2024 United States presidential election in Kansas

2024 Kansas Green presidential primary
4 Green National Convention delegates
Turnout	7

Last updated June 13, 2024

The 2024 United States presidential election in Kansas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Kansas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.^[1]

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Kansas Republican Primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.

Kansas Republican Primary, March 19, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	72,115	75.52%	39		39
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)	15,339	16.06%
None of the Names Shown	4,982	5.22%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	2,543	2.66%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	508	0.53%
Total:	95,487	100.00%	39		39
Source: ^[3]^[4]

Democratic primary

The Kansas Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Kansas Democratic primary, March 19, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	35,906	83.7%	33		33
None of the Names Shown	4,433	10.3%
Marianne Williamson	1,494	3.5%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)	566	1.3%
Jason Palmer	516	1.2%
Total:	42,915	100.0%	33	6	39
Source:^[5]

Green primary

The Kansas Green primary was held from January 22, 2024 to February 5, 2024. It was a held digitally under a ranked-choice voting system. Jill Stein won with 100% of the vote, being ranked first by all 7 voting party members. Stein automatically received Kansas' 4 delegates to the 2024 Green National Convention.^[6]

Kansas Green primary, January 22, 2024 – February 5, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Delegate count
Jill Stein	7	100%	4
Total:	7	100%	4
Source:^[6]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report ^[7]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections ^[8]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^[9]	Solid R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill ^[10]	Safe R	May 31, 2024
CNalysis ^[11]	Solid R	December 30, 2023
CNN ^[12]	Solid R	January 14, 2024
The Economist ^[13]	Solid R	June 12, 2024
538 ^[14]	Likely R	June 11, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	487 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	31%	22%
Emerson College	October 27–29, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	37%	13%
Emerson College	September 15–18, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	36%	12%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	392 (LV)	± 7.5%	52%	41%	7%

Hypothetical polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	392 (LV)	± 7.5%	50%	39%	11%

Notes

1 2 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

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References

↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
↑ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
↑ "Kansas Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
↑ "Kansas Republican Presidential Nominating Process" (PDF). sos.ks.gov. March 19, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
↑ "Kansas Presidential Primary". The AP. May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
1 2 @KSGreenParty (February 8, 2024). "The Kansas Green Party has concluded its presidential primary. Seven Kansas Green Party members cast their ranked-choice ballot and all ranked @DrJillStein first. Jill Stein will receive all four of our delegates at the Presidential Nominating Convention. #GreenParty" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2024.
↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
↑ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
↑ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.

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[key-15] 1 2 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.

[2] Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.

[3] "Kansas Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 18, 2024.

[4] "Kansas Republican Presidential Nominating Process" (PDF). sos.ks.gov. March 19, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.

[5] "Kansas Presidential Primary". The AP. May 2, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.

[The_Kansas_Green_Party_has_conclude-6] 1 2 @KSGreenParty (February 8, 2024). "The Kansas Green Party has concluded its presidential primary. Seven Kansas Green Party members cast their ranked-choice ballot and all ranked @DrJillStein first. Jill Stein will receive all four of our delegates at the Presidential Nominating Convention. #GreenParty" (Tweet) – via Twitter.

[7] "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[8] "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[9] "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[10] "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved May 31, 2024.

[11] "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.

[12] "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.

[13] "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.

[14] Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.

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