Borova Offensive

Last updated
Borova Offensive
Part of Luhansk Oblast campaign of the Eastern front of the Russian invasion of Ukraine
Destructions in Borova after Russian attack, 2024-03-06 (02).jpg
Destruction in Borova after Russian attacks before the offensive
Datec.25-27 December 2024-present
Location
Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, Eastern Ukraine
Status Ongoing
Territorial
changes
Russian forces forms a pincer movement northeast and southeast of Borova
Belligerents
Russia Ukraine
Units involved
Order of Battle Order of Battle
Strength
Unknown Unknown
Casualties and losses
Unknown Unknown

The Borova Offensive is an ongoing offensive launched by Russian Forces between 25-27th December 2024 as part of ongoing efforts to seize Borova and to advance to Izium in Kharkiv Oblast. The offensive started when Russian forces started seizing villages Northeast of Borova.

Contents

Background

On 5 September 2022, Ukrainian forces launched the 2022 Kharkiv counteroffensive and in the process, retook 3000 square kilometres [1] including Borova in Kharkiv Oblast [2] along with neighbouring cities such as Izium.

After Ukrainian forces pushed further into western Luhansk Oblast and recaptured the village of Hrekivka, [3] Borova was considered to be safe and secured by ukrainian forces from 2023- late 2024.

Timeline

Start of the Borova Offensive

In between 25th -27th December 2024, the Borova offensive started when Russian forces seized Berestove and Lozova, northeast of Borova and thus, this created the Northern salient for the Borova offensive. [4] However, 3 days earlier in 22nd December 2024, the Russian defense ministry claimed to have seized Lozova, near the city of Kupiansk and another village called "Sontsivka", previously called "Krasnoye", in the Kurakhove Axis in Kharkiv Oblast and Donetsk Oblast as part of an effort to secure as much territory as possible before U.S. President-elect Donald Trump comes to power in January 2025. [5] [6] [7] [8]

Start of the bridgehead Northeast and Southeast of Borova

On January 5th, geolocated footage published on January 4 indicated that Russian forces recently advanced in the fields northwest of Lozova during a company-sized mechanized assault while also attacking north of Borova near Zahryzove, east of Borova near Nadiya, Pershotravneve, Novoserhiivka, Novoyehorivka, and Tverdokhlibove; and southeast of Borova near Makiivka but with no confirmed advances. During the assault on Zahryzove, Ukrainian forces reported damaging two Russian armored vehicles. [9] [10]

A few days later on January 7th, Pro-Ukrainian source deepstate confirmed that Lozova, which is a village in the Izium district of Kharkiv Oblast, is under Russian control [11] [12] despite Ukrainian claims that Lozova is still under Ukrainian control. [13] Deepstate also reported that in the earlier hours on 7th January, Russian forces occupied Lozova as well as the villages of Ivanivka and Shevchenko in Donetsk Oblast and after that, Russian Forces attempted to move towards Nova Kruhliakivka but failed to do so. [14] [15]

On January 13th, geolocated footage published indicated that Russian forces advanced west of Makiivka, which is southeast of Borova. A Russian milblogger further claimed that Russian forces are clearing Ukrainian forces in Zahryzove, which is northeast of Borova and Zeleny Hai, and that Russian forces established an unspecified crossing over the Oskil River between Kruhlyakivka and Senkove, which are both northeast of Borova. [16] [17]

On January 17th, geolocated footage published showed that Russian forces advanced east of Zeleny Hai, amid offensive operations and also attacked north of Borova in the direction of Novoplatonivka, northeast of Borova near Kruhlyakivka, Zeleny Hai, and Zahryzove, east of Borova near Kopanky; and southeast of Borova near Tverdokhlibove, Hrekivka, Makiivka, and Novoserhiivka. [18] [19] By January 21st, Russian sources claimed that Russian forces have seized the settlement of Zeleny Hai but could not be confirmed. [20]

On January 26th, geolocated footage published showed Russian soldiers raising a Russian flag in eastern Tverdokhlibove, southeast of Borova, indicating that Russian forces advanced to the eastern part of the settlement and seized Novoyehorivka which is east of the latter settlement. [21] [22]

On 4th February, Ukraine's Khortysia Group of Forces reported that Ukrainian forces advanced and recaptured positions in the Kupiansk axis. However, 2 days ago, ISW confirmed that Ukrainian forces advanced in central Zahryzove in the Borova Direction which was likely the advance that Khortysia Group of Force reported 2 days later. [23]

On February 11th, the Ukrainian General Staff published a map indicating that Russian forces likely recently advanced in fields north of Makiivka and A milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked near Zahryzove but was not confirmed. [24] One day later on February 12th, Russian forces further advanced to southern Makiivka. [25] [26] On February 13th, the Ukrainian Gneral staff published a map which showed that Russian forces likely recently advanced in fields west of Pershotravneve, east of Borova. [27] [28]

On Februrary 18th, geolocated footage published showed Russian forces conducting a platoon-sized mechanized assault southwest of Lozova. Thus, this indicated that Russian forces recently advanced in the area. [29]

After a short operational pause in the Borova direction, on March 6th, geolocated footage posted showed that Russian forces advanced in the fields west of Nadiya, east of Borova while also attacking northeast of Borova near Zahryzove and near Holubivka, southwest of Borova. [30] [31] However on March 16th, Ukrainian forces conducted a successful counterattack which resulted in Ukrainian forces regaining positions in southern Nadiya. [32] [33] On March 27th, there was likely a successful Ukrainian counterattack which resulted in Ukrainian forces advancing east of Zelenyi Hai as geolocated footage posted showed Russian forces striking Ukrainian positions east of the settlement. [34]

On April 1st, ISW reported that concentrated significantly superior forces near Lyman in Donetsk Oblast which is used for preparing an offensive against both Lyman and Borova. [35] Russia is likely preparing to launch the offensive before the end of the month through a force of about 30000 troops stationed in the Borova direction. [36] ISW also stated that Russian forces could use the extended bridgehead northeast of Lyman to seize Borova or Lyman in the coming months. [37] However, throughout the rest of April and the month of May, Russian forces made no confirmed advances.

Analysis

According to a Ukrainian official of the Kharkiv Regional Council, the loss of the strategic settlement of Borova would open the way for Russian forces to reach the city of Izium. [38] This would also significantly alter the strategic balance. [39] A commander of a Ukrainian Assault Battalion reported that up to 20 to 25 Russian personnel attack per day in the direction of the Borova Axis. [40]

The 3rd Separate Assault Brigade, which operates in the Borova direction, reported that the main goal of Russian forces who are operating in the Borova direction is to reach the village of Cherneshchyna and the village of Pershotravneve with the subsequent capture of the village of Borova in the Izyum district and that the front is very intense. [41]

Ukrainian military and political observer of the Information Resistance group Oleksandr Kovalenko reported that "The Russian forces have repeatedly tried to attack Borova since the Kharkiv region was liberated and after they retreated to the temporarily occupied Luhansk region," and "These attempts have been ongoing, but almost all have failed because Ukrainian defense line there is strong. The distance from the contact line to Borova is 22 kilometers. To break through this 22-kilometer distance, 10,000 troops will not be enough." This also meant that the Russian grouping of forces in the Borova axis would not be enough to capture the settlement of Borova. [42]

Casualties

Civillian casualties

On 31st December 2023, during Russian shelling, 2 people, a 55-year-old woman and a 59-year-old man , was killed during the shelling. [43]

On September 12th 2024, head of the JMA Oleh Syniehubov reported that two people died as a result of an enemy attack on the village of Borova, in Kharkiv Oblast. According to preliminary information, Russian troops used cluster munitions on a residential area. This attack also set 5 houses on fire. [44]

See also

References

  1. "The Ukrainian Kharkiv Counter-Offensive and Information Operations". Australian Army.
  2. "Ukrainian forces stall Russian advance in direction of Kharkiv Oblast's Borova, military says". The Kyiv Independent.
  3. "Українські захисники підняли синьо-жовті прапори ще у кількох селищах на Донеччині та Луганщині". 24tv.ua.
  4. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 27, 2024". Institute for the Study of War.
  5. "Russia Claims Capture of 2 More East Ukraine Villages". The Moscow Times.
  6. "Russia captures two villages in Ukraine as Moscow's forces advance on two cities". VOA - Voice of America English News.
  7. "Russia claims it took control of 2 settlements in Ukraine's Donetsk, Kharkiv regions". Anadolu Ajansı.
  8. "Russia claims capture of two more east Ukraine villages". Jordan Times.
  9. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 5, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  10. "Ukraine Launches New Offensive in Kursk, Russia – Day 1046 (January 5, 2025)". Transform Ukraine.
  11. "Three Ukrainian villages fall to Russian troops". The New Voice of Ukraine.
  12. "Russia occupies settlements in Donetsk and Kharkiv oblasts – DeepState". Українська правда.
  13. "Ukraine's military refutes claims of Russia taking Kharkiv Oblast village". The Kyiv Independent.
  14. "OSINT monitoring group says Russian troops occupied Lozova in Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine's military doesn't confirm". Ґвара Медіа.
  15. "Russian forces capture three villages in eastern Ukraine, DeepState reports". Euromaidan Press.
  16. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 13, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  17. "War in Ukraine ISW Top News ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 13, 2025". Kyiv Post.
  18. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 17, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  19. "ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 17, 2025". Kyiv Post.
  20. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 21, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  21. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 26, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  22. "ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 26, 2025". Kyiv Post.
  23. "Ukrainians push Russians back from forward positions near Borova in Kharkiv oblast". Euromaidan Press.
  24. "ISW Blog: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 11, 2025". ISW Research.
  25. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 12, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  26. "ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 13, 2025". Kyiv Post.
  27. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 13, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  28. "ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 13, 2025". Kyiv Post.
  29. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 18, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  30. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 6, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  31. "ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 6, 2025". Kyiv Post.
  32. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  33. "ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2025". Kyiv Post.
  34. "Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 27, 2025". Institute for the Study of War.
  35. "Russia amasses forces for new offensive in Donetsk Oblast - ISW". The New Voice of Ukraine.
  36. "Frontline report: Russia masses 30,000 troops in Donbas for major offensive while stalling peace talks". Euromaidan Press.
  37. "Situation intensifies on Lyman front – DeepState". Українська правда.
  38. "The loss of Borova would open the way to Izium for the enemy - a regional council deputy". tsn.ua.
  39. "Kyiv forces push back Russian troops in Kharkiv Oblast, but Borova remains under threat". Euromaidan Press.
  40. "ISW Blog: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 15, 2025". ISW Research.
  41. "Russian troops are stepping up their offensive in Luhansk region. Their task is to make their way to the village of Borova". Бабель.
  42. "Oleksandr Kovalenko, Ukrainian military and political observer of the Information Resistance group, discussed the recent increase in Russian activity near Borova in the Kharkiv region". Espreso.tv.
  43. "Russian strikes claim lives in Kharkiv Oblast: two dead recovered from rubble in Borova". Euromaidan Press.
  44. "Russian attack on Borova: number of casualties increased, enemy used cluster munitions". UNN.