system to a tropical storm, assigning it the international name Fengshen, due to favorable environmental conditions promoting further development. [11] [12] The JTWC began issuing advisories at 03:00 UTC on October 18, classifying Fengshen as a tropical depression and assigning it the identifier 30W. [13] Convection obscuring the center suggested a consolidating system, though the LLCC remained weakly defined. [14] Fengshen slightly weakened as it approached Northern Samar, [15] making landfall near Gubat, Sorsogon around 16:00 PHT (08:00 UTC). [16] Shortly after landfall, the JTWC reported a complex structure, indicating a tilted vortex and the potential presence of multiple circulation centers. The LLCC was located off the northeastern coast of Samar. Despite favorable environmental conditions, interaction with land and a fragile vortex hindered further intensification. [17] Despite this, the JTWC said the conditions became favorable six hours later and would be highly favorable if not for the proximity to land. [18] The agency also upgraded the cyclone into a tropical storm at 15:00 UTC that same day. [19] The storm then tracked northwestwards, crossing inland through Bicol Region. [20] The JTWC reported that the LLCC was fully obscured with a poorly organized structure, containing fragmented bands. These conditions, among other factors gave the system a marginally unfavorable environment. [21] The next day, the storm made landfall in Alabat at 03:00 PHT (19:00 UTC the previous day) [22] and later in Mauban on 07:30 PHT (23:30 UTC the previous day). Three hours later, the system resurfaced over Manila Bay before it made a fourth landfall at Samal, Bataan around 12:30 PHT (04:30 UTC). [23] The JTWC also indicated that the system had improved banding wrapping into the LLCC with convection which has begun to consolidate; terrain interaction still caused the system to have an unfavorable environment. [24] Shortly after, the JTWC reported that the system was primed for rapid intensification, yet the LLCC was weakly defined. [25] At 15:00 UTC on October 19, the system was downgraded into a tropical depression by the JTWC but was again upgraded six hours later due to its farther distance from land. [26] [27] The storm rapidly consolidated with deep convection in a much favorable environment. [28] Fengshen then tracked westwards due to a subtropical steering ridge to the northwest of the system. [29] At 03:00 JST (18:00 UTC),[ date missing ] Fengshen peaked as a severe tropical storm as it moves westwards. Fengshen then began to gradually weaken as dry air and southwesterly windshear hindered its development. [30] It eventually dissipated off the coast of Vietnam on October 23. [31]

Preparations

Philippines

The Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) suspended sea travel in the Bicol Region, while the region's PCG district was placed on heightened alert. [32] [33] The district activated two deployable response groups to Camarines Sur and Camarines Norte. [34] Face-to-face classes in the province of Albay were suspended by order of Governor Noel Rosal. [35] The provincial government later ordered preemptive evacuations, which were carried out in areas such as Pio Duran. [36] [37] In affected areas, residents set up temporary shelters, including tents in Barangay Caratagan, Pio Duran. [38]

In Camarines Sur, the Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (PDRRMC) raised the alert level to red, prompting local authorities to intensify monitoring and emergency operations. [39] The PDRRMC in Catanduanes prepared food and relief supplies, monitored the cyclone's approach, and suspended classes throughout the province while 9,000 people in the province evacuated to higher ground. [40] [41] The Land Transportation Office (LTO) in Bicol advised the public to avoid non-essential land travel. [42] The National Grid Corporation of the Philippines (NGCP) initiated preparations to ensure minimal impact on power infrastructure. [43] Meanwhile, the Bicol regional police activated its emergency response teams in anticipation of the storm's effects, with a total of 1,328 personnel placed on standby. [44] The Department of Health raised a code white alert, monitoring the accessibility of medicines and equipment. [45] On October 18, 41 class suspensions, all in Calabarzon, were recorded. [46] The next day, two more class suspensions were recorded in Catanduanes. A total of 22,311 individuals evacuated: 366 of them were in Calabarzon while the rest were from Albay, Catanduanes, and Masbate. [47]

Taiwan

The Extremely Heavy Rain Advisory was issued for Ilan, New Taipei and Taipei on 20 October under the combined effect of the northeast monsoon and Fengshen. [48] Due to the state of barrier lakes and the heavy rain 991 people were evacuated on 20 October from Hwalien, New Taipei and Taipei. [48]

Hong Kong

The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) started warning members of the public as early as October 15 with regards of the forthcoming combined effect of the northeast monsoon and the tropical cyclone. [49] The Strong Monsoon Signal  [ zh ] was hoisted at 22:50 HKT (14:50 UTC) on 19 October [50] and was replaced with the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 at 17:20 HKT (09:20 UTC) the following day. [51] The Strong Monsoon Signal was reissued on 21 October at 18:20 HKT (10:20 UTC). [52]

Macau

The Strong Monsoon Signal  [ zh-tw ] was hoisted at 00:00 MST on 20 October (16:00 UTC). [53] and was replaced by the No. 3 Signal at 19:00 MST (11:00 UTC). [54] The Strong Monsoon Signal was reissued at 17:00 MST (09:00 UTC) the next day. [55]

Impact and aftermath

Philippines

Within 24 hours, Fengshen generated 400.7 mm (15.78 in) of rain in Guiuan, Eastern Samar and 365.5 mm (14.39 in) of rain in Roxas City, which was greater then the monthly average in those areas. [56] The PCG in Bicol reported that 757 passengers were stranded in the region along with 108 rolling cargoes and five vessels on October 17. [57] The next day, 3,239 passengers were stranded nationally while 12 seaports in Calabarzon were shut down. [58] Floods were caused in Iloilo and Catanduanes. [59] [60] Two transmission lines in Quezon were unavailable. [61] A 23-year-old woman drowned from slipping in a creek in Capiz. [62] Another death was recorded in Roxas City when a 44-year-old man got swept away by floodwaters. [63] A family of five died when a tree fell in their house in Pitogo, Quezon. [64] The total number of deaths was seven; two from Western Visayas and five from Calabarzon. Two individuals were declared missing. [65] Around 375 classrooms were damaged, of which 118 were destroyed. [66]

Thirty-three residents in flooded areas in Roxas City were rescued. [67] A state of calamity was declared in the city. [68] Water levels in Bansud, Oriental Mindoro, were inspected by local officials while officials in Capiz did the same. [69] [70] The Department of Social Welfare and Development of Romblon prepared 25,000 food packs for affected communities. [71]

See also

References

  1. Warning and Summary 121800 (Report). Japan Meteorological Agency. October 12, 2025. Archived from the original on October 13, 2025. Retrieved October 13, 2025.
  2. Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans, 06Z 13 October 2025 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 13, 2025. Retrieved October 13, 2025.[ dead link ]
  3. Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans, 06Z 15 October 2025 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 15, 2025. Retrieved October 15, 2025.[ dead link ]
  4. Warning and Summary 160000 (Report). Japan Meteorological Agency. October 16, 2025. Archived from the original on October 16, 2025. Retrieved October 16, 2025.
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  11. TS 2524 Fengshen (2524) Upgraded from TD (Report). Japan Meteorological Agency. October 17, 2025. Archived from the original on October 17, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  12. Reasoning No. 6 for TS 2524 Fengshen (2524) (Report). Japan Meteorological Agency. October 18, 2025. Archived from the original on October 18, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
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  19. Tropical Storm 30W (Fengshen) Warning No. 3 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 18, 2025. Archived from the original on October 18, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
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  21. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 30W (Fengshen) Warning No. 4 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 18, 2025. Archived from the original on October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  22. "Tropical Storm Ramil makes another landfall in Quezon, emerges over Manila Bay". Rappler. October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  23. Arceo, Acor (October 19, 2025). "Tropical Storm Ramil makes another landfall in Quezon, emerges over Manila Bay". Rappler . Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  24. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 30W (Fengshen) Warning No. 5 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 19, 2025. Archived from the original on October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  25. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 30W (Fengshen) Warning No. 6 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 19, 2025. Archived from the original on October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
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  28. Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 30W (Fengshen) Warning No. 9 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 20, 2025. Archived from the original on October 20, 2025. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  29. Tropical Storm 30W (Fengshen) Warning No. 12 (Report). Joint Typhoon Warning Center. October 21, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
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  31. "Storm Fengshen dissipates as cold air dominates over central Vietnam". Vietnam Net. October 23, 2025. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
  32. "Coast Guard suspends trips in Bicol". Rappler . October 17, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
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  34. "Coast Guard sends more personnel to Camarines Sur, Norte". Rappler . October 18, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  35. "Albay suspends October 17 classes". Rappler . October 17, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
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  38. "Residents set up tents in Barangay Caratagan, Pio Duran, Albay". Rappler . October 18, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  39. "Camarines Sur goes on red alert". Rappler . October 17, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
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  48. 1 2 "風神豪雨狂炸!雙北花蓮急撤991人 立霧、馬太鞍兩堰塞湖持續紅色警戒". October 20, 2025.
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  54. "Signal no.3 issued at 7 p.m. and will remain in force during nighttime". TDM. October 20, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  55. "All tropical cyclone signals cancelled at 5 p.m." TDM. October 21, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  56. "Ramil dumps more than a month's rain in Eastern Samar, Capiz". ABS-CBN . October 20, 2025. Retrieved October 21, 2025.
  57. "Over 700 sea passengers stranded in Bicol". Rappler . October 17, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  58. "Sea travel suspended in some areas due to Ramil —NDRRMC". GMA News Online . October 18, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  59. "Flood in Estancia, Iloilo". Rappler . October 18, 2025. Retrieved October 18, 2025.
  60. "Flood in Viga, Catanduanes". Rappler . October 18, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  61. "2 Quezon transmission lines down". Rappler . October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  62. Villa, Hazel P. (October 19, 2025). "Vlogger drowns amid flooding caused by Ramil in Capiz". Philippine Daily Inquirer . Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  63. Espiritu, Rex (October 19, 2025). "Capiz flood kills 2; Roxas City in state of calamity". Manila Standard. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  64. "Tropical storm hits Philippines, kills family of five". The Straits Times. October 19, 2025. ISSN   0585-3923 . Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  65. "7 dead, 2 missing due to Ramil – NDRRMC". SunStar Publishing Inc. October 20, 2025. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  66. "Over 300 classrooms damaged by Tropical Storm Ramil, says DepEd". Philippine Daily Inquirer . October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  67. "Flooded residents of Roxas City rescued". Rappler . October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  68. "Roxas City placed under state of calamity due to flooding from Ramil". Philippine Daily Inquirer . October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  69. "Water level inspection in Bansud, Oriental Mindoro". Rappler . October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  70. "Flooded areas in Capiz inspected". Rappler . October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
  71. "DSWD Romblon prepares food packs". Rappler . October 19, 2025. Retrieved October 19, 2025.
Severe Tropical Storm Fengshen (Ramil)
Fengshen 2025-10-21 0539Z.jpg
Fengshen near peak intensity over the South China Sea on October 21