2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii

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Nominee Joe Biden (presumptive) Donald Trump (presumptive) Party Democratic Republican Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris (presumptive) TBA

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Hawaii voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Hawaii has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. ^[2] Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in late February. ^[3] Hawaii is considered to be one of the most Democratic leaning states in the nation, and Biden is expected to easily win the state.

Primary elections

Democratic caucuses

Main article: 2024 Hawaii Democratic presidential caucuses

The Hawaii Democratic caucuses were held on March 6, 2024.

Hawaii Democratic caucus, March 6, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	1,032	66.0%	15		15
Uncommitted	455	29.1%	7		7
Marianne Williamson	50	3.2%	0
Dean Phillips	15	1.0%	0
Jason Palmer	6	0.4%	0
Armando Perez-Serrato	5	0.3%	0
Total:	1,563	100.00%	22	9	31
Source: [4]

Republican caucuses

Main article: 2024 Hawaii Republican presidential caucuses

The Hawaii Republican caucuses was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Idaho, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington.

Hawaii Republican Caucuses, March 12, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	4,348	97.08%	19	0	19
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	68	1.52%	0	0	0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	26	0.58%	0	0	0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	25	0.56%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	8	0.18%	0	0	0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	2	0.04%	0	0	0
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)	1	0.02%	0	0	0
David Stuckenberg	1	0.02%	0	0	0
Total:	4,479	100.00%	19	0	19
Source: [5]

General election

The Democratic Party of Hawaii attempted to disqualify the "ballot access petition" for Kennedy's newly created party, the We the People Party, on the November ballot, though the state Democratic Party was unsuccessful. ^[6]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [7]	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [8]	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [9]	Solid D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [10]	Safe D	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [11]	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN [12]	Solid D	January 14, 2024
The Economist [13]	Solid D	June 12, 2024
538 [14]	Solid D	June 11, 2024

See also

• United States presidential elections in Hawaii
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
2. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
3. Pellish, Aaron (February 27, 2024). "Super PAC supporting RFK Jr. says it has gathered enough signatures to put him on ballot in Arizona, Georgia | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
4. "Hawaii Democratic Caucus Results". The New York Times. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
5. "Hawaii Presidential Caucuses". The AP. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
6. Pellish, Aaron (April 20, 2024). "RFK Jr. will appear on Hawaii ballot, third state to include him". CNN. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
7. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
8. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
9. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
10. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
13. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
14. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.