United Kingdom general election, 2017 (Scotland)

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United Kingdom general election, 2017
Flag of Scotland.svg
  2015 8 June 2017 (2017-06-08) Next  

All 59 Scottish seats to the House of Commons
Turnout 66.4%, Decrease2.svg4.7%

 First partySecond party
  Official portrait of Nicola Sturgeon (cropped 3).jpg Theresa May Official.jpg
Leader Nicola Sturgeon Theresa May
Party SNP Conservative
Leader since 14 November 2014 11 July 2016
Last election56 seats, 50.0%1 seat, 14.9%
Seats before541
Seats won3513
Seat changeDecrease2.svg21Increase2.svg12
Popular vote977,569757,949
Percentage36.9%28.6%
SwingDecrease2.svg13.1%Increase2.svg13.7%

 Third partyFourth party
  Official portrait of Jeremy Corbyn crop 2.jpg Tim Farron 2016 (cropped).jpg
Leader Jeremy Corbyn Tim Farron
Party Labour Liberal Democrat
Leader since 12 September 2015 16 July 2015
Last election1 seat, 24.3%1 seat, 7.5%
Seats before11
Seats won74
Seat changeIncrease2.svg6Increase2.svg3
Popular vote717,007179,061
Percentage27.1%6.8%
SwingIncrease2.svg2.8%Decrease2.svg0.8%

2017UKelectionMapScotland.svg
Colours on map indicate winning party for each constituency

The 2017 United Kingdom general election in Scotland was held on Thursday, 8 June 2017 and all 59 seats were contested under the first-past-the-post electoral system.

First-past-the-post voting voting system in which voters select one candidate, and the candidate who receives more votes than any other candidate wins

A first-past-the-post electoral system is one in which voters indicate on a ballot the candidate of their choice, and the candidate who receives the most votes wins. This is sometimes described as winner takes all. First-past-the-post voting is a plurality voting method. FPTP is a common, but not universal, feature of electoral systems with single-member electoral divisions, and is practiced in close to one third of countries. Notable examples include Canada, India, the United Kingdom, and the United States, as well as most of their current or former colonies and protectorates.

Contents

The general election in Scotland was fought in the aftermath of the 2016 Scottish Parliament election in which the SNP won a third term in government but lost their overall majority in the Scottish Parliament. At that election, the Scottish Conservative Party increased their number of MSPs, overtaking Labour as the largest opposition party. The 2016 EU referendum was held a month later on Thursday, 23 June and the final result was for the United Kingdom to Leave the EU; despite Scotland voting 62.0% Remain. Negotiations are due to begin shortly since invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union in March 2017, which was expected to dominate the snap general election campaign. [1]

Scotland Country in Europe, part of the United Kingdom

Scotland is a country that is part of the United Kingdom. Sharing a border with England to the southeast, Scotland is otherwise surrounded by the Atlantic Ocean to the north and west, by the North Sea to the northeast and by the Irish Sea to the south. In addition to the mainland, situated on the northern third of the island of Great Britain, Scotland has over 790 islands, including the Northern Isles and the Hebrides.

In line with the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, an election had not been due until 7 May 2020, but a call for a snap election by Prime Minister Theresa May received the necessary two-thirds majority in a 522-13 vote in the House of Commons on 19 April 2017. [2] The Conservative Party, which has governed since 2010, was defending a majority of 17 [3] against the Labour Party, the official opposition. The third-largest party was the Scottish National Party (SNP), which won 56 of the 59 Scottish seats at the 2015 general election.

Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 Act of Parliament of the United Kingdom

The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 is an Act of the Parliament of the United Kingdom that received Royal Assent on 15 September 2011, introducing fixed-term elections to the Westminster parliament for the first time. Under the provisions of the Act, parliamentary general elections must be held every five years, beginning in 2015.

A snap election is an election called earlier than expected.

Prime Minister of the United Kingdom head of Her Majestys Government in the United Kingdom

The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is the head of government of the United Kingdom. The Prime Minister directs both the executive and the legislature, and together with their Cabinet are collectively accountable for their policies and actions to the Monarch, to Parliament, to their political party and ultimately to the electorate. The office of Prime Minister is one of the Great Offices of State. The current holder of the office, Theresa May, leader of the Conservative Party, was appointed by the Queen on 13 July 2016.

The election resulted in the SNP remaining as the largest single party in Scotland despite losing 21 seats to pro-union candidates. The Conservatives doubled their share of vote and won 13 seats while Labour won 7 seats and the Liberal Democrats won 4 seats respectively. The Conservatives recorded their best result in Scotland since 1983 or (in terms of seats won) 1979 (in terms of share of the popular vote). Until this election, the Conservatives had not been the second-largest party in Scotland since 1992 and had not been the largest unionist party in Scotland since 1955.

Defeated SNP MPs included: former SNP leader and First Minister of Scotland Alex Salmond, [4] SNP Westminster leader Angus Robertson, [5] SNP Chief Whip Mike Weir; [6] as well as John Nicolson [7] and Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh. [8] Commentators suggested that the election might reduce the SNP's case for a second referendum on Scottish independence. [9] [10] [11] Following the election, the SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon acknowledged that her party's plans for a second referendum were 'undoubtedly' a factor in the election results. The SNP also abandoned its fundraiser for a possible referendum after raising half of its £1,000,000 target, just over a week before its preset deadline. [12]

First Minister of Scotland position

The First Minister of Scotland is the leader of the Scottish Government. The First Minister chairs the Scottish Cabinet and is primarily responsible for the formulation, development and presentation of Scottish Government policy. Additional functions of the First Minister include promoting and representing Scotland in an official capacity, at home and abroad, and responsibility for constitutional affairs, as they relate to devolution and the Scottish Government.

Alex Salmond Scottish National Party politician and former First Minister of Scotland

Alexander Elliot Anderson Salmond is a Scottish politician who served as the First Minister of Scotland from 2007 to 2014. He was the leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) for over twenty years, having served for two terms, firstly from 1990 to 2000 and subsequently from 2004 to 2014. He was the Member of Parliament (MP) for Banff and Buchan between 1987 and 2010, when he stood down to focus on his other roles, and then for Gordon from 2015 to 2017, when he lost his seat to Scottish Conservative candidate Colin Clark. During the 2015–2017 parliament, he was the SNP International Affairs and Europe spokesperson in the House of Commons.

Angus Robertson British politician

Angus Struan Carolus Robertson is a former Scottish politician who was the Depute Leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and was the party's spokesperson on the Constitution in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom. He was first elected to the House of Commons in 2001. In 2017, he sought re-election as the MP for Moray and lost to Scottish Conservative candidate Douglas Ross.

Political context

Following a referendum held on Scottish independence in 2014 which saw 44.7% of voters in Scotland vote for Scotland to become an independent state and 55.3% vote for Scotland to remain a part of the United Kingdom, the SNP won 56 of the 59 UK Parliamentary seats in Scotland at the 2015 UK general election, campaigning on a manifesto focusing on bringing greater devolved powers to Scotland following a promise made by the three main unionist parties in Scotland to bring more devolved powers to the country should it reject independence. [13] The SNP manifesto at the 2015 general election repeatedly stated that "The SNP will always support independence - but that is not what this election is about". [13]

The Smith Commission was announced by Prime Minister David Cameron on 19 September 2014 in the wake of the 'No' vote in the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. The establishment of the commission was part of the process of fulfilling The Vow made by the leaders of the three main unionist parties during the last days of the referendum campaign. The Vow promised the devolution of more powers from the Parliament of the United Kingdom to the Scottish Parliament in the event of a No vote.

Labour only returned a single MP at Edinburgh South; a reduction of 40 seats compared to the previous election. The party lost out heavily to the SNP in working-class areas around the Scottish Central Belt, with Scottish Labour's safest constituency (Glasgow North East) returning the largest swing at the general election for any seat in the UK with 39.3% from Labour to SNP. The party performed best in more affluent constituencies, with then-Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy missing out in his former constituency of East Renfrewshire by just 3,718 votes. Labour's next closest result was at Edinburgh North and Leith, where they missed out to the SNP by 5,597 votes, and in East Lothian, where the SNP polled ahead of Labour by 6,803 votes.

The Scottish Liberal Democrats lost 10 of their 11 Westminster seats from 2010, with their safest seat in the UK - Orkney and Shetland - remaining as the only Liberal Democrat seat in Scotland. They marginally lost out to the SNP in East Dunbartonshire, where former Lib Dem MP Jo Swinson lost out to the SNP by 2,167 votes. Among those to lose their seat at the election were: former Liberal Democrat leader Charles Kennedy and the Chief Secretary to the Treasury, Danny Alexander. The Liberal Democrats finished in third place at Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk and West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine, seats which they had held at the previous election.

The Scottish Conservative Party hads not held a majority of Scottish seats at a general election since 1955 and lost all Scottish representation at the 1997 general election. Since 2001, the party had held only one Scottish seat in the House of Commons. In 2005, following the re-organisation of Scottish constituencies, that seat was Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale, a mostly rural constituency near the Scottish Borders. In 2015, it's share of the vote in Scotland decreased by 1.8% but managed to retain Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale, as it's only Scottish seat. It had been reported the party could gain Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, [14] a seat which they lost out to the Scottish National Party by a meagre 0.6% of the vote.

The SNP polled slightly under half of the votes, 49.97%, in Scotland at the 2015 general election; the largest vote share at a general election in Scotland for a party since the Conservatives won a majority of the popular vote, 50.1%, in 1955.

The impact of the 2016 EU referendum and a proposed second Scottish independence referendum was a large theme at the snap 2017 general election. [15] The SNP incorrectly predicted that many pro-union voters would switch allegiance to the party in order to remain within the European Union.[ citation needed ] Polling from YouGov suggests people moving towards independence as a result of Brexit would be offset by the number of previously pro-independence Leave voters saying they would vote against independence as a result of Brexit. [16]

A study by Electoral Calculus, published on 14 May 2017, concluded that the Conservatives could win 11 seats in Scotland. [17] [18]

Campaign events

Opinion polling

Results

Party [22] SeatsVotes
TotalGainsLossesNet +/-% seatsTotal votes% votesChange
SNP 35021Decrease2.svg2159.3977,56936.9Decrease2.svg13.1
Conservative 13120Increase2.svg1222.0757,94928.6Increase2.svg13.7
Labour 760Increase2.svg611.9717,00727.1Increase2.svg2.8
Liberal Democrat 430Increase2.svg36.8179,0616.8Decrease2.svg0.8
Scottish Green 000Steady2.svg5,8860.2Decrease2.svg1.1
UKIP 000Steady2.svg5,3020.2Decrease2.svg1.4
Others000Steady2.svg6,9210.3Increase2.svg0.3
2,649,69566.4Decrease2.svg4.7

Votes summary

Popular vote
SNP
36.9%
Conservative
28.6%
Labour
27.1%
Liberal Democrats
6.8%
Greens
0.2%
UKIP
0.2%
Other
0.2%
Parliament seats
SNP
59.3%
Conservative
22.0%
Labour
11.9%
Liberal Democrats
6.8%

List of Constituencies by Party

2017 UK General Election (Scottish Westminster Constituencies)
PartyConstituency
SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat

Description of results

At the election the SNP remained the largest party in Scotland, taking the vast majority of seats situated around the more industrial Central Belt of the country, between Balloch, Dundee, Irvine, Kilmarnock and Livingston, [22] where the campaign in favour of Scottish independence performed best at the 2014 independence referendum. [23] The party also took the most votes and a majority of seats in three out of four major cities in Scotland (Dundee, Glasgow and Edinburgh), however Labour were within 1,200 votes of taking the most votes in Edinburgh and were within 200 votes of gaining two additional seats in Glasgow. [24] The SNP failed to win a majority of the vote in any of Scotland's 59 constituencies. [25]

The Scottish Conservatives performed best in areas where the campaign in favour of remaining part of the United Kingdom performed best in at the 2014 independence referendum and in areas where the campaign to leave the European Union performed best in at the 2016 EU membership referendum. [23] [26] The Conservatives formed the largest party in the south of the country through Dumfries and Galloway, the Scottish Borders and South Ayrshire, where they won four seats in total. They also gained the East Renfrewshire constituency, an affluent commuter suburb on the outskirts of Glasgow which was the safest Conservative constituency in Scotland before their collapse at the 1997 general election, [27] and gained the Ochil and South Perthshire and Stirling constituencies in Central Scotland, coming within 21 votes of gaining Perth and North Perthshire, the second closest result in Scotland and the third closest across the United Kingdom as a whole. [24] Six out of seven constituencies in the North-East of Scotland voted Conservative, including former SNP party leader and First Minister of Scotland Alex Salmond's constituency of Gordon, and the SNP Westminster leader Angus Robertson's seat of Moray. Two out of three seats covering the city of Aberdeen returned Conservative MP's.

Scottish Labour retained their Edinburgh South constituency with a significant majority of 15,514 votes (32.4%), making it the safest constituency in Scotland. They also regained a number previously safe Labour working class constituencies in the Central Belt of Scotland, including Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill, Glasgow North East, Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath and Rutherglen and Hamilton West, gaining a further two seats in Lothian (East Lothian and Midlothian). The party were within 1,400 votes of gaining a further six seats from the SNP in Greater Glasgow. [25]

The Liberal Democrats gained the suburban constituencies of East Dunbartonshire and Edinburgh West on the outskirts of Glasgow and Edinburgh respectively. The party also regained their former heartland of Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross, a large rural constituency covering the northernmost parts of Great Britain, with Orkney and Shetland again becoming the safest Lib Dem constituency in the UK in vote share terms, with a majority 19.6% of the vote. They lost out to the SNP in the North East Fife constituency by just 2 votes (0.0%), the closest result in the United Kingdom at a general election since the result in Winchester in 1997. [28] However, the party's vote collapsed to the Conservatives in Aberdeenshire, the Borders and in parts of the Highlands.

Target seats

Scottish Conservative Party

Rank [29] Constituency [29] Winning party 2015 Swing RequiredConservatives' place 2015Result
1 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk SNP 0.3%2nd Conservative
2 Dumfries & Galloway SNP 5.8%2nd Conservative
3 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine SNP 6.4%2nd Conservative
4 Perth and North Perthshire SNP 9.0%2nd SNP
5 Moray SNP 9.2%2nd Conservative
6 East Renfrewshire SNP 9.3%3rd Conservative
7 Aberdeen South SNP 9.4%3rd Conservative
8 Edinburgh South Labour 10.8%3rd Labour
9 Stirling SNP 11.3%3rd Conservative
10 Edinburgh South West SNP 11.4%3rd SNP
11 East Lothian SNP 11.5%3rd Labour
12 North East Fife SNP 12.4%3rd SNP
13 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 12.4%3rd SNP
14 Angus SNP 12.6%2nd Conservative
15 Ochil and South Perthshire SNP 12.6%3rd Conservative
16 Edinburgh West SNP 13.3%3rd Liberal Democrats
17 East Dunbartonshire SNP 14.4%3rd Liberal Democrats
18 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 14.5%3rd Conservative
19 Argyll and Bute SNP 14.7%3rd SNP
20 Banff and Buchan SNP 15.7%2nd Conservative
21 Lanark and Hamilton East SNP 16.5%3rd SNP
22 Central Ayrshire SNP 17.9%3rd SNP
23 Gordon SNP 18.0%3rd Conservative

Labour Party

RankConstituencyWinning party 2015 Swing RequiredLabour's place 2015Result
1 East Renfrewshire SNP 3.3%2nd Conservative
2 Edinburgh North and Leith SNP 4.8%2nd SNP
3 East Lothian SNP 5.8%2nd Labour
4 Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP 6.2%2nd SNP
5 Aberdeen South SNP 7.5%2nd Conservative
6 Edinburgh South West SNP 7.9%2nd SNP
7 Dumfries and Galloway SNP 8.4%3rd Conservative
8 Rutherglen and Hamilton West SNP 8.7%2nd Labour
9 Ochil and South Perthshire SNP 8.8%2nd Conservative
10 Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP 9.1%2nd SNP
11 Lanark and Hamilton East SNP 9.1%2nd SNP
12 Dunfermline and West Fife SNP 9.3%2nd SNP
13 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath SNP 9.4%2nd Labour
14 Edinburgh East SNP 9.7%2nd SNP
15 Glasgow Central SNP 9.8%2nd SNP
16 Airdrie and Shotts SNP 9.9%2nd SNP
17 Stirling SNP 10.1%2nd Conservative
18 Midlothian SNP 10.2%2nd Labour
19 Linlithgow and Falkirk East SNP 10.5%2nd SNP
20 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 10.8%2nd Conservative
21 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill SNP 11.3%2nd Labour
22 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 11.7%3rd Conservative
23 Glasgow North West SNP 11.9%2nd SNP
24 Glasgow North West SNP 12.2%2nd SNP
25 Glasgow East SNP 12.2%2nd SNP
26 Glasgow North East SNP 12.3%2nd Labour

Scottish Liberal Democrats

RankConstituencyWinning party 2015 Swing RequiredLiberal Democrats' place 2015Result
1 East Dunbartonshire SNP 2.0%2nd Liberal Democrats
2 Edinburgh West SNP 2.9%2nd Liberal Democrats
3 North East Fife SNP 4.9%2nd SNP
4 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross SNP 5.7%2nd Liberal Democrats
5 Ross, Skye and Lochaber SNP 6.1%2nd SNP
6 Gordon SNP 7.5%2nd Conservative

Scottish National Party

RankConstituencyWinning party 2015 Swing RequiredSNP's place 2015Result
1 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 0.8%2nd Conservative
2 Orkney and Shetland Liberal Democrats 1.8%2nd Liberal Democrats
3 Edinburgh South Labour 2.7%2nd Labour

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