![]() 2024 U.S. presidential election | |
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This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters ( The Cook Political Report , Sabato's Crystal Ball , and Inside Elections ) are omitted for brevity.
State | EVs | PVI [1] | 2020 result | 2020 margin [2] | IE May 8, 2024 [3] | Sabato June 29, 2023 [4] | CNalysis May 30, 2024 [5] | Cook December 19, 2023 [6] | CNN January 18, 2024 [7] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Solid R | Solid R |
Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R |
Maine [lower-alpha 1] | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D |
ME–02 [lower-alpha 1] | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Lean R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
NE–02 [lower-alpha 1] | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D | 6.50% | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup |
Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D |
North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tilt R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R |
Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R |
Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R |
Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Solid D | Lean D |
Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Overall | D - 226 R - 235 77 tossups | D - 260 R - 235 43 tossups | D - 226 R - 257 55 tossups | D - 226 R - 235 77 tossups | D - 225 R - 272 41 tossups |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence | August 23–24 & 26, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | February 23 – March 2, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
Alaska Survey Research | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 45% | 37% | 19% |
Alaska Survey Research | July 18–21, 2023 | 1,336 (LV) | – | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 37% | 29% | 17% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,095 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 19–21, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
501 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 12% | ||
CBS News/YouGov | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,214 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 52% | 1% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 490 (RV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
Noble Predictive Insights | May 7–14, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 626 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
626 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | April 7–11, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
The Bullfinch Group [upper-alpha 3] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 18% [lower-alpha 3] |
RABA Research | March 28–31, 2024 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 39% | 25% [lower-alpha 4] |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 4] | March 12–19, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 5] | March 14–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–14, 2024 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Fox News | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,121 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | February 21–26, 2024 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
J.L. Partners | January 29 – February 1, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
The Bullfinch Group | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 6] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Tulchin Research (D) | November 13–20, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Noble Predictive Insights | October 25–31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (RV) | – | 39% | 44% | 16% |
Emerson College | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 45% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 8% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 7] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 48% | 52% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 31% | 41% | 28% [lower-alpha 5] | ||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 13–14, 2023 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 50% | 11% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 35% | 38% | 27% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 53% | 2% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 6–7, 2022 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | May 12–16, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
Bendixen/Amandi International | June 17–23, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,095 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 46% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 490 (RV) | – | 40% | 44% | 11% | 3% | 2% | – |
Noble Predictive Insights | May 7–14, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 37% | 41% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 626 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 42% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 13% |
626 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 44% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 11% | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | April 7–11, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 42% | 10% | – | 2% | 9% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 39% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 11% [lower-alpha 6] |
Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–14, 2024 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 43% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
Fox News | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,121 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 6] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 32% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 14% [lower-alpha 7] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 12% [lower-alpha 8] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 19–21, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
501 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 43% | 7% | 11% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 625 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | 7% | 7% [lower-alpha 9] |
Data Orbital | April 27–29, 2024 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 38.8% | 38.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 516 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 808 (LV) | – | 35% | 41% | 10% | 14% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 6] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 35% | 40% | 16% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 33% | 40% | 10% | 17% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22– November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 33% | 33% | 26% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (LV) | – | 37% | 42% | 8% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 5] | March 14–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 37% | 18% | 2% | 10% |
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 39% | 4% | 1% | 22% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 40% | 11% | 1% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 42% | 4% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 33% | 25% | 19% | 6% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 6] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 30% | 37% | 33% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 34% | 27% | 17% | 6% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Noble Predictive Insights | October 25 – 31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 40% | 23% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 46% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 46% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 37% | 43% | 20% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Mike Pence Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 435 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 49% | 31% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Institute of California | March 19–25, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 31% | 14% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
Public Policy Institute of California | February 6–14, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
UC Berkeley IGS | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 37% | 19% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Public Policy Institute of California | November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 30% | 16% |
UC Berkeley IGS | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Public Policy Institute of California | October 3–19, 2023 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 29% | 12% |
Data Viewpoint | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 33% | – |
Public Policy Institute of California | August 25 – September 5, 2023 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 57% | 26% | 17% |
UC Berkeley IGS | August 24–29, 2023 | 6,030 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
Public Policy Institute of California | June 7–29, 2023 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 17–24, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 58% | 25% | 17% |
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 40% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
UC Berkeley IGS | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley IGS | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 29% | 9% | 4% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Viewpoint | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 58% | 42% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 9] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 35% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probolsky Research | August 4–9, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies | April 13–21, 2024 | 529 (LV) | – | 49% | 43% | 8% |
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D) [upper-alpha 10] | March 15–19, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Florida Atlantic University | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 170 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
179 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,856 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 11] | January 22–28, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 10] | November 26–27, 2023 | 652 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 36% | 19% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Emerson College | October 26–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 18–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | July 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blueprint Polling (D) | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Emerson College | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies | Apr 14–21, 2024 | 310 LV | – | 50.5% | 39.6% | 9.9% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies | Apr 14–21, 2024 | 310 LV | – | 46.0% | 42.3% | 11.7% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies | Apr 14–21, 2024 | 310 LV | – | 42.3% | 36.1% | 21.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
CBS News/YouGov | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
Cherry Communications (R) [upper-alpha 12] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | 6% | ||
Emerson College | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 44% | – |
St. Pete Polls | March 11–13, 2024 | 1,963 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Cygnal (R) | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 44% | 39% | 17% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 2% |
Metropolitan Research Services | March 15–19, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
University of North Florida | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
Victory Insights | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 51% | – |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 1,224 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Florida Atlantic University | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
St. Pete Polls | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 48% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 1% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cherry Communications (R) [upper-alpha 12] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 37% | 10% | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2-4, 2024 | 586 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 38% | 7% | 7% |
815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 40% | 6% | 5% | ||
USA Today/Ipsos | April 5–7, 2024 | 1,014 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 23% |
Emerson College | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 6% | 11% [lower-alpha 10] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 815 (LV) | – | 46% | 39% | 7% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 45% | 34% | 9% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 44% | 34% | 9% | 13% |
Cygnal (R) | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 1100 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 27% | 32% | 16% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 15% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Emerson College | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
University of North Florida | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
Cherry Communications | February 10–19, 2023 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Victory Insights | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – |
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 4% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 49% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
604 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 50% | 9% | ||
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 5] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 13] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 51% | 2% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
CBS News/YouGov | March 4–11, 2024 | 1,133 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
Emerson College | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
Atlanta Journal-Constitution | January 3–11, 2024 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 14% |
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [upper-alpha 14] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Zogby Analytics | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 8–11, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 47% | – |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 15] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 48% | 52% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 36% | 45% | 19% [lower-alpha 11] | ||
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 16] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 43% | 7% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Emerson College | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 17] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
East Carolina University | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (V) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 50% | 14% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 7% [lower-alpha 12] |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 1% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 31% | 39% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 20% [lower-alpha 13] |
604 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 34% | 42% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 16% [lower-alpha 14] | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 45% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
Emerson College | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 10% [lower-alpha 15] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 5] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 41% | 13% | 13% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 610 (LV) | – | 38% | 43% | 5% | 14% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 760 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 6% | 9% |
Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 45% | 14% | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 953 (LV) | – | 34% | 42% | 8% | 16% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 7% | 14% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 29% | 36% | 24% | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 38% | 41% | 8% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 6% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
Zogby Analytics | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 51% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [upper-alpha 14] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [upper-alpha 14] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Emerson College | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 36% | 34% | 14% | 4% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Mike Pence Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 16] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 490 (RV) | ±4.4% | 55% | 26% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Cor Stratagies [8] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Emerson College | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cor Stratagies [8] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | J. B. Pritzker Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 34% | 11% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 29% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.5% | 28.7% | 26.8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. [upper-alpha 18] | February 25–28, 2024 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 33% | 19% [lower-alpha 16] |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 19] | February 13–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
John Zogby Strategies | January 2–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Emerson College | December 15–17, 2023 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 19] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 19] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [lower-alpha 17] [upper-alpha 19] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Selzer & Co. | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 19] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 31% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% |
co/efficient (R) | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Faucheux Strategies [upper-alpha 20] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Faucheux Strategies [upper-alpha 20] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 33% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 38% | 30% [lower-alpha 18] |
Digital Research | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 614 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 35% | 29% [lower-alpha 19] |
Emerson College | September 19–20, 2022 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Biden is favored to carry this district.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 31% | 31% [lower-alpha 20] |
Digital Research | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Trump is favored to carry this district.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 25% | 30% [lower-alpha 21] |
Digital Research | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 22] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [upper-alpha 21] | May 6–7, 2024 | 719 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
Gonzales Research | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% |
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% |
Gonzales Research | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 22] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
Emerson College | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 22] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 22] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 22] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
Gonzales Research | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 22] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 68% | 32% | – |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
Emerson College | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 26% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/UMass Amherst | May 17–30, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% |
Suffolk University [upper-alpha 22] | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
Suffolk University | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 23] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Marketing Resource Group | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22% [lower-alpha 23] |
The Bullfinch Group | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Spry Strategies | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 25] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | – |
CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 26] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
EPIC-MRA | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
Target Insyght | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Glengariff Group [upper-alpha 27] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
John Zogby Strategies | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 28] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
EPIC-MRA | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 29] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 30] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% [lower-alpha 24] | ||
EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 29] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 31] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16% [lower-alpha 25] |
616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11% [lower-alpha 25] | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Marketing Resource Group | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
Emerson College | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% | ||
Spry Strategies | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/The Hill | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 6% |
Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
Glengariff Group [upper-alpha 27] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 24] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 29] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 29] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 32] | May 8–11, 2024 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 42% | 14% [lower-alpha 26] |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 32] | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | 14% [lower-alpha 27] |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 32] | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 32] | January 24–29, 2024 | 1,594 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Embold Research/MinnPost | November 14–17, 2023 | 1,519 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,830 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | October 10–11, 2023 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
SurveyUSA | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 9% |
Emerson College | September 23–27, 2022 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | September 14–18, 2022 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,981 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
SurveyUSA | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | September 18–20, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 36% | 9% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | April 21–22, 2021 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [upper-alpha 33] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 34] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 54% | 37% | 9% |
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [upper-alpha 33] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 28% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 51% | 30% | 7% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 49% | 28% | 6% | 4% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 24–25, 2024 | 737 (V) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 34% | 9% |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 35] | November 13–16, 2023 | 1,048 (LV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 423 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 31% | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 34% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iron Light Intelligence [upper-alpha 36] | May 17–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,069 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
The Tyson Group [upper-alpha 37] | May 22–25, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 19–21, 2024 | 522 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
494 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | 6% | ||
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 468 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 51% | 11% | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 450 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 38] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–15, 2024 | 447 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 445 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 457 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
Emerson College | January 5–8, 2024 | 1,294 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 44% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 451 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 437 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 14% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 52% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
CNN | September 29 – October 3, 2023 | 1,251 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Vote TXT | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | – | 41% | 48% | 11% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 39] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 39% | 39% | 22% [lower-alpha 28] | ||
Noble Predictive Insights | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 42% | 18% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 679 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 40] | October 13–17, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 49% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 8–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | March 21–24, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,069 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
The Tyson Group [upper-alpha 41] | May 22–25, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 40% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 468 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 10% | 3% | 0% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 44% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 27% | 41% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 18% [lower-alpha 29] |
614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 44% | 11% | 0% | 1% | 14% [lower-alpha 29] | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 450 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 34% | 48% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 37% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 11% [lower-alpha 29] |
Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–15, 2024 | 447 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 36% | 42% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 33% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 445 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 44% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 457 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 31% | 43% | 12% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
Emerson College | January 5–8, 2024 | 1,294 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 451 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 19–21, 2024 | 522 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 44% | 9% | 7% |
494 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 46% | 8% | 6% | ||
Iron Light Intelligence [upper-alpha 42] | May 17–21, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 15% | 14% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 38% | 23% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 437 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 35% | 39% | 11% | 1% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 49% | 19% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Vote TXT | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | – | 36% | 46% | 17% |
Noble Predictive Insights | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 44% | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Saint Anselm College | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Emerson College | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 43% | 8% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – |
Saint Anselm College [upper-alpha 17] | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 41% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NHJournal/Praecones Analytica | May 15–20, 2024 | 862 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | May 6–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 42% | 36% | 11% | 11% |
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 41% | 12% | 3% |
Saint Anselm College | December 18–19, 2023 | 1,711 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 39% | 8% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 39% | 5% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 33% | 15% [lower-alpha 30] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 10 | 2% |
Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 14% | 7% |
University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 15% [lower-alpha 31] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Tim Scott Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 34% | 14% [lower-alpha 32] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Chris Christie Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 20% | 27% [lower-alpha 33] | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Mike Pence Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 25% [lower-alpha 34] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Chris Sununu Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 14% | 6% |
co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% |
Praecones Analytica | April 14–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 36% | 53% | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Bernie Sanders Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47.6% | 42.5% | 9.8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Elizabeth Warren Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 8–11, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [upper-alpha 9] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 45% | – |
Siena College | May 13–15, 2024 | 1,191 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) | May 2–3, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College | April 15–17, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
Siena College | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
Siena College | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Siena College | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 28% | 21% |
SurveyUSA | November 3–6, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 9] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,018 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
Emerson College | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
SurveyUSA | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 29% | 22% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 7% |
Siena College | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 11% |
Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 37% | 28% | 18% | 5% | 11% |
Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [upper-alpha 9] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.1% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 10.5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
East Carolina University | May 31 – June 3, 2024 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
North Star Opinion Research (R) [upper-alpha 43] | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 44] | May 26–27, 2024 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 45] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
High Point University | May 5–9, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 48% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
Mason-Dixon | April 9–13, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
High Point University | March 22–30, 2024 | 829(RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 42% | 14% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 46] | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 47] | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Meredith College | November 1–5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | 22% [lower-alpha 35] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 20% |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 48] | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 49] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 54% | 46% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 45% | 37% | 18% [lower-alpha 36] | ||
Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 18% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 47] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Differentiators (R) [upper-alpha 50] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
East Carolina University | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 17] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
East Carolina University | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Star Opinion Research (R) [upper-alpha 43] | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 34% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 35% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 32% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 45] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 51] | May 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 38% | 9% | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 700 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 7% | 12% |
Meeting Street Insights (R) [upper-alpha 52] | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 35% | 11% | 14% [lower-alpha 37] |
Meredith College | April 11–17, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 39% | 9% | 11% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 47] | April 7–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 11% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 642 (LV) | – | 43% | 39% | 8% | 10% |
Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 43% | 11% | – |
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 53] | January 30 – February 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 37% | 33% | 11% | 19% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 44% | 35% | 8% | 13% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 41% | 38% | 9% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 34% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 16% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 33% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 36% | 33% | 12% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 40% | 13% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 47] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Differentiators (R) [upper-alpha 50] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 47] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs | May 28–29, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 46% | – |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | March 13–15, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Ohio Northern University | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 54] | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 55% | 45% | – |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 54] | January 23–25, 2024 | 1,844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Emerson College/WJW-TV | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 40% | 15% [lower-alpha 38] |
Emerson College | October 2–4, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 33% | 23% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 57% | 40% | 3% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Ohio Northern University/Lucid | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Emerson College | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 17] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs | May 28–29, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 3% | – |
East Carolina University | March 8–11, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 54] | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Emerson College/WJW-TV | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 32% | 13% | 11% |
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 35% | 11% | 12% [lower-alpha 39] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 45% | 36% | 9% | 10% |
Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 38% | 2% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 42% | 34% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 33% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 34% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 36% | 30% [lower-alpha 40] |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 41% | 21% [lower-alpha 41] |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron Desantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Chris Christie Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 39% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 38% | 24% [lower-alpha 42] |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 38% | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Scott Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 39% | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Causeway Solutions | May 19–27, 2023 | 1,639 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 33% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
SoonerPoll | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 56% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
923 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 47% | 8% | ||
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
1,023 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 55] | April 24–30, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 51% | – |
CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,288 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Muhlenberg College | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
The Bullfinch Group [upper-alpha 56] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 18% [lower-alpha 43] |
Franklin & Marshall College | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 57] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Emerson College | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Fox News | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | February 27 – March 7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Chism Strategies | February 6–8, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 32% | 40% | 28% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | January 22–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Franklin & Marshall College | January 17–28, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | January 15–21, 2024 | 745 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University | January 4–8, 2024 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 46% | 5% [lower-alpha 44] |
The Bullfinch Group | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
816 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Franklin & Marshall College | October 11–22, 2023 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 1,725 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 58] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 59] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 38% | 43% | 19% [lower-alpha 45] | ||
Quinnipiac University | June 22–26, 2023 | 1,584 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Franklin & Marshall College | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 35% | 29% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | February 19–26, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 23–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Emerson College | August 22–23, 2022 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 17] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | July 19–21, 2022 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | February 15–16, 2022 | 635 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 36% | 40% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 13% [lower-alpha 46] |
1,023 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 41% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 12% [lower-alpha 46] | ||
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10% |
Emerson College | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Fox News | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | January 4–8, 2023 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 3% [lower-alpha 47] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 2–4, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 41% | 43% | 7% | 0% | 9% |
Franklin & Marshall College | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | March 14–17, 2024 | 775 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
Franklin & Marshall College | January 17–28, 2024 | 494 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 39% | 8% | 12% |
923 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 7% | 8% | ||
Muhlenberg College | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 35% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
The Bullfinch Group [upper-alpha 60] | March 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 41% | 7% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,069 (LV) | – | 39% | 40% | 9% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 44% | 7% | 10% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6 | 35% | 35% | 23% | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 39% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 40% | 16% | 4% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 1% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 48% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 36% | 26% | 18% | 7% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 60% | 40% | – |
Fleming & Associates | September 29 – October 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
The Citadel | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
Winthrop University | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | February 1–8, 2024 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
643 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% | ||
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Joe Manchin Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Winthrop University | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Jill Stein Green | Joe Manchin Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 25% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,777 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 26% | 18% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 432 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon [upper-alpha 61] | May 10–13, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 31% | 11% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 31% | 14% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 63% | 31% | 5% |
Siena College [upper-alpha 63] | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | – | 49% | 20% | 31% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,046 (V) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 11% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SSRS/Vanderbilt University | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16% [lower-alpha 48] |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | December 14–28, 2023 | 933 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | October 5–16, 2023 | 844 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 62] | June 14–22, 2023 | 977 (V) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 36% | 11% |
SSRS/Vanderbilt University | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | 12% [lower-alpha 49] |
Cygnal (R) | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Marist College | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
UT Tyler | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% [lower-alpha 50] |
University of Houston | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 65] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14% [lower-alpha 51] |
CWS Research (R) | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 20–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | June 8–10, 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
Texas Lyceum | April 12–21, 2024 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 15% [lower-alpha 52] |
Cygnal (R) | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
UT Tyler | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 3% | – |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 65] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 36% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 46% | 34% | 9% | 11% [lower-alpha 53] |
Marist College | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 36% | 15% | 1% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 13% [lower-alpha 54] |
YouGov [upper-alpha 66] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 8% [lower-alpha 55] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Manchin No Labels | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 66] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 39% | 15% [lower-alpha 56] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UT Tyler | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 40% | 29% [lower-alpha 57] |
YouGov [upper-alpha 66] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UT Tyler | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 38% | 24% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14% [lower-alpha 58] |
CWS Research (R) | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% [lower-alpha 59] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 29% | 36% | 36% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Scott Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 64] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics | January 16–21, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 23% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Roanoke College | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 67] | April 26–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Mason-Dixon | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Roanoke College | November 12–20, 2023 | 686 (A) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 68] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 37% | 26% |
Roanoke College | August 6–15, 2023 | 702 (A) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 42% | 17% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Roanoke College | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 46% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Roanoke College | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 36% | 14% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 40% | 39% | 7% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Manchin Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 37% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia Commonwealth University | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia Commonwealth University | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 68] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Glenn Youngkin Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 68] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 34% | 29% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 37% | 44% | 19% |
Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 55% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | February 29 - March 3, 2024 | 117 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 58% | 28% | 14% |
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | February 29 - March 3, 2024 | 111 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 28% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies | April 13 - 21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 42% | - |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies | April 13 - 21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 29% | - |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 69] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
The Independent Center | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 70] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 69] | February 13–14, 2024 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 69] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Crosscut/Elway | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 29% | 31% [lower-alpha 60] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 69] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Emerson College | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 41% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crosscut/Elway | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 26% [lower-alpha 61] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cascade PBS/Elway Research | May 13–16, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 34% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 17% |
The Independent Center | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 35% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 69] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kaplan Strategies | June 4, 2024 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 28% | 17% [lower-alpha 62] |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 38% | 22% [lower-alpha 63] |
290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 41% | 19% [lower-alpha 64] | ||
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% | ||
Quinnipiac University | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 51% | – |
736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 51% | – | ||
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 5] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Echelon Insights [upper-alpha 71] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Emerson College/The Hill | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Kaplan Strategies | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% | ||
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Emerson College | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
819 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 48% | 1% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 72] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Prime Group [upper-alpha 73] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
500 (RV) | – | 37% | 40% | 23% [lower-alpha 65] | ||
Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 43% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prime Group [upper-alpha 1] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
New York Times/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 14% [lower-alpha 46] |
614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13% [lower-alpha 46] | ||
Quinnipiac University | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 4% |
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Marquette University Law School | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 5] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
Wall Street Journal | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 38% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College/The Hill | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% | ||
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12% [lower-alpha 66] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 18% |
290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 35% | 12% | 13% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 57% | 2% |
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 57% | 1% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 53% | 3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 50% | 1% |
Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 478 (RV) | ±4.5% | 68% | 15% | 18% |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arizona voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Arizona is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Montana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Montana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Montana has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nevada voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Ohio has 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Rhode Island voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Rhode Island has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. South Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
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