Matthew Goodwin

Last updated

Matthew Goodwin
Dr Matthew Goodwin - Chatham House 2011.jpg
Goodwin in 2011
Born
Matthew James Goodwin

December 1981 (age 42)
Academic background
Alma mater
Doctoral advisor Roger Eatwell

Goodwin's research and writings focus on British politics, radical-right politics, and Euroscepticism. [24] He has written for the New Statesman , [25] The Guardian , [26] [27] Prospect , [28] The New York Times , [29] Politico [30] the Daily Mail , Evening Standard , Financial Times , The Spectator , The Daily Telegraph , The Times , UnHerd , and Spiked . He has appeared on BBC news [31] and the shows The Westminster Hour , [32] Any Questions , Moral Maze , Newsnight and Politics Live , Channel 4 News , GB News , and Planet Normal. [18]

A major theme of Goodwin's work has been to explain what he calls "the realignment" of British politics, which has seen the Labour Party becoming more dependent on the liberal, metropolitan middle-class for its votes while the Conservative Party appealed increasingly to working-class, non-university educated voters in former Labour heartlands (the "red wall"). [33] Goodwin recommends that political parties "lean into" this realignment by moving "left on economics and right on culture". [34] [35] [36] The morning after the Conservatives under Boris Johnson won the 2019 United Kingdom general election, Goodwin tweeted "it is easier for the right to move left on economics than it is for the left to move right on identity & culture." [37] Kenan Malik wrote that this view was based on an assumption the working class are socially conservative, and "the trouble with this argument is that the key feature of Britain over the past half century has been not social conservatism but an extraordinary liberalisation", citing examples such as attitudes to sexuality, premarital sex, and interracial relationships. [37] Goodwin also criticised the response of the "liberal left" following Brexit, stating, "This intolerance became most visible in the aftermath of the vote for Brexit when I watched many people on the ‘liberal’ left berate much of the rest of the country as an assortment of racists, bigots, gammons, and morons, all the while making it abundantly clear they had never actually met any of them." He was also critical of what he perceived as radical progressives’ shift from liberalism to authoritarianism and silencing of opposing views. [38] [ non-primary source needed ]

In 2023, Gerry Hassan wrote that "Goodwin is the populist right's academic of choice, but it seems to have escaped his notice that in the past half century right-wing Tory Governments have been in office for three-quarters of the time." [39] Others have characterized Goodwin as a "populist academic", [40] stating that he turned from observer into participant, becoming an apologist for populism. [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] James Ball argues that it was around 2016, with the Brexit referendum and Donald Trump's election as US president, that "Goodwin's public persona began to transform from that of someone explaining how to counter populist and far-right movements to someone explaining them, justifying their ends, or acting as something of an apologist for them". [8]

On diversity, "wokeism" and racism

Goodwin and his National Populism coauthor Roger Eatwell have argued about the United States that political polarisation has been caused by "an increasing fixation or near-total obsession among Democrats and the liberal left with race, gender and 'diversity'". [2] In 2018, Goodwin along with other commentators including Eric Kaufmann, Claire Fox, Trevor Phillips, and David Aaronovitch was due to take part in an event titled "Is Rising Ethnic Diversity a Threat to the West?" Some researchers argued that the event would encourage "normalisation of far right ideas" and criticised the framing of the title; [46] [47] [48] the debate was retitled "Immigration and Diversity Politics: A Challenge to Liberal Democracy?" [49]

According to Huw Davies and Sheena MacRae, Goodwin's "concerns about wokeism are a recurrent theme in his output". Goodwin has described "wokeism" as "a pseudo-religion". He has acted as an adviser to the Conservative Party and in the July–September 2022 Conservative Party leadership election supported "anti-woke campaigner" Kemi Badenoch, referring to her as "one of the most interesting Conservatives in British politics for a very long time". He supported the Conservative government's Rwanda asylum plan, which would entail deporting asylum seekers to Rwanda, [18] and has advised the party to raise "the salience of cultural issues". Goodwin argues that left-wing parties, including Labour, have moved away from their foundational principles, increasingly focusing on identity politics, especially concerning sex and gender. [50] [51] [ non-primary source needed ] Kenan Malik argues that Goodwin now advocates a politics that a decade earlier he would have described as "toxic". [52]

In 2021, when the Commission on Race and Ethnic Disparities, commissioned by Boris Johnson and chaired by Tony Sewell, argued that structural racism did not exist in the UK, Goodwin claimed this "dismantles the woke mob's central claim that we are living in a fundamentally racist society". [18] Goodwin has also highlighted various instances of public funding for initiatives that he views as symptomatic of this cultural shift. [53]

National Conservativism and UK riots

Goodwin spoke at the 2023 National Conservatism Conference, [54] [55] where he described the Conservative Party as in a "prolonged death spiral". [56] Goodwin told CNN that conservatives needed to "decide who they are and what they want to be". [57] For The Atlantic , Helen Lewis wrote that Goodwin gave "a typically doomy speech", which "segued into 10 minutes of pure populist beat poetry". [58] David Aaronovitch described Goodwin's speech as one of the two most "politically coherent" of the conference, calling him "the politics professor turned political entrepreneur". [59] Goodwin has responded to such criticisms in his writings, including in his articles "What Happened to Me?" [38] and "Have I Become Radicalised? [60] ". Explaining his decision to participate in the conference, Goodwin wrote: "I'm not a member of the Conservative Party. And unless something changes I don't currently plan on voting Conservative at the next election." He explained that his decision was because "one of the most interesting and important debates in politics right now is where conservatism goes next – not only here in Britain but globally." [61]

During the 2024 United Kingdom riots that followed the 2024 Southport stabbing, Goodwin criticised commentators who labelled the groups engaged in the violence as "far right", writing on X that there had been a "concerted & most likely coordinated effort by the elite class to inflate 'far right' to stigmatise & silence millions of ordinary people who object to mass immigration and its effects". Goodwin praised Hungary under prime minister Viktor Orbán, which he described as having "no crime", "no homeless people", "no riots" and "no unrest". Conservative commentator Tim Montgomerie called Goodwin's posts “incendiary” [5] and ITV News' Joel Hills asked "Matt, are you still at the University of Kent? I ask because it's so hard to imagine a serious academic publishing something like this." [5] Robert Ford, with whom Goodwin wrote Revolt on the Right in 2014, had by August 2024 "ended contact with Goodwin", saying "I tried for several years to reason with him on this but to no avail. Once I could see where this was heading I cut ties and became a more public critic". [8]

Political predictions

On 27 May 2017, Goodwin predicted that the Labour Party would not reach 38 per cent of the vote in the 2017 United Kingdom general election and said he would eat his book if they did. [62] As the party won 40.0% of the popular vote, Goodwin chewed one page out of his book, live on Sky News, on 10 June 2017. [63]

In March 2024, Goodwin wrote in The Sun that, "Eight years ago I did some political fortune-telling that led to people thinking I was insane. I was one of only a few analysts who predicted that not only would Britain vote to leave the EU but also that America would elect President Donald Trump". However, Will Jennings of the University of Southampton notes that when speaking at an event at the London School of Economics on the day of the Brexit referendum, Goodwin actually predicted a two-point Remain win. While Goodwin gave Trump a better chance of winning in the 2016 US presidential election than some pundits, he nonetheless wrote that Trump "would most likely fail". Goodwin also incorrectly predicted that Trump would win the 2020 election. [64]

Books

Honours

In 2014, aged 33, Goodwin was awarded the Richard Rose Prize by the Political Studies Association, which is given to one early-career academic each year for their contribution to research. [65]

His book, Revolt on the Right: Explaining Support for the Radical Right in Britain, was long-listed for the 2015 Orwell Prize. [4]

In 2023, his book Values, Voice and Virtue: The New British Politics was listed by the Financial Times as one of its politics books of the year. [66]

Related Research Articles

The Conservative and Unionist Party, commonly the Conservative Party and colloquially known as the Tories, is one of the two main political parties in the United Kingdom, along with the Labour Party. It has been the Official Opposition since losing the 2024 general election. The party sits on the right-wing to centre-right of the political spectrum. It encompasses various ideological factions including one-nation conservatives, Thatcherites, and traditionalist conservatives. There have been twenty Conservative prime ministers. The party traditionally holds the annual Conservative Party Conference during party conference season, at which senior Conservative figures promote party policy.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">People's Party for Freedom and Democracy</span> Dutch political party

The People's Party for Freedom and Democracy is a conservative-liberal political party in the Netherlands. The VVD, whose forerunner was the Freedom Party, is a party of the centre-right that tries to promote private enterprise and economic liberalism.

Right-wing politics is the range of political ideologies that view certain social orders and hierarchies as inevitable, natural, normal, or desirable, typically supporting this position based on natural law, economics, authority, property, religion, biology, or tradition. Hierarchy and inequality may be seen as natural results of traditional social differences or competition in market economies.

Populism is a range of political stances that emphasize the idea of the common people and often position this group in opposition to a perceived elite group. It is frequently associated with anti-establishment and anti-political sentiment. The term developed in the late 19th century and has been applied to various politicians, parties and movements since that time, often as a pejorative. Within political science and other social sciences, several different definitions of populism have been employed, with some scholars proposing that the term be rejected altogether.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">UK Independence Party</span> British political party

The UK Independence Party is a Eurosceptic, right-wing populist political party in the United Kingdom. The party reached its greatest level of success in the mid-2010s, when it gained two members of parliament and was the largest party representing the UK in the European Parliament. The party is currently led by Nick Tenconi.

David Ian MarquandFLSW was a British academic and Labour Party Member of Parliament (MP).

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Right-wing populism</span> Political ideology

Right-wing populism, also called national populism and right populism, is a political ideology that combines right-wing politics with populist rhetoric and themes. Its rhetoric employs anti-elitist sentiments, opposition to the Establishment, and speaking to or for the "common people". Recurring themes of right-wing populists include neo-nationalism, social conservatism, economic nationalism and fiscal conservatism. Frequently, they aim to defend a national culture, identity, and economy against perceived attacks by outsiders. Right-wing populism has associations with authoritarianism, while some far-right populists draw comparisons to fascism.

Libertarianism in the United Kingdom can either refer to a political movement synonymous with anarchism, left-libertarianism and libertarian socialism, or to a political movement concerned with the pursuit of propertarian right-libertarian ideals in the United Kingdom which emerged and became more prominent in British politics after the 1980s neoliberalism and the economic liberalism of the premiership of Margaret Thatcher, albeit not as prominent as libertarianism in the United States in the 1970s and the presidency of Republican Ronald Reagan during the 1980s.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Left-wing populism</span> Political ideology that combines left-wing politics and populist rhetoric and themes

Left-wing populism, also called social populism, is a political ideology that combines left-wing politics with populist rhetoric and themes. Its rhetoric often includes elements of anti-elitism, opposition to the Establishment, and speaking for the "common people". Recurring themes for left-wing populists include economic democracy, social justice, and skepticism of globalization. Socialist theory plays a lesser role than in traditional left-wing ideologies.

Populism in Canada has been part of the country's political culture through its history and across the political spectrum. Populist parties and movements have included the Canadian social credit movement which achieved electoral strengths in Western Canada and to some extent in Quebec in the early to mid 20th century, and the Reform Party of Canada which became the largest conservative party in Parliament from a base in Western Canada in the 1990s.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Roger Eatwell</span> British academic

Roger Eatwell is a British academic currently an Emeritus Professor of Politics at the University of Bath.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Oliver Dowden</span> British politician (born 1978)

Sir Oliver James Dowden, is a British politician who served as Deputy Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 2023 to 2024. A member of the Conservative Party, he previously held various ministerial positions under Prime Ministers Theresa May, Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak between 2018 and 2024. He has been the Member of Parliament (MP) for Hertsmere since 2015.

In political science, the terms radical right, reactionary right and populist right have been used to refer to the range of nationalist, right-wing and far-right political parties that have grown in support in Europe since the late 1970s. Populist right groups have shared a number of causes, which typically include opposition to globalisation and immigration, criticism of multiculturalism, and opposition to the European Union, with some opposing liberal democracy or rejecting democracy altogether in favor of "Illiberal democracy" or outright authoritarian dictatorship.

The open–closed political spectrum, an alternative to the standard left–right political spectrum, is used to describe a cleavage observed in political systems in Europe and North America in the 21st century. Under this view, parties and voters are understood on a single-axis political spectrum from open to closed. Groups, leaders and citizens on either end of this spectrum draw from both traditionally left- and right-wing ideas and values. For example, closed parties usually hold conventionally right-wing views on social issues but may support the left-wing policies of market intervention and redistribution of wealth. Open groups, leaders and citizens can hold left-wing or progressivist opinions on many issues but be staunchly in favour of the traditionally more right-wing policies of free trade. Depending on context, open–closed can be a replacement to the left–right political spectrum or a second axis on a political compass.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Reform UK</span> Right-wing political party in the United Kingdom

Reform UK is a right-wing populist political party in the United Kingdom. Nigel Farage has served as the party's leader since June 2024 and Richard Tice has served as the party's deputy leader since July 2024. The party currently has five members of Parliament (MPs) in the House of Commons and one member of the London Assembly. Following Farage's resumption of the leadership during the 2024 general election, there was a sharp increase in support for the party. In the election it was the third largest party by popular vote, with 14.3 per cent of the vote.

Populism has been a significant driver behind European politics for centuries, with a number of radical movements across the political spectrum relying on widespread working-class support for power.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Red wall (British politics)</span> Constituencies that typically vote Labour

The red wall is a term used in British politics to describe the UK Parliament constituencies in the Midlands and Northern England that have historically supported the Labour Party. At the 2019 general election, many of these parliamentary seats were won by the Conservative Party, with the media describing the red wall as having "turned blue".

National Populism: The Revolt Against Liberal Democracy is a 2018 book by political scientists Roger Eatwell and Matthew Goodwin, published by Pelican Books. The book attempts to explain the success of national populist movements using a what the authors call a 4D model, with four variables: destruction of the national culture caused by large-scale immigration; deprivation of opportunities because of globalization and frequent disruptions and slow growth in the post-industrial economy; growing distrust amongst rural and working-class voters, who increasingly feel alienated by liberal, cosmopolitan, urban-inhabiting media and political elites; and de-alignment from traditional political-ideological allegiances, witnessed in high levels of voter volatility, or people switching party support between elections.

Values, Voice and Virtue: The New British Politics is a 2023 book by political scientist Matthew Goodwin, published by Penguin Books. The book's argument has proved to be controversial and it has attracted some highly critical reviews. Values, Voice and Virtue became a Sunday Times Bestseller, entering the non-fiction chart on 9 April 2023 at number 2 in general paperbacks. It was also listed among the Financial Times best summer 2023 books, selected by Gideon Rachman.

References

  1. "Matthew Goodwin personal appointments - Find and update company information - GOV.UK". find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk. Retrieved 19 August 2023.
  2. 1 2 "White is the new black: populism and the academic alt-right". openDemocracy . 2 January 2019. Retrieved 22 August 2023.
  3. "The Sunday Times Bestsellers List — the UK's definitive book sales chart". www.thetimes.com. 18 February 2024. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  4. 1 2 "Revolt on the Right | The Orwell Foundation". www.orwellfoundation.com. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 Williams, Tom (8 August 2024). "Matthew Goodwin 'still an academic' despite leaving Kent role" . Times Higher Education (THE). Archived from the original on 8 August 2024. Retrieved 8 August 2024.
  6. "Matthew Goodwin". The Conversation . 5 July 2013. Retrieved 7 January 2021.
  7. "Professor Matthew Goodwin". Chatham House. 2016. Retrieved 6 October 2016.
  8. 1 2 3 4 Ball, James (7 August 2024). "Matt Goodwin's fall into the abyss". The New European . Retrieved 7 August 2024.
  9. "Matthew Goodwin". scholar.google.com. Retrieved 22 October 2024.
  10. "Right Response" (PDF). Chatham House. 2016. Retrieved 3 February 2022.
  11. "What Drives Euroscepticism?" (PDF). Chatham House. 2016. Retrieved 3 February 2022.
  12. "Europe's political tribes" (PDF). Chatham House. 2016. Retrieved 3 February 2022.
  13. "future of Europe" (PDF). Chatham House. 2016. Retrieved 3 February 2022.
  14. "Two new books explain the Brexit revolt". The Economist. ISSN   0013-0613 . Retrieved 22 October 2024.
  15. "Seven new Social Mobility Commissioners appointed". GOV.UK. 21 November 2022. Retrieved 22 October 2024.
  16. "Legatum Institute launches new Centre for UK Prosperity" . Retrieved 31 August 2022.
  17. Bland, Archie (14 April 2023). "Friday briefing: Has a 'woke aristocracy' really taken control of British society?". the Guardian. Retrieved 22 August 2023.
  18. 1 2 3 4 C. Davies, Huw; MacRae, Sheena E. (15 May 2023). "An anatomy of the British war on woke". Race & Class. 65 (2). SAGE Publications: 3–54. doi: 10.1177/03063968231164905 . ISSN   0306-3968. S2CID   258736793.
  19. "Who We Are".
  20. Simpson, John (17 September 2023). "Free speech union fights Twitter 'witch‑hunts'" via www.thetimes.co.uk.
  21. "They work for you" . Retrieved 3 February 2022.
  22. Statesman, New (27 September 2023). "The New Statesman's right power list". New Statesman. Retrieved 14 December 2023.
  23. "Best World Politics Newsletters on Substack". substack.com. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  24. "Matthew Goodwin". School of Politics and International Relations, University of Nottingham. Archived from the original on 15 July 2012.
  25. "The BNP's breakthrough". New Statesman. London. 16 April 2009. Retrieved 17 January 2012.
  26. Goodwin, Matthew; Ford, Robert (13 February 2009). "Prejudice is declining, but there is still huge support for the BNP". The Guardian. London. Retrieved 17 January 2012.
  27. "Labour is doing well, but it could still lose the election. Here are the three big hurdles it must overcome". The Guardian. 27 March 2023. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 22 October 2024.
  28. Goodwin, Matthew (July 2010). "Life after Griffin". Prospect. London. Retrieved 17 January 2012.
  29. "Is the Big Shake-Up in Britain Coming to the U.S.?". 21 December 2019.
  30. "Matthew Goodwin". POLITICO. Retrieved 22 October 2024.
  31. "BBC News - Politics, UKIP voters: Author Matthew Goodwin on party research". BBC. Retrieved 22 October 2024.
  32. "BNP". BBC News. 25 July 2010. Retrieved 17 January 2012.
  33. Cutts, David; Goodwin, Matthew; Heath, Oliver; Surridge, Paula (2020). "Brexit, the 2019 General Election and the Realignment of British Politics". The Political Quarterly. 91 (1). Wiley: 7–23. doi: 10.1111/1467-923x.12815 . ISSN   0032-3179. S2CID   214063692.
  34. Rice, Gavin (31 July 2022). "The daring buds of May". The Critic Magazine. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  35. Payne, Sebastian. "Values, Voice and Virtue by Matthew Goodwin review — has the Tory party bungled the post-Brexit realignment?".
  36. Garland, Nick (26 June 2023). "Nothing to fear". Renewal. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  37. 1 2 Malik, Kenan (22 December 2019). "The idea that the British working class is socially conservative is a nonsense". the Guardian. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  38. 1 2 Goodwin, Matt. "What Happened To Me?". www.mattgoodwin.org. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  39. Hassan, Gerry (16 May 2023). "The UK populist right has to be defeated or democracy will be trashed". Bella Caledonia . Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  40. Shaw, Martin (25 April 2023). "Professors, Power and Projection: the Case of Matthew Goodwin – Byline Times". Byline Times. Retrieved 22 August 2023.
  41. Goodwin, Matthew (3 August 2020). "How universities shut out conservative academics". UnHerd . Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  42. "Going native: Populist academics normalise the anti-immigrant right". Politics.co.uk. 31 October 2018. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  43. Hassan, Gerry (14 May 2023). "It's time for a long and hard look at the state of the UK's democracy". The National. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  44. Bloomfield, Jon. "Toxic Friends? A Critique of Blue Labour". The Political Quarterly. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  45. Eagleton, Oliver (25 March 2023). "Going native". New Statesman. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  46. Smith, Evan (30 April 2020). No Platform: A History of Anti-Fascism, Universities and the Limits of Free Speech. Routledge. ISBN   978-1138591677. Concerned about the increasing normalisation of far right ideas, over 200 scholars wrote an open letter criticising the event
  47. "Framing ethnic diversity as a 'threat' will normalise far-right hate, say academics". openDemocracy. Retrieved 12 July 2023.
  48. Freedland, Jonathan (26 October 2018). "Don't normalise the far right. But sometimes we must take it on". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 12 July 2023.
  49. "Reflections on the 'open letter' debate: a middle way to approaching the radical right?". openDemocracy. Retrieved 12 July 2023.
  50. Goodwin, Matt. "James Esses: NO. Labour CANNOT be trusted on sex and gender". www.mattgoodwin.org. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  51. Goodwin, Matt. "Yes. Labour will go Woke". www.mattgoodwin.org. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  52. Malik, Kenan (16 April 2023). "This obsession with a 'new elite' hides the real roots of power". The Guardian. Retrieved 25 August 2023.
  53. "Ten CRAZY things YOU are paying for right now". www.mattgoodwin.org. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  54. Lloyd, Will (24 May 2023). "The Tory crack-up". New Statesman . Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  55. Geoghegan, Peter (1 June 2023). "Peter Geoghegan · Short Cuts: At NatCon London · LRB 1 June 2023". London Review of Books . Vol. 45, no. 11. ISSN   0260-9592 . Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  56. Beckett, Andy (19 May 2023). "I went to the NatCon conference expecting sinister exuberance. But all I found was doom and gloom". The Guardian . ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  57. McGee, Luke (18 May 2023). "Why are some British Conservatives behaving like the next election is already lost?". CNN . Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  58. Lewis, Helen (18 May 2023). "Why So Many Conservatives Feel Like Losers". The Atlantic . Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  59. Aaronovitch, David. "Flag, faith and failure: three days with the National Conservatives". Prospect . Retrieved 18 August 2023.
  60. "Have I "radicalised"?". www.mattgoodwin.org. Retrieved 16 October 2024.
  61. Goodwin, Matt (28 May 2023). "Matt Goodwin: The revolution of liberal economics and woke cultural extremism has failed and left Britain broken". Belfast News Letter. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  62. "Matthew Goodwin on Twitter".
  63. Media Mole (11 June 2017). "Watch: Politics expert Matthew Goodwin eats his own book on live TV after underestimating Labour". New Statesman. London.
  64. "Matt Goodwin's fall into the abyss". The New European . 7 August 2024.
  65. "Conference Highlights 2014". Political Studies Association.
  66. "Best summer books of 2023: Politics". www.ft.com. 22 June 2023. Retrieved 22 October 2024.