2024 Montana gubernatorial election

Last updated

2024 Montana gubernatorial election
Flag of Montana.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
  Greg Gianforte in Taiwan (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Greg Gianforte Ryan Busse
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Kristen Juras Raph Graybill

Incumbent Governor

Greg Gianforte
Republican



The 2024 Montana gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of the U.S. state of Montana, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024. [1]

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary results [7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Greg Gianforte (incumbent)
Kristen Juras (incumbent)
141,678 75.3%
Republican Tanner Smith
Randy Pinocci
46,56424.7%
Total votes188,242 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Shawn White Wolf, perennial candidate [12]

Results

Democratic primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ryan Busse
Raph Graybill
69,184 70.9%
Democratic Jim Hunt
Jerry Driscoll
28,35429.1%
Total votes97,538 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Presumptive nominee

  • Kaiser Leib, software engineer [10]
    • Running mate: Matt Campbell, transportation engineer [11]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [14] Solid RJuly 21, 2023
Inside Elections [15] Solid RJuly 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] Safe RJuly 13, 2023
Elections Daily [17] Safe RJuly 12, 2023

Polling

Greg Gianforte vs. Ryan Busse
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Ryan
Busse (D)
Undecided
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 1] February 12–15, 2024549 (LV)± 4.5%52%30%18%

Results

2024 Montana gubernatorial election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
Democratic
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by KULR-TV

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References

  1. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". National Conference of State Legislatures . Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. 1 2 Anthony, Michael (January 17, 2024). "Governor Greg Gianforte to seek reelection". KFYR-TV . Retrieved January 17, 2024.
  3. Larson, Seaborn (June 13, 2023). "Freshman GOP Rep. announces run for governor". Independent Record .
  4. Kimbel-Sannit, Arren; Sakariassen, Alex; Eggert, Amanda (April 15, 2024). "Who's running for office in Montana's 2024 election". Montana Free Press . Retrieved May 2, 2024.
  5. NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Montana". NRA-PVF. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  6. Stacy, Nicole (May 3, 2024). "SBA Pro-Life America Candidate Fund Endorses Gianforte for Governor". SBA Pro-Life America. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  7. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/montana-governor-results#republican-primary
  8. Hanson, Amy; Brown, Matthew (September 14, 2023). "Former firearms executive Busse seeks Democratic nomination for Montana governor". Associated Press . Retrieved September 14, 2023.
  9. Silvers, Mara (February 19, 2024). "Busse taps Graybill as running mate in bid for governor's office". Montana Free Press . Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  10. 1 2 "FEDERAL PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List". prodcandidatefiling.mt.gov. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  11. 1 2 Ambarian, Jonathon (March 11, 2024). "Top Montana election races set as candidate filing period closes". KTVH . Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  12. Kimbel-Sannit, Arren; Sakariassen, Alex (November 28, 2023). "Who's running for office in Montana in 2024? Here's a running list". Montana Free Press . Retrieved January 17, 2024. Shawn White Wolf, who has run for a number of different positions in the Helena area in recent years, filed to run for governor in 2023 but has since withdrawn his candidacy.
  13. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/montana-governor-results#democratic-primary
  14. "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  15. "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  16. "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  17. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
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