2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

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2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia
Flag of Washington, D.C.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris
(presumptive)
TBA

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. District of Columbia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The District of Columbia has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the district neither gained nor lost a seat. Per the Constitution, the District of Columbia can not be apportioned more members of the Electoral College than the number apportioned to the state apportioned the fewest. [1]

Contents

As an urban area with an African American plurality, Democrats have faced almost no challenge to earn the District of Columbia's electoral votes in presidential elections since it was first granted its electoral college representation. Starting with Lyndon B. Johnson's victory in 1964, every Democratic nominee for president has won the District by massive margins, including the 49-state landslide defeats of George McGovern and Walter Mondale in 1972 and 1984. Thus, the district is predicted to again be a very easy Democratic win in 2024. [2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for re-election to a second term. [3]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The District of Columbia Republican presidential primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

District of Columbia Republican primary, March 1–3, 2024 [4]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Nikki Haley 1,27962.85%19019
Donald Trump 67633.22%000
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)381.87%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)180.88%000
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)150.74%000
David Stuckenberg80.39%000
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)10.05%000
Total:2,035100.00%19019

Democratic primary

The 2024 Distric of Columbia will be held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in South Dakota, New Mexico, New Jersey, Montana.

Statehood Green primary

The D.C. Statehood Green Party primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in Montana. No candidate appeared on the ballot.

D.C. Statehood Green primary, June 4, 2024
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Scattered write-ins 27257.63%0
Blank ballots20042.37%0
Total:472100.00%5
Source: [5]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [6] Solid DDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [7] Solid DApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [8] Solid DJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [9] Safe DDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [10] Solid DDecember 30, 2023
CNN [11] Solid DJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist [12] Solid DJune 12, 2024
538 [13] Solid DJune 11, 2024

See also

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References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  3. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  4. "The DC GOP Presidential Primary Candidates Official Ballot". District of Columbia Republican Party . Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  5. "2024 Primary Election - June 4, 2024" . Retrieved June 5, 2024.
  6. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  12. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  13. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.