2014 Georgia gubernatorial election

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2014 Georgia gubernatorial election
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  
Turnout42.25%
  Nathan Deal, April 25, 2017 (cropped).jpg Jason Carter 02 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Nathan Deal Jason Carter
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,345,2371,144,794
Percentage52.7%44.9%

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2014 GA GOV.svg
Deal:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Carter:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hunt:     50–60%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

Governor before election

Nathan Deal
Republican

Elected Governor

Nathan Deal
Republican

The 2014 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Georgia, concurrently with the election to Georgia's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Governor Nathan Deal was re-elected to serve a second term in office by a margin of 7.8%. He turned back two primary challengers and in the general election, defeated Democratic State Senator Jason Carter and Libertarian nominee businessman and engineer Andrew Hunt, who were unopposed in their respective primaries. As of 2022, this is the last time that Cobb and Gwinnett counties voted for the Republican candidate for governor and the last time that Burke, Chattahoochee, Dooly, Quitman, Twiggs, Washington, and Wilkinson counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal
John
Barge
David
Pennington
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage May 18, 2014852±3.36%62.1%5.1%9.9%22.9%
SurveyUSA May 8–12, 2014634± 4%63%10%15%12%
SurveyUSA April 24–27, 2014501± 4.3%64%10%11%16%
InsiderAdvantage April 13–15, 2014804±3.4%61%4%7%28%
Landmark/Rosetta March 23–24, 2014600± 4%58%8%7%27%
SurveyUSA March 16–18, 2014508± 4.2%65%7%11%17%
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013260± 6.1%71%8%21%
71%11%19%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 2013 ?± ?53%18%29%

Results

Results by county:
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Deal
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Pennington
50-60% Georgia Governor Republican primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Deal
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Pennington
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Nathan Deal (incumbent) 430,170 72.15
Republican David Pennington99,54816.70
Republican John Barge66,50011.15
Total votes596,218 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jason Carter 304,243 100
Total votes304,243 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Andrew Hunt, businessman and engineer [11]

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [12] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [14] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [15] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
Andrew
Hunt (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014975± 3.1%47%43%4%6%
49%45%6%
Landmark Communications November 2, 20141,500± 2.5%51%45%3%2%
Insider Advantage November 2, 20141,463± 3%47%44%5%4%
SurveyUSA October 30 – November 2, 2014591± 4.1%47%42%5%5%
YouGov October 25–31, 20141,743± 3.2%45%41%1%1%12%
NBC News/Marist October 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4%48%43%3%1%5%
875 RV± 3.3%46%42%4%1%7%
Landmark Communications [ permanent dead link ]October 29, 20141,500± 2.5%48%46%4%3%
Vox Populi Polling October 28, 2014602± 4%49%42%3%7%
Monmouth October 26–28, 2014436± 4.7%48%42%5%5%
Rasmussen Reports October 25–27, 2014977± 3%49%43%2%6%
SurveyUSA October 24–27, 2014611± 4%46%44%3%6%
Public Policy Polling October 23–24, 2014771± ?%48%45%4%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20141,774± 4%47%43%2%0%8%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution October 16–23, 20141,170± 3.6%46%41%6%7%
Insider Advantage October 21–22, 2014704± 3.7%44%44%5%8%
CNN/ORC International October 19–22, 2014565± 4%46%48%6%
Landmark Communications October 20–21, 20141,000± 2.75%48%45%5%2%
SurveyUSA October 17–20, 2014606± 4.1%45%43%4%8%
GaPundit.com October 13–14, 20141,543± 2.49%44%44%6%5%
SurveyUSA October 10–13, 2014563± 4.2%46%46%4%4%
Landmark Communications October 7–9, 20141,000± 3.1%45%45%5%5%
SurveyUSA October 2–6, 2014566± 4.2%46%44%4%7%
Public Policy Polling October 2–5, 2014895± 3.3%46%41%4%9%
50%45%5%
Hickman Analytics September 26 – October 5, 2014500± 4.4%44%36%9%13%
Rasmussen Reports September 30 – October 1, 20141,000± 4%49%43%2%6%
Insider Advantage September 29 – October 1, 2014947± 3.2%44%43%4%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 20141,851± 3%48%43%1%0%7%
SurveyUSA [ dead link ]September 19–22, 2014550± 4.3%44%45%4%7%
Rasmussen Reports September 15–16, 2014750± 4%45%44%3%8%
Insider Advantage September 10–11, 20141,167± 2.9%44%40%7%9%
Landmark Communications September 9–11, 20141,109± 2.9%44%47%4%5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution September 8–11, 2014884± 4%43%42%7%8%
SurveyUSA [ dead link ]September 5–8, 2014558± 4.2%45%44%4%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 20141,900± 3%47%39%4%1%9%
GaPundit.com August 24–25, 20141,578± 2.47%44%42%7%8%
Landmark Communications August 20–21, 2014600± 4%40%44%16%
SurveyUSA August 14–17, 2014560± 4.2%48%39%4%8%
InsiderAdvantage August 12–13, 2014719± 3.7%43%39%7%11%
Hicks Evaluation Group August 8–10, 2014788± 3.48%45%45%9%
Landmark Communications July 25, 2014750± 3.8%40%47%5%9%
Rasmussen Reports July 23–24, 2014750± 4%44%45%3%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20142,568± 3.4%50%41%1%8%
Landmark Communications July 15, 2014750± 441%49%4%6%
Public Policy Polling July 11–13, 2014664± ?41%40%8%11%
Insider Advantage June 24–25, 20141,349± 2.7%47%40%3%10%
SurveyUSA June 3–5, 2014999± 3.2%44%38%7%11%
Rasmussen Reports May 21–22, 2014750± 4%41%48%3%7%
Public Policy Polling May 21–22, 2014803± ?%43%43%7%7%
SurveyUSA May 8–12, 20141,380± 2.7%43%37%7%14%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution May 5–8, 20141,012± 4%48%44%8%
Saint Leo May 5–6, 20141,000± 3%38%35%11%16%
NBC News/Marist April 30 – May 5, 20142,196± 2.1%50%40%1%10%
SurveyUSA April 24–27, 20141,567± 2.5%41%37%9%13%
Public Policy Polling April 1–3, 2014628± 4%42%43%15%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone March 30, 2014575± 4%43%39%18%
Insider Advantage March 13, 2014486± 4.3%38%41%21%
Public Policy Polling February 19–20, 2014833± 4%45%42%12%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution January 6–9, 2014802± 4%47%38%15%
Insider Advantage January 6, 2014529± 4.6%44%22%34%
Anzalone Liszt Grove October 14–20, 2013600± 4%44%36%20%
Public Policy Polling October 7–8, 2013602± 4.1%44%40%16%
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%48%33%19%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%42%45%13%
Public Policy Polling February 15–18, 2013602± 4%46%38%16%
Public Policy Polling November 30–December 2, 2012729± 3.6%46%38%17%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%47%34%19%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%45%39%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
John
Barrow (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 15–18, 2013602± 4%48%38%14%
Public Policy Polling November 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6%44%40%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Scott
Holcomb (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling August 2–5, 2013520± 4.3%48%28%24%
20/20 Insight, LLC May 7–9, 20131,483± 2.5%41%41%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Kasim
Reed (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 15–18, 2013602± 4%48%38%14%
Public Policy Polling November 30 – December 2, 2012729± 3.6%47%40%13%
Hypothetical runoff polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nathan
Deal (R)
Jason
Carter (D)
OtherUndecided
NBC News/Marist October 26–30, 2014603 LV± 4%50%46%<1%4%
875 RV± 3.3%48%45%1%6%

Results

2014 Georgia gubernatorial election [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Nathan Deal (incumbent) 1,345,237 52.74% -0.28%
Democratic Jason Carter 1,144,79444.88%+1.91%
Libertarian Andrew Hunt60,1852.36%-1.65%
Write-in 4320.02%+0.02%
Total votes2,550,648 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Nathan Deal</span> American politician (born 1942)

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References

  1. Cassidy, Christina A. (August 31, 2013). "Ga. schools superintendent to run for governor". Marietta Daily Journal . Associated Press. Retrieved August 31, 2013.
  2. Bluestein, Greg (July 9, 2013). "Dalton's mayor to challenge Deal in GOP primary". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
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  13. "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  14. "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  15. "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  16. "GA – Election Results". Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved July 28, 2015.
Official campaign websites (Archived)