Developer(s) | U.S. Census Bureau |
---|---|
Stable release | 0.3 / June 15, 2007 |
Repository | |
Operating system | Windows, Linux/Unix |
Type | Statistical software |
License | Public domain [1] [2] |
Website | X-12-ARIMA release notes |
X-12-ARIMA , successor to X-11, [3] was the U.S. Census Bureau's software package for seasonal adjustment. They were also used by Statistics Canada and in Australia. [4]
X-12-ARIMA can be used together with many statistical packages, such as Gretl or EViews which provides a graphical user interface for X-12-ARIMA, and NumXL which avails X-12-ARIMA functionality in Microsoft Excel.
Notable statistical agencies presently using X-12-ARIMA for seasonal adjustment include Statistics Canada, [5] the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics [6] and Census and Statistics Department (Hong Kong). [7] The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics uses X-13-ARIMA. [8]
X-12-ARIMA was the successor to X-11-ARIMA; the current version is X-13ARIMA-SEATS. [9]
X-13-ARIMA-SEATS's source code can be found on the Census Bureau's website. [10]
GNU Wget is a computer program that retrieves content from web servers. It is part of the GNU Project. Its name derives from World Wide Web and get. It supports downloading via HTTP, HTTPS, and FTP.
In statistics and econometrics, and in particular in time series analysis, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is a generalization of an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. Both of these models are fitted to time series data either to better understand the data or to predict future points in the series (forecasting). ARIMA models are applied in some cases where data show evidence of non-stationarity in the sense of mean, where an initial differencing step can be applied one or more times to eliminate the non-stationarity of the mean function. When the seasonality shows in a time series, the seasonal-differencing could be applied to eliminate the seasonal component. Since the ARMA model, according to the Wold's decomposition theorem, is theoretically sufficient to describe a regular wide-sense stationary time series, we are motivated to make stationary a non-stationary time series, e.g., by using differencing, before we can use the ARMA model. Note that if the time series contains a predictable sub-process, the predictable component is treated as a non-zero-mean but periodic component in the ARIMA framework so that it is eliminated by the seasonal differencing.
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Estela (Estelle) Bee Dagum is an Argentine and Canadian economist and statistician who was a professor "chiara fama" of statistical sciences at the University of Bologna. She is known for her research on time series analysis, and in particular for developing the X-11-ARIMA method of seasonal adjustment, which became widely used and is a predecessor to X-12-ARIMA and later methods.
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