Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014

Last updated
Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014
Flag of Arizona.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 2018  
  Doug Ducey by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Fred DuVal by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Doug Ducey Fred DuVal
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote805,062626,921
Percentage53.4%41.5%

Arizona Governor Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County results
DuVal:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Ducey:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Jan Brewer
Republican

Elected Governor

Doug Ducey
Republican

The 2014 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arizona, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Governor Jan Brewer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a second full term in office. After a bitter six-candidate primary, Republicans nominated Arizona State Treasurer Doug Ducey; Democrat Fred DuVal, the former chairman of the Arizona Board of Regents, won his party's nomination unopposed. Ducey won the election with 53% of the vote. This election marked the first time since 1998 that no female gubernatorial candidate was on the ballot and the first time since 1994 that a man was elected as governor of the state of Arizona.

Republican Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Jan Brewer American politician

Janice Kay Brewer is an American politician and author who served as the 22nd governor of Arizona, from 2009 to 2015. A member of the Republican Party, Brewer is the fourth woman, and was the third consecutive woman, to serve as Governor of Arizona. Brewer became governor of Arizona as part of the line of succession, as determined by the Arizona Constitution, when Governor Janet Napolitano resigned to become secretary of Homeland Security. Brewer had served as secretary of state of Arizona from January 2003 to January 2009.

State Treasurer of Arizona

The state treasurer is the state of Arizona’s chief banker and investment officer. The Treasurer’s Office manages Arizona’s annual state revenues; directs the state’s banking services; and manages Arizona’s investment portfolio. The state treasurer also serves on the management boards of a number of public entities. The state treasurer is one of six statewide elected officials, and serves a term of four years. A person may only serve as state treasurer for two terms.

Background

Candidates for Governor speaking at a forum hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry. From left to right: Al Melvin, Scott Smith, Christine Jones, Fred DuVal, Frank Riggs, Doug Ducey and Ken Bennett. Arizona 2014 gubernatorial candidates by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Candidates for Governor speaking at a forum hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry. From left to right: Al Melvin, Scott Smith, Christine Jones, Fred DuVal, Frank Riggs, Doug Ducey and Ken Bennett.

Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano resigned on January 21, 2009, to be sworn in as Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security. Since Arizona does not have a lieutenant governor, Secretary of State Jan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as governor on the same day. She was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Democrat Terry Goddard, the Arizona Attorney General, by 54% to 42%.

Democratic Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party. The Democrats' dominant worldview was once social conservatism and economic liberalism while populism was its leading characteristic in the rural South. In 1912, Theodore Roosevelt ran as a third-party candidate in the Progressive Party, beginning a switch of political platforms between the Democratic and Republican Party over the coming decades, and leading to Woodrow Wilson being elected as the first fiscally progressive Democrat. Since Franklin D. Roosevelt and his New Deal coalition in the 1930s, the Democratic Party has also promoted a social liberal platform, supporting social justice.

Janet Napolitano American politician

Janet Ann Napolitano is an American politician, lawyer, and university administrator who served as the 21st governor of Arizona from 2003 to 2009 and United States secretary of homeland security from 2009 to 2013, under President Barack Obama. She has been president of the University of California system since September 2013, shortly after she resigned as Secretary of Homeland Security.

United States Secretary of Homeland Security head of the United States Department of Homeland Security

The United States Secretary of Homeland Security is the head of the United States Department of Homeland Security, the body concerned with protecting the U.S. and the safety of U.S. citizens. The secretary is a member of the President's Cabinet. The position was created by the Homeland Security Act following the attacks of September 11, 2001. The new department consisted primarily of components transferred from other cabinet departments because of their role in homeland security, such as the Coast Guard, the Federal Protective Service, U.S. Customs and Border Protection, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, the Secret Service, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). It did not, however, include the FBI or the CIA.

Brewer was term-limited in 2014, despite only serving one full term. This is because Arizona state law limits office holders to two consecutive terms regardless of whether they serve full or partial terms. In November 2012, Brewer declared she was looking into what she called "ambiguity" in Arizona's term-limit law to seek a third term. [1] In February 2014, Brewer reiterated that she was considering running for re-election, [2] but on March 12, 2014, she announced that she would not attempt to seek another term in office, which would have required what The Arizona Republic called a "long-shot court challenge". [3]

<i>The Arizona Republic</i> newspaper

The Arizona Republic is an American daily newspaper published in Phoenix. Circulated throughout Arizona, it is the state's largest newspaper. Since 2000, it has been owned by the Gannett newspaper chain.

Republican primary

The Republican primary campaign was widely characterised as being "bitter" and "nasty" [4] [5] [6] [7] and the $16.2 million spent by the six Republican candidates means that the 2014 election has already broken the record for most expensive gubernatorial race in state history, exceeding the 2002 election in which $9.2 million was spent during the primary and general election campaigns combined. [8]

Candidates

Declared

Ken Bennett American politician

Ken Bennett is an American Republican politician and businessman who served as president of the Arizona Senate, and served as the 19th Secretary of State of Arizona, from 2009 to 2015. He was a candidate for Governor of Arizona in the 2018 election.

Secretary of State of Arizona an elected position in the U.S. state of Arizona

The Secretary of State of Arizona is an elected position in the U.S. state of Arizona. Since Arizona does not have a lieutenant governor, the Secretary stands first in the line of succession to the governorship. The Secretary also serves as acting governor whenever the governor is incapacitated or out of state. The Secretary is the keeper of the Seal of Arizona and administers oaths of office. The current secretary is Katie Hobbs.

Doug Ducey American businessman and politician

Douglas Anthony Ducey is an American businessman and politician who is the 23rd governor of Arizona. A Republican, he was sworn in as governor on January 5, 2015. He was the state's treasurer from 2011 to 2015.

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Doug Ducey
Individuals
Organizations
  • Arizona Free Enterprise Club [39]
  • Arizona Right to Life [40]
Frank Riggs
Individuals
Organizations
  • Arizonans Against Common Core [43]
Scott Smith
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ken
Bennett
Doug
Ducey
Christine
Jones
Al
Melvin
John
Molina
Frank
Riggs
Scott
Smith
Andrew
Thomas
Undecided
Magellan Strategies August 17–21, 20141,281± 2.74%12%32%18%2%21%8%7%
Harper Polling August 19–20, 2014812± 3.44%14%32%16%2%19%7%10%
Remington August 17–19, 2014502± 4.37%10%33%18%1%22%11%5%
Magellan Strategies August 15–18, 20141,322± ?12%31%17%3%22%8%7%
Magellan Strategies August 12–15, 20141,300± ?10%31%16%3%23%7%10%
Magellan Strategies August 5–7, 20141,289± 2.73%11%29%13%4%22%9%12%
Magellan Strategies July 28–31, 20141,644± ?12%23%13%5%21%10%16%
Undisclosed Late July 2014?± ?10%23%20%2%15%9%21%
Harper Polling July 16–17, 2014885± 3.29%12%23%21%1%13%7%22%
Behavior Research Center July 10–17, 2014459± 4.7%10%13%17%2%8%0%50%
Gravis Marketing July 14, 2014691± 4%7%28%19%1%14%8%24%
Highground July 10–12, 2014400± 4.9%3.5%17.3%15.3%1.5%9.8%3%49.8%
Magellan Strategies July 9–10, 2014593± 4.02%11%26%22%2%14%6%19%
Harper Polling June 25–26, 2014791± 3.48%12%33%15%2%14%3%22%
McLaughlin & Associates June 10, 2014400± 3.48%8%22.8%6.2%6.5%56.5%
Magellan Strategies June 3–4, 2014630± 3.9%12%28%12%2%2%16%5%23%
Magellan Strategies May 13–14, 2014760± 3.6%12.7%27.3%11.9%1.3%0.2%0.7%11.5%5.6%28.8%
Undisclosed April 29, 20141,367± 3.5%7%4%10%9%5%65%
Magellan Strategies April 8–9, 2014?± ?15%9%14%1%6%6%45%
Public Policy Polling Feb. 28–Mar. 2, 2014403± 4.9%20%6%16%1%1%1%12%9%34%
Behavior Research Center January 16–26, 2014701± 3.8%6%2%8%1%7%7%69%
Susquehanna Nov. 27–Dec. 4 2013245± ?20%8%4%2%6%4%56%

Results

Republican primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Doug Ducey200,60737.05
Republican Scott Smith119,10722.00
Republican Christine Jones89,92216.61
Republican Ken Bennett62,01011.45
Republican Andrew Thomas43,8228.09
Republican Frank Riggs24,1684.45
Republican Write-in1,8040.33
Total votes541,440100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Fred DuVal

Polling

Results

Democratic primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Fred DuVal271,27696.93
Democratic Write-in8,5783.07
Total votes279,854100

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

Results

Libertarian primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Barry Hess3,97974.74
Libertarian Write-in1,34525.26
Total votes5,324100
Americans Elect primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Americans Elect John Lewis Mealer72295.00
Americans Elect Write-in385.00
Total votes760100

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [68] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [69] Likely RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [70] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [71] Lean RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Doug
Ducey (R)
Fred
DuVal (D)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20142,621± 4%50%40%1%9%
The Polling Company October 20–22, 2014601± 4%42%35%7% [other 1] 15%
Rasmussen Reports October 14–16, 20141,056± 3%47%42%3%7%
Tarrance Group October 13–16, 2014500± 4.5%43%36%5% [other 1] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–14, 2014500± 4.5%37%35.8%5.4% [other 2] 21.8%
Adrian Gray Consulting October 8–9, 2014600± 4%43%35%8% [other 3] 14%
Moore Information October 7–8, 2014400± ~4.9%36%39%4% [other 4] 21%
The Polling Company October 6–8, 2014600± 4%46%37%5% [other 1] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 20142,808± 3%50%39%2%9%
Keating Research September 17–19, 2014600± 4%41%39%7% [other 1] 13%
Tarrance Group September 15–17, 2014505± 4.5%44%38%7% [other 5] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 20143,289± 3%39%38%15%9%
Rasmussen Reports August 27–28, 2014850± 3%40%40%20%
Public Policy Polling August 24–25, 2014588± 4%35%35%12% [other 1] 18%
Public Policy Polling February 28–March 2, 2014870± 3.3%35%36%29%
Undisclosed February 2014500± ?32%32%6% [other 1] 30%
Behavior Research Center January 16–26, 2014701± 3.8%21%23%56%
Susquehanna November 27–December 4, 2013600± 4%36%33%31%
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Barry Hess (L)
  2. Barry Hess (L) 2.8%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 2.6%
  3. Barry Hess (L) 5%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 3%
  4. Barry Hess (L) 3%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%
  5. Barry Hess (L) 6%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%

Results

General election results [72]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Doug Ducey805,06253.35
Democratic Fred DuVal626,92141.55
Libertarian Barry Hess57,3373.8
Americans Elect John Lewis Mealer15,4321.02
Write-insOther4,1670.28
Total votes1,508,919100

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Official campaign websites