Post-election pendulum for the 2011 New South Wales state election

Last updated

This article provides the Mackerras pendulum following the 2011 New South Wales state election: [1]

Contents

For the pendulum immediately before the 2015 election, see Pre-election pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2015.

Legislative Assembly

Pendulum

The current New South Wales pendulum: [2]

Liberal/National seats
Marginal
Oatley Mark Coure LIB0.5%
East Hills Glenn Brookes LIB0.6%
Swansea Garry Edwards LIB1.1%
Monaro John Barilaro NAT2.1%
Newcastle Tim Owen LIB2.6%
Wyong Darren Webber LIB2.6%
Granville Tony Issa LIB2.7%
Campbelltown Bryan Doyle LIB3.4%
Rockdale John Flowers LIB3.6%
Strathfield Charles Casuscelli LIB4.4%
Blue Mountains Roza Sage LIB4.7%
Smithfield Andrew Rohan LIB4.8%
Fairly safe
Maitland Robyn Parker LIB6.3%
Port Macquarie Leslie Williams NAT v IND6.5%
Kiama Gareth Ward LIB7.5%
Tamworth Kevin Anderson NAT v IND7.8%
Coogee Bruce Notley-Smith LIB8.3%
Charlestown Andrew Cornwell LIB9.9%
Safe
Wagga Wagga Daryl Maguire LIB v IND10.3%
Gosford Chris Holstein LIB11.9%
Mulgoa Tanya Davies LIB12.0%
Hornsby Matt Kean LIB v IND12.1%
Parramatta Geoff Lee LIB12.1%
Londonderry Bart Bassett LIB12.3%
Port Stephens Craig Baumann LIB12.5%
The Entrance Chris Spence LIB12.5%
Heathcote Lee Evans LIB12.9%
Dubbo Troy Grant NAT v IND13.7%
Wollondilly Jai Rowell LIB14.7%
Penrith Stuart Ayres LIB16.3%
Drummoyne John Sidoti LIB16.7%
Ballina Don Page NAT v GRN17.8%
Upper Hunter George Souris NAT v IND18.3%
Bega Andrew Constance LIB18.6%
Camden Chris Patterson LIB18.9%
Very safe
Riverstone Kevin Conolly LIB20.2%
Lismore Thomas George NAT v GRN20.2%
South Coast Shelley Hancock LIB20.4%
Miranda Graham Annesley LIB21.0%
Tweed Geoff Provest NAT21.7%
Orange Andrew Gee NAT v IND21.9%
Clarence Steve Cansdell NAT v IND23.3%
Bathurst Paul Toole NAT23.7%
Terrigal Chris Hartcher LIB24.2%
Menai Melanie Gibbons LIB24.4%
Myall Lakes Stephen Bromhead NAT v IND24.9%
Epping Greg Smith LIB25.2%
Cronulla Mark Speakman LIB25.6%
Lane Cove Anthony Roberts LIB v GRN25.7%
Ryde Victor Dominello LIB25.7%
Vaucluse Gabrielle Upton LIB v GRN26.1%
Baulkham Hills David Elliott LIB26.4%
Goulburn Pru Goward LIB26.6%
Albury Greg Aplin LIB26.9%
Manly Mike Baird LIB v GRN27.0%
Coffs Harbour Andrew Fraser NAT27.2%
Murray-Darling John Williams NAT27.2%
Murrumbidgee Adrian Piccoli NAT27.9%
Pittwater Rob Stokes LIB v GRN28.0%
Willoughby Gladys Berejiklian LIB v GRN28.1%
Wakehurst Brad Hazzard LIB v GRN28.5%
Oxley Andrew Stoner NAT v GRN28.8%
North Shore Jillian Skinner LIB v GRN30.3%
Castle Hill Dominic Perrottet LIB30.8%
Burrinjuck Katrina Hodgkinson NAT31.1%
Ku-ring-gai Barry O'Farrell LIB v GRN31.3%
Barwon Kevin Humphries NAT32.0%
Davidson Jonathan O'Dea LIB v GRN33.4%
Hawkesbury Ray Williams LIB34.7%
Labor seats
Marginal
Toongabbie Nathan Rees ALP0.3%
Marrickville Carmel Tebbutt ALP v GRN0.9%
Wollongong Noreen Hay ALP v IND1.0%
Macquarie Fields Andrew McDonald ALP1.5%
Maroubra Michael Daley ALP1.6%
Fairfield Guy Zangari ALP1.7%
Kogarah Cherie Burton ALP1.9%
Cabramatta Nick Lalich ALP2.1%
Blacktown John Robertson ALP3.7%
Keira Ryan Park ALP3.9%
Cessnock Clayton Barr ALP4.4%
Fairly safe
Wallsend Sonia Hornery ALP6.6%
Mount Druitt Richard Amery ALP6.7%
Lakemba Robert Furolo ALP7.0%
Heffron Kristina Keneally ALP7.1%
Canterbury Linda Burney ALP8.3%
Auburn Barbara Perry ALP8.5%
Shellharbour Anna Watson ALP8.6%
Safe
Bankstown Tania Mihailuk ALP10.3%
Liverpool Paul Lynch ALP14.7%
Independent & other seats
Sydney Clover Moore IND v LIB3.1%
Balmain Jamie Parker GRN v LIB3.5%
Lake Macquarie Greg Piper IND v LIB14.9%
Northern Tablelands Richard Torbay IND v NAT19.4%

Legislative Council

Current balance

PartySeats heldCurrent 42-seat Council
2011 Now
Labor Party 1414                     
Liberal Party 1212                     
National Party 77                     
The Greens 55                     
Shooters and Fishers Party 22                     
Christian Democratic Party 22                     

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The Mackerras pendulum for the 2015 New South Wales state election.

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References

  1. "NSW 2011 seat results". Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
  2. NSW 2011 seat results: ABC