Bristol North West (UK Parliament constituency)

Last updated

Bristol North West
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
BristolNorthWest2007Constituency.svg
Boundary of Bristol North West in Avonfor the 2010 general election
EnglandAvon.svg
Location of Avon within England
County Bristol
Population100,809 (2011 UK Census) [1]
Electorate 72,211 (2018) [2]
Major settlements Avonmouth, Sea Mills, Shirehampton
Current constituency
Created 1950
Member of Parliament Darren Jones (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created from Bristol West and Thornbury

Bristol North West is a constituency [n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2017 by Darren Jones of the Labour Party. [n 2]

Contents

Constituency profile

The seat covers northwest parts of Bristol, extending to the Severn Estuary. [3] It includes deprived areas such as Lawrence Weston and Southmead, as well as wealthier areas including Westbury-on-Trym and Stoke Bishop. [4]

History

Bristol North West has traditionally been a Conservative-Labour swing seat. Party positions altered completely in 2010 with the Liberal Democrat candidate, Paul Harrod achieving second place with a slightly larger one party swing, of 11.4%, than winning candidate Charlotte Leslie and saw a fresh Labour Party candidate suffer a large decrease in percentage of the Labour vote of 20.8%. [n 3] This changed in 2015 with the Conservatives winning the seat with an increased majority of 9.5%, and Labour moving back into second place. In the snap 2017 general election, the seat was lost to the Labour Party on a swing of 9%. [5]

The 2017 win was a surprise to the successful Labour candidate Darren Jones. He attributed his win to three factors: Corbyn and a good Labour manifesto, the youth vote, and Europe (the constituency had voted 61% remain). [6] Jones was re-elected as MP for the constituency in 2019 with an increased majority.

Boundaries

Bristol North West (UK Parliament constituency)
Map of current boundaries

1950–1955: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Durdham, Horfield, and Westbury-on-Trym.

1955–1983: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Henbury, Horfield, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym.

1983–1997: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym, and the District of Northavon wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.

1997–2010: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, and Southmead, and the South Gloucestershire wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Patchway Callicroft, Patchway Coniston, Patchway Stoke Lodge, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.

2010–present: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Henleaze, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, Stoke Bishop, and Westbury-on-Trym.

The constituency boundary extends into the Severn Estuary and includes the uninhabited islands of Flat Holm and Steep Holm. [7]

Following the review by the Boundary Commission for England into parliamentary representation in the former county of Avon Somerset and Gloucestershire the constituency had boundary changes at the 2010 general election. [8] In particular, the constituency is now wholly contained within the City of Bristol: the areas of Filton, Patchway, Stoke Gifford, Bradley Stoke and Aztec West which are in the South Gloucestershire district were transferred to a new Filton and Bradley Stoke constituency. At the same time, the areas of Stoke Bishop, Henleaze and Westbury-on-Trym were gained from Bristol West.

Proposed

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, from the next general election, due by January 2025, the constituency will be composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):

The seat will be subject to moderate boundary changes which involves the gain of Bishopston and Ashley Down from Bristol West. [10] These gains will be offset by the loss of Lockleaze which will move into the re-established Bristol North East constituency. [11]

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember [12] Party
1950 Gurney Braithwaite Conservative
1955 Christopher Boyd Labour
1959 Martin McLaren Conservative
1966 John Ellis Labour
1970 Martin McLaren Conservative
Oct 1974 Ronald Thomas Labour
1979 Michael Colvin Conservative
1983 Michael Stern Conservative
1997 Doug Naysmith Labour
2010 Charlotte Leslie Conservative
2017 Darren Jones Labour

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

Next general election: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Laura Saunders [13]
Green Mary Page [14]
SDP Ben Smith [15]
Labour
Liberal Democrats
Majority
Turnout

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Bristol North West [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Darren Jones 27,330 48.9 -1.8
Conservative Mark Weston21,63838.7-3.1
Liberal Democrats Chris Coleman4,9408.8+3.6
Green Heather Mack1,9773.5+1.2
Majority5,69210.2+1.3
Turnout 55,88573.3+1.6
Labour hold Swing +0.7
General election 2017: Bristol North West [17] [18] [19] [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Darren Jones 27,400 50.7 +16.3
Conservative Charlotte Leslie 22,63941.8-2.1
Liberal Democrats Celia Downie2,8145.2-1.0
Green Sharmila Bousa (withdrawn)1,2432.3-3.4
Majority4,7618.9N/A
Turnout 54,09671.7+4.1
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +9.2
General election 2015: Bristol North West [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Charlotte Leslie 22,767 43.9 +5.9
Labour Darren Jones 17,82334.4+8.5
UKIP Michael Frost4,8899.4+7.1
Liberal Democrats Clare Campion-Smith3,2146.2-25.3
Green Justin Quinnell2,9525.7+4.7
TUSC Anne Lemon1600.3New
Majority4,9449.5+3.0
Turnout 51,80567.6-0.9
Conservative hold Swing -1.3
General election 2010: Bristol North West [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Charlotte Leslie 19,115 38.0 +5.5
Liberal Democrats Paul Harrod15,84131.5+6.6
Labour Sam Townend13,05925.9−12.2
UKIP Robert Upton1,1752.3+0.7
English Democrat Ray Carr6351.3−0.4
Green Alex Dunn5111.0New
Majority3,2746.5N/A
Turnout 50,33668.5−0.3
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +15.45 [n 4]

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Bristol North West [23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 22,192 46.7 −5.4
Conservative Alastair Watson13,23027.9−0.8
Liberal Democrats Bob Hoyle9,54520.1+4.2
UKIP Christopher Lees1,1322.4−0.1
English Democrat Michael Blundell8281.7New
Socialist Alternative Graeme Jones5651.2New
Majority8,96218.8-4.6
Turnout 47,49261.1+0.7
Labour Co-op hold Swing −2.3
General election 2001: Bristol North West [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 24,236 52.1 +2.2
Conservative Charles Hansard13,34928.7−0.6
Liberal Democrats Peter Tyzack7,38715.9+2.7
UKIP Diane Carr1,1402.5New
Socialist Labour Vince Horrigan3710.8-0.1
Majority10,88723.4+2.8
Turnout 46,48360.4−13.3
Labour Co-op hold Swing +1.4

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: Bristol North West [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 27,575 49.9 +7.6
Conservative Michael Stern 16,19329.3−13.0
Liberal Democrats Ian Parry7,26313.2−1.0
Independent LabourCharles Horton1,7183.1New
Referendum John Quintanillia1,6092.9New
Socialist Labour Giles Shorter4820.9New
BNP Stephen Parnell2650.5New
Natural Law Thomas Leighton1400.3New
Majority11,38220.6N/A
Turnout 55,24573.7-8.6
Labour Co-op gain from Conservative Swing +10.3
General election 1992: Bristol North West [26] [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Michael Stern 25,354 42.3 −4.3
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 25,30942.3+7.7
Liberal Democrats John D. Taylor8,49814.2−4.6
Independent Ind SDHilary S. Long7291.2New
Majority450.1−12.0
Turnout 59,89082.3+2.9
Conservative hold Swing −6.0

Elections in the 1980s

General election 1987: Bristol North West [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Michael Stern 26,953 46.6 +2.7
Labour Terence Walker 20,00134.6+2.0
SDP John Kirkcaldy10,88518.8-4.8
Majority6,95212.0+0.7
Turnout 57,83979.4+2.5
Conservative hold Swing +2.7 [n 5]
General election 1983: Bristol North West [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Michael Stern 24,617 43.9
Labour Co-op Sarah R. Palmer18,29032.6
SDP Hilary S. Long13,22823.6New
Majority6,32711.3
Turnout 56,13576.9
Conservative hold Swing -8.65 [n 6]

Elections in the 1970s

General election 1979: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Michael Colvin 25,915 48.6 +7.7
Labour Ronald Thomas 21,23839.8-2.3
Liberal G.A. Davis5,85711.0-6.0
National Front P.M. Kingston2640.5New
More Prosperous Britain T.L. Keen730.1New
Majority4,6778.8N/A
Turnout 53,34781.3+2.0
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +5.0
General election October 1974: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Ronald Thomas 22,156 42.1 +3.5
Conservative Martin McLaren 21,52340.9+1.1
Liberal E. David8,91417.0-3.9
Majority6331.2N/A
Turnout 52,59379.3-3.2
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +1.2
General election February 1974: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 21,569 39.8 -7.8
Labour Ronald Thomas 20,91938.6-6.9
Liberal E. David11,31220.9+14.4
Independent T.E. Wetherall4400.8New
Majority6501.2-0.9
Turnout 54,24082.5+4.5
Conservative hold Swing -0.5
General election 1970: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 24,124 47.6 -1.1
Labour John Ellis 23,07545.5-4.6
Liberal H.J. Stevens3,2996.5New
Communist W.E. Williams2270.5-0.7
Majority1,0492.1N/A
Turnout 50,72578.0-4.0
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +1.75

Elections in the 1960s

General election 1966: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour John Ellis 24,195 50.1 +7.2
Conservative Martin McLaren 23,52648.7+3.6
Communist B. Underwood5951.2New
Majority6691.4N/A
Turnout 48,31682.0-1.1
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +1.8 [n 7]
General election 1964: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 22,129 45.1 -6.9
Labour David Watkins 21,03042.9-5.1
Liberal T.G. Douglas5,88312.0New
Majority1,0992.2-1.8
Turnout 49,04283.1+0.2
Conservative hold Swing -0.9

Elections in the 1950s

General election 1959: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 24,938 52.0 +3.9
Labour Christopher Boyd 23,01948.0-3.9
Majority1,9194.0N/A
Turnout 47,95782.9+3.8
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +3.9
General election 1955: Bristol North West
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Christopher Boyd 22,950 51.9 +5.5
Conservative Gurney Braithwaite 21,29548.1-5.5
Majority1,6553.8N/A
Turnout 44,24579.1-7.0
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +5.5
General election 1951: Bristol North West [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Gurney Braithwaite 28,394 53.6 +5.9
Labour Claud Morris 24,55346.4+3.7
Majority3,8417.2+2.2
Turnout 52,94786.1+1.0
Conservative hold Swing +2.2 [n 8]
General election 1950: Bristol North West [31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Gurney Braithwaite 23,884 47.7
Labour Claud Morris 21,39442.7
Liberal Frances Mary Pugh4,7849.6
Majority2,4905.0
Turnout 50,06285.1
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ↑ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. ↑ This was one of the largest negative one-party swings for a Labour candidate nationally in 2010.
  4. ↑ Labour to Conservative: for Others to Conservative the swing was 10.1%
  5. ↑ Others to Conservative; Labour to Conservative swing was 0.7%
  6. ↑ Conservative to Liberal/SDP. Labour to Conservative: 2.5%
  7. ↑ 4.6% swing Others to Labour
  8. ↑ Others to Conservative swing: 5.9%

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References

  1. ↑ "Bristol North West: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 3 February 2015.
  2. ↑ "England Parliamentary electorates 2010-2018". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 23 March 2019.
  3. ↑ Mapit https://mapit.mysociety.org/area/66009.html
  4. ↑ Bristol Cable https://thebristolcable.org/2019/11/bristol-north-west-what-you-need-to-know-for-the-election/
  5. ↑ "Bristol North West - 2017 Result". BBC News. Retrieved 12 June 2017.
  6. ↑ Topping, Alexandra (30 June 2017). "Bristol North West: the bellwether seat where 'the Tories didn't turn up'". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077.
  7. ↑ "Election Maps - Ordnance Survey". www.ordnancesurvey.co.uk/election-maps/gb/. Retrieved 26 March 2019.
  8. ↑ "Parliamentary Constituencies in Bath and North East Somerset, Bristol, and South Gloucestershire" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 20 June 2001. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 February 2010. Retrieved 1 October 2010.
  9. ↑ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 7 South West region.
  10. ↑ "New Seat Details - Bristol North West". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 21 February 2024.
  11. ↑ "South West | Boundary Commission for England". boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk. Retrieved 20 June 2023.
  12. ↑ "Bristol North West 1950-". Parliamentary Debates (Hansard) . Retrieved 2 February 2015.
  13. ↑ Laura Saunders [@LRSaunders23] (25 October 2023). "Honoured and excited to have recently been selected as the candidate for Bristol North West #SelectSaunders" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  14. ↑ "GREEN PARTY ANNOUNCE GENERAL ELECTION CANDIDATES FOR BRISTOL". Bristol24/7. 20 November 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2024.
  15. ↑ "GENERAL ELECTION CANDIDATES". SDP . Retrieved 19 February 2024.
  16. ↑ "Bristol North West Parliamentary election: BBC News".
  17. ↑ Ashcroft, Esme (18 April 2017). "Bristol's four MPs will all be defending their seats in the general election". Bristol Post.
  18. ↑ "Green MEP to stand for Bristol West in general election".
  19. ↑ "General Election candidates revealed – News – Bristol 24/7". 11 May 2017.
  20. ↑ "BBC Election Results". 9 June 2017. Retrieved 9 June 2017.
  21. ↑ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  22. ↑ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  23. ↑ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  24. ↑ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  25. ↑ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  26. ↑ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  27. ↑ "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived from the original on 24 July 2011. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
  28. ↑ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  29. ↑ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  30. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1951.
  31. ↑ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1950.

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