World population milestones

Last updated

UN DESA continent population 1950 to 2100.svg
Estimated (to 2011) and projected (from 2012) populations of the world and its inhabited continents. The shaded regions correspond to range of projections by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs; [2]

World population milestones went unnoticed until the 20th century, since there was no reliable data on global population dynamics. [3]

Contents

The population of the world reached

[4] [5]

Old estimates put the global population at 9 billion by 2037–2046, 15 years after 8 billion, and 10 billion by 2054–2071, 17 years after 9 billion; however these milestones are likely to be reached far sooner. [6] [ needs update ] Projected figures vary depending on underlying statistical assumptions and which variables are manipulated in projection calculations, especially the fertility variable. Long-range predictions to 2150 range from a population decline to 3.2 billion in the 'low scenario', to 'high scenarios' of 24.8 billion. One scenario predicts a massive increase to 256 billion by 2150, assuming fertility remains at 1995 levels. [7]

World population milestones in billions (UN estimates) [8]
Population12345678910
Year1804192719601974198719992011202320372054
Years elapsed260,000 to 350,0001233314131212121417
World population milestones in billions (USCB estimates)
Population12345678910
Year1804192719601974198719992011202320462071
Years elapsed260,000 to 350,0001233314131212122325

Global billionth milestones

There is no estimation for the exact day or month the world's population surpassed the one and two billion marks. The days of three and four billion were not officially noted, but the International Database of the United States Census Bureau places them in July 1960 and April 1974 respectively.[ citation needed ]

Five billion

The Day of Five Billion, 11 July 1987, was designated by the United Nations Population Fund as the approximate day on which the world population reached five billion. Matej Gašpar from Zagreb, Croatia (then SR Croatia, SFR Yugoslavia), was chosen as the symbolic 5-billionth person alive on Earth. The honor went to Zagreb because the 1987 Summer Universiade was taking place in the city at the time. [9] [10]

Six billion

The United Nations Population Fund designated 12 October 1999 as the approximate day on which the world population reached six billion. [11] It was officially designated "The Day of Six Billion". Demographers do not universally accept this date as being exact. In fact, there has been subsequent research which places the day of six billion nearer to 18 June or 19 June 1999. [12] The International Programs division of the United States Census Bureau estimated that the world population reached six billion on 21 April 1999.[ citation needed ] United Nations Population Fund spokesman Omar Gharzeddine disputed the date of the Day of Six Billion by stating, "The U.N. marked the '6 billionth' [person] in 1999, and then a couple of years later the Population Division itself reassessed its calculations and said, actually, no, it was in 1998." [13]

On the Day of Six Billion, UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan was in Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina to monitor the Dayton Agreement. [14] At midnight he went to Koševo Hospital, where Adnan Mević, born at 12.01 am, was named the symbolic 6 billionth concurrently alive person on Earth. [11] [14] [15] He is the first son of Fatima Mević and Jasminko Mević and weighed 3.5 kg. [15]

Seven billion

The "Day of Seven Billion" was targeted by the United States Census Bureau to be in March 2012, [16] while the Population Division of the United Nations suggested 31 October 2011, [17] and the latter date was officially designated by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) as the approximate day on which the world's population reached seven billion people. [18] United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon spoke at the United Nations building in New York City on this milestone in the size of world population, and promoted the website 7 Billion Actions. [19] [20] Ban Ki-moon did not choose a symbolic seven billionth baby, but several groups proposed candidates: Nargis Kumar of Uttar Pradesh, India, [21] Danica May Camacho of Manila, Philippines [22] and Wattalage Muthumai of Colombo, Sri Lanka. [23]

Eight billion

The "Day of Eight Billion" was targeted by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division to be on 15 November 2022. [24] Among babies born that day who were symbolically named as the world's eight billionth by various government agencies were: Vinice Mabansag (Tondo, Manila, Philippines); [25] [26] Damián Ferrera (Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic); [25] and Arpi Kocharyan (Tsovinar, Armenia). [27]

National and regional population

National or subnational governments have sometimes made similar designations based on the date estimated by a demographic agency. Some national milestones relate to citizens rather than residents. Commentators in countries with high immigration have pointed out that a population milestone may be reached by an immigrant rather than natural increase. [28] [29]

Country/nationalityPopulationBorn (date)NameNotesFoot-
notes
Munich 1m15 December 1957Thomas SeehausAwarded by Mayor Thomas Wimmer with a 1,000 mark savings account. [30]
United States200m20 November 1967 Robert Ken Woo Jr Named by Life magazine, not the government. None named for 300m. [31] [32]
Australia15m29 January 1982Sally HodgsonAwarded by Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs Ian Macphee [33]
Indonesia200m4 February 1997Wahyu Nusantara AjiComplains that government promises of support were not kept. But, this was because of the difference of federal/central government policy during New Order and Reformasi (Otonomi Daerah) [34]

[35]

India1b11 May 2000Aastha Aroraspeculation re Independence Day 1999 till Registrar demurred. Complains that government promises of support were not kept. [36] [37] [38]
Kyrgyzstan5m27 August 2002Tynchtykbek Kuramayev [39]
Australia21m29 June 2007Mia Ruby TempletonAwarded by Treasurer Peter Costello [40]
Taiwan23m17 July 2008Wu Cheng-encertificate from Premier of the Republic of China Liu Chao-shiuan [41]
Auckland Region, New Zealand1.65mJune 2022Ramonah Patience ToomalataiWelcomed by Len Brown the Mayor of Auckland [42]
Kazakhstan17m17 May 2013Altynbek Eskaraev Алтынбек Ескараев [43] [44]
Vietnam90m1 November 2013Nguyễn Thị Thùy Dungrandomly chosen by the General Office of Population and Family Planning from among two dozen babies born that day [45] [46]
Philippines100m27 July 2014Chonalyn SentinoAwarded free Philhealth lifetime coverage by the government and access to healthcare by the DOH [47]
Wake County, North Carolina 1m22 August 2014Anderson Grace HughesOffered full scholarship by Wake Technical Community College [48]
Mongolia3m24 January 2015Mongoljin Khatanbold [49] [50]
Silicon Valley 3m5 May 2015Max Danner [51]
Utah3m24 October 2015Sadie ChristensenBy governor Gary Herbert [52]
Kyrgyzstan6m27 November 2015Aylin Kojosheva [53] [54]
Egypt100m11 February 2020Yasmine Rabie [55]

See also

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