Electoral district of Northern Tablelands

Northern Tablelands New South Wales—Legislative Assembly
Interactive map of district boundaries from the 2023 state election
State	New South Wales
Dates current	1920–1927 1981–present
MP	Vacant
Party	TBD
Namesake	Northern Tablelands
Electors	55,371 (2019)
Area	53,153.76 km2 (20,522.8 sq mi)
Demographic	Provincial and rural
Electorates around Northern Tablelands: Queensland Queensland Lismore Barwon Northern Tablelands Clarence Barwon Tamworth Upper Hunter Oxley

Northern Tablelands is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is currently vacant, following a by-election triggered by the resignation of Nationals member Adam Marshall. ^[1] The electorate currently includes Uralla Shire, Armidale Regional Council, Glen Innes Severn, Inverell Shire, Gwydir Shire and Moree Plains Shire. ^[2]

History

Northern Tablelands was originally created in 1920, with the introduction of proportional representation, replacing Armidale, Gough and Tenterfield, and elected three members. It was held by the same three members throughout its first incarnation: inaugural Country Party leader Michael Bruxner, state Minister for Education David Drummond, and Labor MP Alfred McClelland, grandfather of former federal Attorney-General Robert McClelland. In 1927, it was divided into the single-member electorates of Armidale and Tenterfield. It was recreated in 1981, partly replacing Armidale and Tenterfield. ^[3]

On its recreation in 1981, the seat was a notional National Country seat. However, Labor's Bill McCarthy, who had won Armidale in the "Wranslide" of 1978, won the merged seat in the second "Wranslide." McCarthy held the seat for Labor against aggressive National Country/National opposition even as this already conservative area became even more so. He was only the second Labor member to represent much of the area in the single-member era, and most of the seat was served by the safe federal National seat of New England.

McCarthy had developed serious health problems by the 1984 state election, but was persuaded to recontest to maintain Labor control of the seat. He resigned in 1987 when it was apparent he could not continue, and died soon afterward. Labor endorsed McCarthy's widow, Thelma, at the subsequent by-election, but she was narrowly defeated by National candidate Ray Chappell after a heavily-publicised campaign. The seat's conservative nature reasserted itself, and Chappell was re-elected with little difficulty three times. However, in the 1999 election, Chappell faced a challenge from the popular ex-mayor of Armidale, Richard Torbay, standing as an independent. In a shock result, Torbay won the seat with a comfortable margin—the latest case of NSW country areas rejecting the Nationals in favour of local independents.

Torbay was comfortably reelected in 2003, 2007, and 2011, each time taking well over 60 percent of the two-party vote and easily winning enough primary votes to retain the seat outright. He served as Speaker of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly from 2007 to 2011, during what proved to be the final term of Labor's 16-year run in government. He was the first independent to hold that post since 1917. As a measure of his popularity, he suffered a swing of nearly 11 percent in 2011 amid the massive Coalition wave that swept through NSW, but still retained his seat with a comfortable majority of 19.2 percent. He actually won 63 percent of the primary vote, more than enough to win another term outright.

Torbay was forced out of politics in 2013 amid a corruption investigation. At the ensuing by-election, Adam Marshall easily reclaimed the seat for the Nationals. This was not considered an upset, as Northern Tablelands had been a comfortably safe National seat in "traditional" two-party matchups with Labor for most of Torbay's tenure. The Nationals would have won it two years earlier with a majority of 26.1 percent in a "traditional" two-party matchup with Labor. Marshall has held the seat without serious difficulty since, and now sits on a majority of 32.8 percent, the safest in the state.

From 1999, Northern Tablelands covered 30,546 km², including the uplands of northern New South Wales. It centred on the university city of Armidale; other towns included in the electorate are Inverell, Glen Innes, Tenterfield and Uralla. The northern boundary of the electorate is the Queensland border. At the 2003 election, there were 42,886 enrolled voters.

In 2007, the low level of population growth in the electorate led to Northern Tablelands being expanded, both to the west to take in Warialda and Bingara and to the south to take in Walcha and Nowendoc, increasing its area to 44,674 km². ^[4]

The redistribution ahead of the 2015 state election saw Northern Tablelands expanded again to 53,153.76 square kilometres. Added to the district was the entirety of Moree Plains Shire along with the remainder of the former Armidale Dumaresq Shire, whilst Tenterfield Shire was removed from the district.

While Labor frequently runs dead in northern NSW, Northern Tablelands has become particularly unfriendly territory for Labor even by northern NSW standards. Labor has never come reasonably close to retaking the seat since McCarthy's death. For example, Chappell was reelected in 1995 with a primary vote large enough to win outright even as the Coalition was defeated. Since the turn of the millennium, Labor has been lucky to get more than 20 percent of the two-party vote, and has even been pushed into third place on some occasions.

Members

First incarnation (1920–1927, 3 members)
Member		Party	Term	Member		Party	Term	Member		Party	Term
	Michael Bruxner [5]	Progressive	1920–1925		David Drummond [6]	Progressive	1920–1925		Alfred McClelland [7]	Labor	1920–1927
		Country	1925–1927			Country	1925–1927

Second incarnation (1981–present, 1 member)
Member		Party	Term
	Bill McCarthy [8]	Labor	1981–1987
	Ray Chappell [9]	National	1987–1999
	Richard Torbay [10]	Independent	1999–2013
	Adam Marshall [11]	National	2013–2024

Election results

Main article: Electoral results for the district of Northern Tablelands

This section is an excerpt from 2024 Northern Tablelands state by-election § Results.[ edit ]

2024 Northern Tablelands state by-election

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Shooters, Fishers, Farmers
	Greens
	Independent
	Independent
	National
Total formal votes
Informal votes
Turnout
Two-candidate-preferred result
	National
	Greens
	TBD win		Swing

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2023 New South Wales state election (Legislative Assembly) § Northern Tablelands.[ edit ]

2023 New South Wales state election: Northern Tablelands ^{[12] [13]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	National	Adam Marshall	35,575	71.6	−1.8
	Labor	Yvonne Langenberg	5,045	10.2	−0.8
	Greens	Elizabeth O'Hara	2,369	4.8	−0.8
	Shooters, Fishers, Farmers	Michael Hay	2,239	4.5	−5.1
	Legalise Cannabis	Peter O'Loghlin	1,148	2.3	+2.3
	Independent	Billy Wood	980	2.0	+2.0
	Liberal Democrats	Margaret Hammond	783	1.6	+1.6
	Sustainable Australia	Alan Crowe	595	1.2	+1.2
	Independent	Natasha Ledger	496	1.0	+1.0
	Public Education	Gary Hampton	425	0.9	+0.9
Total formal votes			49,655	98.0	−0.1
Informal votes			1,039	2.0	+0.1
Turnout			50,694	87.6	−3.1
Two-party-preferred result
	National	Adam Marshall	37,654	83.8	+0.7
	Labor	Yvonne Langenberg	7,255	16.2	−0.7
	National hold		Swing	+0.7

References

1. "2013 Northern Tablelands By-election Results". New South Wales Electoral Commission. 28 May 2013. Retrieved 11 September 2013.
2. "Northern Tablelands". New South Wales Electoral Commission . Retrieved 23 November 2019.
3. "Former Members". Members of Parliament. Parliament of New South Wales. Archived from the original on 29 September 2004. Retrieved 3 April 2007.
4. "Redistribution Commissioners' Report" (PDF). Election Funding Authority of New South Wales. 21 December 2004. Retrieved 18 December 2006.^{[ permanent dead link ]}
5. "Sir Michael Frederick Bruxner (1882–1970)". Former members of the Parliament of New South Wales . Retrieved 1 May 2019.
6. "The Hon. David Henry Drummond (1890-1965)". Former members of the Parliament of New South Wales . Retrieved 13 May 2019.
7. "Mr Alfred McClelland (1886-1969)". Former members of the Parliament of New South Wales . Retrieved 5 May 2019.
8. "Mr William John Patrick McCarthy". Former members of the Parliament of New South Wales . Retrieved 6 May 2019.
9. "Mr Raymond Francis Chappell (1942- )". Former members of the Parliament of New South Wales . Retrieved 13 May 2019.
10. "The Hon. (Richard) George Richard Torbay (1961- )". Former members of the Parliament of New South Wales . Retrieved 9 September 2019.
11. "The Hon. Adam John Marshall, MP". Members of the Parliament of New South Wales . Retrieved 5 April 2019.
12. LA First Preference: Northern Tablelands, NSW State Election Results 2023, NSW Electoral Commission. Retrieved 13 April 2023.
13. LA Two Candidate Preferred: Northern Tablelands, NSW State Election Results 2023, NSW Electoral Commission. Retrieved 13 April 2023.