Canadian federal election, 2011

Last updated

Canadian federal election, 2011
Flag of Canada.svg
  2008 May 2, 2011 (2011-05-02) 2015  

308 seats in the House of Commons of Canada
155 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout61.1% (Increase2.svg2.3pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Stephen Harper by Remy Steinegger Infobox.jpg Layton winnipeg rally.JPG Victoria, BC Liberal Town Hall Forum public liberal.jpg
Leader Stephen Harper Jack Layton Michael Ignatieff
Party Conservative New Democratic Liberal
Leader since March 20, 2004 January 24, 2003 May 2, 2009
Leader's seat Calgary Southwest Toronto—Danforth Etobicoke—Lakeshore (lost re-election)
Last election143 seats, 37.65%37 seats, 18.18%77 seats, 26.26%
Seats before1433677
Seats won16610334
Seat changeIncrease2.svg23Increase2.svg67Decrease2.svg43
Popular vote5,832,4014,508,4742,783,175
Percentage39.62%30.63%18.91%
SwingIncrease2.svg1.97pp Increase2.svg12.45pp Decrease2.svg7.35pp

 Fourth partyFifth party
  Gilles Duceppe2.jpg Elizabeth May 2a.jpg
Leader Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May
Party Bloc Québécois Green
Leader since March 15, 1997 August 27, 2006
Leader's seat Laurier—Sainte-Marie (lost re-election) Saanich—Gulf Islands
Last election49 seats, 9.98%0 seats, 6.78%
Seats before470
Seats won41
Seat changeDecrease2.svg43Increase2.svg1
Popular vote889,788576,221
Percentage6.04%3.91%
SwingDecrease2.svg3.94pp Decrease2.svg2.87pp

Canada 2011 Federal Election.svg
Popular vote by province, with graphs indicating the number of seats won. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote by province but instead via results by each riding.

Prime Minister before election

Stephen Harper
Conservative

Prime Minister-designate

Stephen Harper
Conservative

The 2011 Canadian federal election (formally the 41st Canadian general election) was held on Monday, May 2, 2011, to elect members to the House of Commons of Canada of the 41st Canadian Parliament.

House of Commons of Canada lower house of the Parliament of Canada

The House of Commons of Canada is a component of the Parliament of Canada, along with the Sovereign and the Senate. The House of Commons currently meets in a temporary Commons chamber in the West Block of the parliament buildings on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, while the Centre Block, which houses the traditional Commons chamber, undergoes a ten-year renovation.

41st Canadian Parliament

The 41st Canadian Parliament was in session from June 2, 2011 to August 2, 2015, with the membership of its House of Commons having been determined by the results of the 2011 federal election held on May 2, 2011. Parliament convened on June 2, 2011, with the election of Andrew Scheer as Speaker, followed the next day with the Speech from the Throne. There were two sessions in this Parliament. On August 2, 2015, Prime Minister Stephen Harper asked the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and issue the writ of election, leading to an 11-week election campaign period for the 2015 federal election.

Contents

The writs of election for the 2011 election were issued by Governor General David Johnston on March 26. Prime Minister Stephen Harper advised the Governor General to dissolve parliament after the House of Commons passed a motion of non-confidence against the government, finding it to be in contempt of parliament. A few days before, the three opposition parties had rejected the minority government's proposed budget. [1]

Writ of election Official writ calling for an election

A writ of election is a writ issued ordering the holding of an election. In Commonwealth countries writs are the usual mechanism by which general elections are called and are issued by the head of state or their representative. In the United States, it is more commonly used to call a special election for a political office.

Governor General of Canada representative of the monarch of Canada

The Governor General of Canada is the federal viceregal representative of the Canadian monarch, currently Queen Elizabeth II. The person of the sovereign is shared equally both with the 15 other Commonwealth realms and the 10 provinces of Canada, but resides predominantly in her oldest and most populous realm, the United Kingdom. The Queen, on the advice of her Canadian prime minister, appoints a governor general to carry out most of her constitutional and ceremonial duties. The commission is for an unfixed period of time—known as serving at Her Majesty's pleasure—though five years is the normal convention. Beginning in 1959, it has also been traditional to rotate between anglophone and francophone incumbents—although many recent governors general have been bilingual. Once in office, the governor general maintains direct contact with the Queen, wherever she may be at the time.

David Johnston Governor General of Canada

David Lloyd Johnston is a Canadian academic, author, and statesman who served as Governor General of Canada from 2010 to 2017, the 28th since Canadian Confederation.

The Conservative Party remained in power, increasing its seat count from a minority to a majority government. The Liberal Party won the fewest seats in its history, and party leader Michael Ignatieff was defeated in his riding. The Bloc Québécois lost official party status for the first time since contesting general elections in 1993. Party leader Gilles Duceppe was defeated in his riding and subsequently resigned as leader. The New Democratic Party won the largest number of seats in its history, enabling it to form the Official Opposition for the first time. The Green Party elected its first member to the House of Commons with its leader, Elizabeth May, becoming MP for Saanich—Gulf Islands.

Conservative Party of Canada political party in Canada founded in 2003

The Conservative Party of Canada, colloquially known as the Tories, is a federal political party in Canada. It was formed in 2003 from the multiple right-wing parties which had existed in Canada for over a century, historically grouped into two camps, "Red Tories" and "Blue Tories". The party sits at the centre-right to the right-wing of the Canadian political spectrum, with the Liberal Party of Canada positioned to the center-left. Like their federal Liberal rivals, the party is defined as a "big tent", welcoming a broad variety of members. The party's leader is Andrew Scheer, who serves as Leader of the Official Opposition.

A minority government, or minority cabinet or minority parliament, is a cabinet formed in a parliamentary system when a political party or coalition of parties does not have a majority of overall seats in the parliament. It is sworn into office, with or without the formal support of other parties, to enable a government to be formed. Under such a government, legislation can only be passed with the support of enough other members of the legislature to provide a majority, encouraging multi-partisanship. In bicameral parliaments, the term relates to the situation in chamber whose confidence is considered most crucial to the continuance in office of the government.

A majority government refers to one or multiple governing parties that hold an absolute majority of seats in legislature. This is as opposed to a minority government, where the largest party in a legislature only has a plurality of seats.

Background

The 2008 federal election resulted in the continuation of the incumbent Conservative minority government, headed by Stephen Harper. The 40th Parliament was marked by two controversial prorogations: the first in December 2008 which ended an attempted opposition coalition, and the second a year following, which prompted public protests. Following the first prorogation, Ignatieff and the Liberal Party provided support for the government of Prime Minister Stephen Harper. On August 31, 2009, the Liberals withdrew their backing but the NDP under Jack Layton abstained and the Conservatives survived the confidence motion. [2] Ignatieff's attempt to force a September 2009 election was reported as a miscalculation, as polls showed that most Canadians did not want another election. [3] [4] Ignatieff's popularity as well as that of the Liberals dropped off considerably immediately afterwards. [5]

Stephen Harper 22nd Prime Minister of Canada

Stephen Joseph Harper is a Canadian economist, entrepreneur, and retired politician who served as the 22nd prime minister of Canada for nearly a decade, from February 6, 2006 to November 4, 2015. Harper has served as the leader of the International Democrat Union since February 2018.

Prorogation is the end of a parliamentary session in the Parliament of Canada and the parliaments of its provinces and territories. It differs from a recess or adjournment, which do not end a session, and from a complete dissolution of parliament, which ends both the session and the entire parliament, requiring an election for the House of Commons in the bicameral federal parliament and the singular legislative chamber of the unicameral provincial parliaments.

In 2011, Elections Canada laid charges against the Conservative Party, alleging contraventions of the Canada Elections Act five years earlier. [6] [7] [8] This issue, along with the Bloc Québécois announcing its intention to vote against the budget, unless it contained numerous changes including $2 billion in compensation to Quebec for harmonizing PST and GST and funding for a new NHL arena in Quebec City, increased the speculation that there would be an election called soon as the Conservatives rejected the Bloc demands as "blackmail". [9]

Elections Canada is an independent, non-partisan agency reporting directly to the Parliament of Canada. Its ongoing responsibility is to ensure that Canadians can exercise their choices in federal elections and referendums through an open and impartial process. Elections Canada is the sole agency responsible for administering Canadian federal elections.

The "In and Out" scandal was a Canadian political scandal involving improper election spending on the part of the Conservative Party of Canada during the closely contested 2006 federal election. Parliamentary hearings into the issue led to a deadlocking of various committees, and then to the snap election in 2008. On 6 March 2012, charges were dropped as part of a plea deal in which the Conservative Party of Canada and its fundraising arm pleaded guilty to exceeding election spending limits and submitting fraudulent election records, and agreed to repay $230,198.00 for its role in violating Canadian election spending laws.

Quebec City Provincial capital city in Quebec, Canada

Quebec City, officially Québec, is the capital city of the Canadian province of Quebec. The city had a population estimate of 531,902 in July 2016, and the metropolitan area had a population of 800,296 in July 2016, making it the second largest city in Quebec after Montreal, and the seventh largest metropolitan area and eleventh largest city in the country.

On March 9, 2011, Speaker of the House of Commons Peter Milliken ruled that Bev Oda, a minister of the Crown, and, separately, the Cabinet itself could both possibly be in contempt of parliament, [10] the latter for its ongoing refusal to meet opposition requests for details of proposed bills and their cost estimates. [11] Milliken directed both matters to committee and set as the deadline for its report March 21, 2011, one day before the budget was to be tabled. The committee found the government to be in contempt of Parliament. [12] The vote divided along party lines, with the governing but minority Conservative Members of Parliament (MPs) opposing the finding and issuing a dissenting report. [11] After the committee released its findings, opposition leader and head of the Liberal Party Michael Ignatieff proposed a motion of no confidence against the Crown-in-Council and, [13] [14] on March 25, 2011, the House of Commons voted on the motion, the majority agreeing, by a margin of 156 to 145, with the committee's conclusions. [15] [16] [17] A cabinet being found in contempt of parliament is without precedent in Canada or any other Commonwealth country. [15] [16] Earlier that week, all three opposition parties had indicated that they would oppose the government's budget; the NDP said that the concessions that the Conservatives made did not go far enough. [1]

Peter Milliken Canadian politician

Peter Andrew Stewart Milliken is a Canadian lawyer and politician. He was a member of the House of Commons of Canada from 1988 until his retirement in 2011 and served as Speaker of the House for 10 years beginning in 2001. Milliken represented the Ontario riding of Kingston and the Islands as a member of the Liberal Party. On October 12, 2009, he became the longest serving Speaker of the House of Commons in Canadian history. His Speakership was notable for the number of tie-breaking votes he was required to make as well as for making several historic rulings. Milliken also has the unique distinction of being the first Speaker to preside over four Parliaments. His legacy includes his landmark rulings on Parliament’s right to information, which are key elements of parliamentary precedent both in Canada and throughout the Commonwealth.

Bev Oda Broadcaster, politician

Beverley Joan "Bev" Oda, is a Canadian retired politician. She was a member of the House of Commons of Canada, as well as the first Japanese-Canadian MP and cabinet minister in Canadian history. She represented the riding of Durham for the Conservative Party of Canada. She was appointed Minister of Canadian Heritage and Status of Women on February 6, 2006. She was appointed Minister for International Cooperation on August 14, 2007. On July 3, 2012, Oda announced she was resigning her seat in the House of Commons effective at the end of the month following public controversy about her spending habits; she was dropped from Cabinet the following day.

Campaign slogans

The parties' campaign slogans for the 2011 election:[ citation needed ]

Results

1661033441
ConservativeNew DemocraticLiberalB
Q
G

Summary analysis

PartyVotesSeats
Conservative 5,832,401
39.62%
166 / 308(54%)
New Democratic 4,508,474
30.63%
103 / 308(33%)
Liberal 2,783,175
18.91%
34 / 308(11%)
Bloc Québécois 889,788
6.04%
4 / 308(1%)
Green 576,221
3.91%
1 / 308(0.3%)
Winning party by riding. Canada federal election 2011 - Results By Riding (Simple Map).svg
Winning party by riding.
The disproportionality of parliament in the 2011 election was 12.45 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly between the Conservatives and NDP on the one hand, and the Liberal, BQ and Green parties on the other. 2011 Canadian General Election Gallagher Index.svg
The disproportionality of parliament in the 2011 election was 12.45 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly between the Conservatives and NDP on the one hand, and the Liberal, BQ and Green parties on the other.
Elections to the 41st Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2008–2011
Party2008Gain from (loss to)2011
ConNDPLibBQGrnInd
Conservative 1432(6)27(1)1166
New Democratic 376(2)17(1)451103
Liberal 77(27)1(17)34
Bloc Québécois 49(45)4
Green 11
Independent 2(1)(1)
Total3087(30)3(69)44(1)45(1)2308

Pairing off the top three parties, percentage of seats swung between the parties can be calculated as:

  • Conservative to NDP: 5.24%
  • Liberal to Conservative: 4.66%
  • Liberal to NDP: 9.90%

Detailed analysis

e    d  Summary of the May 2, 2011 House of Commons of Canada election results
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
2008 Dissol. 2011 % Change% seats## Change% pp Change
Conservative Stephen Harper 307143143166+16.08%53.90%5,832,401+623,33239.62%+1.97pp
New Democratic Jack Layton 3083736103+178.38%33.44%4,508,474+1,993,18630.63%+12.45pp
Liberal Michael Ignatieff 3081777734−42.86%11.04%2,783,175−850,01018.91%−7.36pp
Bloc Québécois Gilles Duceppe 7549474−91.84%1.30%889,788−490,2036.04%−3.93pp
Green Elizabeth May 3041n/a0.32%576,221−361,3923.91%−2.86pp
  Independent and no affiliation6122−100%72,731−22,1130.49%−0.19pp
Christian Heritage James Hnatiuk 4619,218−7,2570.13%−0.06pp
Marxist–Leninist Anna Di Carlo7010,160+1,5950.07%+0.01pp
Libertarian Dennis Young236,017−1,2830.04%−0.01pp
Progressive Canadian Sinclair Stevens 95,838−220.04%−0.00pp
Rhinoceros 2 François Gourd 143,819+1,6970.03%+0.01pp
Pirate Mikkel Paulson10**3,198*0.02%*
Communist Miguel Figueroa 202,925−6470.02%−0.01pp
Canadian Action Christopher Porter 122,030−1,4250.01%−0.01pp
Marijuana Blair Longley 51,864−4340.01%−0.00pp
Animal Alliance Liz White 71,451+9240.01%+0.01pp
Western Block Doug Christie 4748+5530.01%+0.00pp
United Brian Jedan3**294*0.00%*
First Peoples National Will Morin 1228−1,3830.00%−0.01pp
 Vacant3 
Total1,587308308308±0.0%100.0%14,720,580+886,286100% 
Source: Elections Canada (Preliminary results)
1. André Forbes of Manicouagan was nominated as a Liberal, but lost party support after being nominated, and continued to run as an independent; he is listed here as a Liberal rather than an independent, as he was listed as a Liberal on the ballot. [19] [20]
2. The Rhinoceros Party contested the previous federal election under the name Neorhino.ca.
3. People's Political Power Party of Canada failed to run candidates in the 2011 election and was deregistered by Elections Canada on April 13, 2011. [21]

The voter turnout was 61.1%. [22]

Targeted constituencies

Several constituencies were especially focused upon by the various parties, due to:

  1. their being lost in the 2008 election;
  2. notably slim margin margins of victory; or
  3. their being potentially in play, with margins of 15% or less.

Under these criteria, the following were the top targets for each of the parties:

Targeted constituencies in the 2011 election, with incumbent party and actual outcome
ConservativeLiberal
Vancouver South BC0.05%Green check.svg Kitchener—Waterloo ON0.03%Red x.svg
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca BC0.12%Red x.svg Egmont PE0.30%Red x.svg
Brampton West ON0.43%Green check.svg Mississauga—Erindale ON0.71%Red x.svg
Welland ON0.59%Red x.svg Oak Ridges—Markham ON0.72%Red x.svg
Edmonton Strathcona AB0.98%Red x.svg Kitchener Centre ON0.75%Red x.svg
Burnaby—Douglas BC1.69%Red x.svg Ahuntsic QC0.89%Red x.svg
Brampton—Springdale ON1.71%Green check.svg Saint John NB1.43%Red x.svg
Sault Ste. Marie ON2.71%Green check.svg Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia QC1.93%Red x.svg
New Westminster—Coquitlam BC3.00%Red x.svg Brome—Missisquoi QC2.41%Red x.svg
Guelph ON3.04%Red x.svg Jeanne-Le Ber QC2.65%Red x.svg
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe NB3.30%Green check.svg London West ON3.68%Red x.svg
Western Arctic NT3.82%Red x.svg West Nova NS3.79%Red x.svg
Mississauga South ON4.64%Green check.svg Gatineau QC3.83%Red x.svg
Eglinton—Lawrence ON4.74%Green check.svg Saanich—Gulf Islands BC4.07%Red x.svg
Malpeque PE4.91%Red x.svg Sudbury ON4.30%Red x.svg
NDPBloc
Saskatoon—Rosetown—Biggar SK0.97%Red x.svg Brossard—La Prairie QC0.12%Red x.svg
South Shore—St. Margaret's NS2.33%Red x.svg Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier QC1.47%Red x.svg
St. John's South—Mount Pearl NL2.76%Green check.svg Papineau QC2.78%Red x.svg
Gatineau QC3.03%Green check.svg Roberval—Lac-Saint-Jean QC3.89%Red x.svg
Surrey North BC3.18%Green check.svg Beauport—Limoilou QC4.15%Red x.svg
Vancouver Island North BC4.40%Red x.svg Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles QC11.93%Red x.svg
Oshawa ON6.64%Red x.svg Jonquière—Alma QC14.98%Red x.svg
Parkdale—High Park ON7.00%Green check.svgGreen
Nunavut NU7.28%Red x.svg Guelph ON11.07%Red x.svg
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour NS7.95%Green check.svg Central Nova NS14.36%Red x.svg
Beaches—East York ON8.84%Green check.svg
Palliser SK10.26%Red x.svg
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo BC10.27%Red x.svg
Newton—North Delta BC10.29%Green check.svg
Halifax West NS11.96%Red x.svg

Results by province

Party name BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL YT NT NU Total
     Conservative Seats:212713117358411101166
Vote:45.566.856.353.544.416.543.936.741.228.433.832.149.939.6
     New Democratic Party Seats:1210222591302010103
Vote:32.516.832.325.825.642.929.830.315.432.614.445.819.430.6
     Liberal Seats:2011117143400034
Vote:13.49.38.616.625.314.222.628.941.037.933.018.428.618.9
     Bloc Québécois Seats:N/A4N/A4
Vote:23.46.0
     Green Seats:10000000000001
Vote:7.75.32.73.63.82.13.24.02.40.918.93.12.13.9
     Independent and no affiliation Vote:0.21.30.20.10.20.60.50.30.4
Total seats3628141410675101147111308

Post-election

Overview of results

Analysis of results by riding, together with comparisons from previous election and at dissolution. Election-federale-canadienne-2011.png
Analysis of results by riding, together with comparisons from previous election and at dissolution.
Canada Federal Election 2011 by Province Elections2011wikipedia.JPG
Canada Federal Election 2011 by Province
Rendition of party representation in the 41st Canadian Parliament decided by this election
Conservatives (166)
New Democrats (103)
Liberals (34)
Bloc Quebecois (4)
Green Party (1) Canada 2011 Federal Election seats.svg
Rendition of party representation in the 41st Canadian Parliament decided by this election
  Conservatives (166)
  New Democrats (103)
  Liberals (34)
  Bloc Québécois (4)
  Green Party (1)

With an overall voter turnout of 61.4% and 14,823,408 ballots cast, [23] the Conservative Party remained in power, moving from a minority to a majority government [24] by winning 166 of the 308 seats. [25] The New Democratic Party won the largest number of seats in their history, including a large majority of seats in Quebec (where they had previously only ever elected two candidates [fn 1] ) and formed the Official Opposition for the first time. The Liberal Party won the fewest seats in their history and party leader Michael Ignatieff was defeated in his own riding. [fn 2] The Bloc Québécois, which had always won at least a majority of seats in Quebec in every election of their existence, lost nearly all their seats, and thus also their official party status, including the seat of their leader Gilles Duceppe. [26] Green Party leader Elizabeth May became the first Member of Parliament elected to represent the party. [27]

Recounts

Elections Canada ordered three judicial recounts, [28] and an elector initiated a fourth. [29] The Canada Elections Act states that "a judicial recount is required when the difference in votes between the first- and second-place candidates is less than one one-thousandth of the total votes cast in a riding," and allows an elector or candidate in any riding to approach a judge and request a recount regardless of the final result. [28] In all four ridings, Etobicoke Centre, Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup, Nipissing—Timiskaming, and Winnipeg North, the validated result was confirmed:

Opposition party leadership changes

Ignatieff announced on May 3, 2011, that he would step down as leader of the Liberal Party when it choose his successor. [27] [37] Ignatieff took a teaching position at the University of Toronto after his defeat in Etobicoke—Lakeshore.He decided to teach classes in the law faculty, the department of political science, the Munk School of Global Affairs and the School of Public Policy and Governance. Ignatieff stated that, "The life that I like the best is teaching. It's the end of my life as a politician". [38] Bob Rae, Liberal MP for Toronto Centre and former Premier of Ontario (1990 to 1995, as a New Democrat), subsequently became interim leader of the Liberal Party, with a Liberal leadership election which took place April 14, 2013, during which Justin Trudeau was chosen as leader.

Duceppe resigned as Bloc Québécois leader on election night following his defeat. [27] Louis Plamondon, MP for Bas-Richelieu—Nicolet—Bécancour and Dean of the House, subsequently became interim parliamentary leader of the Bloc. Former MP Daniel Paillé, who lost his seat in the election, won the Bloc leadership election to succeed Duceppe on December 11, 2011. [39]

On July 25, 2011, Jack Layton took a leave of absence to fight a newly diagnosed cancer. Nycole Turmel, former union leader and newly elected MP for Hull—Aylmer, was named interim leader of the New Democratic Party. On August 22, Layton died. Turmel became opposition leader. A leadership election was held on March 24, 2012 and Thomas Mulcair was elected leader of the New Democratic Party. [40]

Controversies

The losing parties in the Berthier—Maskinongé riding claimed that the nomination papers for Ruth Ellen Brosseau, the newly elected NDP Member of Parliament for the riding, had irregularities. [41] Some of the alleged irregularities include writing an address instead of signing, missing signatures, people thinking they were signing a petition for the NDP to name a candidate in the riding and one person not remembering that he signed her nomination papers even though he admitted that the signature looks like his. [41] The NDP denied the allegations. [41] Elections Canada has insisted that Brosseau's nomination papers were legitimate. [42] Elections Canada stated that "The decision to overturn or uphold the results is at the discretion of the courts and not Elections Canada". [42]

The Liberal Party of Canada attracted verifiable controversy regarding the past racist comments and White supremacist history of one of its candidates in northern Quebec, Andre Forbes. His history as a white supremacist activist and past hate speech against Muslims, First Nations and LGBTQ+ people was uncovered by the NDP. Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff immediately removed Forbes as a candidate. [43]

Voter suppression scandal

In early 2012, there were allegations of voter suppression during the election, starting the robocall scandal. Elections Canada and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) investigated claims that robocalls were used in an attempt to dissuade voters from casting their ballot by telling them their poll stations had changed location. [44] While the Elections Canada investigation initially focused on calls sent into Guelph amidst nationwide complaints, the investigation continued to expand in scope and to examine complaints in other ridings across the country. Reports of fraudulent automated or live calls targeting opposition supporters were published in 100 ridings [45] and Elections Canada acknowledged it was investigating telephone election fraud complaints in 247 of Canada's 308 federal ridings.

On March 27, 2012, the Council of Canadians announced that they had launched a lawsuit in the Federal Court of Canada to ask for by-elections to be ordered in seven ridings where complaints were received and where Conservatives had won by slim margins. The ridings named were Don Valley East, Winnipeg South Centre, Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar, Vancouver Island North, Yukon, Nipissing-Timiskaming and Elmwood-Transcona. [46] [47] The case was heard over two weeks starting December 9, 2012. [48] Justice Richard G. Mosley ruled in May 2013 that fraud had occurred in Guelph and that voting irregularities and misconduct occurred in all six of the contested ridings, but that it was not significant enough to warrant overturning the election results. The judge also ruled that the mostly likely source of the fraud was the Conservative Party of Canada's (using the CIMS database) and that there was no evidence that its use was approved by the CPC. [49] [50]

In April 2013, a criminal charge in the matter was laid on Michael Sona, a former Conservative staffer who was the communications officer and official Ottawa liaison for the Guelph Conservative campaign. [51] [52] In August 2014, he was convicted of the charge. [53]

Riding of Vaughan

In a further scandal, Elections Canada was called on to investigate the finances of Associate Minister of National Defence Julian Fantino's election finances after three former Conservative riding executives from Vaughan [54] [55] signed affidavits alleging impropriety in Fantino's 2010 and 2011 election campaigns. They alleged there was a second, secret, illegal bank account containing $300,000. [56]

Timeline

March 25, 2011The Liberal Party's no-confidence motion passes the House 156–145, and the Prime Minister moves for the House to adjourn. [57]
March 26, 2011 Governor General David Johnston agrees to dissolve the 40th Parliament following a meeting with Prime Minister Stephen Harper. [58]
April 12, 2011English leaders' debate.
April 13, 2011French leaders' debate.
April 22, 23 and 25, 2011Advance polls open [59]
May 2, 2011Polling Day
May 23, 2011 Return of Writs [60]
June 2, 2011 41st Parliament convenes [61]

Issues

CategoryIssueDetails
Crime and law enforcementInternet surveillance and warrant-less wiretappingThe Conservatives promised to re-introduce Internet surveillance legislation that they were not able to pass, and bundle it with the rest of their crime bills. They said they plan to fast track the legislation within 100 days after taking office. [62] [63] [64] [65] [66] [67] [68] [69]
Long gun registryHarper pledged to scrap the long-gun registry. [70]
Crime strategiesThe Conservative platform included a promise to consolidate twelve crime bills into at least one omnibus bill and pass it within 100 days of forming a majority government. The bills included within that list would crack down on organized drug crime, end house arrest for violent criminals and establish tougher sentences and mandatory jail time for sexual offences against children. [71] The opposition parties claimed the crime bills were not costed fully, and the opposition parties countered that this would create a US style system of prisons. [72] The Conservatives have not released the costs for expanding the prison system. The other parties state that more focus should be given on crime prevention, so that it doesn't happen in the first place. [72] The New Democratic Party (NDP) stated that their promise to hire 2,500 more police officers to patrol the streets, will help in preventing crime from occurring in the first place. [73] [74] [75] [76]
Defence policyThe Conservatives plan to purchase 65 F-35 Lightning II jet fighters. Stating that "Our defence policy is broken", the NDP announced that they would prioritize investment in naval ships over new fighter jets. The NDP stated that this would be a good opportunity to keep shipbuilding expertise and jobs in Canada. [77] [78] [79] [80]
Economy and fiscal policyBalanced budget and recessionConservatives argued that they steered the economy through the 2007-2010 global financial crisis, and promised to eliminate the budget deficit by 2014–15. [81] [82] Former Prime Minister Paul Martin, campaigning for the Liberals, challenged assertions, noting that his Liberal government left a $13 billion budget surplus, before the Conservatives took power. [83] [84] In 2010, Paul Martin had been invited to the prestigious Global ARC conference to discuss that elimination of the Canadian government deficit. [85] Martin also claimed that when he was Finance minister working under Jean Chretien, his blocking of proposed bank mergers is what actually sheltered Canada from the worst effects of the recession. [84] [86] [87] The New Democratic Party (NDP) released its platform promising a balanced budget in four years. [88] After the NDP surge, the Liberals called the NDP platform "science fiction" [89] stating it contains over $30 billion in new spending derived from sources that are not credible, and that implementing a cap and trade system that would take years to realize rather than provide the in-year contributions as claimed. [89]
Corporate tax cuts and job creation strategyThe Conservatives stated that their plan to cut corporate taxes from 16.5% to 15%, will create more jobs. [90] Harper stated that an increase in corporate taxes will create job losses across Canada. Layton countered by saying currently the jobs are shipped overseas, and pledged a $4,500 job creation tax credit to all businesses per new hire. [91] Layton further went to say that small business are the ones creating more jobs, thus he promised to lower the tax rate for small business from 11% to 9%. He then went on to say the big business are using the corporate tax cuts by providing their CEOs with big bonuses, and thus pledged to increase their tax rate to 19.5%. [72] [92] The Liberals on the other hand, will raise the rate to 18%, stating that it will be competitive but not excessively low.
Increasing Canada Pension PlanThe NDP promised a gradual doubling of Canada Pension Plan and QPP benefits, in conjunction with the provinces, with an increase in payroll deductions of as much as 2.5 per cent. [93]
HST referendum in BCIf BC voters were to reject the Harmonized Sales Tax in the upcoming referendum, the NDP promised to ensure that the penalties to be imposed by Ottawa on the HST agreement will be cancelled. [94] [95] [96] [97]
Personal taxationConservatives promised income splitting for tax purposes for families with children to be implemented once the budget is balanced in 2013. [98]
Electoral reform and political honestyPolitical honestyThe New Democratic Party stated that both the Conservatives and the Liberals cannot be trusted. The NDP accused the Conservatives of creating "Liberal-style scandals" [99] and accused the Liberals of flip-flopping on issues such as corporate tax cuts, and the Afghanistan mission. [100] [101] [102] Throughout the election various polls had shown the political honesty issue to be low on the list of priorities for voters. Post-media conducted a survey that found health care, the economy, taxes and jobs all more important to Canadians. Further, half of voters identified Harper as the best suited to be Prime Minister followed by Layton with one third support and Ignatieff with less than twenty percent support. On the question of a hidden agenda, Ignatieff is viewed by three times more of those polled to have a hidden agenda than Harper. [103]
Political financingConservatives pledged to phase-out per-vote subsidy over two years, with its eventual cancellation. [93]
SenateStephen Harper promised Senate reform without changing the constitution. [104] The NDP pledged to abolish the Senate, stating it is a waste of tax revenues and a form of patronage. [72]
Promised government programsNewfoundland hydroelectric project and Quebec's HSTConservatives, New Democrats and Liberals promised $4.2 billion in loan guarantees to support the Lower Churchill River power project. [105] Due to outcry from Quebec over the pledge to provide loan guarantees for the Lower Churchill project, the Conservatives promise Quebec a $2.2 billion transfer to ease the Quebec Sales Tax to Harmonized Sales Tax transition. [106]
Post-secondary educationLiberals promised a "Learning Passport" for high school students seeking post-secondary education. [107] The NDP's plan is to reduce the tuition fees, by increasing transfer payments to the Provinces.
Immigration Fairness CommissionerLiberals proposed the establishment of an "Immigration Fairness Commissioner" to provide oversight on the entry of immigrants with professional qualifications (doctors, engineers, etc.), and to increase the number of family reunification visas. [108]
Health careThe NDP pledged to train 1,200 more doctors and 6,000 more nurses. [109] [110] [111] [112] [113] All parties promised to continue to increase healthcare transfers to provinces by 6% annually.
Government regulationsImproved internet and usage based billingThe New Democratic Party (NDP) promised a ban on all forms of usage based billing by ISPs, and enshrine net neutrality in law, which would prevent bandwidth throttling. The Liberals promised net neutrality as well as "functional separation" with regards to usage based billing as well as enshrining net neutrality in law, which would prevent bandwidth throttling. [114] [115] Almost all of the established parties, with the exception of the Conservatives, outlined policies that they claim will improve Canadian Internet access. [116]
Cap on credit card interest ratesThe NDP promised to cap credit card rates at five percentage points above the Bank of Canada's prime interest rate. [117]

Election campaign

Pie chart detailing the percentage of seats won in the House of Commons 2011 Canadian election pie chart.svg
Pie chart detailing the percentage of seats won in the House of Commons

Controversies and gaffes

A number of controversies took place during the election campaign.

Leaders' debates

The English- and French-language debates took place on April 12 and 13 respectively. [118] [119]

On March 29, the consortium of broadcasters playing host to the debates (the CBC, CTV, Global, Radio-Canada and TVA) announced that it would only invite the leaders of the four recognized parties in the House of Commons, namely, the Conservative Party, the Liberal Party, the Bloc Québécois and the New Democratic (NDP). Therefore, the Green Party was excluded, despite earning 6.8 per cent of the popular vote in the 2008 federal election. [120] [121] [122] [123]

On March 30, Stephen Harper challenged Michael Ignatieff to a one-on-one televised debate. [124] Although Ignatieff accepted the challenge, this was opposed by the other opposition parties. The idea was later rejected by the broadcast consortium and cancelled.

On April 1, comedian Rick Mercer suggested over Twitter hosting a one-on-one debate between Stephen Harper and Michael Ignatieff at Toronto's Massey Hall. He later added he would donate $50,000 to the charities of their choosing if they were willing to participate. Ignatieff immediately accepted the challenge and named the Alzheimer Society as his charity of choice, as his mother succumbed to Alzheimer's disease in 1992. Harper did not respond to the challenge. [125]

In an interview with The Globe and Mail published on April 1, Troy Reeb, the broadcast consortium chairman, discussed the process behind setting up the leaders' debates and the rationale for various decisions made, including the decision to exclude the Green Party's leader Elizabeth May. [126]

On April 5, the Federal Court rejected the Green Party's request for an expedited hearing on the matter prior to the scheduled debates. [127]

On April 10, the date of the French leaders debate was changed from April 14 to April 13 due to worries of broadcasting conflicts with the NHL playoffs scheduled for April 14. [128] Also on April 10, Elizabeth May participated in a panel interview on CHCH-TV in Hamilton, which she was invited to attend, as were the leaders of the Bloc, Liberals, New Democrats and Conservatives, by Channel Zero, whose president was disappointed by May's exclusion from the leaders' debates. [129]

Small parties public forum

A joint press conference and public forum was staged by 11 of the 18 registered parties and one unregistered party on April 23, 2011, at York University. Forum organizers invited the leaders from all registered political parties who do not have seats in parliament. [130] Parties were able to explain their platforms and responded to questions from the audience. As a forum, the goal was an inter-party discussion of major issues, however some debate did occur.

Participants in the forum were the Animal Alliance Environmental Voters, the Canadian Action Party, the Christian Heritage Party, the Communist Party, the First Peoples National, the Libertarian Party, the Marijuana Party, the Marxist–Leninist Party, the Rhinoceros Party, and the Pirate Party.

Green Party leader Elizabeth May refused to participate in the forum claiming they are not one of "the small, fringe parties." [131]

Opinion polls

2011FederalElectionPolls.png

New Democratic Party surge

In the week before the leaders debate, on April 8, a poll showed the New Democratic Party (NDP) support at 13.2%. [132] [133] A reversal of fortune began on April 16, when an Angus Reid poll indicated a tie in support for the NDP and the Liberals, both polling at 25%. [134] [135] [136] The New Democrats' poll numbers then moved significantly ahead of the Liberals and slightly or moderately behind the Conservatives. [137] [138] [139]

The surge began in Quebec, with the NDP surprising many observers by surpassing the previously front-running Bloc in Quebec. In the entirety of Canada, the NDP surged past the Liberals to take the second place behind the Conservatives; in Quebec, the NDP took first place. [140] [141] The NDP surge became the dominant narrative of the last week of the campaign, as other parties turned their attacks on the party. [142] Ruth Ellen Brosseau, the NDP candidate in Berthier—Maskinongé, won despite not running a campaign, barely speaking French at this time [143] and being on holiday in Las Vegas at the time of the election. [27] The NDP's rise in popularity was nicknamed "Orange Crush", an allusion to the soft drink with the same name and the party's colour. [144]

Election spending

Pre-campaign, there are no limits to what a political party, candidate, or third party can spend — spending rules are only in force once the writ is dropped and the campaign has officially begun.

Spending limits for the 2011 federal election

Spending LimitNotes
Political Parties$21,025,793.23If full slate of 308 candidates.
Party Candidates (Average electoral district)$28,244,498.50 ($91,702.92)If full slate of 308 candidates. Each electoral district is subject to specific spending limits according to population and density. [145] The limits for candidates varied from $69,635 in the electoral district of Malpeque, Prince Edward Island, to $134,352 in Oak Ridges–Markham, Ontario. [146]
Third Parties (corporations, unions, special interest groups, etc.)$150,000Election advertising expenses limit. Of that amount, no more than $3,000 can be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district. [147]

Election spending during the 2011 federal election [148]

PartyTotal Spending (% of limit)Party Election Spending (% of limit)Total Candidate Spending (% of limit)# Candidates Spending > 75% of Candidate Limit# Candidates Spending > 50% of Candidate Limit
Conservative$39,175,131 (80%)$19,519,995 (93%)$19,655,136 (70%)173228
NDP$27,490,193 (56%)$20,372,231 (97%)$7,117,962 (25%)4470
Liberal$34,025,109 (69%)$19,507,746 (93%)$14,517,363 (41%)91169

Endorsements

Most major newspapers endorsed the Conservatives, and none solely endorsed the Liberals or Greens. Canada's highest circulated newspaper, the Toronto Star , endorsed the NDP but also advised readers to vote against the Conservatives.

Candidates by party

Articles on parties' candidates for the 41st election:

See also

Notes

  1. The only NDP candidates elected in Quebec before 2011 were Thomas Mulcair and Phil Edmonston, the latter in a 1990 by-election.
  2. The previous lowest seat total for the Liberals was 40 in the 1984 election.

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Further reading