2019–20 Croatian presidential election

Last updated

2019–20 Croatian presidential election
Flag of Croatia.svg
←  2014–15 22 December 2019 (first round)
5 January 2020 (second round)		 2024–25  →
Turnout51.18% (first round), 54.99% (second round)
  Zoran Milanovic February 2020 (cropped - 2).jpg Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic (cropped).jpg
Nominee Zoran Milanović Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
Party SDP Independent (HDZ) [a]
Popular vote1,034,170929,707
Percentage52.66%47.34%
2019-20-croatia-presidential-first-round.svg
2019-20-croatia-presidential-second-round.svg
Predsjednicki izbori u Hrvatskoj 2020, drugi krug postoci.svg
President before election

Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
Independent [a]

Elected President

Zoran Milanović
Social Democratic Party

Presidential elections were held in Croatia in December 2019 and January 2020. The decision to call the elections was made by the Croatian Government during its session on 14 November 2019. [2] Potential candidates were required to gather at least 10,000 signatures from Croatian citizens who have reached the age of 18 in order for their candidacy to become official and for their name to appear on the ballot. They were allocated a time frame of twelve days to accomplish this and thus had until midnight local time on 3 December 2019 to present their signatures to the State Electoral Commission. A total of twelve candidates submitted signatures by the deadline and the commission then proceeded to verify the signatures within the following 48 hours, presenting a final list of eleven approved candidates on 5 December 2019. [3] [4]

Contents

In the first round of the election, which was held on 22 December 2019, former prime minister Zoran Milanović finished in first place with 30% of the vote. He was followed closely by incumbent president Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, who received 27% of the vote and by Miroslav Škoro with 25%. As no candidate received an absolute majority, a run-off took place on 5 January 2020 between Milanović and Grabar-Kitarović. Milanović won the second round with 53% of the vote and was elected the fifth president of Croatia since independence in 1991, while Grabar-Kitarović became the second consecutive president not to have been reelected for a second term, after Ivo Josipović (2010–2015). The number of votes received by Milanović in both the first and the second round was the lowest of any victorious presidential candidate to date, while the number of votes and vote share of Grabar-Kitarović in the first round was the lowest for any incumbent president running for re-election.

Background

The incumbent president of Croatia, Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, took office on 19 February 2015 and her term is due to end on 18 February 2020. [5] The presidential term of Zoran Milanović is due to begin on 19 February 2020 and end on 18 February 2025.

Electoral system

The president of Croatia is directly elected by secret ballot to a term of 5 years using a two-round system. The Constitution of Croatia requires that a presidential election be held no sooner than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the expiration of the incumbent president's term. An absolute majority (50% + 1 vote) of all votes cast (including invalid, blank and uncast ballots) is required to win in the first round. If no candidate acquires such a majority, a second-round is to be held in 14 days' time, with the two candidates with the highest number of votes in the first round taking part. The candidate who acquires the highest number of votes in the second round (a majority of valid cast votes) is declared the winner. If one of the candidates who has won a high enough number of votes to take part in the second round were to abandon his candidacy or die, the candidate with the next highest number of votes in the first round will earn the right to take part in the second round. Furthermore, Croatian presidents may serve a maximum of two 5-year terms in their lifetime (a total of 10 years if both terms are won and served out in full). [6]

In order for a potential candidate to be legally allowed to contest the election and have their name placed on the ballot, they must gather at least 10,000 signatures from eligible voters, with every such signatory being permitted to give his signature of support to only one potential candidate. The time frame for collecting the said number of signatures is set at 12 days, and after the expiry of this period potential candidates must submit them to the State Electoral Commission for verification. [7]

Candidates

On 5 December, the State Electoral Commission published a list of 11 candidates. [8]

CandidateParty affiliationPolitical remarksProof of nomination
Blank.png Nedjeljko BabićCroatian Party of all Chakavians, Kajkavians and ShtokaviansThe candidate of a regional party, the Croatian Party of all Chakavians, Kajkavians and Shtokavians (HSSČKŠ). His bid was announced on 26 September.Submitted some 14,000 signatures on 30 November. [9]
Blank.png Anto Đapić Democratic Alliance for National RenewalĐapić is nominated as the candidate of a right-wing party, the Democratic Alliance for National Renewal (DESNO). His bid was announced on 18 September. [10] Declared himself the only true hard-right candidate. [11] Formerly an MP (1992–2009) and the Mayor of Osijek (2005–2007, 2009), previously ran in the 2000 election as the candidate of the Croatian Party of Rights, finishing in 5th place in the first round.Submitted some 13,000 signatures on 2 December. [12]
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic (2017-10-18) 06.jpg Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović (runner-up) Independent [a] Incumbent President of Croatia since 2015. Grabar-Kitarović is standing for re-election to a second and final term. Although formally independent, she was nominated by the ruling Croatian Democratic Union and is supported by three other centrist to right-wing parties (HSP AS, BM 365, and HDS). [11] [13] She is running on a centre-right platform. Her bid was announced on 8 August. [14] Submitted some 231,000 signatures on 3 December. [15]
Blank.png Dario Juričan
(legal name is Milan Bandić)		 Independent Filmmaker born as Dario Juričan. In 2019, he legally changed his name to that which is identical to the name of the incumbent Mayor of Zagreb, Milan Bandić. [16] His bid was announced on 18 September and is running on an anti-Milan Bandić satirical platform. [17] Submitted some 13,000 signatures on 3 December. [18]
Mislav Kolakusic.jpg Mislav Kolakušić Independent Former judge and independent Member of the European Parliament for Croatia. His bid was announced on 27 May. [19] He is running as an anti-establishment independent candidate, [20] focusing on anti-corruption and smaller government policies. [11] Submitted some 15,000 signatures on 29 November. [21]
Blank.png Dejan Kovač Croatian Social Liberal Party An economist at the Princeton University. [22] Kovač is a candidate of the centre to centre-right Croatian Social Liberal Party (HSLS), although he is not their member. His bid was announced on 4 August.Submitted some 16,000 signatures on 1 December. [23]
Zoran Milanovic February 2020 (cropped - 2).jpg Zoran Milanović (winner) Social Democratic Party Candidate of the biggest opposition party, the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SDP), and is supported by 12 other centre-left, green and liberal parties (HSS, HSU, PGS, NS-R, Democrats, IDS, HL, SU, Glas, MDS, SNAGA, ZS, ORaH). His bid was announced on 17 June. [24] Former Prime Minister of Croatia (2011–2016) and the president of SDP (2007–2016).Submitted some 78,000 signatures on 26 November. [25]
Dalija Oreskovic.png Dalija Orešković Independent Orešković was nominated as an independent candidate, although she leads the Party of Anti-corruption, Development and Transparency (START). Her bid was announced on 7 July 2019. In 2018, she had initially publicly stated that she wouldn't run in the election. [26] She is running on an anti-corruption platform. [11] Former Chair of Conflicts of Interest Committee of the Croatian Parliament (2013–2018).Submitted some 11,000 signatures on 3 December. [27]
Katarina Peovic 1 Cropped.png Katarina Peović Workers' Front Peović was nominated by her own party, the left-wing Workers' Front, and is supported by the Socialist Labour Party. [28] [29] Running on a democratic socialist platform. [30] Her bid was announced on 18 December 2018. Formerly a member of the Zagreb Assembly (2018).Submitted some 14,000 signatures on 3 December. [31]
Ivan Pernar at eviction in 2017 (cropped).jpg Ivan Pernar Party of Ivan Pernar At the time a member of the Croatian Parliament. Pernar was nominated by his own party, which bears his name. Running on a populist platform. He announced his intention to run on 7 June 2019 and officially launched a candidacy on 21 June 2019. [32] [33] Submitted some 15,000 signatures on 3 December. [34]
Miroslav Skoro.jpg
Miroslav Škoro Independent Popular folk musician and formerly a member of the Croatian Parliament (2008). Running as an independent candidate, supported by right-wing and anti-establishment parties. [20] His bid is endorsed by HKS, Hrast, UHD, Most, Green List [35] and was announced on 23 June. [36] Submitted some 70,000 signatures on 3 December. [37]

Withdrawn bids

Failed candidacies

These individuals failed to submit the required number of endorsement signatures.

Declined to be candidates

These individuals have been the subject of presidential speculation, but have publicly denied or recanted interest in running for president.

Campaign

First round

Endorsements

Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
Mislav Kolakušić
Katarina Peović
Miroslav Škoro

Debates

After official validation of candidates by the State Electoral Commission, the first debate was a confrontation between Katarina Peović (RF and SRP) and Anto Đapić (Democratic Alliance for National Renewal), the most left-wing and the most-right wing candidate respectively, which was filmed by and broadcast on N1 television on 5 December 2019. [65]

On 17 December, the Croatian Radiotelevision held the general debate with all 11 candidates participated. [66] It was the only debate where all first-round candidates participated.

Second round

Endorsements

Zoran Milanović
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović

Debates

On 30 December, RTL held the first general debate with two second round candidates participated. [67] Croatian Radiotelevision held the second debate on 2 January 2020. [68] The third and final general debate was held on Nova TV on 3 January. [69]

Opinion polls

First round

Polls conducted after the official start of the campaign

DatePolling Firm Grabar-Kitarović Milanović Škoro Kolakušić Juričan Orešković Pernar Peović Kovač Đapić BabićUndecided / noneLead
22 Dec 2019 Exit poll 25,6328,6924,266,234,773,392,781,111,070,370,45-3,06
20 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 24,224,318,05,53,32,83,41,42,31,10,013,60,1
20 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 27,926,719,36,81,82,93,10,92,20,40,27,71,2
19 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 28,326,620,77,61,52,42,80,92,60,40,45,91,7
19 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 25,326,023,86,11,31,01,21,10,91,20,411,70,7
11 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 24,125,222,510,61,21,42,50,91,11,80,28,51,1
10 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 26,825,421,010,60,92,61,90,91,50,40,37,91,4
7 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 26,029,021,911,0--------3,0
6 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 27,424,023,08,21,21,32,90,22,60,20,58,03,4
Polls conducted before the official start of the campaign
DatePolling Firm Grabar-
Kitarović 		Milanović Škoro Kolakušić Pernar Orešković Panenić Peović Bandić Esih Sinčić Petrov Vučetić Jurišić Mesić Mrak-
Taritaš 		OthersDon't
know		Lead
25 Nov 2019 IPSOS PULS 32,421,917,37,43,03,1----------3,37,910,5
20 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 28,926,417,612,12,12,3----------1,85,02,5
17 Nov 2019 2x1 komunikacije 27,725,120,59,31,2------------13,42,6
11 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 28,624,316,714,01,32,5-0,3--------1,06,14,3
28 Oct 2019 2x1 komunikacije 27,127,621,05,9-------------13,20,5
26 Oct 2019 IPSOS PULS 34,524,918,35,14,02,9----------4,64,19,6
20 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 29,825,819,17,11,92,6----------1,96,74,0
7 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 29,825,619,16,41,61,9-0,6--------2,06,24,2
1 Oct 2019David Lucijan Rožman (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
30 Sep 2019Ava Karabatić (Ind.) officially announces her candidacy.
26 Sep 2019Nedjeljko Babić (HSSČKŠ) officially announces his candidacy.
25 Sep 2019 IPSOS PULS 34,323,920,26,23,73,3----------4,42,210,4
21 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 28,524,818,28,62,72,60,50,5--------1,97,13,7
20 Sep 2019 2x1 komunikacije 29,228,517,54,61,3------------14,80,7
18 Sep 2019 Anto Đapić (DESNO) officially announces his candidacy.
18 Sep 2019 Dario Juričan (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
16 Sep 2019Ivan Rude (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
9 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 30,225,519,29,32,02,30,70,7--------1,54,64,7
7 Sep 2019Josip Juretić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
24 Aug 2019 2x1 komunikacije 25,725,920,97,42,50,9-0,1---------15,20,2
23 Aug 2019 IPSOS PULS 34,624,618,06,43,93,4----------4,44,710,0
8 Aug 2019 Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović (HDZ) officially announces her candidacy.
5 Aug 2019 Promocija plus 29,324,818,512,03,01,40,50,9--------2,07,64,5
4 Aug 2019Dejan Kovač (HSLS) officially announces his candidacy.
26 Jul 2019 IPSOS PULS 32,823,419,97,14,5-----------7,44,99,4
15 Jul 2019 2x1 komunikacije 28,123,620,96,22,31,10,60,3---------17,04,5
14 Jul 2019Ante Simonić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
11 Jul 2019Vlaho Orepić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
8 Jul 2019 Promocija plus 30,022,317,813,92,8-1,52,1--------2,47,27,7
7 Jul 2019 Dalija Orešković (Ind.) officially announces her candidacy.
28 Jun 2019 IPSOS PULS 37,131,019,56,43,12,86,1
27 Jun 2019Tomislav Panenić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
23 Jun 2019 Miroslav Škoro (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
21 Jun 2019 Ivan Pernar (SIP) officially announces his candidacy.
18 Jun 2019 2x1 komunikacije 32,022,010,310,20,72,60,80,221,610,0
17 Jun 2019 Zoran Milanović (SDP) officially announces his candidacy.
10 Jun 2019 Promocija plus 34,519,813,813,11,93,33,310,914,7
27 May 2019 Mislav Kolakušić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
21 May 2019 Promocija plus 34,718,59,46,76,04,03,79,216,2
9 May 2019 Promocija plus 35,315,49,93,52,87,53,23,78,419,9
22 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 35,618,34,99,53,53,35,23,72,18,917,3
8 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 34,516,410,74,45,74,23,35,918,1
22 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 34,219,45,29,23,96,34,01,95,314,8
7 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 32,619,712,54,24,94,40,912,9
14 Feb 2019Antun Babić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
7 Feb 2019 Promocija plus 37,019,612,34,53,94,54,21,24,417,4
10 Jan 2019 Promocija plus 38,017,612,04,54,17,96,21,720,4
03 Jan 2019Goran Jurišić (HSP 1861) officially announces his candidacy. [45]
18 Dec 2018Katarina Peović (RF) officially announces her candidacy. [28]
07 Dec 2018 Promocija plus 41,118,111,24,28,95,323
14 Nov 2018Marko Vučetić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy. [46]
25 Apr 2018 2x1 komunikacije 45,820,51,415,711,725,3
16 Mar 2018 2x1 komunikacije 46,426,512,211,419,9
03 Feb 2018 Promocija plus 43,522,011,96,65,910,121,5
17-18 Jan 2018 IPSOS PULS 41,021,015,012,05,06,020,0

Second round

Polls conducted after the first round

DateAgency Milanović Grabar-
Kitarović 		Undecided/
Neither		Lead
5 Jan 2020 Exit poll 53,2246,78-6,44
3 Jan 2020 IPSOS PULS 4542133
3 Jan 2020 2x1 komunikacije 50,749,3N/A1,4
31 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 40,038,921,21,1
24 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 48,441,110,47,3
Hypothetical polling

Polls conducted after the official start of the campaign

DatePolling Firm Grabar-Kitarović Milanović UndecidedLead Grabar-Kitarović Škoro UndecidedLead Milanović Škoro UndecidedLead
20 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 43,140,95,02,238,236,25,82,037,547,04,99,5
20 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 49,045,95,13,145,946,67,50,745,947,56,61,6
19 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 49,046,94,12,145,148,76,23,644,650,25,26,4
10 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 48,347,64,10,745,250,04,84,843,552,93,69,4
6 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 44,239,25,85,034,445,25,710,836,947,15,712,2

Opinion polls

DatePolling Firm Grabar-
Kitarović 		Milanović UndecidedLead Grabar-
Kitarović 		Škoro UndecidedLead Milanović Škoro UndecidedLead Grabar-
Kitarović 		Orešković UndecidedLead
25 Nov 2019 IPSOS PULS 53,233,34,819,944,637,96,16,735,347,75,712,4----
21 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 49,246,14,73,246,744,19,22,646,049,84,33,8----
11 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 51,844,53,77,349,245,65,13,646,349,64,13,3----
26 Oct 2019 IPSOS PULS 51,337,94,213,445,438,25,07,238,848,63,69,8----
21 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 49,044,16,94,949,444,06,65,446,249,54,43,3----
7 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 50,844,94,35,948,442,39,26,145,849,84,44,0----
25 Sep 2019 IPSOS PULS 51,536,05,215,545,836,86,09,038,247,85,09,6----
22 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 52,343,24,59,149,241,69,27,645,449,45,24,0----
9 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 52,742,84,59,951,341,47,39,945,149,75,24,6----
23 Aug 2019 IPSOS PULS 51,136,65,114,546,136,55,99,638,946,94,98,0----
5 Aug 2019 Promocija plus 53,142,44,510,750,044,95,15,146,547,95,61,4----
26 Jul 2019 IPSOS PULS 53,037,24,315,846,137,75,18,438,748,65,89,9----
8 Jul 2019 Promocija plus 53,941,74,412,253,938,18,015,844,451,64,07,2----
28 Jun 2019 IPSOS PULS 56,135,93,820,250,235,55,114,741,148,63,87,5----
10 June 2019 Promocija plus 54,838,96,315,957,035,47,621,6--------
21 May 2019 Promocija plus 53,939,26,914,7------------
9 May 2019 Promocija plus 56,537,26,319,3--------54,339,46,214,9
22 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 53,240,36,512,9------------
8 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 55,438,66,016,8--------51,841,66,610,2
22 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 52,638,88,513,8
7 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 52,940,86,312,1
7 Feb 2019 Promocija plus 54,340,25,514,1
10 Jan 2019 Promocija plus 54,637,97,516,7
7 Dec 2018 Promocija plus 55,435,79,019,7

Results

The first round of the election took place on 22 December 2019, with former Social Democratic Prime Minister Zoran Milanović winning by a plurality of 29.55% of the vote, ahead of conservative incumbent President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, who received 26.65% of the vote. [70] The conservative folk musician and former Member of Parliament Miroslav Škoro, who was running as an independent candidate, narrowly failed to reach the run-off election, managing to attract the support of 24.45% of voters. [70] This marked the first time in Croatian history that the incumbent president did not receive the highest number of votes in the first round.[ citation needed ] Also, Grabar-Kitarović attained both the lowest number of votes (507,626) and the lowest percentage of votes of any Croatian president competing in either of the two rounds of elections.[ citation needed ] Milanović received both the lowest number of votes (562,779) and the lowest percentage of the vote of any first-place candidate in the first round of a presidential election.[ citation needed ] Škoro received the highest number of votes (465,703) for a third-placed candidate since Mate Granić (HDZ) in the 2000 elections and the highest-ever percentage of the vote for a candidate who did not advance to the run-off. Milanović received a plurality of the vote in Croatia's three largest cities; 33.02% in Zagreb, 30.79% in Split and 41.87% in Rijeka, and finished second (25.61%) in the fourth largest city, Osijek, which was won by Škoro (33.33%). Grabar-Kitarović came in second in Split and Rijeka, and third in Zagreb and Osijek. [71]

A run-off was held between Milanović and Grabar-Kitarović on 5 January 2020. Milanović won by just over 104,000 votes, becoming the fifth President of Croatia since independence and the second to have been officially nominated by the Social Democratic Party, after Ivo Josipović (2010–2015). Furthermore, Milanović received a majority of the vote in seven counties and in the City of Zagreb, while Grabar-Kitarović defeated him among voters living in thirteen counties and among the members of the Croatian diaspora. However, Milanović defeated Grabar-Kitarović in all four major cities: Zagreb (by around 74,000 votes), Split (by around 3,000 votes), Rijeka (by around 20,000 votes) and Osijek (by around 1,000 votes). [72]

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Zoran Milanović Social Democratic Party 562,78329.911,034,17052.66
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović Independent (Croatian Democratic Union) [a] 507,62826.98929,70747.34
Miroslav Škoro Independent465,70424.75
Mislav Kolakušić Independent111,9165.95
Dario Juričan Independent87,8834.67
Dalija Orešković Independent55,1632.93
Ivan Pernar Party of Ivan Pernar 44,0572.34
Katarina Peović Workers' Front 21,3871.14
Dejan Kovač Croatian Social Liberal Party 18,1070.96
Anto Đapić Democratic Alliance for National Renewal  [ hr ]4,0010.21
Nedjeljko BabićHSSČKŠ3,0140.16
Total1,881,643100.001,963,877100.00
Valid votes1,881,64398.831,963,87795.65
Invalid/blank votes22,2181.1789,4154.35
Total votes1,903,861100.002,053,292100.00
Registered voters/turnout3,719,74151.183,734,11554.99
Source: Izbori

By county

First round

CountyElectorateTotal
votes		TurnoutBabićĐapićGrabar-KitarovićJuričanKovačMilanovićKolakušićOreškovićPeovićPernarŠkoro
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Bjelovar-Bilogora 96,48348,44850.21%640.13740.1512,86326.541,1592.399031.8613,27227.392,8125.801,0782.223910.801,2032.4814,18029.26
Brod-Posavina 133,39765,17548.86%350.051470.2219,86330.471,4382.205000.7613,37420.513,9856.111,0751.643850.591,7042.6121,80533.45
Dubrovnik-Neretva 107,63155,17651.26%540.091370.2420,23736.832,2194.023760.6814,23225.782,6874.861,2062.184580.821,2052.1811,32020.51
Istria 185,67088,01447.40%1470.161110.1210,69312.144,5775.191,0131.1545,14551.286,0816.904,5635.182,5732.923,7074.218,2599.38
Karlovac 107,61857,51153.44%700.121330.2319,28333.521,5842.753930.6816,24928.252,6164.541,4182.464650.801,1532.0013,49823.46
Koprivnica-Križevci 93,10846,62750.08%650.13780.1612,30726.391,4393.084811.0314,59331.292,8726.151,3112.813640.781,3042.7911,34124.32
Krapina-Zagorje 108,40054,77750.53%6561.19670.1214,69826.821,8603.394690.8519,48235.563,5566.491,6673.043700.671,6523.019,63817.59
Lika-Senj 42,84921,01749.05%300.14740.359,10243.303991.891290.614,40320.948694.134512.141430.683231.534,83022.97
Međimurje 95,84048,22750.32%970.20510.108,34717.301,5793.276121.2622,06645.753,6207.501,8203.774090.841,7703.667,46015.46
Osijek-Baranja 249,085127,06951.01%850.064910.3833,98026.733,4602.729010.7027,71021.807,2725.722,6422.071,0300.812,8082.2045,26635.61
Požega-Slavonia 64,04435,75455.83%210.05450.1210,87730.416731.882240.626,97419.501,8655.215421.512040.577772.1713,13736.73
Primorje-Gorski Kotar 261,760125,60647.99%2080.162520.2027,96422.256,4025.091,3411.0649,19339.158,8087.016,7455.362,7842.213,1982.5417,31013.77
Sisak-Moslavina 141,33567,19147.54%800.111320.1920,42330.391,9452.897321.0817,79026.473,5315.251,3582.025150.761,6002.3818,27827.19
Split-Dalmatia 404,750198,35949.01%1550.075580.2864,22132.369,6364.851,3160.6648,95324.6710,4755.274,0002.012,0291.023,7531.8950,33825.36
Šibenik-Knin 97,23543,70944.95%450.101330.3015,74636.011,6753.833050.6911,15625.512,3975.489082.073930.899472.169,38721.47
Varaždin 145,50675,62651.97%1430.181030.1316,69422.072,4703.267210.9528,50637.696,3778.432,4373.226660.882,4253.2014,26118.79
Virovitica-Podravina 69,52038,12954.85%300.07760.1912,44632.636891.803100.818,66122.711,8994.976611.731860.488782.3011,88231.15
Vukovar-Syrmia 146,95868,67146.73%620.091710.2420,84930.351,4122.059651.4013,15919.153,3424.861,0481.525890.851,6092.3424,56635.76
Zadar 160,25771,58744.67%1000.131900.2626,34136.792,8453.975600.7817,78024.833,6665.121,9632.746630.921,5912.2214,88120.78
Zagreb County 273,405144,73852.94%2880.192610.1834,85424.076,9374.791,4000.9641,57928.729,7926.764,4523.071,1460.793,6362.5138,87026.84
City of Zagreb 693,899381,66855.00%5660.146120.1673,95819.3633,1458.674,3771.14126,14233.0222,6885.9313,6163.565,4131.416,3231.6590,89023.79
Voting abroad —40,774—130.031050.2521,79053.433390.83790.192,3605.787061.732020.492110.514911.2014,35135.18
TOTAL3,719,5321,903,85351.19%3,0140.154,0010.21507,62626.6587,8824.6118,1070.95562,77929.55111,9165.8755,1632.8921,3871.1244,0572.31465,70324.45
Source: Izbori

Second round

CountyElectorateTotal
votes		TurnoutMilanovićGrabar-Kitarović
Votes%Votes%
Bjelovar-Bilogora 96,50951,45253.32%25,39851.623,82048.4
Brod-Posavina 133,46166,38749.74%26,65742.436,23057.6
Dubrovnik-Neretva 107,71458,46554.29%24,21943.531,47756.5
Istria 185,67598,08952.81%76,94680.818,24719.2
Karlovac 107,84063,22458.64%28,39746.732,38653.3
Koprivnica-Križevci 93,16750,09653.78%27,07656.420,90443.6
Krapina-Zagorje 108,45261,95857.13%35,93660.123,82139.9
Lika-Senj 42,86723,30654.37%8,16736.214,37463.8
Međimurje 95,91454,66657.00%39,57474.413,60125.6
Osijek-Baranja 249,283129,34951.90%56,42845.866,57754.1
Požega-Slavonia 64,09335,55655.48%14,41243.218,99556.8
Primorje-Gorski Kotar 261,902135,82051.88%84,85664.945,83135.1
Sisak-Moslavina 141,36273,36751.91%32,93747.037,17453.0
Split-Dalmatia 405,173219,89754.29%87,50341.8121,97558.2
Šibenik-Knin 97,30550,45151.86%20,75342.827,86457.2
Varaždin 145,59684,17457.82%54,02466.627,04233.4
Virovitica-Podravina 69,54838,83955.85%17,43247.119,54852.9
Vukovar-Syrmia 146,98970,37147.88%26,72240.139,98459.9
Zadar 160,44181,46050.78%33,62243.144,47156.9
Zagreb County 273,722153,23156.09%79,49954.566,34945.5
City of Zagreb 694,639400,76357.73%227,60959.7153,68740.3
Voting abroad —52,373—6,22212.145,31187.9
TOTAL3,734,1152,053,29255.00%1,034,38952.7929,48847.3
Source: Izbori

Maps

First round

Second round

Voter demographics

Ipsos Puls exit polls for the first round of the election suggested the following demographic breakdown:

First round demographic breakdown [73]
Demographic Milanović Grabar-Kitarović Škoro
Total vote29.626.724.5
Gender
Male27.224.726.5
Female30.324.423.2
Age
18–2915.818.231.9
30–4424.820.324.2
45–5928.326.725.7
60+40.529.619.8
Education
Primary21.440.126.9
Secondary28.424.327.2
College degree31.819.920
Political party [74]
HDZ 3.16326.8
SDP 77.21.86.4
Most 9.45.645.4
ŽZ 8.51.524.9
BM 365 12.518.136.5
Other parties125.838.8

See also

Notes

  1. ^
    Grabar-Kitarović was elected to office as the official candidate of the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) in the 2014–2015 election, but is legally prohibited by Article 96 of the Constitution from holding any party membership for the entire duration of her term. [75] Thus, although not a member of a political party, she has been nominated by the Croatian Democratic Union and three other parties to be their candidate in the 2019–2020 election. [8]
  1. 1 2 3 4 Grabar-Kitarović was elected in the 2014–2015 election as the candidate of the HDZ. However, under Article 96 of the Constitution of Croatia, sitting presidents are prohibited from holding party memberships for the duration of their term. As a result, she stood as an independent candidate, albeit with informal HDZ affiliation. [1]

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  71. ↑ "Naslovna".
  72. ↑ "Naslovna".
  73. ↑ "DETALJNA ANALIZA: OD KOGA SU KANDIDATI DOBILI GLASOVE Milanović se može pohvaliti najobrazovanijim biračima, Škoro je osvojio one mlade". Jutarnji list . 24 December 2019.
  74. ↑ "Analiza strukture birača predsjedničkih kandidata: Evo koji birači bi mogli odlučiti ishod izbora, ali i taktiku "zavođenja" Milanovića i Grabar-Kitarović". Dnevnik.hr. 23 December 2019.
  75. ↑ "Konačno i službeno: Grabar Kitarović je pobjednica izbora". tportal.hr. 10 February 2015.
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