2024 United States presidential election in Colorado

Last updated

2024 United States presidential election in Colorado
Flag of Colorado.svg
←  2020 November 5, 20242028 →
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden
(presumptive)		 Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris
(presumptive)		 TBA
Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Colorado voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Colorado has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. [1]

Contents

No Republican has won Colorado by double digits at the presidential level since Ronald Reagan in his 1984 landslide re-election victory. Colorado was consistently competitive at the presidential level from the late 1980s going through the 2010s, including Hillary Clinton narrowly winning the state by 4.9% in 2016. In 2020, Democrat Joe Biden carried the state and became the first presidential candidate to win Colorado by a double-digit margin since Reagan. The last Republican to win the Centennial State’s electoral votes was George W. Bush in his 2004 re-election victory. Today, Colorado is a slightly-to-moderately blue state, [2] with Democrats winning the state in every presidential election starting in 2008, and occupying every statewide office since 2023.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for re-election to a second term. [3]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Colorado Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Colorado Democratic primary, March 5, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)477,36582.5%7272
Noncommitted Delegate 52,1229.0%
Dean Phillips 17,9363.1%
Marianne Williamson 16,7612.9%
Gabriel Cornejo4,3130.7%
Jason Palmer 3,9860.7%
Armando Perez-Serrato2,5910.5%
Frankie Lozada2,4020.4%
Stephen Lyons1,4810.3%
Total:578,957100%7272
Source: [4]

Republican primary

The Colorado Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Colorado Republican primary, March 5, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 555,86363.46%24
Nikki Haley 291,61533.29%12
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)12,6721.45%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)7,1880.82%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)5,1130.58%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)2,2200.25%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)1,2690.14%
Total:875,940100.00%36137
Source: [5] [6]

General election

14th Amendment lawsuit

The Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington, a left-leaning non-profit, filed a lawsuit on behalf of four Republicans and independent voters, saying that Donald Trump is ineligible to run for president because of a section in the 14th Amendment that states "no person shall ... hold any office, civil or military, under the United States ... who, having previously taken an oath .... as an officer of the United States ... shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof". A trial on this case took place during October and November 2023. [7] [8] The judge found that Trump engaged in insurrection but declined to remove Trump from the primary ballot, saying there is "scant direct evidence regarding whether the Presidency is one of the positions subject to disqualification". [9] [10] On December 19, 2023, the Colorado Supreme Court ruled that Trump is disqualified from the Presidency under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment and ordered that Trump be removed from the 2024 Colorado Republican presidential primary ballot. [11] [12] [13]

Trump appealed this ruling to the Supreme Court of the United States, and arguments were heard in February. [14] The Colorado decision was stayed pending appeal, and Trump was included on the certified ballot, which began to be mailed to overseas voters on January 20. [15] On March 4, 2024, the Supreme Court issued a ruling unanimously reversing the Colorado Supreme Court decision, ruling that states had no authority to remove Trump from their ballots, and this was instead a power held by Congress. [16]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [17] Solid DDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [18] Solid DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [19] Solid DJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [20] Likely DDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [21] Solid DDecember 30, 2023
CNN [22] Lean DJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist [23] Likely DJune 12, 2024
538 [24] Likely DJune 11, 2024

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies April 13–21, 2024529 (LV)–49%43%8%
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D) [upper-alpha 1] March 15–19, 2024632 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
Florida Atlantic University February 29 – March 3, 2024170 (LV)–48%44%8%
179 (RV)–48%43%9%
Emerson College January 23–28, 20241,856 (RV)± 2.2%41%35%24%
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 2] January 22–28, 2024801 (RV)± 4.2%49%41%10%
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder December 1–18, 2023800 (A)± 4.2%47%40%13%
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 1] November 26–27, 2023652 (LV)± 3.8%45%36%19%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023477 (LV)± 4.4%42%38%20%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–49%39%12%
Emerson College October 26–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%39%14%
Emerson College September 18–19, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%46%36%18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 24–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%50%43%6%
Blueprint Polling (D) April 6–8, 2022612 (V)± 4.0%43%43%14%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Joe
Biden
Democratic		Ron
DeSantis
Republican		Other /
Undecided
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder December 1–18, 2023800 (A)± 4.2%46%33%21%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023500 (LV)–44%41%15%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		Other /
Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) April 6–8, 2022612 (V)± 4.0%43%42%16%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Colorado Supreme Court</span> Highest court in the U.S. state of Colorado

The Colorado Supreme Court is the highest court in the U.S. state of Colorado. Located in Denver, the court was established in 1876. It consists of a Chief Justice and six Associate Justices who are appointed by the Governor of Colorado from a list of candidates approved by a state judicial commission. Each justice faces a retention election two years after his or her appointment and every ten years thereafter, with mandatory retirement at age 72.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all fifty states and the District of Columbia participated. District of Columbia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. The District of Columbia has three electoral votes in the Electoral College. Prior to the election, Clinton was considered to be virtually certain to win Washington DC.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Jena Griswold</span> American attorney and politician

Jena Marie Griswold is an American attorney and politician from the state of Colorado. A Democrat, she is the 39th Colorado Secretary of State, serving since January 8, 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election</span> 60th quadrennial U.S. presidential election

The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. Voters will elect a president and vice president for a term of four years. Incumbent President Joe Biden, a member of the Democratic Party, is running for re-election. His predecessor Donald Trump, a member of the Republican Party, is running for re-election for a second, non-consecutive term, after losing to him in 2020. If both are nominated, this will mark the first presidential election rematch since 1956.

This is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the 2024 United States presidential election. This will be the first presidential election to be run with population data from the 2020 census. In addition to the dates mandated by the relevant federal laws such as those in the U.S. Constitution and the Electoral Count Act, several milestones have consistently been observed since the adoption of the conclusions of the 1971 McGovern–Fraser Commission.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Republican Party presidential primaries</span>

Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place within all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories between January 15, 2024, and June 4, 2024. These elections selected most of the 2,429 delegates to be sent to the Republican National Convention. The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled to be held in July at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Arizona</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arizona voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Arizona is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in California</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most in the country.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Florida</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Georgia</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Maine</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Maine is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maine voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. The at-large votes are expected to be contested by both parties, but are favored to be carried by the Democratic presidential candidate, having last been won by a Republican in 1988. However, the two congressional districts are expected to be split between the Democratic and Republican candidates, something that has occurred in 2016 and 2020.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Nevada</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nevada voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Ohio</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Ohio has 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Utah</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Utah is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Utah voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin</span>

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Colorado Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2024 Colorado Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 37 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states. Donald Trump won in 57 of the counties. Nikki Haley won the majority of the vote in seven counties. The counties Nikki Haley won were Denver, Boulder, Summit, Pitkin, Routt, San Miguel, and San Juan.

<i>Trump v. Anderson</i> United States Supreme Court case

Trump v. Anderson, No. 23-719, 601 U.S. 100 (2024), is a U.S. Supreme Court case in which the Court unanimously held that states could not determine eligibility for federal office, including the presidency, under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment. In December 2023, the Colorado Supreme Court rejected former president Donald Trump's presidential eligibility on the basis of his actions during the January 6 Capitol attack, adhering to the Fourteenth Amendment disqualification theory. The case was known as Anderson v. Griswold in the Colorado state courts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Presidential eligibility of Donald Trump</span> 2023–24 U.S. legal and political dispute

Donald Trump's eligibility to run in the 2024 U.S. presidential election was the subject of dispute due to his involvement in the January 6 United States Capitol attack, through the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution's "insurrection clause", which disqualifies insurrectionists against the United States from holding office if they have previously taken an oath to support the constitution. Courts or officials in three states—Colorado, Maine, and Illinois—ruled that Trump was barred from presidential ballots. However, the Supreme Court in Trump v. Anderson (2024) reversed the ruling in Colorado on the basis that states could not enforce the insurrection clause against federal elected officials.

References

  1. ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ↑ Barabak, Mark Z. (March 21, 2023). "Column: From red bastion to blue bulwark: What political shift in Colorado and West means for U.S." Los Angeles Times. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  3. ↑ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  4. ↑ "Colorado Presidential Primary". Associated Press . Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  5. ↑ "2024 Primary Presidential Election - Unofficial Results". Colorado Secretary of State Election Results . March 13, 2024. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  6. ↑ "2024 Presidential Delegate Count - Republican". AP News. March 13, 2024. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  7. ↑ See Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution
  8. ↑ Durkee, Alison. "Trump Faces First Hearing Over Whether He Can Run For President Today—What To Watch For In 14th Amendment Case". Forbes. Retrieved October 31, 2023.
  9. ↑ Cohen, Marshall (November 18, 2023). "Colorado judge keeps Trump on 2024 primary ballot as latest 14th Amendment case falters | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  10. ↑ "Colorado judge rules Trump 'engaged in an insurrection' — but can still run for president". Politico. November 17, 2023. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  11. ↑ Astor, Maggie (December 19, 2023). "Trump Is Disqualified From the 2024 Ballot, Colorado Supreme Court Rules". The New York Times . Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  12. ↑ Cohen, Marshall (December 19, 2023). "Colorado Supreme Court removes Trump from 2024 ballot based on 14th Amendment's 'insurrectionist ban'". CNN. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  13. ↑ Grumbach, Gary; Gregorian, Dareh (December 19, 2023). "Colorado Supreme Court kicks Trump off the state's 2024 ballot for violating the U.S. Constitution". NBC News. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  14. ↑ Liptak, Adam (January 18, 2024). "Trump Asks Supreme Court to Rule He Is Eligible to Hold Office". The New York Times.
  15. ↑ "Despite US Supreme Court appeal, Trump certified as candidate on Colorado GOP ballot". ABC News. Retrieved January 19, 2024.
  16. ↑ "Donald Trump: US Supreme Court rules that states cannot kick him off the presidential ballot". Sky News. Retrieved March 4, 2024.
  17. ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  18. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  19. ↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  20. ↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  21. ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  22. ↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  23. ↑ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  24. ↑ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.