66th Prince Edward Island general election

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66th Prince Edward Island general election
Flag of Prince Edward Island.svg
  2015 On or before October 7, 2019 (2019-10-07)Next 

All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Wade MacLauchlan in DC (cropped).jpg James Aylward (cropped).jpeg Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg
Leader Wade MacLauchlan James Aylward Peter Bevan-Baker
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative Green
Leader since February 21, 2015 October 20, 2017
(resigning)
November 3, 2012
Leader's seat York-Oyster Bed Stratford-Kinlock Kellys Cross-Cumberland
Last election18 seats, 40.83%8 seats, 37.39%1 seat, 10.81%
Current seats1682
Seats neededSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg6Increase2.svg12

 
Party Independent
Last election0 seats, 0%
Current seats1

Incumbent Premier

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal


The next Prince Edward Island general election will occur on or before 7 October 2019, as the Prince Edward Island Elections Act requires a provincial election to be held by the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year unless it is called earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no-confidence in the Legislative Assembly or at the request of the Premier. [1] The election will be held concurrently with a referendum on electoral reform.

Contents

Background

In the previous election, on May 4, 2015, the Liberal Party, led by Premier Wade MacLauchlan, was re-elected to a majority government. The official opposition Progressive Conservatives, under leader Rob Lantz, increased its seat count from 3 before the election to 8, despite Lantz losing in Charlottetown-Brighton. Meanwhile, the Green Party, under leader Peter Bevan-Baker, won its first ever seat, Bevan-Baker's, in Kellys Cross-Cumberland. [2] Despite the increase in the Progressive Conservatives' seat count, on September 23 of that year, Lantz stepped down as leader. [3] The Progressive Conservatives held a leadership election on October 20, 2017, and chose MLA James Aylward as their leader.

Standings

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island

PartyParty leaderSeats
2015 Current
Liberal Wade MacLauchlan 1816
Progressive Conservative James Aylward 88
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 12
Independent *1
Total2727

Timeline

2015

2016

2017

2018

Opinion polls

PEI 66th provincial election polling.png

The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample size Liberal PC Green NDP Lead
2 Nov19 Nov 2018 Corporate Research Associates 63736%20%37%6%1%
30 Oct1 Nov 2018 Mainstreet Research 63733.4%28.3%29.7%6.7%3.7%
22 Oct4 Nov 2018 MQO Research 40031%30%32%7%1%
221 August 2018 Corporate Research Associates 30035%20%38%7%3%
1229 July 2018 MQO Research 40034%29%33%4%1%
1517 July 2018 Mainstreet Research 73132.0%31.3%29.2%5.4%0.7%
228 May 2018 Corporate Research Associates 60034%26%33%7%1%
16 Apr8 May 2018 MQO Research 40038%29%26%7%9%
228 Feb 2018 Corporate Research Associates 30042%17%34%6%8%
1520 Jan 2018 MQO Research 40037%29%28%6%8%
46 Jan 2018 Mainstreet Research 64728.6%30.2%36.1%5.1%5.9%
130 Nov 2017 Corporate Research Associates 60037%28%25%11%9%
310 Oct 2017 MQO Research 40043%32%13%12%11%
3 Aug5 Sep 2017 Corporate Research Associates 30445%24%18%12%21%
15 Jul 2017 MQO Research 39%31%22%7%8%
9 May1 Jun 2017 Corporate Research Associates 30438%26%26%10%12%
18 Apr 2017 MQO Research 39%29%23%9%10%
3 Feb1 Mar 2017 Corporate Research Associates 30448%19%26%7%22%
16 Jan 2017 MQO Research 44%26%24%6%18%
729 Nov 2016 Corporate Research Associates 30046%25%22%7%21%
2 Oct 2016 MQO Research 56%25%7%11%31%
931 Aug 2016 Corporate Research Associates 30164%19%9%8%45%
19 Jul 2016 MQO Research 64%14%6%16%48%
630 May 2016 Corporate Research Associates 30058%20%16%7%38%
6 Apr 2016 MQO Research 69%17%9%5%52%
9 Feb7 Mar 2016 Corporate Research Associates 30961%19%11%9%42%
6 Nov1 Dec 2015 Corporate Research Associates 30161%18%11%9%43%
10 Aug2 Sep 2015 Corporate Research Associates 30446%22%14%18%24%
1128 May 2015 Corporate Research Associates 30040%24%17%19%16%
4 May 2015General election results81,99840.8%37.4%10.8%11.0%3.4%

Candidates

Cardigan

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDPOther
4. Belfast-Murray River Darlene Compton  Darlene Compton
2. Georgetown-Pownal Steven Myers Susan Hartley Steven Myers
5. Mermaid-Stratford Alan McIsaac [12]
3. Montague-Kilmuir   Allen Roach [12]
7. Morell-Donagh Sidney MacEwen  Sidney MacEwen
1. Souris-Elmira Colin LaVie Boyd LeardColin LaVie
6. Stratford-Keppoch James Aylward Josh Weale [13] Lynne Thiele [14] James Aylward

Malpeque

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDPOther
19. Borden-Kinkora Jamie Fox Matthew MacFarlaneJamie Fox
16. Cornwall-Meadowbank Heath MacDonald Heath MacDonald
20. Kensington-Malpeque Matthew MacKay Matthew MacKay
17. New Haven-Rocky Point Peter Bevan-Baker Peter Bevan-Baker
18. Rustico-Emerald Brad Trivers Brad Trivers

Charlottetown

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDPOther
15. Brackley-Hunter River Greg BradleyLeah-Jane Hayward [14] Bush Dumville
11. Charlottetown-Belvedere Hannah Bell [13]  Hannah Bell
13. Charlottetown-Brighton Jordan Brown Ole Hammarlund [13] Jordan Brown
9. Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park Karen Lavers [15] Sarah Stewart-Clark [15] Josh Underhay [13] Gordon Gay [14] Wade MacLauchlan
12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park Richard Brown Karla Bernard [13]  Richard Brown
14. Charlottetown-West Royalty   Kathleen Casey [12]
10. Charlottetown-Winsloe Robert Mitchell  Robert Mitchell
8. Stanhope-Marshfield Buck Watts [12]

Egmont

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC Green NDPOther
26. Alberton-Roseville Pat Murphy  Pat Murphy
24. Evangeline-Miscouche Sonny Gallant Nick Arsenault Sonny Gallant
25. O'Leary-Inverness Robert Henderson Jason Charette Herb Dickieson [16]  Robert Henderson
22. Summerside-South Drive Tina Mundy Steve Howard Tina Mundy
21. Summerside-Wilmot Chris Palmer Lynne Lund Chris Palmer
27. Tignish-Palmer Road Hal Perry  Hal Perry
23. Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke Paula Biggar Trish Altass Paula Biggar

Related Research Articles

Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island political party in Prince Edward Island, Canada

The Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island is one of two major political parties on Prince Edward Island. It and its rival, the Liberals have alternated in power since responsible government was granted in 1851.

Canada holds elections for legislatures or governments in several jurisdictions: nationally (federally), provincially and territorially, and municipally. Elections are also held for self-governing First Nations and for many other public and private organizations including corporations and trade unions. Municipal elections can also be held for both upper-tier and lower-tier governments. Formal elections have occurred in Canada since at least 1792, when both Upper Canada and Lower Canada had their first elections.

Robert Ghiz Canadian politician

Robert Watson Joseph Ghiz is a Canadian politician who served as the 31st Premier of Prince Edward Island from 2007 to 2015. He is the son of the 27th Premier, Joe Ghiz. On November 13, 2014 Ghiz announced he would be resigning as Premier in early 2015 as soon as the Liberal Party elected a new leader.

The Green Party of Prince Edward Island is a registered provincial political party in Prince Edward Island, Canada founded by Sharon Labchuk. The party was registered in 2005 and ran candidates in the 2007 and 2011 elections. In the 2015 election, the party elected its first member of the legislature, leader Peter Bevan-Baker, with 54% of the vote.

The politics of Prince Edward Island are centred on a provincial government resembling that of the other Canadian provinces. The capital of the province of Prince Edward Island is Charlottetown, where reside the premier, provincial legislature, lieutenant-governor and cabinet.

2007 Prince Edward Island general election

The 2007 Prince Edward Island general election was held on May 28, 2007. It elected members of the Legislative Assembly of the Province of Prince Edward Island, Canada. The incumbent Progressive Conservative government was defeated by the Liberal opposition after holding power for eleven years.

Olive Crane is a Canadian politician and social worker from Douglas Station, Prince Edward Island. She was the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island from 2007 to 2010 on an interim basis and 2010 to 2013 on a permanent basis. She was also leader of the Official Opposition in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island from 2007 to 2010 and 2010 to 2013.

The Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island held a leadership election in Charlottetown on October 2, 2010 to select a new leader after the resignation of Pat Binns on August 30, 2007 following the defeat of the party in the 2007 general election. Olive Crane was appointed interim leader on September 4, 2007 and served until June 2010 when she resigned to successfully run for leader. Jamie Ballem, Fred McCardle, Jamie Fox, and Peter Llewellyn were all also candidates for the party's leadership.

Jeffrey E. Lantz is a Canadian lawyer, judge and former politician, who was elected to the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in the 2000 provincial election.

Steven Myers is a Canadian politician, who was elected to the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in the 2011 provincial election. He represents the district of Georgetown-St. Peters as a member of the Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island and was Leader of the Opposition in the legislature, from 2013 to 2015.

2015 Prince Edward Island general election

The 2015 Prince Edward Island general election was held May 4, 2015 to elect members of the 65th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island. Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in 2008, Prince Edward Island elections are usually held on the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless it is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no confidence. The current government had hinted that an election would be held "before Mother's Day" 2015, and such a dissolution would avoid any conflicts with the next federal election, expected to be held in October 2015.

The Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island selected a new leader on February 28, 2015, to replace Olive Crane who resigned on January 31, 2013. The Progressive Conservatives have been the Official Opposition in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island since June 12, 2007, having lost the 2007 and 2011 provincial elections to the Liberals. The interim leader was Steven Myers.

The Liberal Party of Prince Edward Island, on February 21, 2015, chose a new leader and premier to replace outgoing PEI Premier and Liberal leader, Robert Ghiz. On November 13, 2014, Ghiz announced his pending resignation. The Liberal Party has been the Government of Prince Edward Island with a majority in the Legislative Assembly since 12 June 2007, having won the 2007 and 2011 provincial elections. With the Liberals forming the PEI government, the winner of the election will consequently become Premier of Prince Edward Island.

Jordan Brown is a Canadian politician, who was elected to the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in the 2015 provincial election. He represents the electoral district of Charlottetown-Brighton as a member of the Liberal Party.

Brad Trivers is a Canadian politician, who was elected to the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in the 2015 provincial election. He will represent the electoral district of Rustico-Emerald as a member of the Progressive Conservative Party.

The 2016 Plebiscite on Democratic Renewal was a non-binding referendum on electoral reform held in the Canadian province of Prince Edward Island between 27 October – 7 November 2016. This was the second electoral reform referendum to be held in Prince Edward Island, following a vote to maintain the status quo in 2005. The referendum asked which of five voting systems residents would prefer to use in electing members to the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island. The referendum, after four instant run-off rounds, indicated mixed member proportional representation was the preferred choice with 55.03% support on the final ballot.

A Progressive Conservative Party of Prince Edward Island leadership election was held on October 20, 2017 choosing MLA James Aylward as the new leader. Previous party leader Rob Lantz resigned on September 23, 2015 after serving only seven months. The interim party leader was MLA Jamie Fox, from Lantz's resignation to Aylward's election.

A referendum on electoral reform will be held on or before October 7, 2019 in the Canadian province of Prince Edward Island. The referendum will occur at the same time as the 2019 provincial election.

References

  1. "Elections Act" (PDF). Government of Prince Edward Island. Retrieved August 6, 2015.
  2. 1 2 "Liberals win majority in P.E.I. election". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  3. 1 2 "P.E.I. Progressive Conservative Leader Rob Lantz resigns as leader". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  4. "Jamie Fox named Progressive Conservative interim leader". CBC News. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  5. MacPhee, Nancy. "Janice Sherry calling it quits". The Guardian (1 August 2016). Charlottetown, PEI. Retrieved 8 November 2016.
  6. Wright, Teresa. "Chris Palmer wins Summerside-Wilmot with 42.3 per cent of the vote". The Guardian (17 October 2016). Charlottetown, PEI. Retrieved 8 November 2016.
  7. "Voting begins in P.E.I. plebiscite on electoral reform". CBC News. Retrieved 29 October 2016.
  8. Bradley, Susan (8 November 2016). "P.E.I. plebiscite results favour mixed member proportional representation". CBC News. Retrieved 8 November 2016.
  9. "Motion No. 80, Democratic renewal: a clear question and a binding vote". www.assembly.pe.ca. Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island.
  10. Wright, Teresa (22 November 2016). "Motion urging P.E.I. government to honour electoral reform vote defeated". The Guardian. Charlottetown. Retrieved 25 November 2016.
  11. "MEDIA RELEASE: Anticipating possible early election, PEI Green Party calls for potential candidates".
  12. 1 2 3 4 "Speaker Buck Watts not running in next election | The Guardian". www.theguardian.pe.ca. Retrieved 2018-09-16.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 "Greens nominate five more candidates in Charlottetown, Stratford | The Guardian". www.theguardian.pe.ca. Retrieved 2018-09-16.
  14. 1 2 3 "Three P.E.I. New Democrats join election team | The Guardian". www.theguardian.pe.ca. Retrieved 2018-09-19.
  15. 1 2 "Karen Lavers unopposed for Liberal nomination in Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park | The Guardian". www.theguardian.pe.ca. Retrieved 2018-09-20.
  16. "He's back: Herb Dickieson to run for NDP in next provincial election | CBC News". www.cbc.ca/pei. Retrieved 2018-11-11.