2027 Guatemalan general election

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2027 Guatemalan general election
Flag of Guatemala.svg
  2023 June and August 2027 (presumptive)2031 

Incumbent President

Bernardo Arévalo
Semilla



Legislative election

All 160 seats in Congress
81 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
Vamos Allan Rodríguez 39
UNE Adim Maldonado 28
Semilla Samuel Pérez 23
Cabal Luis Aguirre18
VIVA Jorge Romeo Castro11
Valor Elmer Palencia10
Todos Felipe Alejos6
VOS Orlando Blanco4
BIEN Fidel Reyes Lee4
PPN Nadia de León Torres 3
Victoria Juan Carlos Rivera3
CREO Cristian Álvarez3
Blue Jorge Villagrán2
Elephant Rodrigo Pellecer2
Unionist Álvaro Arzú Escobar 2
Winaq Sonia Gutiérrez 1
Change Esduin Javier Javier1
Incumbent President of the Congress
Nery Ramos
Blue

General elections will be held in Guatemala in June 2027 to elect the president and vice president, all 160 seats in Congress, all 20 Guatemalan members of the Central American Parliament, and mayors and councils for all the country's 340 municipalities, with a second round of the presidential elections to be held in August if no candidate wins a majority in the first round. Incumbent President Bernardo Arévalo is constitutionally prohibited from running for a second four-year term. [1] [2]

Contents

It is expected that the ruling party's legislative coalition will seek to reform the Electoral Law. [3]

Electoral system

President

The President of Guatemala is elected using the two-round system. [4]

Congress

The 160 members of Congress are elected by two methods; 130 are elected from 22 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with the remaining 31 elected from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are elected using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method. [4]

DistrictSeats
Alta Verapaz 9
Baja Verapaz 2
Chimaltenango 5
Chiquimula 3
El Progreso 2
Escuintla 6
Guatemala 19
Guatemala City 11
Huehuetenango 10
Izabal 3
Jalapa 3
Jutiapa 4
National List 32
Petén 4
Quetzaltenango 7
Quiché 8
Retalhuleu 3
Sacatepéquez 3
San Marcos 9
Santa Rosa 3
Sololá 3
Suchitepéquez 5
Totonicapán 4
Zacapa 2
Total160

Potential presidential candidates

Congress

PartyCurrent legislative leader 2023 result
ImageNameVotes (%) Seats
Vamos Retrato oficial de Allan Estuardo Rodriguez Reyes, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg Allan Rodríguez 15.06%
39 / 160
National Unity of Hope Retrato oficial de Ervin Adim Maldonado Molina, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg Adim Maldonado 12.90%
28 / 160
Movimiento Semilla Retrato oficial de Samuel Andres Perez Alvarez, Deputado del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg Samuel Pérez 11.72%
23 / 160
Cabal Portrait placeholder.svg Luis Aguirre8.90%
18 / 160
Vision with Values Portrait placeholder.svg Jorge Romeo Castro 6.92%
11 / 160
Valor Portrait placeholder.svg Elmer Palencia5.51%
10 / 160
Unionist Party Retrato oficial de Alvaro Enrique Arzu Escobar, Deputado del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg Álvaro Arzú Escobar
2 / 160
Todos Retrato oficial de Felipe Alejos Lorenzana, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg Felipe Alejos 4.05%
6 / 160
Will, Opportunity and Solidarity Retrato oficial de Orlando Joaquin Blanco Lapola, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg Orlando Blanco 4.47%
4 / 160
Bienestar Nacional Retrato oficial de Fidel Reyes Lee, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg Fidel Reyes Lee 2.70%
4 / 160
Nosotros Retrato oficial de Nadia Lorena De Leon Torres, Deputada del Congreso (cropped).jpg Nadia de León Torres 3.15%
3 / 160
Victory Retrato oficial de Juan Carlos Rivera Estevez, Diputado del Congreso (cropped).jpg Juan Carlos Rivera 3.00%
3 / 160
Commitment, Renewal and Order Portrait placeholder.svg Cristian Álvarez 2.03%
3 / 160
Blue Party Portrait placeholder.svg Jorge Mario Villagrán 2.36%
2 / 160
Elephant Community Portrait placeholder.svg Rodrigo Pellecer 2.29%
2 / 160
Winaq Retrato oficial de Sonia Marina Gutierrez Raguay, Deputada del Congreso (cropped 2).jpg Sonia Gutiérrez 3.21%
1 / 160
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity
Change Portrait placeholder.svg Esduin Javier 1.26%
1 / 160

References

  1. Oliva, William (7 March 2018). "Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período" [Jimmy Morales says he would like to govern another term]. Prensa Libre (Guatemala) (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 5 April 2023. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
  2. González, Marcos (23 June 2023). "Por qué en Guatemala ningún partido ha repetido en la presidencia en sus casi 40 años de democracia" [Why in Guatemala no party has repeated the presidency in its almost 40 years of democracy]. BBC News (in Spanish).
  3. Cuevas, Douglas (17 January 2024). "Semilla habría pactado 10 reformas legales para llegar a la presidencia del Congreso" [Semilla would have agreed on 10 legal reforms to become president of Congress]. Prensa Libre (in Spanish).
  4. 1 2 Congress of the Republic Archived 18 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine IFES
  5. 1 2 3 4 González, Ana (21 April 2025). "La presidencia en la mira: los políticos que ya piensan en las elecciones de 2027" [The presidency in the spotlight: politicians already thinking about the 2027 elections]. República GT (in Spanish).
  6. Gramajo, Jessica (14 June 2023). "El futuro de Carlos Pineda tras quedar fuera de las Elecciones Generales 2023" [The future of Carlos Pineda after being left out of the 2023 General Elections]. Soy502 (in Spanish).
  7. "Movimiento Semilla se divide, Samuel Pérez y Abelardo Pinto se disputan las bases del partido" [Semilla Movement is divided; Samuel Pérez and Abelardo Pinto are fighting over the party's membership]. Prensa Libre (in Spanish). 19 May 2025.
  8. ""Seré candidato a la presidencia", dice Carlos el Pescadito Ruiz al criticar a políticos por su "gran apoyo" a la Selección" ["I will be a presidential candidate," says Carlos el Pescadito Ruiz, criticizing politicians for their "great support" for the national team.]. Prensa Libre (in Spanish). 2 July 2025.
  9. "Toc: tras dejar Los 48 Cantones, publica que en 2027 buscará la Presidencia" [Toc: after leaving Los 48 Cantones, he publishes that in 2027 he will seek the Presidency]. La Hora (in Spanish). 17 January 2023.
  10. "🔵 A pesar de la tercera derrota, Sandra Torres no tiraría la toalla política" [🔵 Despite the third defeat, Sandra Torres would not throw in the political towel]. República (in Spanish). 21 August 2023.