2015 Madrid City Council election

Last updated
2015 Madrid City Council election
Bandera de la ciudad de Madrid.svg
  2011 24 May 2015 2019  

All 57 seats in the City Council of Madrid
29 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered2,386,120 Increase2.svg 3.4%
Turnout1,644,093 (68.9%)
Increase2.svg 1.7 pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Esperanza Aguirre 2015d (cropped).jpg Manuela Carmena 2015d (cropped).jpg Antonio Miguel Carmona - Orgullo2015@FelixMoreno-51 (19054763448) (cropped).jpg
Leader Esperanza Aguirre Manuela Carmena Antonio Miguel Carmona
Party PP Ahora Madrid PSOE
Leader since6 March 201530 March 20156 October 2014
Last election31 seats, 49.7%Did not contest15 seats, 23.9%
Seats won21209
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 10Increase2.svg 20Decrease2.svg 6
Popular vote564,154519,721249,286
Percentage34.6%31.8%15.3%
SwingDecrease2.svg 15.1 pp New partyDecrease2.svg 8.6 pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Begona Villacis 2015 (cropped).jpg David Ortega 2010 (cropped).JPG Raquel Lopez 2015b (cropped).jpg
Leader Begoña Villacís David Ortega Raquel López
Party C's UPyD IUCMLV
Leader since2 March 20159 October 201026 March 2015
Last election0 seats, 0.2%5 seats, 7.9%6 seats, 10.7%
Seats won700
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 7Decrease2.svg 5Decrease2.svg 6
Popular vote186,48729,81227,651
Percentage11.4%1.8%1.7%
SwingIncrease2.svg 11.2 pp Decrease2.svg 6.1 pp Decrease2.svg 9.0 pp

Mayor before election

Ana Botella
PP

Elected Mayor

Manuela Carmena
Ahora Madrid

A municipal election was held in Madrid on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 10th City Council of the municipality. All 57 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

Leading the People's Party (PP) local list was Esperanza Aguirre, former president of the Community of Madrid (2003–2012), president of the Senate of Spain (1999–2002) and minister of Education and Culture (1996–1999), as well as the leader of the regional PP branch since 2004. Mayor Ana Botella, who succeeded Alberto Ruiz-Gallardón early into his term in December 2011, had declined re-election in September 2014. The election was an unexpectedly close race between Aguirre's PP and former judge Manuela Carmena's Podemos-supported Ahora Madrid (English: Madrid Now) platform. The collapse in the PP vote and the loss of its absolute majority allowed Carmena to gain power through an alliance with the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), resulting in the first left-wing government in the city since 1989.

The PSOE suffered heavily from tactical voting to Ahora Madrid after it became apparent throughout the campaign that the left-of-centre vote was coalescing around Carmena's coalition. The newcomer liberal Citizens (Spanish : Ciudadanos) party also entered the City Council for the first time, collecting votes disenchanted with the PP and replacing Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) as the main centrist local force. United Left (IU) fell below the 5% threshold and failed to gain any representation for the first time in history.

Overview

Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (Spanish : ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly. [1] [2] In the case of Madrid, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Madrid. [3]

Electoral system

Voting for local assemblies was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights (provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote), as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty. [2] [4] [5]

Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied in each municipality. [6] Each municipality constituted a multi-member constituency, entitled a number of seats based on the following scale: [7]

PopulationCouncillors
<1003
101–2505
251–1,0007
1,001–2,0009
2,001–5,00011
5,001–10,00013
10,001–20,00017
20,001–50,00021
50,001–100,00025
>100,001+1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction
+1 if total is an even number

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [8]

The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly. [2] A legal clause required candidates to earn the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee was to be determined by lot. [9]

Election date

The term of city councils in Spain expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years (as of 2025, this has been the year before a leap year). [10] Local councils could not be dissolved before the expiry of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harmed the public interest and implied a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers could—optionally—agree to call a by-election. [11]

Elections to local councils not bound to the open council system were officially called on 31 March 2015 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOE, setting election day for 24 May. [12]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. In the case of Madrid, as its population was over 1,000,001, at least 8,000 signatures were required. [13] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition. [14]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Vote %Seats
PP
List
Esperanza Aguirre 2015d (cropped).jpg Esperanza Aguirre Conservatism
Christian democracy
49.7%31Check-green.svg [15]
[16]
PSOE Antonio Miguel Carmona - Orgullo2015@FelixMoreno-51 (19054763448) (cropped).jpg Antonio Miguel Carmona Social democracy 23.9%15Dark Red x.svg [17]
IUCMLV Raquel Lopez 2015b (cropped).jpg Raquel López Socialism
Communism
10.7%6Dark Red x.svg [18]
UPyD David Ortega 2010 (cropped).JPG David Ortega Social liberalism
Radical centrism
7.9%5Dark Red x.svg [19]
C's Begona Villacis 2015 (cropped).jpg Begoña Villacís Liberalism 0.2%0Dark Red x.svg [20]
Ahora
Madrid
List
Manuela Carmena 2015d (cropped).jpg Manuela Carmena Progressivism
Participatory democracy
Did not contestDark Red x.svg [21]
[22]

Campaign

Electoral debates were held in Telemadrid between the candidates of the PP, PSOE, IU, UPyD, Vox, Citizens and Ahora Madrid in the last week of campaign, between 18 and 20 May. The most expected and tense moment came with the debate between PP candidate Esperanza Aguirre and AM Manuela Carmena, as the most-likely candidates to become the next Mayor of the city. Aguirre immediately accused Carmena of saying in the past that "ETA members had suffered a lot", trying to link the former judge with the terrorist group, as well as trying to discredit Carmena's career in the judiciary, which was seen as a furious attack of Aguirre on Carmena. The latter, visibly surprised, counterattacked responding that Aguirre was acting arrogantly and contemptuous to others and accusing her of allowing corruption to spread during her tenure as president of Madrid. "Please go, you've caused a lot of harm" said Carmena to Aguirre. [23]

In the last days of the campaign, especially following her debate with Aguirre, several celebrities such as actors Pilar Bardem, Carlos Bardem, Loles León, Goya Toledo, Paco León, playwright Cristina Rota, lawyer and former politician Cristina Almeida and journalist Ernesto Ekaizer expressed their support for Carmena's candidacy, with actress Eva Hache going on to say through the Twitter social network that "I don't know if we are Manuela but surely we are not the other [in reference to Aguirre]. VOTE." [24] [25] Carmena had also received the support of dozens of artists who created drawings in support of Carmena's and Ahora Madrid candidacy, with the drawings themselves becoming viral in the social networks. [26] Following the Telemadrid debate, after which Aguirre was highly criticised for her aggressive behaviour towards Carmena, [27] supporters cast the drawings next to Aguirre's home in Malasaña. [28] On 21 May, a Carmena's act in the center of Madrid exceeded its capacity, originally scheduled for 800 people, resulting in the closing of a street and in Carmena herself apologizing to the around 1,500 people outside that were not able to enter. [29]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 29 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Madrid.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.

Results

Summary of the 24 May 2015 City Council of Madrid election results
MadridCouncilDiagram2015.svg
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±pp Total+/−
People's Party (PP)564,15434.57−15.1221−10
Madrid Now (Ahora Madrid)519,72131.84New20+20
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)249,28615.27−8.669−6
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's)186,48711.43+11.247+7
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)29,8121.83−6.020−5
United Left of the Community of MadridThe Greens (IUCM–LV)27,6511.69−9.060−6
Vox (Vox)9,8670.60New0±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)9,5990.59+0.130±0
The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV)5,4090.33New0±0
United Free Citizens (CILUS)2,5120.15New0±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)2,0890.13±0.000±0
Blank Seats (EB)1,8950.12New0±0
The National Coalition (LCN)1,2590.08New0±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)1,2260.08−0.060±0
Humanist Party (PH)1,0150.06−0.070±0
Spanish Alternative (AES)9980.06−0.250±0
Multi-Cultural Party of Social Justice (MJS)7890.05New0±0
Libertarian Party (P–LIB)6170.04New0±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)5430.03New0±0
Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI)5280.03−0.040±0
Castilian Party–Commoners' Land: Pact (PCAS–TC: Pacto)4900.03−0.030±0
Union for Leganés (ULEG)2700.02−0.050±0
Blank ballots15,8250.97−1.87
Total1,632,04257±0
Valid votes1,632,04299.27+1.09
Invalid votes12,0510.73−1.09
Votes cast / turnout1,644,09368.90+1.68
Abstentions742,02731.10−1.68
Registered voters2,386,120
Sources [30] [31] [32] [33]
Popular vote
PP
34.57%
Ahora Madrid
31.84%
PSOE
15.27%
C's
11.43%
UPyD
1.83%
IUCMLV
1.69%
Others
2.40%
Blank ballots
0.97%
Seats
PP
36.84%
Ahora Madrid
35.09%
PSOE
15.79%
C's
12.28%

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot →13 June 2015
Required majority →29 out of 57
29 / 57
Yes check.svg
  • PP (21)
21 / 57
X mark.svg
7 / 57
X mark.svg
Blank ballots
0 / 57
Absentees
0 / 57
Sources [30] [34]

Notes

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "El PP habría ganado las elecciones autonómicas en Madrid pero insuficiente para gobernar". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  2. "Ahora Madrid, el partido más votado en la capital según la encuesta a pie de urna". Kantar (in Spanish). 24 May 2015.
  3. "Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2015.
  4. "El último 'tracking' del PP deja a la izquierda a dos ediles de la mayoría absoluta en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". infoLibre (in Spanish). 20 May 2015.
  5. "Aguirre logra cerrar filas entre los votantes del PP pero será desbancada si no obtiene apoyo de C's". Público (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  6. "Empate técnico entre el PP y la lista apoyada por Podemos en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  7. "Situación política en el municipio de Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 "Sondeo preelectoral en el municipio de Madrid". Blogs El País (in Spanish). 18 May 2015.
  9. "Aguirre gana en Madrid, pero sin mayoría absoluta". La Razón (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
  10. "Intención de voto en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
  11. "El PP se recupera y Podemos sigue por delante del PSOE en intención del voto al Ayuntamiento de Madrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
  12. "Intención de voto y valoración en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Gráfico". El Mundo (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
  13. "El PP depende de C's para gobernar en Madrid, Valencia, Sevilla y Málaga". Público (in Spanish). 15 May 2015.
  14. "El PP conserva Madrid con Podemos y Ciudadanos acechando al PSOE". Telecinco (in Spanish). 24 April 2015.
  15. "Esperanza Aguirre podrá ser alcaldesa pero en minoría". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 12 May 2015.
  16. 1 2 "El ObSERvatorio de la Cadena SER. Estudio preelectoral de la ciudad de Madrid (12/5/2015)" (PDF). MyWord (in Spanish). 12 May 2015.
  17. "Ada Colau empata con Trias, Barberá se estrella en Valencia y Podemos tiene la llave en Sevilla". Público (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  18. 1 2 "Tracking de sondeos en las capitales: la derecha sólo puede esperar que Ciudadanos salve al PP". Público (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  19. "El Partido Popular perdería la mayoría absoluta en el Ayuntamiento y en la Comunidad de Madrid". laSexta (in Spanish). 2 May 2015.
  20. "MADRID, Abril 2015. Sondeo Invymark". Electográfica (in Spanish). 2 May 2015.
  21. "El PP gana en Madrid pero tendrá que pactar con Ciudadanos". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2015.
  22. 1 2 "Situación política en el municipio de Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2015.
  23. "MADRID, Abril 2015. Sondeo Cámara de Comercio". Electográfica (in Spanish). 23 April 2015.
  24. "El PP ganaría en el Ayuntamiento y la Comunidad de Madrid sin mayoría absoluta". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 24 April 2015.
  25. "El PP gana en Madrid, pero necesitará a Ciudadanos para poder gobernar". ABC (in Spanish). 26 April 2015.
  26. "Esperanza Aguirre gana en Madrid pero necesita a Ciudadanos para gobernar". Encuestamos (in Spanish). 25 April 2015. Archived from the original on 2015-05-12.
  27. 1 2 "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales 2015. Ciudad de Madrid (Estudio nº 3065. Marzo-Abril 2015)". CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  28. "El PP se echa a la calle para recuperar a las clases medias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
  29. "El PP pierde la mayoría absoluta en Madrid". Telecinco (in Spanish). 24 April 2015.
  30. "El PP filtra a los medios una falsa encuesta que da a Esperanza Aguirre como ganadora y al PSOE como tercera fuerza". Diario Progresista (in Spanish). 3 April 2015. Archived from the original on 7 April 2015.
  31. "El PP debe 'aprender' a pactar". El Mundo (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  32. "Encuesta electoral: Comunidad y Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Gráfico". El Mundo (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  33. "González pincha en las encuestas internas del PP". La Gaceta (in Spanish). 17 February 2015.
  34. "MADRID, Febrero 2015. Sondeo interno PP". Electográfica (in Spanish). 18 February 2015.
  35. "El PP se llevaría la Alcaldía de Madrid pese a que Carmona es el líder más valorado". laSexta (in Spanish). 15 February 2015.
  36. Gallo, Bruno García (4 February 2015). "Un sondeo del PP hunde a Tomás Gómez por debajo de Podemos". El País (in Spanish).
  37. "MADRID, Febrero 2015. Sondeo interno PP". Electográfica (in Spanish). 5 February 2015.
  38. "Una coalición de Podemos e IU empataría con los 'populares'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 November 2014.
  39. "Intención de voto en las elecciones municipales a la alcaldía de Madrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 November 2014.
  40. "El reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015" (PDF). desarrollando-ideas.com (in Spanish). 31 October 2014.
  41. "El PP pierde la mayoría absoluta en Madrid, pero triplica al PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 14 September 2014.
  42. "El PP se desangra en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2014.
  43. 1 2 3 "Clima político y social de la ciudad de Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2014.
  44. "El PP perdería la mayoría absoluta en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid, según el barómetro de laSexta". laSexta (in Spanish). 15 May 2014. Archived from the original on 2014-12-02.
  45. "La crisis deja al PP al borde de perder el Gobierno de la capital de España". El País (in Spanish). 14 May 2013.
  46. Alonso, Antonio (14 May 2013). "Intención de voto y valoración de líderes en Madrid". El País (in Spanish).
  47. "Ana Botella superaría a Gallardón". ABC (in Spanish). 18 January 2012.
Other
  1. Constitution (1978) , art. 140.
  2. 1 2 3 LBRL (1985) , art. 19.
  3. LBRL (1985) , arts. 121–132.
  4. Constitution (1978) , art. 13.
  5. LOREG (1985) , arts. 2–3 & 176.
  6. LOREG (1985) , arts. 163 & 180.
  7. LOREG (1985) , art. 179.
  8. LOREG (1985) , arts. 46, 48 & 182.
  9. LOREG (1985) , art. 196.
  10. LOREG (1985) , arts. 42 & 194.
  11. LBRL (1985) , art. 61.
  12. Real Decreto 233/2015, de 30 de marzo, por el que se convocan elecciones locales y a las Asambleas de Ceuta y Melilla para el 24 de mayo de 2015 (PDF) (Royal Decree 233/2015). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 30 March 2015. Retrieved 10 November 2025.
  13. LOREG (1985) , arts. 44 & 187.
  14. LOREG (1985) , art. 44 bis.
  15. García Gallo, Bruno (9 September 2014). "Ana Botella renuncia a presentarse a las elecciones municipales de 2015". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 December 2023.
  16. "Aguirre será la candidata del PP a la Alcaldía de Madrid y Cifuentes, a la Comunidad" (in Spanish). RTVE. 6 March 2015. Retrieved 12 December 2023.
  17. Pais Beiro, Mario (6 October 2014). "Carmona será el candidato del PSOE a la alcaldía de Madrid sin primarias". eldiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 December 2023.
  18. "Raquel López, nueva candidata de IU a la Alcaldía de Madrid tras la marcha de Mauricio Valiente" (in Spanish). RTVE. 27 March 2015. Retrieved 12 December 2023.
  19. Herraiz, Pablo (18 October 2014). "Marcos y Ortega, candidatos de UPyD a la Comunidad y el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 December 2023.
  20. Martín, Daniel (28 February 2015). "Begoña Villacís, elegida candidata de Ciudadanos a la Alcaldía de Madrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 December 2023.
  21. "El PC de Madrid rompe con IUCM y apuesta "sin embages" por Ganemos" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 3 February 2015. Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  22. Gil, Andrés (30 March 2015). "Manuela Carmena gana las primarias de Ahora Madrid y será candidata a la alcaldía". eldiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 December 2023.
  23. Cortizo, Gonzalo (19 May 2015). "Esperanza Aguirre embarra el debate electoral acusando a Manuela Carmena de sintonía con ETA". eldiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  24. Sánchez, Juan Luis (20 May 2015). "Enamorados de Carmena". eldiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  25. "Un acto de Carmena desborda su aforo y obliga a cortar una calle". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Europa Press. 21 May 2015. Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  26. Elguea, Susana (18 May 2015). "Mucho arte en apoyo a Manuela Carmena" (in Spanish). Madrid: Cadena SER. Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  27. Escolar, Ignacio (19 May 2015). "Si no votas al PP, votas a ETA". eldiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  28. "Simpatizantes de Carmena proyectan su rostro junto a la casa de Esperanza Aguirre". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. 20 May 2015. Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  29. Silio, Elisa (21 May 2015). "Un acto de Carmena obliga a cortar una calle del centro de Madrid". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 8 November 2025.
  30. 1 2 Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones Municipales en Madrid (desde 1979)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 November 2025.
  31. "Resultados generales de las Elecciones al Ayuntamiento de Madrid y a la Asamblea de Madrid de 24 de mayo de 2015" (PDF). City Council of Madrid (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 November 2025.
  32. "Elecciones celebradas. Resultados electorales" (in Spanish). Ministry of the Interior . Retrieved 5 November 2025.
  33. "Acuerdo de 1 de julio de 2015, de la Junta Electoral Central, por el que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 233/2015, de 30 de marzo, y celebradas el 24 de mayo de 2015, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: León, Lleida, Lugo, Madrid, Málaga, Murcia, Navarra, Ourense, Palencia, Las Palmas y Pontevedra" (PDF). Official State Gazette (in Spanish) (191): 72457–73122. 11 August 2015. ISSN   0212-033X . Retrieved 5 November 2025.
  34. Belver, Marta; Bécares, Roberto (13 June 2015). "Manuela Carmena elegida nueva alcaldesa de Madrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 December 2023.

Bibliography