1964 United States presidential election in Virginia

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1964 United States presidential election in Virginia
Flag of Virginia.svg
  1960 November 3, 1964 1968  
  37 Lyndon Johnson 3x4 (cropped).jpg Goldwater and Miller (cropped).jpg
Nominee Lyndon B. Johnson Barry Goldwater
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Texas Arizona
Running mate Hubert Humphrey William E. Miller
Electoral vote120
Popular vote558,038481,334
Percentage53.53%46.17%

Virginia Presidential Election Results 1964.svg
County and Independent City Results

President before election

Lyndon B. Johnson
Democratic

Elected President

Lyndon B. Johnson
Democratic

The 1964 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on November 3, 1964. All 50 states and the District of Columbia were part of the 1964 United States presidential election. Virginia voters chose 12 electors to the Electoral College, which selected the president and vice president of the United States.

Contents

For the previous six decades Virginia had almost completely disenfranchised its black and poor white populations through the use of a cumulative poll tax and literacy tests. [1] So restricted was suffrage in this period that it has been calculated that a third of Virginia’s electorate during the first half of the twentieth century comprised state employees and officeholders. [1]

This limited electorate allowed Virginian politics to be controlled for four decades by the Byrd Organization, as progressive “antiorganization” factions were rendered impotent by the inability of almost all their potential electorate to vote. [2] Historical fusion with the “Readjuster” Democrats, [3] defection of substantial proportions of the Northeast-aligned white electorate of the Shenandoah Valley and Southwest Virginia over free silver, [4] and an early move towards a “lily white” Jim Crow party [3] meant Republicans retained a small but permanent number of legislative seats and local offices in the western part of the state. [5]

In 1928, the GOP did carry the state’s presidential electoral votes due to anti-Catholicism against Al Smith, but it was 1952 before any real changes occurred, as in-migration from the traditionally Republican Northeast [6] meant that growing Washington, D.C., and Richmond suburbs would turn Republican not just in presidential elections but in Congressional ones as well, [7] although the Republicans would not make significant gains in the state legislature. Opposition to the black civil rights legislation of Harry S. Truman meant that the Byrd Organization did not support Adlai Stevenson II or John F. Kennedy. [8] Although the Organization viewed the national Republican party as no better on civil rights—it opposed the “massive resistance” orchestrated by Senator Byrd after Brown v. Board of Education —Byrd’s silence helped Eisenhower and Nixon win the state three consecutive times between 1952 and 1960.

For 1964, it was evident that Virginia’s electorate would be substantially increased by the Twenty-fourth Amendment, which banned the poll tax in federal elections and allowed major increases in voter registration during the preceding year. [9] Efforts by civil rights groups to register black voters would help black voter registration double vis-à-vis 1960. [10] At the same time, Republican nominee Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater voted against the Civil Rights Act and targeted the South as critical to winning the election against incumbent President Lyndon B. Johnson who signed that Act in August 1964, whilst most Byrd Democrats endorsed Johnson—this being the first time since 1936 the Organization had done so. [10]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Wall Street Journal [11] Likely RSeptember 29, 1964
Honolulu Advertiser [12] Lean D (flip)October 18, 1964
The Progress-Index [13] Tilt D (flip)October 25, 1964
The Chicago Tribune [14] TossupOctober 29, 1964
Fort Lauderdale News [15] Tilt RNovember 1, 1964
The Charlotte Observer [16] Lean D (flip)November 1, 1964
Los Angeles Times [17] TossupNovember 1, 1964

Results

1964 United States presidential election in Virginia [18]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Lyndon B. Johnson (inc.)558,03853.53%12
Republican Barry Goldwater 481,33446.17%0
Socialist Labor Eric Hass 2,8950.28%0
American Nazi George Lincoln Rockwell (Write-in)2120.02%0
Totals1,042,479100.00%12

Results by county or independent city

1964 United States presidential election in Virginia by counties and independent cities [19]
Lyndon Baines Johnson
Democratic
Barry Morris Goldwater
Republican
Eric Hass
Socialist Labor
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Accomack County 3,52852.79%3,14547.06%100.15%3835.73%6,683
Albemarle County 3,06248.49%3,25151.48%20.03%-189-2.99%6,315
Alleghany County 1,58058.85%1,10441.12%10.04%47617.73%2,685
Amelia County 88439.48%1,34860.21%70.31%-464-20.72%2,239
Amherst County 2,73050.46%2,67549.45%50.09%551.02%5,410
Appomattox County 1,33935.32%2,44464.47%80.21%-1,105-29.15%3,791
Arlington County 33,56761.75%20,48537.68%3110.57%13,08224.06%54,363
Augusta County 4,03948.24%4,32751.68%60.07%-288-3.44%8,372
Bath County 77059.88%51640.12%00.00%25419.75%1,286
Bedford County 4,07651.50%3,80648.09%320.40%2703.41%7,914
Bland County 85154.20%71745.67%20.13%1348.54%1,570
Botetourt County 2,37753.11%2,09846.87%10.02%2796.23%4,476
Brunswick County 1,88342.35%2,56057.58%30.07%-677-15.23%4,446
Buchanan County 4,75666.76%2,34932.97%190.27%2,40733.79%7,124
Buckingham County 1,18243.25%1,54756.60%40.15%-365-13.36%2,733
Campbell County 3,40137.19%5,71362.47%310.34%-2,312-25.28%9,145
Caroline County 2,06463.64%1,16635.95%130.40%89827.69%3,243
Carroll County 2,51740.95%3,61758.85%120.20%-1,100-17.90%6,146
Charles City County 1,02375.89%32323.96%20.15%70051.93%1,348
Charlotte County 1,19137.48%1,97462.11%130.41%-783-24.64%3,178
Chesterfield County 8,37632.38%17,48667.59%90.03%-9,110-35.21%25,871
Clarke County 1,13651.50%1,06848.41%20.09%683.08%2,206
Craig County 76761.66%47738.34%00.00%29023.31%1,244
Culpeper County 1,88651.46%1,77548.43%40.11%1113.03%3,665
Cumberland County 87144.06%1,09955.59%70.35%-228-11.53%1,977
Dickenson County 3,48561.80%2,14338.00%110.20%1,34223.80%5,639
Dinwiddie County 2,18250.92%2,09648.91%70.16%862.01%4,285
Essex County 76049.03%78950.90%10.06%-29-1.87%1,550
Fairfax County 48,68061.22%30,75538.68%820.10%17,92522.54%79,517
Fauquier County 3,50662.46%2,10137.43%60.11%1,40525.03%5,613
Floyd County 1,14438.32%1,83661.51%50.17%-692-23.18%2,985
Fluvanna County 1,00854.96%82344.87%30.16%18510.09%1,834
Franklin County 3,44760.08%2,27939.72%110.19%1,16820.36%5,737
Frederick County 2,88052.61%2,58547.22%90.16%2955.39%5,474
Giles County 3,13360.63%1,95237.78%821.59%1,18122.86%5,167
Gloucester County 1,94954.40%1,63145.52%30.08%3188.88%3,583
Goochland County 1,45253.84%1,24146.01%40.15%2117.82%2,697
Grayson County 3,23850.98%3,10548.88%90.14%1332.09%6,352
Greene County 46041.67%64158.06%30.27%-181-16.39%1,104
Greensville County 2,26250.06%2,24549.68%120.27%170.38%4,519
Halifax County 2,19835.77%3,92863.93%180.29%-1,730-28.16%6,144
Hanover County 2,86436.95%4,87962.95%80.10%-2,015-26.00%7,751
Henrico County 12,77930.37%29,28669.59%170.04%-16,507-39.23%42,082
Henry County 5,29564.70%2,84434.75%450.55%2,45129.95%8,184
Highland County 47648.13%51151.67%20.20%-35-3.54%989
Isle of Wight County 2,65660.38%1,73739.49%60.14%91920.89%4,399
James City County 1,74461.43%1,09238.46%30.11%65222.97%2,839
King and Queen County 78652.79%69946.94%40.27%875.84%1,489
King George County 1,08562.75%64437.25%00.00%44125.51%1,729
King William County 90445.77%1,06553.92%60.30%-161-8.15%1,975
Lancaster County 1,24542.77%1,66357.13%30.10%-418-14.36%2,911
Lee County 5,15159.71%3,46340.15%120.14%1,68819.57%8,626
Loudoun County 4,27862.21%2,59437.72%50.07%1,68424.49%6,877
Louisa County 1,73155.78%1,36944.12%30.10%36211.67%3,103
Lunenburg County 1,12837.89%1,84762.04%20.07%-719-24.15%2,977
Madison County 86244.83%1,06055.12%10.05%-198-10.30%1,923
Mathews County 1,13749.74%1,14950.26%00.00%-12-0.52%2,286
Mecklenburg County 3,23839.36%4,97660.48%130.16%-1,738-21.13%8,227
Middlesex County 97348.77%1,01951.08%30.15%-46-2.31%1,995
Montgomery County 3,87245.61%4,60454.23%130.15%-732-8.62%8,489
Nansemond County 4,80464.79%2,59034.93%210.28%2,21429.86%7,415
Nelson County 1,63564.52%89335.24%60.24%74229.28%2,534
New Kent County 68450.11%67749.60%40.29%70.51%1,365
Northampton County 1,51648.86%1,58651.11%10.03%-70-2.26%3,103
Northumberland County 98840.86%1,42358.85%70.29%-435-17.99%2,418
Nottoway County 2,13847.52%2,35352.30%80.18%-215-4.78%4,499
Orange County 1,50848.54%1,59551.34%40.13%-87-2.80%3,107
Page County 2,60648.09%2,80451.74%90.17%-198-3.65%5,419
Patrick County 2,30661.07%1,46838.88%20.05%83822.19%3,776
Pittsylvania County 5,22842.25%7,12057.54%250.20%-1,892-15.29%12,373
Powhatan County 96945.03%1,18254.93%10.05%-213-9.90%2,152
Prince Edward County 1,51237.20%2,54562.62%70.17%-1,033-25.42%4,064
Prince George County 1,50245.58%1,79054.32%30.09%-288-8.74%3,295
Prince William County 5,61162.60%3,34337.30%90.10%2,26825.30%8,963
Pulaski County 3,62053.82%3,10146.10%50.07%5197.72%6,726
Rappahannock County 67559.89%44939.84%30.27%22620.05%1,127
Richmond County 63641.30%90158.51%30.19%-265-17.21%1,540
Roanoke County 8,80845.09%10,71454.84%140.07%-1,906-9.76%19,536
Rockbridge County 2,59954.08%2,20045.78%70.15%3998.30%4,806
Rockingham County 4,20550.28%4,15549.68%30.04%500.60%8,363
Russell County 4,33058.78%3,01240.89%250.34%1,31817.89%7,367
Scott County 4,72050.92%4,53348.90%160.17%1872.02%9,269
Shenandoah County 3,18444.42%3,98155.54%30.04%-797-11.12%7,168
Smyth County 4,11351.72%3,83048.16%90.11%2833.56%7,952
Southampton County 2,56662.74%1,52037.16%40.10%1,04625.57%4,090
Spotsylvania County 2,09762.28%1,26137.45%90.27%83624.83%3,367
Stafford County 2,46956.58%1,88843.26%70.16%58113.31%4,364
Surry County 1,13152.85%1,00446.92%50.23%1275.93%2,140
Sussex County 1,23444.47%1,53755.39%40.14%-303-10.92%2,775
Tazewell County 6,08164.57%3,23134.31%1051.12%2,85030.26%9,417
Warren County 2,49456.81%1,88642.96%100.23%60813.85%4,390
Washington County 5,07054.95%4,14644.94%100.11%92410.02%9,226
Westmoreland County 1,31252.50%1,18147.26%60.24%1315.24%2,499
Wise County 7,22068.51%3,30931.40%100.09%3,91137.11%10,539
Wythe County 2,87949.10%2,95850.45%260.44%-79-1.35%5,863
York County 3,38552.98%2,99246.83%120.19%3936.15%6,389
Alexandria City 16,82865.52%8,82534.36%300.12%8,00331.16%25,683
Bristol City 2,42965.24%1,28934.62%50.13%1,14030.62%3,723
Buena Vista City 69159.93%45939.81%30.26%23220.12%1,153
Charlottesville City 5,20553.64%4,41545.50%840.87%7908.14%9,704
Chesapeake City 9,53251.19%9,03848.54%510.27%4942.65%18,621
Clifton Forge City 1,25259.56%85040.44%00.00%40219.12%2,102
Colonial Heights City 1,19833.09%2,42066.85%20.06%-1,222-33.76%3,620
Covington City 2,05564.10%1,14935.84%20.06%90628.26%3,206
Danville City 4,53935.67%7,90062.09%2852.24%-3,361-26.41%12,724
Fairfax City 2,83559.48%1,92440.37%70.15%91119.11%4,766
Falls Church City 2,37163.96%1,32935.85%70.19%1,04228.11%3,707
Franklin City 1,25761.59%78338.36%10.05%47423.22%2,041
Fredericksburg City 2,41061.35%1,51138.47%70.18%89922.89%3,928
Galax City 71750.64%69749.22%20.14%201.41%1,416
Hampton City 13,54260.76%8,73139.17%150.07%4,81121.59%22,288
Harrisonburg City 1,76549.16%1,82050.70%50.14%-55-1.53%3,590
Hopewell City 2,49843.89%3,18355.93%100.18%-685-12.04%5,691
Lynchburg City 6,75840.14%10,04459.66%320.19%-3,286-19.52%16,834
Martinsville City 2,94361.01%1,80537.42%761.58%1,13823.59%4,824
Newport News City 15,29659.07%10,58440.87%140.05%4,71218.20%25,894
Norfolk City 32,38862.83%18,42935.75%7291.41%13,95927.08%51,546
Norton City 82468.90%37231.10%00.00%45237.79%1,196
Petersburg City 4,52158.15%3,25341.84%10.01%1,26816.31%7,775
Portsmouth City 16,07365.49%8,42034.31%510.21%7,65331.18%24,544
Radford City 1,85055.09%1,50544.82%30.09%34510.27%3,358
Richmond City 35,66256.71%27,19643.24%320.05%8,46613.46%62,890
Roanoke City 15,31453.74%13,16446.20%180.06%2,1507.54%28,496
South Boston City 63634.51%1,20665.44%10.05%-570-30.93%1,843
Staunton City 2,70547.62%2,96952.27%60.11%-264-4.65%5,680
Suffolk City 1,57951.87%1,46348.06%20.07%1163.81%3,044
Virginia Beach City 12,89255.00%10,52944.92%210.09%2,36310.08%23,442
Waynesboro City 2,36952.28%2,10746.50%551.21%2625.78%4,531
Williamsburg City 1,17155.95%90643.29%160.76%26512.66%2,093
Winchester City 2,25450.80%2,18049.13%30.07%741.67%4,437
Totals558,03853.54%481,33446.18%2,8950.28%76,7047.36%1,042,267

Analysis

Virginia would be won by Johnson with 53.54 percent of the vote, making this the first time since 1948 that Virginia backed a Democratic presidential candidate. Johnson won the national election in a landslide with 61.05 percent of the vote, which actually made Virginia Goldwater’s tenth-best state nationally, 15.22 percentage points more Republican than the nation at large. The state would not vote for another Democratic candidate until Barack Obama won the state in 2008. Johnson’s victory saw major changes in Virginia voting patterns compared to previous presidential elections. Despite the state shifting from Richard Nixon to Johnson, nine counties in the Southside region, which had been the stronghold of the Byrd Organization, would shift from Kennedy to Goldwater due to opposition to Johnson’s civil rights proposals by an almost exclusively white electorate. [20] In Charlotte County, Johnson lost 29 points from John F. Kennedy’s 1960 vote percentage. [19] At the same time, the Shenandoah Valley, where pietistic Protestant sects supportive of civil rights were influential, [9] alongside the heavily unionized southwestern coalfields and Northeastern-aligned Northern Virginia, would see a strong swing towards Johnson, aided by growth in poor white voter registration from the Twenty-Fourth Amendment. [10] Despite this, a majority of white Virginians undoubtedly backed Goldwater, [21] and a doubling of a black presidential vote that almost unanimously supported Johnson was critical for his win. [10] Goldwater became the first Republican to win Pittsylvania County since 1928, Mecklenburg County and Brunswick County since 1900, Appomattox County since 1888, Lunenburg County since 1884, Charlotte County since 1880, Sussex County since 1892, and Halifax County since 1876. [20]

As of the 2020 presidential election , this remains the last occasion when Amherst County, Bland County, Clarke County, Culpeper County, Fauquier County, Frederick County, Rockingham County, Washington County and York County have voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. [22] It is also the only time since 1948 Waynesboro City has voted for a Democrat for president, while Prince William County and Winchester City would not vote Democratic again until 2008. [20] Fairfax County, Virginia's most populous county, would not vote Democratic again until 2004, having previously voted Democratic in 1940. [20] The independent city of Virginia Beach would not vote Democratic again until 2020. This also remains the last time that Virginia and neighboring West Virginia would simultaneously vote Democratic in a presidential election.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">1964 United States presidential election in West Virginia</span> Election in West Virginia

The 1964 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on November 3, 1964, as part of the 1964 United States presidential election. West Virginia voters chose seven representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

References

  1. 1 2 Kousser, J. Morgan. The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910. Yale University Press. pp. 178–181. ISBN   0-300-01696-4.
  2. Key, Valdimer Orlando (1949). Southern Politics in State and Nation. pp. 20–25.
  3. 1 2 Heersink, Boris; Jenkins, Jeffrey A. Republican Party Politics and the American South, 1865-1968. pp. 217–221. ISBN   1107158435.
  4. Moger, Allen. "The Rift in Virginia Democracy in 1896". The Journal of Southern History . 4 (3): 295–317.
  5. Phillips, Kevin P.; The Emerging Republican Majority, pp. 210, 242 ISBN   978-0-691-16324-6
  6. Heinemann, Ronald L. (2008). Old Dominion, New Commonwealth: A History of Virginia, 1607-2007. Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press. p. 357. ISBN   0813927692.
  7. Atkinson, Frank B. (2006). The Dynamic Dominion: Realignment and the Rise of Two-party Competition in Virginia, 1945-1980. Rowman & Littlefield. ISBN   9780742552098.
  8. Ely, James W. (1976). The Crisis of Conservative Virginia: the Byrd Organization and the Politics of Massive Resistance. Knoxville, Tennessee: University of Tennessee Press. p. 16. ISBN   0870491881.
  9. 1 2 Sweeney, James R. (1994). "A New Day in the Old Dominion". Virginia Magazine of History and Biography. 102 (3): 307–348.
  10. 1 2 3 4 Davidson, Chandler; Grofman, Bernard (1994). Quiet revolution in the South: the impact of the Voting rights act, 1965-1990. pp. 275–276. ISBN   0691032475.
  11. Sullivan, Joseph W. (September 19, 1964). "The GOP in Dixie: Civil Rights Stand Gives Goldwater a Wide Lead In Most of the South Survey Finds Senator Ahead Everywhere but in Texas; Other Republicans Benefit But Margin Has Narrowed". The Wall Street Journal . p. 1.
  12. Carpenter, Leslie (October 18, 1964). "Somebody's Going To Be Jobless — "What Next" Is Question for the Losing Candidate". The Sunday Star-Bulletin and Advertiser . Honolulu. p. A16.
  13. Daffron, John F. (October 25, 1964). "State Return to Democrats Very Likely". The Progress-Index . Petersburg, Virginia. pp. 1, 6.
  14. Manly, Chely (October 29, 1964). "Johnson Gains in South but Dixie Is Still Strong for Barry: Goldwater Keeps Loyal Army of Backers". The Chicago Tribune . p. 5.
  15. "How Survey by United Press International Sees Presidential Race: State-by-State Outlooks for Elections Outcomes". Fort Lauderdale News. Fort Lauderdale, Florida. November 1, 1964. pp. C1.
  16. "A State-by-State Report on How All Major Races Look". The Charlotte Observer . November 1, 1964. pp. 18A.
  17. Kraslow, David (November 1, 1964). "How South Will Vote Remains Big Question: Goldwater "Fairly Safe" in Three States, Johnson in One, Rest Considered Toss-ups". Los Angeles Times . Los Angeles, California. p. 17.
  18. "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 3, 1964" (PDF). Clerk of the House of Representatives. p. 46.
  19. 1 2 "VA US President Race, November 03, 1964". Our Campaigns.
  20. 1 2 3 4 Menendez, Albert J. (2005). The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868-2004. pp. 326–331. ISBN   0786422173.
  21. Black, Earl (2021). "Competing Responses to the New Southern Politics: Republican and Democratic Southern Strategies, 1964-76". In Reed, John Shelton; Black, Merle (eds.). Perspectives on the American South: An Annual Review of Society, Politics, and Culture. ISBN   9781136764882.
  22. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016