Ontario general election, 2011

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Ontario general election, 2011

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←  2007 October 6, 2011 2014  →
107 seats in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
54 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout 48.2% [1]

 First partySecond partyThird party
  Dalton McGuinty Crop 2.jpg Tim Hudak 2014.jpg Horwath infobox.PNG
Leader Dalton McGuinty Tim Hudak Andrea Horwath
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since December 1, 1996 June 27, 2009 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Ottawa South Niagara West—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre
Last election71 seats, 42.3%26 seats, 31.6%10 seats, 16.8%
Seats before702510
Seats won533717
Seat changeDecrease2.svg17Increase2.svg12Increase2.svg7
Popular vote1,625,1021,530,076981,508
Percentage37.65%35.45%22.74%
SwingDecrease2.svg4.6pp Increase2.svg3.8pp Increase2.svg5.9pp

Ontario Election 2011 Riding Results Map.svg

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election

Dalton McGuinty
Liberal

Premier-designate

Dalton McGuinty
Liberal

The Ontario general election of 2011 was held on October 6, 2011 to elect members of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. The Ontario Liberal Party was elected to a minority government, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC Party) serving as the Official Opposition and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as a third party.

The Ontario Liberal Party is a provincial political party in the province of Ontario, Canada. The party is ideologically aligned with the Liberal Party of Canada but the two parties are organizationally independent and have separate, though overlapping, memberships.

A minority government, or minority cabinet or minority parliament, is a cabinet formed in a parliamentary system when a political party or coalition of parties does not have a majority of overall seats in the parliament. It is sworn into office, with or without the formal support of other parties, to enable a government to be formed. Under such a government, legislation can only be passed with the support of enough other members of the legislature to provide a majority, encouraging multi-partisanship. In bicameral parliaments, the term relates to the situation in chamber whose confidence is considered most crucial to the continuance in office of the government.

Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario political party in Ontario, Canada

The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, often shortened to Ontario PC Party, PC, or Conservatives, is a centre-right political party in Ontario, Canada. The party has been led by Premier Doug Ford since March 10, 2018.

Contents

Under amendments passed by the Legislature in December 2005, Ontario elections are now held on fixed dates: the first Thursday of October every four years. [2] The writ of election was issued by Lieutenant Governor David Onley on September 7, 2011.

Writ of election Official writ calling for an election

A writ of election is a writ issued ordering the holding of an election. In Commonwealth countries writs are the usual mechanism by which general elections are called and are issued by the head of state or their representative. In the United States, it is more commonly used to call a special election for a political office.

Lieutenant Governor of Ontario

The Lieutenant Governor of Ontario is the viceregal representative in Ontario of the Canadian monarch, Queen Elizabeth II, who operates distinctly within the province but is also shared equally with the ten other jurisdictions of Canada, as well as the other Commonwealth realms and any subdivisions thereof, and resides predominantly in her oldest realm, the United Kingdom. The Lieutenant Governor of Ontario is appointed in the same manner as the other provincial viceroys in Canada and is similarly tasked with carrying out most of the monarch's constitutional and ceremonial duties. The current Lieutenant Governor of Ontario is Elizabeth Dowdeswell.

David Onley Lieutenant Governor of Ontario

David Charles Onley, is a Canadian former journalist who served as the 28th Lieutenant Governor of Ontario from 2007 until 2014.

The election saw a record low voter turnout of 48.2%. [1]

Voter turnout percentage of eligible voters who cast a ballot in an election

Voter turnout is the percentage of eligible voters who cast a ballot in an election. Eligibility varies by country, and the voting-eligible population should not be confused with the total adult population. Age and citizenship status are often among the criteria used to determine eligibility, but some countries further restrict eligibility based on sex, race, or religion.

Timeline

2007
2008
John Tory Canadian politician

John Howard Tory, is a Canadian politician serving as the 65th and current Mayor of Toronto since 2014.

Premier of Ontario first minister of the government of Ontario

The Premier of Ontario is the first minister of the Crown for the Canadian province of Ontario and the province’s head of government. The position was formerly styled "Prime Minister of Ontario" until the ministry of Bill Davis formally changed the title to premier.

Dalton McGuinty Canadian politician

Dalton James Patrick McGuinty, Jr., is a Canadian retired politician who served as the 24th Premier of Ontario from 2003 to 2013. He was the first Liberal leader to win two majority governments since Mitchell Hepburn nearly 70 years earlier. In 2011, he became the first Liberal premier to secure a third consecutive term since Oliver Mowat (1872–1896), after his party was re-elected in that year's provincial election.

2009
Laurie Scott (politician) Canadian politician

Laurie Scott is a Canadian politician in Ontario, Canada. She is a Progressive Conservative member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario representing the riding of Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock, and serves as Minister of Labour in the cabinet of Premier Doug Ford.

Don Valley West (provincial electoral district) Provincial electoral district of Ontario

Don Valley West is a provincial electoral district in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. It elects one member to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario.

2010
2011

Party leadership

In March 2009, PC Party leader John Tory stepped down as leader, with Tim Hudak elected to be his successor. Also in March 2009, Andrea Horwath replaced Howard Hampton as leader of the NDP at the leadership election. Thus, both the Progressive Conservatives and the NDP went into the election with a new leader. Green Party of Ontario leader Frank de Jong stepped down in November 2009; their leadership convention confirmed Mike Schreiner as their new leader. Dalton McGuinty won 95 percent support for his leadership at an Ontario Liberal annual general meeting after the 2007 election, and ran again in 2011.

Party standings

Summary

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2007-2011
Party2007Gain from(loss to)2011
LibPCNDP
Liberal 71(11)(7)53
Progressive Conservative 261137
New Democratic 10717
Total10718(11)(7)107

Regional analysis

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2011)
PartyToronto905 BeltHam/NiagaraCentralEastMidwestSouthwestNorthTotal
   Liberal 171431734453
   Conservative 3310784237
   New Democratic 5142517
Total2218101114111011107

Detailed analysis

e  •  d  Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario election results
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
  2007    Dissol.    2011  Change#%Change
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 107717053-181,625,10237.65%-4.7%
Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak 107262537+111,530,07635.45%+3.8%
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 107101017+7981,50822.74%+5.9%
Green Mike Schreiner 107--126,0212.92%-5.1%
Libertarian Sam Apelbaum 51--19,4470.45%+0.3%
Family Coalition Phil Lees 31--9,5240.22%-0.6%
Freedom Paul McKeever 57--9,2530.21%+0.1%
  Independents and no affiliation36--9,0210.21%–   
Communist Elizabeth Rowley 9--1,1620.03%-0.01%
Northern Ontario Heritage Edward Deibel3--6760.02% 
Special Needs Danish Ahmed4--6670.02%+0.01%
Reform Bradley J. Harness4--6470.01%+0.01%
Paramount Canadians Ranvir Dogra4--5620.01% 
Confederation of Regions vacant3--5590.01%–   
Socialist Michael Laxer 5--5190.01% 
People's Political Party Kevin Clarke 4--386< .01% 
Vegan Environmental Paul Figueiras3--366< .01% 
Republican Trueman Tuck3--232< .01%–   
The Only Party Michael Green3--188< .01% 
Human Rights Marilyn McCormick2--170< .01% 
Canadians' Choice Bahman Yazdanfar3--156< .01% 
Paupers John Turmel 2--140< .01% 
 Vacant2 
Total6551071071074,316,382 100%  -2.43%
Source: "40TH GENERAL ELECTION - SUMMARY OF VALID BALLOTS CAST" (PDF). Elections Ontario . Retrieved May 17, 2014. 

Maps

Candidates and local results

Incumbent MPPs not running for re-election

Opinion polls

Polling FirmDate of PollingLink Liberal PC NDP Green Type of pollMargin of error
Angus Reid October 4–5, 2011 PDF 3733263 Online 3.6%
EKOS October 3–5, 2011 PDF 37.731.523.35.9 Interactive voice response 2.0%
Forum Research October 4, 2011 HTML 3736233 Interactive voice response 3.1%
Angus Reid October 3–4, 2011 PDF 3336265 Online 2.1%
Abacus Data October 3–4, 2011 HTML 3734244 Online 3.1%
EKOS October 2–4, 2011 PDF 39.029.723.16.6 Interactive voice response 2.2%
Nanos Research October 2–3, 2011 PDF 40.133.023.22.8 Telephone 4.2%
EKOS October 2–3, 2011 PDF 39.129.124.56.0 Interactive voice response 2.9%
Nanos Research October 1–3, 2011 PDF 37.733.225.82.1 Telephone 3.4%
Ipsos Reid September 30 – October 3, 2011 PDF 4131253 Telephone 3.1%
Nanos Research September 30 – October 2, 2011 PDF 35.936.425.71.2 Telephone 3.5%
EKOS September 29 – October 2, 2011 PDF 37.830.622.77.3 Interactive voice response 2.8%
Nanos Research September 29 – October 1, 2011 PDF 36.53426.81.9 Telephone 3.5%
Nanos Research September 28–30, 2011 PDF 38.035.324.61.8 Telephone 3.5%
Angus Reid September 28–30, 2011 PDF 3334266 Online 3.1%
Leger Marketing September 28–29, 2011 PDF 3234295 Online 3.1%
Nanos Research September 28–29, 2011 PDF 37.734.425.52.0 Telephone 4.3%
Environics September 26–28, 2011 HTML 3536253 Online
Abacus Data September 23–25, 2011 PDF 3337236 Online 2.9%
EKOS September 21–25, 2011 PDF 34.931.424.77.6 Interactive voice response 2.3%
Forum Research September 22–23, 2011 HTML 3535235 Interactive voice response 0.5%
Angus Reid September 13–15, 2011 HTML 3236266 Online 3.1%
Leger Marketing September 12–15, 2011 PDF 3336265 Online 3.1%
Abacus Data September 9–12, 2011 HTML 3241206 Online 3.2%
Nanos Research September 10–11, 2011 PDF 38.134.724.32.7 Telephone 4.9%
Ipsos Reid September 7–11, 2011 HTML 3837241 Telephone 3.5%
Harris-Decima August 25 – September 4, 2011 HTML 4029246 Telephone 3.8%
Nanos Research August 30 – September 1, 2011 PDF 31.935.422.84.1 Telephone 3.1%
Forum Research August 29–30, 2011 HTML 3035267 Interactive voice response 2.0%
Angus Reid August 25–28, 2011 PDF 3138246 Online 3.1%
Nanos Research August 10–13, 2011 PDF 37.642.116.23.4 Telephone 3.4%
Ipsos Reid July 29 – August 4, 2011 HTML 3638233 Telephone 4.9%
Forum Research July 27–28, 2011 HTML 2838247 Interactive voice response 2.1%
Ipsos Reid June 7 – July 7, 2011 HTML 3142225 Telephone 3.5%
Forum Research June 21–22, 2011 HTML 2641228 Interactive voice response 1.7%
Ipsos Reid May 17 – June 9, 2011 HTML 3440206 Telephone 3.5%
Nanos Research May 14–15, 2011 PDF 3441195 Telephone 4.7%
Nanos Research March 8–11, 2011 PDF 3544164 Telephone 4.9%
Nanos Research January 31 – February 3, 2011 PDF 3943135 Telephone 4.7%
Ipsos Reid January 20, 2011 HTML 3538179 Telephone
Ipsos Reid November 18, 2010 HTML 3241207
Angus Reid September 28, 2010 PDF 2941228 Online 3.5%
Ipsos Reid August 21, 2010 HTML 35361811
Ipsos Reid June 19, 2010 HTML 37322011
Nanos Research February 9–10, 2010 PDF 41.437.912.87.9 Telephone 4.9%
Ipsos Reid December 13, 2009 HTML 38341510
Angus Reid December 4, 2009 PDF 27412011
Nanos Research October 24–25, 2009 PDF 36.63517.29.8 Telephone 4.8%
Environics October 2009 HTML 32371911
Environics June 2009 HTML 4432158
Environics April 2009 HTML 44291711
Environics January 2009 HTML 45321211
Environics November 2008 HTML 35302113
Environics June 2008 HTML 41311612
Environics March 2008 HTML 38301912
Environics January 2008 HTML 4534182
Environics November 2007 HTML 4431223
Election 2007 October 10, 2007 PDF 42.331.616.88.0

Media endorsements

Liberals

Progressive Conservatives

Did not endorse

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References

  1. 1 2 {{cite https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Statistical%20Summary%20-%202014%20General%20Election%20and%202012-2014%20By-elections.pdf |title=Statistical Summary|publisher=[Elections Ontario]}}
  2. ↑ "Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2005". Service Ontario e-laws. December 15, 2005. Retrieved May 19, 2008.
  3. ↑ Robert Benzie and Susan Delacourt. "Ontario cabinet minister to seek federal seat." Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/907928--ontario-cabinet-minister-to-seek-federal-seat
  4. 1 2 Benzie, Robert (June 4, 2011). "Retiring Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier dead". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  5. ↑ "Elections Ontario - When to Vote". Wemakevotingeasy.ca. 2011-09-30. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  6. ↑ "Ontario leaders' debate set for Sept. 27". CBC.ca. September 2, 2011. Retrieved 2011-09-02.
  7. ↑ "Longtime Pickering politician calls it quits". Pickering News Advertiser.
  8. ↑ CTV staff (November 29, 2010). "Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier retires". CTV Ottawa. Ottawa. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  9. ↑ Liberal MPP Caplan not running again "Toronto Star"
  10. ↑ Examiner staff (January 21, 2011). "Aileen Carroll won't seek a second term". The Barrie Examiner. Barrie, ON. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  11. ↑ QMI Agency (November 25, 2010). "Hoy won't seek re-election". London Free Press. London, ON. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  12. ↑ Sherwin, Fred (April 13, 2011). "Veteran MPP calls it a day after 41 years in politics". Orléans Online. Ottawa. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  13. ↑ Chant, Miranda (November 9, 2011). "Elgin-Middlesex-London MPP Calls it Quits". News/Talk 1290 CJBK. London, ON. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  14. ↑ The Canadian Press (March 25, 2011). "Veteran MPP Gerry Phillips the latest Ontario Liberal not seeking re-election". iPolitics.ca. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  15. ↑ Benzie, Robert; Rob Ferguson (June 10, 2011). "Liberals lose a star: Sandra Pupatello won't seek re-election". Toronto Star. Toronto. Retrieved June 10, 2011.
  16. ↑ Blizzard, Christine (January 13, 2011). "MPP David Ramsay won't run again". The Toronto Sun. Toronto. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  17. ↑ Liberal backbencher Tony Ruprecht won’t seek re-election "Toronto Star"
  18. ↑ Cramer, Brandi (November 19, 2011). "Smith steps aside: MPP recalls her accomplishments and regrets". North Bay Nugget. North Bay, ON. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  19. ↑ Nugget, Carol-Ann (October 14, 2010). "MPP Gerry Martiniuk to retire from provincial politics in 2011". Cambridge Now. Cambridge, ON. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  20. ↑ Benzie, Robert (July 5, 2010). "Conservative MPP Bill Murdoch to ride off into the sunset". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  21. ↑ The Canadian Press (February 21, 2011). "MPP Savoline will not seek re-election". The Hamilton Spectator. Hamilton. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  22. ↑ "Veteran Ontario MPP Norm Sterling loses bitter PC nomination battle ". Globe and Mail.
  23. ↑ Talaga, Tanya (June 3, 2011). "NDP's Peter Kormos to retire". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Retrieved June 3, 2011.
  24. ↑ Robert, Benzie (July 30, 2011). "Former NDP leader Howard Hampton quits". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Retrieved July 30, 2011.
  25. ↑ http://www.simcoe.com/opinion/editorial/article/1136757--liberals-deserve-another-term
  26. ↑ Canada. "Dalton McGuinty's Liberals the best choice for Ontario's challenges". Toronto: The Globe and Mail. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  27. ↑ "Liberals, despite faults, are the best option". TheSpec. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  28. ↑ Ottawa Citizen October 4, 2011. "Hold your nose and vote Liberal". Ottawacitizen.com. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  29. ↑ "Liberals best fit for Sudbury - Point of View - The Sudbury Star - Ontario, CA". The Sudbury Star. 2011-10-03. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  30. ↑ "Liberals best choice for Ontario's future". Toronto: thestar.com. September 30, 2011. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  31. ↑ "Editorial: Liberals offer voters best hope". TheRecord. 2011-09-30. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  32. ↑ The Windsor Star October 1, 2011 (2011-10-01). "Ontario votes". Windsorstar.com. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  33. ↑ "EDITORIAL: Vote for change". BramptonGuardian Article. 2011-09-29. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  34. ↑ "Progressive Conservatives the party to lead Ontario". DurhamRegion Article. 2011-09-29. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  35. ↑ "On Thursday, Ontarians should vote Conservative". Nationalpost.com. 2011-10-03. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  36. ↑ "Ontario deserves better | Editorial | Opinion". Toronto Sun. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
  37. ↑ "Editorial: None of the above | Editorial | Opinion". Ottawa Sun. 2011-10-01. Retrieved 2011-10-07.
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