Hurricane Hernan (2002)

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Saffir–Simpson scale
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
Disc Plain black.svg Tropical cyclone
Solid black.svg Subtropical cyclone
ArrowUp.svg Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

On August 16, a tropical wave left the coast of Africa. It traveled westward across the Atlantic Ocean, crossing over Central America and emerging in the eastern Pacific, where it merged with a pre-existing Intertropical Convergence Zone disturbance. The system gradually developed moderate convection, and on August 30 it had developed sufficient convection to be designated Tropical Depression 10-E. [1] The depression produced persistent strong thunderstorms, primarily in two areas of deep convection located to the northeast and west of the center of circulation. [1] Although the center was elongated, wind shear over the system remained light and outflow was good, which led forecasters to predict modest intensification. [4] On the afternoon of August 30, banding features became evident, and the depression was upgraded to Tropical Storm Hernan with sustained winds of 45 mph (70 km/h). [5] Further organization occurred, [5] and the center of circulation became encircled by convective thunderstorms. [6] On August 31, the storm was upgraded to Hurricane Hernan as it moved northwestward about 400 miles (640 km) southwest of Acapulco. [7]

TRMM overpass image of Hernan's rainfall distribution after peak intensity Hurricane Hernan (2002) TRMM.JPG
TRMM overpass image of Hernan's rainfall distribution after peak intensity

Light wind shear and favorable ocean temperatures led to steady intensification of the storm, and satellite images indicated that an eye had developed late on August 31. [8] The storm quickly reached Category 3 major hurricane intensity on the Saffir–Simpson scale. [1] As Hernan continued strengthening, its eye became ragged, [9] while its lateral movement to the northwest rose to 17 mph around the southern periphery of a strong deep-layer ridge over the United States. [9] By September 1, the hurricane reached its peak intensity as a Category 5 hurricane, with 1-minute sustained winds of 160 mph (255 km/h) and a minimum pressure of 921 mb (hPa). [1]

On September 2, Hernan began weakening after its cloud tops had warmed slightly. Soon after, an eyewall replacement cycle began, [10] causing the storm to be downgraded to Category 3 status, just before it turned slightly to the west later in the day. [11] The storm underwent another eyewall replacement cycle as winds decreased further. [12] As the storm entered cooler waters, it quickly weakened below major hurricane intensity. [1] Soon Hernan was downgraded to a Category 1 hurricane, and its eye became cloud-filled. [13] On September 5, Hernan was downgraded to a tropical storm [1] as the storm rapidly decayed despite developing a new band of convection. [14] Later in the day, the system was downgraded to a tropical depression as it began to lose its tropical characteristics. [1] Strong wind shear developed, weakening the depression further. [15] On September 6, the system degenerated into a remnant low-pressure system, [1] which spawned a remnant plume of moisture that meandered off the coast of California, producing light showers. [1]

Intensity

When Hernan intensified from a tropical storm into a Category 5 hurricane, it intensified at a rate of 1.73 mbar (hPa) per hour, just under the threshold for "rapid intensification". However, for a 12-hour period from August 31 to September 1, it deepened at 2.58 mbar (hPa) per hour, within the range of "explosive deepening" due to favorable conditions including light wind shear and warm water. [16]

Impact

Hurricane Hernan remained far from shore and caused little damage to land. [1] It brought light wind to Socorro Island off the coast of Mexico. Rough surf caused minor impact; in the open waters near the center of Hernan, waves generated by the storm were unofficially estimated to exceed 70 feet (21 meters). However, official buoys reported swells of 57 feet (17 meters). [17] Along the coast of Mexico, waves reached 15–20 feet (4.6–6.1 meters), causing minor beach erosion. [18] A portion of Hernan's remnant moisture off the southern California coast produced light rainfall and slippery roads. [3]

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Miles B. Lawrence (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Tropical Cyclone Report". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  2. ↑ National Hurricane Center; Hurricane Research Division; Central Pacific Hurricane Center (April 4, 2023). "The Northeast and North Central Pacific hurricane database 1949–2022". United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service. A guide on how to read the database is available here. PD-icon.svg This article incorporates text from this source, which is in the public domain.
  3. 1 2 "Showers along the Southwest coast". Syracuse Post-Standard. 2002. Archived from the original on 2016-01-23. Retrieved 2008-02-20.
  4. ↑ Franklin (2002). "Tropical Depression 10-E Discussion Number 2". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  5. 1 2 Franklin (2002). "Tropical Storm Hernan Public Advisory Number 3". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  6. ↑ Beven (2002). "Tropical Storm Hernan Public Advisory Number 4". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  7. ↑ Lawrence (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Public Advisory Number 5". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  8. ↑ Avila (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Public Advisory Number 6". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  9. 1 2 Jarvinen/Knabb (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Public Advisory Number 8". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  10. ↑ Jarvinen/Molleda (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Public Advisory Number 12". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  11. ↑ Stewart (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Public Advisory Number 14". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  12. ↑ Stewart (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Public Advisory Number 15". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  13. ↑ Avila (2002). "Hurricane Hernan Public Advisory Number 19". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  14. ↑ Stewart/Rhome (2002). "Tropical Storm Hernan Public Advisory Number 25". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  15. ↑ Stewart/Rhome (2002). "Tropical Depression Hernan Public Advisory Number 29". National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  16. ↑ Gary Padgett. "August Tropical Cyclone Summary". Weathermatrix. Archived from the original on November 27, 2005. Retrieved 2008-02-20.
  17. ↑ Nathan Todd Cool. "70 waves generated by Hernan". WaveCast. Archived from the original on 2012-02-10. Retrieved 2008-02-18.
  18. ↑ National Climatic Data Center (2002). "Event Report for Hurricane Hernan". Archived from the original on 2011-05-20. Retrieved 2008-02-20.
Hurricane Hernan
Hernan 2002-09-01 2035Z (alternate).jpg
Hernan near peak intensity on September 1
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