2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election

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2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election
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Florida's 20th congressional district
  Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick - 117th Congress.jpg No image.svg
Nominee Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick Jason Mariner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote44,70710,966
Percentage79.0%19.4%
2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
County results
Cherfilus-McCormick:     70–80%     80–90%
U.S. Representative before election

Vacant

Elected U.S. Representative

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic

The 2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election was a special election to the United States House of Representatives. The seat had been vacant since incumbent Democratic representative Alcee Hastings died on April 6, 2021, of pancreatic cancer. [2]

Contents

The special election was scheduled by Governor Ron DeSantis to be held on January 11, 2022. The primary elections were held on November 2, 2021. [1]

Democratic primary

Campaign

Following Hastings' death, 11 Democratic candidates made the primary ballot to replace him. [3]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

Declined

Debates

2022 Florida's 20th congressional district Democratic primary debates
 No.Date & timeHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   W Withdrawn
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick Bobby DuBose Omari Hardy Dale Holness Barbara Sharief Priscilla Taylor Perry Thurston Jr.
  1 [14]  October 24, 2021 WPBF Todd McDermott Video PAPPPAP

Endorsements

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Bobby DuBose
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Omari Hardy
State legislators
Newspapers and publications
Organizations
Dale Holness
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Labor unions
Barbara Sharief
U.S. Representatives
County officials
Newspapers and publications
Organizations
Perry E. Thurston Jr.
State legislators
County officials

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Sheila
Cherfilus-McCormick		Bobby
DuBose		Omari
Hardy		Dale
Holness		Barbara
Sharief		Priscilla
Taylor		Perry
Thurston		OtherUndecided
Expedition Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 1] October 20–24, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%15%6%5%14%13%2%10%2% [lower-alpha 2] 32%
Data for Progress (D) July 6–7, 2021314 (LV)± 5.0%6%5%10%17%14%6%8%5% [lower-alpha 3] 29%
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 2] April 2021416 (LV)± 4.8%–7%–13%6%–11%12% [lower-alpha 4] 50%
–––11%7%–14%14% [lower-alpha 5] 53%
–––15%11%–15%–59%

Results

Per Florida law, because the margin separating Cherfilus-McCormick and Holness was less than 0.5%, a recount was held. [32] Ballots received by November 12 from overseas were accepted. The two candidates were two votes apart as some ballots that had been cast were still in dispute. [34] On November 12, over a week after the primary, the Broward County canvassing board declared Cherfilus-McCormick the winner after a recount failed to change the vote totals. However, Holness did not immediately concede, pointing out that the board had rejected twelve overseas military ballots. He said he would confer with a lawyer to decide whether or not to challenge the results. [35] The Palm Beach County canvassing board voted to certify the election results on the same day. [36] State officials certified the results on November 16. [37]

Cherfilus-McCormick won in Palm Beach County, receiving 30% of the vote. Meanwhile, Holness won in Broward County, where he serves as county commissioner, with 29% of the vote. [4] [38]

Results by county Cherfilus-McCormick--30-40% Holness--20%-30% 2022 United States House of Representatives Democratic Primary in Florida's 20th congressional district by county.svg
Results by county
  Cherfilus-McCormick—30-40%
  Holness—20%-30%
Democratic primary results [39]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 11,662 23.76%
Democratic Dale Holness11,65723.75%
Democratic Barbara Sharief 8,68017.69%
Democratic Perry E. Thurston Jr. 7,28214.84%
Democratic Bobby DuBose 3,4587.05%
Democratic Omari Hardy 2,9025.91%
Democratic Priscilla Taylor 1,6773.42%
Democratic Elvin Dowling6461.32%
Democratic Emmanuel Morel4540.93%
Democratic Phil Jackson3420.70%
Democratic Imran Siddiqui3160.64%
Total votes49,074 100.00%

Aftermath

Holness filed a lawsuit in Broward County Circuit Court on November 29 asking it to overturn the election results, alleging Cherfilus-McCormick to be "ineligible to hold office." The lawsuit asserts that Cherfilus-McCormick did not file proper financial paperwork and that her support for a universal basic income of $1,000 per month amounted to bribing voters. [40] [41] Holness claimed that voters had asked workers at polling places "where they collect the $1,000 from, so they expected to get $1,000." [42] Election lawyer and former state representative Juan-Carlos Planas described the lawsuit as a "Hail Mary pass" and doubted it would be successful. [40] Don James, an attorney for Holness, acknowledged that the challenge likely would not be resolved in time for the election. [43] Mail-in ballots for the special election with Cherfilus-McCormick listed as the Democratic nominee were sent out beginning on December 3. [44]

On December 6, Cherfilus-McCormick's attorneys filed a lengthy brief in response to the lawsuit that disputed its claims, calling it "a desperate attempt to overturn the will of the voters." In response to the allegation of bribery, the brief points out that promising monetary benefits to voters is common, comparing Cherfilus-McCormick's support for a universal basic income to "a chicken in every pot and a car in every garage," a slogan used by former president Herbert Hoover in his 1928 presidential campaign. The brief also claims that Holness's complaint was filed too late and is thus invalid, and asks the judge to dismiss it and order Holness to pay Cherfilus-McCormick's legal fees. [45] Ultimately, Holness's challenge fell flat, as no judge took up the case. [46]

Republican primary

Campaign

Two Republicans made the primary ballot, businessman Jason Mariner and Greg Musselwhite, who had been the Republican nominee for the seat in 2020. The two men cut different appearances on the campaign trail, with Mariner presenting himself in a clean-cut fashion while Musselwhite campaigned in a more folksy manner. [47] A substantial part of Mariner's campaign was based around his turning his life around after previously being imprisoned twice on various felony charges. [48] [49] Musselwhite attacked Mariner for his prior felony convictions, claiming in a later-deleted Facebook post that voters had a choice between "the correctional officer or the inmate". [47]

Mariner ran as an "America First conservative", [50] promoting false claims that the results of the 2020 presidential election were illegitimate, as well as making statements in support of the rioters at the 2021 U.S. Capitol attack and the Confederate Flag, which he defended as a "battle flag that was later co-opted by racist groups". [51]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Jason Mariner, businessman [4]

Eliminated in primary

  • Gregory "Greg" Musselwhite, welding inspector and nominee for this district in 2020 [4]

Disqualified

Endorsements

Jason Mariner
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Newspapers and publications
Individuals

Results

Results by county Mariner--50-60% 2022 United States House of Representatives Republican Primary in Florida's 20th congressional district by county.svg
Results by county
  Mariner—50–60%
Republican primary results [39]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jason Mariner 3,500 57.8%
Republican Gregory Musselwhite2,55242.2%
Total votes6,052 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

Independents

Declared

Disqualified

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [58] Solid DOctober 15, 2021
Inside Elections [59] Solid DJanuary 10, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [60] Safe DMay 20, 2021

Endorsements

Endorsements in bold were made after the primary elections.

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)
State officials
County officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Jason Mariner (R)
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Newspapers and publications

Results

As expected by election prognosticators, Cherfilus-McCormick won the election by a landslide, winning 79% of the popular vote. [70] In spite of this, Mariner refused to concede, threatening to file a lawsuit to dispute the results. [70]

2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election [71]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 44,707 78.96% +0.29
Republican Jason Mariner10,96619.37%–1.95
Libertarian Mike ter Maat3950.70%N/A
Independent Jim Flynn2650.47%N/A
Independent Lenny Serratore2620.46%N/A
Write-in Shelley Fain220.04%N/A
Total votes56,617 100.0%
Democratic hold
By county
County Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic 		Jason Mariner
Republican 		Mike ter Maat
Libertarian 		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Broward (part)32,86782.746,22815.682520.633750.9426,63967.0639,722
Palm Beach (part)11,84070.084,73828.041430.851741.037,10242.0416,895
Totals44,70778.9610,96619.373950.705490.9733,74159.5956,617

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Jackson with 2%; Dowling, Morel, and Siddiqui with 0%
  3. ↑ "Another candidate" with 5%; Matt Boswell and Emmanuel Morel with 0%
  4. ↑ Bobby Powell with 9%; Shevrin Jones with 3%
  5. ↑ Bobby Powell with 10%; Shevrin Jones with 4%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was commissioned by Pro-Israel America, which has not endorsed any candidate
  2. ↑ This poll was commissioned by a Democratic consultant expected to work in the race

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References

  1. 1 2 Daugherty, Alex (May 4, 2021). "DeSantis schedules special election for Alcee Hastings' seat in 2022". Miami Herald. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  2. ↑ Nicol, Ryan (April 6, 2021). "Alcee Hastings dies at 84 after cancer battle". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 6, 2021.
  3. ↑ Daugherty, Alex (August 10, 2021). "Eleven Democrats qualify to replace Alcee Hastings in Congress". McClatchy DC Bureau . Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Daugherty, Alex (August 10, 2021). "Eleven Democrats qualify to replace Alcee Hastings in Congress". Miami Herald . Retrieved August 10, 2021.
  5. ↑ Daugherty, Alex (November 12, 2021). "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick is 'apparent winner' of FL-20 Democratic primary". Miami Herald .
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 Nicol, Ryan (July 13, 2021). "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, largely self-funding CD 20 bid, adds $2.4 million in Q2". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 26, 2021.
  7. ↑ Nicol, Ryan (April 12, 2021). "Broward Commissioner Dale Holness to join Special Election to replace Alcee Hastings". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 13, 2021.
  8. ↑ Daughtery, Alex; C. Isaiah Smalls II (April 12, 2021). "Broward Commissioner Dale Holness runs for Congress with support from Hastings' son". Miami Herald . Retrieved April 13, 2021.
  9. ↑ Man, Anthony (April 22, 2021). "Palm Beach County Commissioner Mack Bernard has 'zero interest' in running for Congress". Sun Sentinel . Retrieved April 22, 2021.
  10. ↑ Man, Anthony. "Shevrin Jones won't run for Alcee Hastings' congressional seat". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  11. ↑ "Palm Beach County Commissioner Melissa McKinlay Endorses Barbara Sharief for U.S. Congress, District 20". Patriot Games, Inc. EIN PressWire. April 12, 2021. Retrieved April 13, 2021.
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  13. ↑ Man, Anthony. "Death of congressman Alcee Hastings sets off political showdown, as candidates line up to replace him". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  14. ↑ "WATCH: U.S. House District 20 Democratic Primary Debate". WPBF. October 24, 2021. Retrieved December 10, 2021.
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  23. ↑ "Campaign Endorsements". Dale Holness for Congress. August 17, 2021. Retrieved August 17, 2021.
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  26. 1 2 Kassel, Matthew (October 14, 2021). "A Black Muslim candidate in Florida's 20th casts herself as a strong supporter of Israel". Jewish Insider . Retrieved October 17, 2021.
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  35. ↑ Murray, Joan (November 12, 2021). "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick Wins Democratic Primary Race For District 20". WFOR-TV .
  36. ↑ Burke, Peter; Sczesny, Matt (November 12, 2021). "Palm Beach County Canvassing Board certifies results for special primary election". WPTV-TV .
  37. ↑ Greenwood, Max (November 16, 2021). "Florida officials certify 5-vote victory in primary for Alcee Hastings' seat". The Hill.
  38. ↑ "Florida Special Primary Election Results: 20th Congressional District". The New York Times . November 3, 2021. Archived from the original on November 2, 2021.
  39. 1 2 "2021 Florida Special Primary Election Results: 20th Congressional District". NBC News . November 3, 2021.
  40. 1 2 Man, Anthony; Olmeda, Rafael (November 29, 2021). "Holness asserts Cherfilus-McCormick is 'ineligible to hold office,' asks court to overturn congressional voting results". Sun-Sentinel . Archived from the original on November 30, 2021. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
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  46. ↑ "Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick wins House seat in Florida once held by Alcee Hastings". The Washington Post . January 11, 2022. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
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  48. 1 2 Sun Sentinel Editorial Board (October 1, 2021). "Endorsement: Republicans in 20th District should choose Jason Mariner". Sun-Sentinel . Retrieved October 31, 2021.
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  50. ↑ "A Florida felon won a GOP congressional primary, but can he hold office?". Tampa Bay Times. November 5, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
  51. ↑ Bolies, Colin (November 24, 2021). "This Confederate Flag-Tattoo'd Felon Is Running for Congress". The Daily Beast. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
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  53. ↑ Derby, Kevin (April 28, 2021). "Omari Hardy Enters Crowded Congressional Race, Promising to Fight for Green New Deal, Racial Justice". Florida Daily. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
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  58. ↑ Dave Wasserman (October 15, 2021). "FL-20: Wealthy Newcomer Could Upend "Old Guard" in Crowded Democratic Primary" . Retrieved October 15, 2021.
  59. ↑ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. March 19, 2021. Retrieved March 20, 2021.
  60. ↑ Kondik, Kyle (May 20, 2021). "The House: Democrats Would Have a Tough Slog Even Without Redistricting" . Retrieved May 20, 2021.
  61. ↑ "To Succeed Alcee Hastings: Vote Sheila McCormick". Florida Political Review. December 5, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
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  63. ↑ "Florida College Democrats is honored to formally endorse Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick for the General Election of Florida's 20th U.S. Congressional District!". Facebook. December 4, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  64. ↑ "LGBTQ+ Dems Endorse in Broward County Special Elections". www.lgbtqdems.org. December 30, 2021. Retrieved December 30, 2021.
  65. ↑ "SIERRA CLUB ENDORSEMENTS". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. March 19, 2021. Retrieved January 2, 2022.
  66. ↑ The Legendary Mr. Speaker Newt Gingrich & Congressional Nominee Jason Mariner. Mariner For Congress. November 10, 2021. Archived from the original on January 13, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022– via YouTube.
  67. ↑ MARINER FOR CONGRESS Gets Another Great Endorsement From Congressman Burgess Owens. Mariner For Congress. December 8, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022– via YouTube.
  68. ↑ "Clear choice in state HD 88 race; not in U.S. District 20". www.palmbeachpost.com. The Palm Beach Post. December 22, 2021. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  69. ↑ "In race for Congress, no transparency means no endorsement". www.sun-sentinel.com. Sun-Sentinel. December 15, 2021. Retrieved December 18, 2021.
  70. 1 2 Pindell, James (January 13, 2022). "A Democrat won a US House seat this week with 79 percent of the vote. Her GOP opponent has not conceded". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 14, 2022.
  71. ↑ "January 11, 2022 Special Election". Florida Department of State Division of Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2022.
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