2012 Iranian legislative election

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2012 Iranian legislative election
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←  2008 2 March and 4 May 2012 2016  →
All 290 seats to the Islamic Consultative Assembly
146 seats needed for a majority
Turnout66.2% [1]
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Msc 2009-Friday, 16.00 - 19.00 Uhr-Dett 007 Larijani.jpg Ayatollah Mohammad-Taqi Mesbah-Yazdi (cropped).jpg Mohsen Rezaee Mirgha'ed.jpg
Leader Ali Larijani Mohammad Taqi Mesbah Yazdi Mohsen Rezaee
Party
Parties
 Stability Front
Parties
Alliance United Front of Principlists — Resistance Front
Leader's seat Qom Did not stand [a] Did not stand [b]
Seats won133 [c]
36+97		83 [d]
18+65		70 [e]
18+52
Percentage45.86%28.62%24.13%
Political camp Principlists Principlists Principlists
 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Mostafa Kavakebian2.jpg
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 2009.jpg
Mashai Russia June 2009.jpg
ShahabSadr cropped.jpg
Leader Mostafa Kavakebian Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Esfandiar Mashaei 		Shahabodin Sadr
Party
Parties
 — —
Alliance Reformists Front Justice Discourse
Monotheism and Justice Front 		Insight and Islamic Awakening Front [f]
Leader's seat Semnan [6]
(defeated)		Did not stand [g] Tehran, Rey, Shemiranat and Eslamshahr
(disqualified)
Seats won13 [4] 9 [7] 7
Percentage4.48%3.10%2.41%
Political camp Reformists Principlists Principlists
 Seventh partyEighth party
  Ali Motahari 01.jpg World Economic Forum Annual Meeting Davos 2007.jpg
Leader Ali Motahari Mohammad Khatami
Party — —
Alliance People's Voice [h] Council for coordinating the Reforms Front
Leader's seat Tehran, Rey, Shemiranat and Eslamshahr Did not stand [i]
Seats won2 [4] —
Percentage0.68%0%
Political camp Principlists Reformists
Speaker before election

Ali Larijani
United Front of Principlists

Elected Speaker

Ali Larijani
United Front of Principlists

The parliamentary election for the 9th Islamic Consultative Assembly, or Majlis, were held in Iran on Friday, 2 March 2012 with a second round on 4 May 2012 in those 65 districts where no candidate received 25% or more of the votes cast. More than 5,000 candidates registered but more than a third were disqualified [9] by the Guardian Council leaving about 3,400 candidates to run for the 290 seat representing the 31 provinces.

Contents

The election has been described by journalists and analysts "as a contest between" Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, [9] with Khamenei supporters winning a large majority of seats. [10] Iranian officials and state media have described the election as a sign of Iranians' trust in the Islamic Republic and a message to the West rejecting pressure over Iran's nuclear program. [10] [11] Although no final election turnout figures were released, [11] state media emphasized that voter turnout was high. [11]

The parliament has "no direct control over key foreign and security policy matters" but some influence over those policies and coming elections. [11] In the wake of the crushing of reformist protest against the 2009 election results, few if any reformist candidates were allowed by the Guardian Council to run. [12] The new parliament was opened on 27 May 2012.

Background

After two consecutive wins in 2004 and 2008, the governing conservatives are hoping to secure yet another majority in the parliament.

Events since the 2008 election

The 2008 election saw a majority win for the conservatives and supporters of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad but in the last years of the parliament, It was a despite with the president and the parliament, major in the budget approval. The parliament elected Ali Larijani, a former opponent of Ahmadinejad in the 2005 presidential election as the chairman. The first disagreement with the government was the vote of no confidence and dismissal of then Interior Minister, Ali Kordan, just three months after the opening of the new parliament. The presidential election was held in June 2009 in which Ahmadinejad was re-elected as the president. This was very despite with the results. Opposition repudiated the result and claimed that there was fraud in the election. The inauguration ceremony, held in parliament on 5 August 2009, was not attended by more than 60 of the 290 members of Parliament. Parliament also rejected three of the introduced ministers of Ahmadinejad's second cabinet.

Electoral system

The registration of candidates was handled by the Interior Ministry and candidates are vetted by the Guardian Council. [12]

Since 2007, Iran has been divided into 207 electoral districts. These districts are roughly based on geography, but shaped according to the number of voters so that each district holds roughly the same number of registered voters. 202 districts are Muslim majority and 5 districts belong to the recognized religious minorities. Therefore, these districts do not correspond to the borders of top administrative divisions within Iran and each district contains one or more or parts of several provinces of Iran. The legal term of the parliament is four years. The elections must be held before the dissolution of the parliament. The new members must be sworn three months after their elections in the first day of opening of the parliament. The speaker and deputy speakers are elected in the opening day. In the time of war and military occupation, after the proposal of the president and approval of three-fourths of the members of the parliament and approval of the Guardian Council, elections can be postponed in the occupied areas or the entire country for a certain period.

If in a district, no one can earn ¼ of the votes, a second round election will be held after four weeks. If an elected MP dies, resigns or leaves office for other reasons, Ministry of the Interior must hold the election in her/his districts in less than seven months. None of the candidates can nominate herself/himself in more than one district. If so, her/his candidacy will be canceled and they will be disenfranchised. Voting must be an official holiday. [13]

Qualifications

According to Iran's law, in order to qualify as a candidate one must:

Candidates found to be mentally impaired, actively supporting the Shah or supporting political parties and organizations deemed illegal or been charged with anti-government activity, converted to another faith or has otherwise renounced the Islamic faith, have been found guilty of corruption, treason, fraud, bribery, is an addict or trafficker or have been found guilty of violating Shariat law are disqualified.

Campaign

The chief of the Council of Guardians, Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, has said that reformists he labeled as traitors "need not participate." Former president Mohammad Khatami demanded that political prisoners be freed and that former presidential candidates Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Mahdi Karroubi be released from house arrest as a precondition for his movements participation. Since his call went unheeded Ali Mohammad-Gharibani, head of the Reformist Front Coordination Council, said: "Despite efforts...to create an appropriate election climate, unfortunately more restrictions have been imposed. Therefore, the council has decided that it won’t issue any election list and won’t support anyone." [12] The electoral campaign was started on 23 February and ended on 1 March. Over 5,400 had registered to contest the 290 parliamentary seats. More than 47,000 polling stations will operate nationwide during the elections. Some 3.9 million people will cast their votes for the first time. According to Iran's Interior Ministry, the election process will be managed by some 850,000 observers in 47,000 polling stations and 1,000 constituencies across the country.

Registration and vetting of candidates

The registration ran from 24 to 30 January 2012. 5,405 people applied at the Interior Ministry to stand as candidates. These included 490 women. 1,006 applied in Tehran. North Khorasan province had the smallest number with 39 people. [14] The number of applications was down from the 2008 parliamentary elections when 7,597 applied. According to Aljazeera commentators, the number of rejections—including 33 sitting members of parliament [15] —can be attributed primarily to stricter educational requirements, and the narrowing of what is considered politically acceptable by the Guardian Council. [16]

Beginning with the 2012 elections, candidates have to have at least a master's degree to stand for elections, not just a Bachelors as in earlier elections. In addition candidate hopefuls may have been disqualified for affiliation with leftist organisations, the reformist camp, or even President Ahmadinejad. [16]

Political parties and coalitions

According to Neil MacFarquhar of The New York Times , "there are no real political parties in Iran, only murky, shifting alliances of political figures, [10] " but according to Al Jazeera, the vote is a contest between the United Front of Principlists, who support Supreme Leader Khamenei, and the Front of Islamic Revolution Stability, which backs Ahmadinejad. [9]

Principlists

Incantations of the candidates of the United Front of Conservatives Incantations of 2012 Iranian election.jpg
Incantations of the candidates of the United Front of Conservatives

Reformists

The Council for coordinating the Reforms Front or simply "Reforms Front" (Persian : جبهه اصلاحات), [17] the highest decision-making body inside Iranian reform movement, called the elections 'illegal and unfair' and "decided not to present a unified list [of candidates] and not to support anyone [in the race]". [8] However, some member groups inside the council including Worker House and Democracy Party, and some individual reformists formed the "Reformists Front" (Persian : جبهه اصلاح‌طلبان) [17] led by Mostafa Kavakebian to compete in the elections. Some reformist groups like Assembly of Qom Seminary Scholars and Researchers, Association of Combatant Clerics and Islamic Iran Participation Front ruled out any cooperation with this group, and some labeled them as "fake reformists" (Persian : اصلاح‌طلبان بدلی). [18]

Results

IranPolitik

According to the IranPolitik, the results were: [19]

Mizan Online

According to Mizan Online, the official news agency of Iranian Judiciary, 182 were conservative, 13 were reformer and 88 were independent (excluding 5 religious minority members and 2 vacant seats). [20]

Seats won by major lists [20]
ListShared SeatsTotal Seats
UFP FIRS RFII RF PV
UFP 36522822 +RFII133
FIRS 521813 +UFP——83
RFII 2813 +UFP1892 +UFP70
RF 2—913125
PV 2 +RFII—2 +UFP114
Stratfor

According to Stratfor, the United Front of Conservatives and Stability Front won 98 and 43 seats respectively, while other political parties and independents took the rest. [21]

Bani Kamal (2013)

The affiliations of candidates are determined on the basis of the candidacy lists in which their names appeared. Given the overlap of candidacy lists, the share of each group might be claimed more or less than what is in the table, which shows the results out of 225 confirmed seats.

Electoral listNominees listed (out of 290)Seats won (out of 225)
United Front of Principlists 25897 (including 49 supported by the FIRS)
Independents (candidates who contested individually)—83
Front of Islamic Revolution Stability 19917
Resistance Front of Islamic Iran 1807
Democratic Front 8316
Coalition of Independent Candidates8616
Monotheism and Justice Front 305
Total290225
Source: Abdol Moghset Bani Kamal [22]

Analysis

The government hopes that the high turnout it claims will give it a boost. According to a statement issued on the Web site of the Foreign Ministry, by turning out in droves, Iranians

"especially in this sensitive historical era, have shown that, despite all of the conspiracies, pressures, and sanctions, and the bleak portrait painted by the media of global arrogance, they will continue defending independence and the national interest". [10]

However, the foreign journalist Laura Secor found a polling station in Tehran (Hosseiniyeh Ershad) where she had always seen long lines of voters in previous elections, nearly empty this year. [23]

Majid Zavari, a Tehran-based political analyst, said the economy and the persistent unemployment would be pivotal issues in the election: "From one end, Iranian society is facing high unemployment, particularly among educated youth who, despite university degrees, do not have decent living standards. This has increased discontent amongst people," Zavari told Al Jazeera.

According to analyst, Maryam Khatibi, "reformists are nowhere to be seen," in the election campaign. Nasser Karimi and Brian Murphy of the Associated Press see the election as divided between pro-Ahmadinejad conservatives and pro-Ali Khamenei conservatives.

Liberals, reformists and youth groups that led the protests are virtually absent from the parliamentary ballots after relentless crackdowns and arrests. Conservatives – now left without a unifying foe – have splintered into various factions either backing or rejecting Ahmadinejad for daring to challenge Khamenei and the ruling clerics. [24]

However, Mohammad Khatami – former president of the Islamic Republic and the "spiritual leader of the reformist movement" – who had urged Iranians not to vote, did end up voting March 2. [25]

Turnout

According to the official accounts, out of 48,288,799 eligible voters, 26,472,760 turned out. [1]

Notes

  1. ↑ Mohammad Taqi Mesbah Yazdi, an Assembly of Experts member, is the spiritual leader behind the Front of Islamic Revolution Stability. [2] He is not officially a member of the party and did not stand for the election.
  2. ↑ Mohsen Rezaee, former Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander, is the spiritual leader behind the Resistance Front of Islamic Iran. [3] He is not officially a member of the party and did not stand for the election.
  3. ↑ They won 36 exclusive seats plus 97 seats, making their seats a total of 133. Of 97 Seats, 52 are shared with Front of Islamic Revolution Stability, 28 are shared with Resistance Front of Islamic Iran and 13 are shared with both. [4]
  4. ↑ They won 18 exclusive seats plus 65 seats, making their seats a total of 83. Of 83 seats, 52 are shared with United Front of Principlists and 13 are shared with United Front of Principlists and Resistance Front of Islamic Iran. [4]
  5. ↑ They won 18 exclusive seats plus 52 seats, making their seats a total of 70. Of 52 seats, 28 are shared with United Front of Principlists and 13 are shared with United Front of Principlists and Front of Islamic Revolution Stability. [4]
  6. ↑ Insight and Islamic Awakening Front split from the United Front of Principlists after Shahabodin Sadr was removed from their electoral list. The leader was disqualified by the Guardian Council. [5]
  7. ↑ Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei, who were President of Iran and Chief of Staff respectively, did not stand in the election, however, circle of people close to the two, so-called “Deviant Tendency” (Persian: جریان انحرافی) were allegedly led by them. Most of the candidates linked to the President were disqualified by the Guardian Council. [7]
  8. ↑ People's Voice split from the United Front of Principlists after Ali Motahari was removed from their electoral list.
  9. ↑ Mohammad Khatami, former President of Iran, is the spiritual leader of Council for coordinating the Reforms Front and Iranian reform movement. [8]

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References

  1. 1 2 Ehteshami, Anoushiravan (2017). "Politics of the Islamic Republic". Iran: Stuck in Transition. The Contemporary Middle East. Taylor & Francis. p. 63. ISBN   9781351985451.
  2. ↑ Bozorgmehr, Najmeh (February 23, 2012). "Hardline group emerges as Iran poll threat". Financial Times . London. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  3. ↑ "Political road map of Iran before the Parliamentary (Majlis) elections". Today's Zaman . Archived from the original on March 30, 2015. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 "تعداد و درصد گرايش سياسي نمايندگان مجلس نهم". Mizan Online. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  5. ↑ "تشديد اختلافات در آستانه انتخابات؛ اصولگرايان هشت فهرست انتخاباتي مي دهند" (in Persian). Radio Farda. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  6. ↑ "خواهر احمدي نژاد شکست خورد/ کواکبيان هم به مجلس نرفت" (in Persian). Khabar Online. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  7. 1 2 "ناکامان بزرگ انتخابات مجلس نهم" (in Persian). Deutsche Welle. 5 January 2008. Retrieved 10 August 2015.[ permanent dead link ]
  8. 1 2 Cyrus Green (20 December 2011). "'Upcoming elections illegal and unfair' says Green Council". Oye! Times. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  9. 1 2 3 Iran elections clouded by doubts 02 Mar 2012
  10. 1 2 3 4 Elections in Iran Favor Ayatollah’s Allies, Dealing Blow to President and His Office By NEIL MacFARQUHAR| 4 March 2012
  11. 1 2 3 4 Iran Elections 2012: Ahmadinejad Routed By Rivals By ALI AKBAR DAREINI 05/05/12]
  12. 1 2 3 Iran starts registering candidates for March parliamentary elections; reformists stay out By Associated Press, 24 December 2011
  13. ↑ Electoral law of the Consultative Assembly
  14. ↑ Number of the candidates for parliamentary election
  15. ↑ Iran election draws conservatives: 'God, please accept this vote from me' By Scott Peterson / csmonitor.com / 2 March 2012
  16. 1 2 What it takes to run for Iran's parliament
  17. 1 2 "واژه نامه جریان های فعال در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری ایران – BBC Persian" (in Persian). BBC Persian. 13 June 2013. Retrieved 21 August 2015.
  18. ↑ Mohammad Reza Yazdanpanah (5 March 2013). "We Want to Meet the Supreme Leader". Rooz Online . Archived from the original on 28 September 2015. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  19. ↑ "Iran Election Watch 2012: Main Principalist groups emerge with weak majority"
  20. 1 2 "تعداد و درصد گرایش سیاسی نمایندگان مجلس نهم". Mizan Online. Retrieved March 10, 2015.
  21. ↑ "Iran: Implications of Ahmadinejad's Parliamentary Defeat", Stratfor (Assessment), 5 May 2012, retrieved 2 July 2017
  22. ↑ Abdol Moghset Bani Kamal (2013), "The ninth Majlis elections in Iran: Electoral laws, procedures and institutions", Intellectual Discourse, 21 (1), International Islamic University of Malaysia: 71–86, ISSN   0128-4878
  23. ↑ Letter from Tehran| Election, Monitored newyorker.com by Laura Secor May 7, 2012
  24. ↑ Iran Elections 2012: Everything You Need To Know On Upcoming Parliamentary Vote, 1 March 2012
  25. ↑ Dispatch | Tehranis Talk of the Elections' Stakes and Khatami's Shock Ballot by ALI CHENAR| 04 Mar 2012
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