51st Newfoundland and Labrador general election

Last updated

51st Newfoundland and Labrador general election
Flag of Newfoundland and Labrador.svg
←  2019 On or before August 19, 202152nd →
All 40 seats in the 50th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
LIB
 Ches Crosbie in 2019.jpg Alison Coffin NDP.png
Leader Andrew Furey Ches Crosbie Alison Coffin
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since August 3, 2020 April 28, 2018 March 5, 2019
Leader's seat Humber-Gros Morne Windsor Lake St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
Last election20 seats, 43.9%15 seats, 42.6%3 seats, 6.3%
Current seats19153
Seats neededIncrease2.svg2Increase2.svg6Increase2.svg18
Incumbent Premier

Andrew Furey
Liberal


The 51st Newfoundland and Labrador general election will elect members to the 50th general assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador. Under the province's fixed election date law, the vote is tentatively scheduled for October 10, 2023, however a caveat in the law mandates that an election must be held within one year of a new Premier assuming office. Therefore, the election is expected to be held within one year of Premier Andrew Furey's swearing-in on August 19, 2020.

Contents

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2019–Present)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Humber-Gros Morne September 7, 2020 [4] Dwight Ball █  Liberal ResignationOctober 6, 2020 [5] Andrew Furey █  Liberal
Lake Melville November 10, 2020 [6] Perry Trimper █  Liberal Resigned from caucus [lower-alpha 1] █  Independent
  1. ↑ over his comments regarding Innu/Inuit in his district

2019

2020

Candidates by district

St. John's

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Mount Scio
Sarah Stoodley [26] Damian Follett [27] [lower-alpha 1] Andrea Newbury (NL Alliance) [28] Sarah Stoodley
St. John's Centre
Robyn LeGrow [29] Jim Dinn [30] Jim Dinn
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
John Abbott or Lynn Hammond [31] [32] [lower-alpha 2] Alison Coffin [30] Alison Coffin
St. John's West
Siobhan Coady [33] [lower-alpha 1] Brenda Walsh [34] Siobhan Coady
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis [33] Victor Lawlor [35] Jenn Deon [34] Bernard Davis
Waterford Valley Tom Osborne [36] [lower-alpha 3] Tom Osborne
Windsor Lake Ches Crosbie [37] Ches Crosbie

St. John's suburbs

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Cape St. Francis Chris Andrews or Joedy Wall [38] Kevin Parsons†
Conception Bay East – Bell Island David Brazil [39] Gavin Will [40] David Brazil
Conception Bay South Shelley Moores [41] Barry Petten [42] Barry Petten
Mount Pearl North David Burrows [43] Jim Lester [44] William Neville (NL Alliance) [45] Jim Lester
Mount Pearl-Southlands Paul Lane
Topsail-Paradise Paul Dinn [46] Paul Dinn

Avalon Peninsula

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde Steve Crocker [33] Frank Butt [47] Steve Crocker
Ferryland Loyola O'Driscoll [48] [lower-alpha 4] Loyola O'Driscoll
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave Pam Parsons [49] [lower-alpha 1] Pam Parsons
Harbour Main Helen Conway-Ottenheimer [50] Helen Conway-Ottenheimer
Placentia-St. Mary's Sherry Gambin-Walsh [51] [lower-alpha 1] Sherry Gambin-Walsh

Eastern Newfoundland

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP
Bonavista Craig Pardy [42] Craig Pardy
Burin-Grand Bank Fred Dodge [52] Carol Anne Haley†
Placentia West-Bellevue Sam Synard [53] Jeff Dwyer [44] Jeff Dwyer
Terra Nova Steve Denty [38] [53] Lloyd Parrott [54] [lower-alpha 5] Lloyd Parrott

Central Newfoundland

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDP
Baie Verte-Green Bay Brian Warr [53] Brian Warr
Exploits Doug Kelly or
Kirk McDonald or
Rodney Mercer [55] [lower-alpha 6] 		Pleaman Forsey [56] Pleaman Forsey
Fogo Island-Cape Freels Derrick Bragg [57] Sue Collins [35] Derrick Bragg
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune Elvis Loveless [58] Noel Joe [40] Elvis Loveless
Gander John Haggie [59] John Haggie
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans [lower-alpha 7] Chris Tibbs
Lewisporte-Twillingate Derek Bennett [49] Derek Bennett

Western Newfoundland

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Burgeo-La Poile Andrew Parsons [33] Andrew Parsons
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne [60] Tom Stewart [61] Graham Downey-Sutton [34] Gerry Byrne
Humber-Gros Morne Graydon Pelley (NL Alliance) [62] Andrew Furey
Humber-Bay of Islands Eddie Joyce
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows Chris Mitchelmore†
St. George's-Humber Scott Reid [49] Gary Bishop or Tom O'Brien [47] [lower-alpha 5] Scott Reid
Stephenville-Port au Port Tony Wakeham [46] Tony Wakeham

Labrador

Electoral DistrictCandidates Incumbent
 Liberal PC NDPOther
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair Lisa Dempster [33] Lisa Dempster
Labrador West Wayne Button [63] Nick McGrath [64] Jordan Brown [30] Jordan Brown
Lake Melville [lower-alpha 8] Shannon Tobin [65] Perry Trimper (Independent) [6] Perry Trimper
Torngat Mountains [lower-alpha 9] Lela Evans

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Nominations close on December 18, 2020.
  2. ↑ Nomination closes on December 13, 2020.
  3. ↑ The nomination closed on October 2, 2020, but no announcement has yet been made.
  4. ↑ The nomination closed on October 31, 2020, but no candidate has yet been announced.
  5. 1 2 The nominations closed on November 30, 2020, but no candidate has yet been announced.
  6. ↑ Nomination closes on January 14, 2021.
  7. ↑ The nomination closed on September 4, 2020, but no announcement has yet been made.
  8. ↑ Perry Trimper was originally the Liberal candidate, but later withdrew following his comments about homeless Innu/Inuit in his district. He is now running as an independent.
  9. ↑ The nomination closed on October 24, 2020, but no announcement has yet been made.

Opinion polls

Voting Intentions in Newfoundland and Labrador since the 2019 Election
51st Newfoundland and Labrador general election
Polling FirmFinal Day of PollingLink Liberal PC NDP NLA
Narrative ResearchDecember 3, 2020 [66] 582613–
Angus ReidNovember 30, 2020 [67] 50398–
MQO ResearchSeptember 2, 2020 [68] 5333111
Narrative ResearchAugust 18, 2020 [69] 612115–
Angus ReidJune 8, 2020 [70] 483512–
Narrative ResearchMay 26, 2020 [71] 602613–
Narrative ResearchFebruary 23, 2020 [72] 373526–
Narrative ResearchNovember 22, 2019 [73] 423324–
Narrative ResearchAugust 25, 2019 [74] 423224–
MQO ResearchJuly 31, 2019 [75] 5034131
Election 2019 May 16, 2019–43.942.66.32.4

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References

  1. ↑ https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/carole-anne-haley-1.5686461
  2. ↑ Michael Connors [@MikeConnors] (August 19, 2020). "Mitchelmore is not running for re-election. #nlpoli" (Tweet). Retrieved August 19, 2019– via Twitter.
  3. ↑ https://twitter.com/RadioGregSmith/status/1321874269522059265
  4. ↑ "Ball resigns as MHA, Furey will run in his place". CBC News. September 7, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
  5. ↑ "Andrew Furey Takes Humber-Gros Morne Byelection and Secures Seat in Legislature". VOCM. October 6, 2020. Retrieved October 6, 2020.
  6. 1 2 "Perry Trimper to run as Independent in next election, resigns from Liberal caucus". CBC News. November 10, 2020. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
  7. ↑ McKenzie-Sutter, Holly (May 16, 2019). "Liberals re-elected with minority government in Newfoundland and Labrador vote". CTV News. Retrieved November 8, 2019.
  8. ↑ "Cabinet of Premier Dwight Ball Sworn in as New Government is Formed". Government of Newfoundland and Labrador - Executive Council. May 30, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  9. ↑ "Dwight Ball goes to Warr to fill out new cabinet". The ChronicleHerald. Saltwire Network. May 31, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  10. ↑ "N.L. cabinet minister apologizes after describing Innu as playing 'race card' in leaked voicemail recording". CBC News. September 12, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  11. ↑ "Premier: Trimper Stays in Liberal Caucus, Bragg to Assume Portfolio". VOCM.com. Stingray Group Inc. September 13, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  12. ↑ "All you need to know about the Mitchelmore-Foote fiasco, from beginning to end". CBC News. December 8, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  13. ↑ Mullin, Malone (February 17, 2020). "Dwight Ball stepping down as Newfoundland and Labrador premier". CBC News. Retrieved February 17, 2020.
  14. ↑ Maher, David (February 17, 2020). "Newfoundland and Labrador Premier Dwight Ball stepping down". The Telegram. Retrieved February 17, 2020.
  15. ↑ "Sherry Gambin-Walsh removed from provincial cabinet". CBC News. CBC. Retrieved April 5, 2020.
  16. ↑ Maher, David (April 4, 2020). "UPDATE: Premier removes Newfoundland MHA Sherry Gambin-Walsh from cabinet". The Telegram. Retrieved April 5, 2020.
  17. ↑ Michael Connors [@MikeConnors] (July 16, 2020). "The N.L. PC party has begun calling nominations in anticipation of the next provincial election" (Tweet). Retrieved August 19, 2020– via Twitter.
  18. ↑ "NL Alliance Opens Nominations, Hoping to Have Candidates in All 40 Districts". VOCM. July 21, 2020. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  19. ↑ "Andrew Furey elected Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal leader, will be province's 14th premier" (3 August 2020). The Telegram. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  20. ↑ "Andrew Furey takes office as 14th premier of N.L., names cabinet". CBC News. August 19, 2020. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  21. ↑ "Ball resigns as MHA, Furey will run in his place". CBC News. September 7, 2020. Retrieved September 7, 2020.
  22. ↑
  23. ↑
  24. ↑ Michael Connors [@MikeConnors] (September 14, 2020). "The Liberal party has started calling general election nominations. Nominations are open in five provincial districts: Burgeo-La Poile, Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde, Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair, St. John's West and Virginia Waters-Pleasantville" (Tweet). Retrieved September 19, 2020– via Twitter.
  25. ↑ "NDP opens nominations in three districts". New Democratic Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved September 26, 2020.
  26. ↑ Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal Party [@nlliberals] (September 25, 2020). "@SarahlStoodley will be the official Liberal Candidate for the District of Mount Scio in the next general election!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 26, 2020– via Twitter.
  27. ↑ Damian Follett [@DamianFollett] (December 7, 2020). "Some big news to share friends" (Tweet). Retrieved December 11, 2020– via Twitter.
  28. ↑ NL Alliance [@alliance_nl] (August 24, 2020). "The Provincial Executive is pleased to announce that Andrea Newbury will represent NL Alliance in the District of Mount Scio in the next Provincial Election" (Tweet). Retrieved August 28, 2020– via Twitter.
  29. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF ST. JOHN'S CENTRE". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved December 4, 2020.
  30. 1 2 3 "Coffin, Dinn, and Brown acclaimed as NDP candidates". New Democratic Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved October 3, 2020.
  31. ↑ "John Abbott Seeking Liberal Party Nomination for St. John's East". VOCM. November 2, 2020. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  32. ↑ Lynn Hammond [@LynnHammondNL] (December 7, 2020). "Earlier today I announced my intention to seek the Provincial Liberal Nomination for the District of St. John's East-Quidi Vidi" (Tweet). Retrieved December 11, 2020– via Twitter.
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Announces Candidates for 5 Provincial Districts". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  34. 1 2 3 "The New Democratic Party of Newfoundland and Labrador announced today that the following people will [sic]". New Democratic Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  35. 1 2 "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICTS OF FOGO ISLAND – CAPE FREELS AND VIRGINIA WATERS – PLEASANTVILLE". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved December 11, 2020.
  36. ↑ Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal Party [@nlliberals] (September 25, 2020). "@TomOsborneMHA will be the official Liberal Candidate for the District of Waterford Valley in the next general election!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 26, 2020– via Twitter.
  37. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF WINDSOR LAKE". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved September 11, 2020.
  38. 1 2 "Shanneyganock's Chris Andrews makes bid for PC nomination in Cape St. Francis". CBC News. October 29, 2020. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  39. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF CONCEPTION BAY EAST – BELL ISLAND". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  40. 1 2 "NL NDP Candidates Announced for Conception Bay East-Bell Island and Fortune Bay - Cape La Hune". New Democratic Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved December 4, 2020.
  41. ↑ "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Closes Nominations for 1 Provincial Districts". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved November 13, 2020.
  42. 1 2 "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICTS OF BONAVISTA AND CONCEPTION BAY SOUTH". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  43. ↑ David Burrows [@dburrows_nl] (November 8, 2020). "I am pleased to announce my intention to seek nomination with the Liberal Party NL for the district of Mount Pearl North!" (Tweet). Retrieved December 11, 2020– via Twitter.
  44. 1 2 "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICTS OF MOUNT PEARL NORTH AND PLACENTIA WEST-BELLEVUE". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  45. ↑ NL Alliance [@alliance_nl] (August 2, 2020). "The Provincial Executive is pleased to announce that William Neville will represent NL Alliance in the District of Mount Pearl North in the next Provincial Election" (Tweet). Retrieved August 19, 2020– via Twitter.
  46. 1 2 "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICTS OF TOPSAIL-PARADISE AND STEPHENVILLE-PORT AU PORT FOR THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE PARTY OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  47. 1 2 "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF CARBONEAR – TRINITY – BAY DE VERDE AND ST. GEORGE'S - HUMBER". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved November 30, 2020.
  48. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF FERRYLAND". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  49. 1 2 3 "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Announces Candidates for 3 Provincial Districts". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved October 24, 2020.
  50. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF HARBOUR MAIN". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  51. ↑ Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal Party [@nlliberals] (November 12, 2020). "@Sgambin will be the official Liberal Candidate for the District of Placentia - St. Mary's in the next general election!" (Tweet). Retrieved November 13, 2020– via Twitter.
  52. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN BURIN – GRAND BANK". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved November 21, 2020.
  53. 1 2 3 "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Closes Nominations for 4 Provincial Districts". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  54. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF TERRA NOVA". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  55. ↑ "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Closes Nominations for 1 Provincial District". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved December 11, 2020.
  56. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF EXPLOITS". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  57. ↑ "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Closes Nominations for 2 Provincial Districts". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved October 9, 2020.
  58. ↑ "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Closes Nominations for 1 Provincial Districts". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved October 31, 2020.
  59. ↑ Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal Party [@nlliberals] (September 25, 2020). "@Johnrockdoc will be the official Liberal Candidate for the District of Gander in the next general election!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 26, 2020– via Twitter.
  60. ↑ Newfoundland and Labrador Liberal Party [@nlliberals] (September 25, 2020). "@Gerry_Byrne will be the official Liberal Candidate for the District of Corner Brook in the next general election!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 26, 2020– via Twitter.
  61. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF CORNER BROOK". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved November 13, 2020.
  62. ↑ NL Alliance [@alliance_nl] (August 2, 2020). "The Provincial Executive is pleased to announce that Graydon Pelley [...] will represent NL Alliance in the District of Humber-Gros Morne in the next Provincial Election" (Tweet). Retrieved August 19, 2020– via Twitter.
  63. ↑ "Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Announces the Results of the Nomination Meeting for the District of Labrador West". Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved October 16, 2020.
  64. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF LABRADOR WEST, NOMINATIONS OPEN IN THE DISTRICT OF TORNGAT MOUNTAINS". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved October 17, 2020.
  65. ↑ "NOMINATIONS CLOSE IN THE DISTRICT OF LAKE MELVILLE". Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador . Retrieved September 26, 2020.
  66. ↑ "NL Liberals maintain decided voter support, with preference for Andrew Furey strong". Narrative Research. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
  67. ↑ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, COVID-19 management". Angus Reid Institute. Retrieved December 10, 2020.
  68. ↑ "Atlantic Matters Poll – The Governing Liberals Hold a Strong Lead in NL". MQO Research. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  69. ↑ "NL Liberals maintain decided voter support, see slight decline in satisfaction". Narrative Research. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  70. ↑ "Provincial Spotlight". Angus Reid. June 8, 2020. Retrieved June 8, 2020.
  71. ↑ Connors, Michael (May 28, 2020). "Narrative Research poll for NL". Twitter.com. Retrieved May 28, 2020.
  72. ↑ "Satisfaction with Premier Ball's government drops dramatically, coinciding with resignation announcement". Narrative Research. Retrieved March 12, 2020.
  73. ↑ Connors, Michael (December 10, 2019). "Narrative Research Poll: Decided Voters". Twitter.com. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  74. ↑ "PCs drop and NDP jumps while Liberals hold steady in N.L. support". CBC News. September 17, 2019. Retrieved January 22, 2020.
  75. ↑ "NL Liberals Hold Lead Following Election". MQO Research. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
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